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Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen

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CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
CADJPY 4H shortI started already selling CADJPY at 107.704, because the the price gap is huge and also makes the trend super extended and oversold on the 1H. Price gaps tend to fill often. The first resistance level is at 107.998, the second resistance level is at 108.937. I believe on of the two levels will trigger the selloff big time to the gap possibly. So in between I'm happy to sell. I placed 4 sell limit orders with 30 pips difference each see the chart. There is also high impact news for JPY and CAD so let's see if that can fuel the party. Combined with my rules it looks like a good story that is coming togheter: Rules: extended trend no pullbacks / consillidation support or resistance zone rsi oversold or overbought PS: CADJPY is simmilar as USDJPY btw but I like CADJPY more because there are more resistance levels visible on the 4H chart.
Short
by FX-Diaries
CADJPY | BullishHTF: Strong bullish momentum continues, with price maintaining higher highs and clear upside intent. Looking to catch the continuation ride, so focus shifts to mid timeframes to see if key areas hold. MTF: Price swept sell-side liquidity and delivered a deep mitigation into a key OB zone. Another layer of confirmation is needed for the zone to solidify — once that happens, attention shifts to the LTF for precise confirmation. LTF: When price taps the point of interest, I’ll wait for the final LH flip followed by a pullback into discounted areas to take long positions along the bullish leg — targeting 5M, 30M, and potentially 2H or 4H highs depending on market delivery. 📦 Patience until alignment — precision entries only when the story completes. ⚔️
Long
by Juicemannn
CAD/JPY – Institutional Short Setup (H4 + Macro Bias)Macro Context The pair remains under a long-term bearish structure. After completing the most recent short swing, price has started a potential contraction phase, possibly leading to a retracement toward the premium zone around 107. All higher-timeframe dealing ranges continue to align with a bearish macro bias. COT Institutional View Institutions remain net short on CAD (-114.8K) and net long on JPY (+79.5K) — clear macro pressure favoring JPY. CAD shows structural weakness, while JPY continues its accumulation and recovery phase. Technical Setup We are waiting for price to approach the premium zone (75%) and the round number 107, where a fresh supply area overlaps with the POC concentration — a key region of potential institutional activity. Execution Plan Trigger: Mini redistribution or rejection pattern within the supply zone. Entry: Once price reaches the upper premium / supply area. Stop: Above 107.20 (invalidates the short bias). Target: -25% swing projection / 104.50 zone. Summary “The market has just completed its short swing and is likely entering a contraction phase. If price retraces into the 107 supply area, institutional selling could resume, reinforcing the macro bearish context.”
Short
by philipemav
CADJPY shortThe Canadian economy is and will be in trouble until they get an agreement with their American partner on trade deals. There is a 50% chance of cut at their October meeting. IT is not a done deal, since they cut last meeting, but unless we get some good data, a cut is possible. The Boj has a 40% chance of a hike at their next meeting. They had a few members voting for a hike at their last meeting, which was hawkish for the Yen. I won't write an essay on the reasons why I take the trade but let's just say, CAD is weak and Yen could get stronger on next meeting hike probability. We got the 38 fib, retest of the broken structure and the 200 daily MA waiting at the zone. 106-106.20 is my zone to sell. Good luck!
Short
by NomadTrader999
CADJPY Set for October Crash? Institutions Bet Big on Yen 📊 Multi-Factor Analysis – CADJPY COT Data JPY: Net long positions are strongly increasing → Non-Commercial long +14.7K, Commercial long +12K. Institutional flows favor the Yen, confirming a bullish bias on JPY. CAD: Heavy liquidation → Commercial longs -49K, shorts -59K, Non-Commercial longs decreasing (-2.9K). Net positioning shows bearish sentiment on CAD, with a clear prevalence of short exposure among speculators. 👉 Interpretation: Institutional flows point toward a strong JPY and weak CAD → bearish bias on CADJPY. Seasonality CAD: Historically weak in October (negative averages in 20Y and 15Y, worsening in 5Y and 2Y). JPY: Historically strong in October, especially on short-term frames (5Y and 2Y very bullish). 👉 Interpretation: Seasonality supports a bearish scenario on CADJPY during October. Retail Sentiment 90% Long vs 10% Short on CADJPY. 👉 Extreme retail long positioning = contrarian bearish signal → potential for further downside pressure. Technical Analysis CADJPY broke below the descending trendline. Currently trading inside the weekly demand zone (105–106), acting as short-term support. RSI oversold → likely technical bounce toward 106.8–107.2 (supply + trendline) before continuation lower. Primary structure remains bearish, with medium-term targets at 104.80–105.00.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
CAD/JPY: Recovery in Progress with Key Resistance Levels AheadCAD/JPY has bounced from the 105.25 low following a recent selloff and is now climbing back within the ascending channel. Price action is forming a recovery structure, with momentum building toward the 106.50–107.00 resistance zone. Maintaining support above the 105.60–105.80 area is crucial for the bullish outlook to remain intact. If momentum holds, the pair may extend the move into a broader reversal, targeting the higher 107.90 resistance level in the sessions ahead.
Long
by RTED_Investing
2
Lingrid | CADJPY Oversold Bounce Long OpportunityFX:CADJPY has bounced off the 105.25 bottom after the recent selloff and is now reclaiming ground inside the channel. Price action is forming a recovery structure with the upward projection aiming toward 106.50–107.00 as the next resistance zone. Holding above the 105.60–105.80 area is key for the bullish outlook to remain valid. If momentum continues, a broader reversal toward 107.90 resistance could unfold. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold above 105.60–105.80 would weaken bullish momentum. Strong JPY demand from risk-off sentiment or BoJ intervention could cap upside. Weak CAD fundamentals such as lower oil prices could trigger renewed selling. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
2
CADJPY 4H – Reversal Watch (Patience Mode)• Context: Sharp drop into demand. • Structure: Want a hammer or clear multi-wick rejection off the zone. • Volume: Need upside expansion on/near the trigger candle (no pop = no entry). • Momentum: Currently strong with divergence—good if it confirms with structure + volume. Trigger: Engulfing/hammer confirmation from the AOI with rising volume. Invalidation: Fresh LL that erases the zone or a bounce on weak volume. Bottom line: Waiting for alignment—otherwise, no trade. #VMS #VolumeMomentumStructure #CADJPY
by darlwright
CADJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for CADJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 107.266. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 106.211 level soon. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
CADJPY Forming Ascending TrendlineCADJPY is currently trading around 105.50 after breaking below its long-term ascending trendline on the daily chart. This bearish breakdown signals potential continuation toward lower levels, with sellers gaining momentum after several failed attempts to sustain above 107.00. The rejection at higher levels indicates exhaustion from buyers, leaving room for the pair to retrace deeper toward the 102.00–101.00 support zone in the coming weeks. From a fundamental angle, the Canadian dollar is under pressure as oil prices face renewed volatility due to uncertain global demand and fluctuating supply dynamics. At the same time, the Japanese yen is drawing safe-haven demand, especially as global investors remain cautious ahead of central bank guidance. With the Bank of Japan signaling a gradual shift from ultra-loose policy and the Bank of Canada holding a cautious stance due to softer economic data, the yen has an edge in the current risk environment. Technically, the clean break of the ascending trendline confirms a potential trend reversal, and the bearish momentum is expected to strengthen if the pair stays below 106.00. Sellers will be eyeing the 103.50 and 101.00 zones as profit targets, while any pullback toward 106.80–107.30 is likely to attract fresh supply. Traders should remain alert to upcoming Canadian employment and inflation data, as well as BOJ policy remarks, which could bring sharp volatility. For now, downside setups remain favorable while price action holds below the broken trendline, offering solid profit opportunities toward key support levels.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery