Black FridayUp to 80% OFF

Canadian Dollar / Japanese Yen

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

Cadjpy shortEntry Zone (Supply Area): Around 107.59 – 108.08 (highlighted grey box). Price is expected to react bearish from this resistance zone. Stop Loss: Just above 108.08 (top of the supply zone). This protects against a breakout continuation. Target Zone: Around 106.00 – 105.95 (lower green box). This is the projected support area. 📉 Trade Idea Bias: Bearish (short). The red arrow suggests that price may reject from the supply zone and head lower. Risk-to-reward (RRR) looks favorable, roughly 1:2. 🧠 Technical Rationale 1. Supply Zone Rejection: Price is retesting a prior resistance zone where sellers have stepped in before. 2. Trend Structure: On the 4H chart, CAD/JPY is in a corrective rally after a bearish move — this could be a retracement before continuation down. 3. Candlestick Behavior: If bearish rejection candles (e.g., wicks, engulfing) form near 107.80 – 108.00, it strengthens the short bias.
Short
by vicofalltrades
CADJPY Breakdown Incoming? Specs Selling CAD, Buying JPY1. Retail Sentiment 68% long vs 32% short → The majority of retail traders are positioned long. From a contrarian perspective, this increases the risk of a downside move to flush out these long positions. 2. Seasonality JPY (September): historically tends to appreciate from mid-month onward. CAD (September): historically weak, with flat to negative performance. Seasonal Bias: favors strong JPY / weak CAD → bearish CADJPY outlook. 3. Commitment of Traders (COT) CAD (Sept 16, 2025): Non-commercials: still heavily net short (128k short vs 21k long). Commercials: strong long exposure (218k), but speculative flows remain bearish. Bias: CAD continues to be sold by speculators → bearish pressure. JPY (Sept 16, 2025): Non-commercials: net long (161k long vs 100k short). Commercials: strong shorts (163k), as usual for hedging. Bias: speculators are accumulating JPY longs, reinforcing strength. 👉 COT View = Weak CAD, Strong JPY → Bearish confirmation for CADJPY. 4. Technical Analysis Current price: 106.77, trading inside the daily demand zone (106.50–106.00). Structure: Well-defined descending channel. Multiple bounces in the 106.00–106.20 area → key support zone. RSI neutral, not yet oversold. Scenarios: Scenario A (probable): break below 106.20 → extension towards 105.50, then 104.80 (swing low zone). Scenario B (alternative): technical bounce from demand (106.20–106.00) → recovery towards 107.80/108.00 (weekly supply). ✅ Conclusion: CADJPY shows a bearish setup supported by COT, seasonality, and contrarian sentiment. The technicals highlight a descending channel with potential breakdown below 106.00. Best setups: short on pullbacks with targets at 105.50–105.00.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
SMC Concept: Defining the Trading Range (Step 1) On CADJPYCAD/JPY, 4H Timeframe (as demonstrated) This post outlines the first step in a methodology focused on identifying key market structure levels. The goal is to objectively define a trading range, using CAD/JPY as the example. The Process: Of a bullish Structure Identify the range Low: Locate the last retracement from the previous high, the low is deepest price level retraced to. Find the Inducement: Mark the low of the most recent pullback (retracement) before the price made a new high. Wait for Confirmation: The high is only confirmed once price returns to hit this inducement level. This validates the high as an official range boundary. A break of the confirmed high is a break of structure (BOS). A break of the confirmed low suggests a change of character (CHoCH), shifting sentiment. This is the foundational step for identifying future points of interest. The next step involves plotting POIs based on this confirmed range. This methodology is based on one that I learned from someone else on Youtube, but I have changed many details to suit my style. As a thank you note, I have referred to this person on other paltforms, but unfortunately, I don't think I can do this here as I might be violating this platform's rules. I will be posting the next steps that would lead to deciding on a trading position on step by step basis. I am already making videos but I might be using this platforms video option for later posts.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
CADJPY Sellers Target Key Support as Momentum FadesCADJPY has slipped after failing to sustain momentum above the 107 handle, and the price action now leans toward renewed downside pressure. The chart structure shows repeated rejections and lower highs forming, which opens the door for a deeper pullback. With oil prices struggling to hold gains and JPY catching periodic safe-haven bids, this cross looks vulnerable to further declines. Current Bias Bearish – CADJPY is showing weakness with sellers eyeing lower support levels. Key Fundamental Drivers CAD: Weak Canadian labor market data and rising BoC rate cut expectations pressure CAD. Oil prices remain soft, removing an important support pillar. JPY: The yen continues to benefit from safe-haven demand, especially during global risk-off waves and BoJ’s gradual steps toward yield control adjustments. Yield spreads: Narrowing spreads between CAD and JPY rates reduce CADJPY’s carry appeal. Macro Context Interest rates: The BoC is leaning dovish after weak jobs and growth numbers, while the BoJ’s cautious shift away from ultra-loose policy provides structural support to the yen. Growth trends: Canada faces slowing growth amid weaker domestic demand, while Japan’s growth remains modest but steady. Commodities: Oil weakness weighs on CAD. Geopolitical: Risk-off events (tariff disputes, Middle East tensions) tend to favor JPY strength, amplifying CADJPY downside. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp recovery in oil prices or a stronger-than-expected Canadian economic release could lift CAD and cap downside momentum in this pair. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event Canada CPI and retail sales for confirmation of BoC’s dovish outlook. BoJ policy commentary for clarity on yield control and inflation stance. Leader/Lagger Dynamics CADJPY tends to act as a lagger, often following broader risk sentiment and oil price movements. It also reacts to USDJPY moves, meaning JPY flows largely set the pace. Key Levels Support Levels: 105.95, 104.98 Resistance Levels: 106.93, 107.54 Stop Loss (SL): 107.54 (above resistance zone) Take Profit (TP): 104.98 (major support) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints CADJPY bias is bearish, with SL set at 107.54 and TP aimed at 104.98. Oil weakness, dovish BoC expectations, and resilient JPY flows all lean in favor of further downside. The key watchpoints are Canada’s CPI/retail sales and BoJ commentary. Unless oil rebounds strongly, sellers are likely to stay in control, with price action favoring a test of 105.95 and potentially 104.98.
Short
by ultreosforex
2
CAD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! CAD/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 12H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 106.590 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
CADJPY: Simple Trading IdeaCADJPY: Simple Trading Idea Price is currently moving up and just broke through a strong support zone near 107.10 A possible pullback may happen near 107.10, where the price might form a bullish continuation pattern. CADJPY could continue toward the first target at 107.90 and then toward the second target at 108.71. Key Levels: Support Zone: Around 107.10 First Target: 107.92 Second Target: 108.71 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Long
by KlejdiCuni
3
CADJPY Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 106.659. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 107.622 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1