Dollar Index Resistance & Support AnalysisDXY (U.S. Dollar Index) is trading around 97.71, holding within an upward channel after bouncing from the 97.00–97.10 support zone. The structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, the chart also highlights a potential “strong high” area near 98.20–98.40, where resistance from both Fibonacci retracement levels and channel tops converge. If DXY fails to break above this resistance, a retracement toward 97.20–97.00 is likely, with further downside risk toward 96.80 if that support breaks.
Based on the current setup, short-term upside toward 98.20–98.40 is possible, but overall bias suggests a likely pullback (downside) after testing resistance, especially if momentum weakens near the channel top.
🔴 Sell Zone (Short Setup)
- Sell Zone (Resistance area): 98.20 – 98.40
- Sell Trigger: If price tests and rejects this zone with bearish candles (reversal signals).
🟢 Buy Zone (Long Setup)
- Buy Zone (Support area): 97.20 – 97.30
- Buy Trigger: If price holds above this zone and shows bullish reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, etc.).
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
DXY trade ideas
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy!
📈 Setup Summary
Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash)
📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀
🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade)
🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”:
💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage!
🔹 Sample Limit Layers:
• 97.800
• 98.000
• 98.200
(💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!)
🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL):
⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone”
👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer!
💰 Target Zone (TP):
🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely
💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes!
⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅
🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning
✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure
✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈
✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually
✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack
🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs)
Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍
💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY
💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation
💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY
🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY
💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY
💡 Key Tip:
When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭
⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers
👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs):
I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼
You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭
This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠
Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun
#DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
US Dollar (DXY), strong rebound in 2026?The US Dollar is by far the weakest major currency on the FX market in 2025. But this situation could reverse in 2026 as the second year of the presidential term begins, a year that is historically unfavorable to risky assets and favorable to the US Dollar as a safe haven. Recall that during Trump’s first term, the first year (2017) saw a sharp decline in the dollar on the Forex, followed by a strong recovery in the second year (2018).
Could we see a “bis repetita” scenario with 2026, the second year of the second term?
The chart below shows the US Dollar’s last place ranking among major FX currencies.
1) The fundamental reasons that could support a rebound of the US Dollar in 2026 beyond the simple seasonality of the presidential cycle (midterms)
Several fundamental factors could sustain a US Dollar rebound in 2026:
• A shift in Federal Reserve policy could play a central role. If inflation persists or rises, the Fed could suspend or reverse the expected rate cuts, maintaining a yield differential favorable to the dollar and attracting foreign capital.
• Stronger US growth compared to the rest of the world, driven by consumption, technology, and energy independence, would make dollar-denominated assets more attractive and boost demand for the currency.
• An improvement in the trade balance, thanks to reshoring, higher exports, or lower imports, would support the dollar by limiting structural capital outflows.
• Credible fiscal consolidation signals, such as a plan to reduce deficits, would strengthen investor confidence and ease concerns about public debt, contributing to a stronger dollar.
• Increased political stability and greater predictability of economic policies, especially under a market-friendly administration, would reduce risk premiums and favor the US Dollar.
• Higher demand for safe-haven assets in the event of geopolitical tensions (e.g., China-Taiwan or the Middle East) or a global economic slowdown would boost flows into the dollar.
• Finally, the relative weakness of other major currencies — euro, yen, yuan — due to looser monetary policies or economic fragilities, would reinforce the dollar by comparison.
Together, these dynamics could create a structurally favorable environment for US Dollar appreciation in 2026.
2) To validate a US Dollar rebound, we need a technical reversal signal on long-term charts, and this is not yet the case. Here’s what to watch for
The historical weekly chart of the US Dollar shows how bullish reversals built up in 2018 and 2021. The conditions required are: stabilization of the dollar over several weeks, bullish divergences between price and momentum, a bullish reversal pattern, and finally, a breakout above resistance confirming the pattern.
At this stage, these elements are not fully in place, and the US Dollar remains bearish on FX as long as it stays below the 100-point resistance.
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Bearish continuation setup?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 98.64
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 100.20
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Dollar’s Cracks Are Showing — and the Market Smells BloodThe dollar’s strength cracked in September as fundamentals turned against the greenback. Cooling U.S. inflation, softer consumer spending, and signs of a slowing labour market gave traders fresh confidence that the Fed’s tightening cycle is over.
At the same time, growing chatter about fiscal strain and a possible government shutdown eroded demand for U.S. assets.
The Dollar Index drifted lower while EUR/USD and GBP/USD gained ground, supported by steady European inflation data and improving U.K. growth signals.
By month’s end, markets weren’t chasing yield — they were repositioning for a world where the dollar no longer leads the charge.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) – Elliott Wave & Wedge Pattern Analysis | The US Dollar Index (2H timeframe) is currently developing a corrective wedge structure (A–B–C–D–E) following a completed 5-wave bearish impulse. The current price action suggests a potential bullish correction from the E-point.
🔹 Technical Structure Breakdown:
The previous bearish leg completed a Wave (5), marking the end of an impulse cycle.
Price is now consolidating within a rising wedge pattern, forming the A–B–C–D–E structure.
The E-point is acting as a near-term support, aligning with the ascending wedge base.
Retracement targets:
50.0% → short-term correction level
78.6% → ideal reversal zone before continuation
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 97.600 – 97.500
Resistance Zone: 97.900 – 98.100
Fib Targets: 50% and 78.6% retracement of the recent swing
⚡ Analyst View:
The E-point bounce could lead to a short-term bullish corrective move toward the 50–78.6% Fibonacci levels before resuming the next bearish leg as part of a broader downtrend.
Traders should monitor reaction at the wedge top for possible rejection and reversal confirmation.
🧠 Pattern: Rising Wedge inside corrective phase
🕓 Timeframe: 2H
💰 Instrument: US Dollar Index (DXY)
🎯 Bias: Short-term bullish correction → medium-term bearish continuation
What data releases are at risk from the shutdown? The US dollar came under renewed pressure this week as the federal government entered its first shutdown in nearly seven years.
The shutdown, expected to last at least three days, means traders should not expect the September nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report this week. This key release, often one of the most closely watched on the calendar (by traders and the Federal Reserve), will now be delayed until government operations resume.
Other reports likely to be delayed or canceled include:
Wednesday, 8 October: FOMC Minutes
Wednesday, 15 October: Core and headline CPI inflation
Thursday, 16 October: Producer Price Index (PPI)
Thursday, 16 October: Retail sales
Friday, 17 October: Housing starts
My USD analysis 1st of October 2025I made a very long sophisticated USD post but it was taken down (thanks tradingview <3) where I called long on USD. My reason was just pure technical and how it was at a support range. I think there is still more upside despite the drama that's happening around the USD. I would wait for a retest at the support then make an attempt to go long. This might potentially be a formation of a double bottom. Gold and Silver skyrocketing, but I believe there is so much potential for USD.
US DOLLAR LIQUIDITY GAMES🇺🇸 US Dollar Range Politics – Liquidity Before Clarity
The dollar isn’t trending — it’s negotiating.
📊 Current Setup
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): 98.322 → testing the value area high
Range Floor: 96.747 → the value area low
Structure: Bearish range, with liquidity being hunted before any true direction emerges.
🏛️ Macro Backdrop
Tariffs are reshaping global flows.
Fiscal gridlock + shutdown risk clouds investor confidence.
Inflation + Fed policy signals remain mixed.
Every headline feels like an amendment to a bill no one fully understands.
The result: the dollar drifts sideways in a liquidity-seeking phase. Traders should expect chop inside the box until a decisive catalyst (data, Fed action, or policy shift) provides clarity.
🌍 Cross Pair Impact
This stalemate spills into the majors:
EURUSD & GBPUSD → reflecting the same sideways ranges and fake-outs.
USDJPY → volatility compressed, waiting for dollar direction.
Crosses are trading in sympathy — liquidity hunts on both ends, with no clean trend until DXY escapes its range.
🧭 Takeaway: The dollar is boxed in by politics and policy. Patience rules here: trade the range, wait for the breakout.
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) – Bearish MomentumPrice is giving us signs of Bearish Momentum while respecting the larger descending channel structure, having recently tapped the upper trend line with a strong rejection.
Expecting:
A lower time frame correction to confirm continuation.
Targeting 90% if price breaks impulsively to the downside.
If price taps into our area of interest, we might expect a potential bullish reversal, depending on price action and correction quality.
Let price do the work, wait for the correction before entering short.
DXY 4H🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 15-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
DOLLAR INDEX WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Looking at the chart (USD Index, Weekly timeframe):
1. Current Context
Price has been in a clear downtrend from the highs above 110.
Recently, it has moved sideways between 96.90 – 99.30 (the two boxed ranges you marked).
Current weekly candle is green, showing a short-term attempt to bounce.
2. Key Zones
Resistance zone: 98.53 – 99.34 (upper box). Price has repeatedly failed to close above this region.
Support zone: 96.92 – 96.12 (lower box). Buyers have stepped in here multiple times to prevent deeper falls.
3. Directional Bias
Macro bias (weekly structure): Still bearish, because the overall trend is lower and price is consolidating near the bottom after a strong selloff.
Immediate/short-term bias: Neutral to slightly bullish, since the last candles show rejection of the lower end (around 97) and price is pushing back up toward resistance at 98.50+.
4. What to Watch
If price breaks and closes above 99.34, bias shifts bullish with room toward 100.95.
If price rejects the 98.5–99.3 zone again and rolls over, expect continuation lower toward 96.00 and potentially 95.30.
👉 Summary:
Bias is bearish overall, but short-term corrective bullish as price moves within the range. Directional confirmation will come only when price breaks out of either the 99.30 resistance or the 96.12 support.
DXY Showing signs of strength as we can see in weekly TF price rejects this weekly area and confirms reversal through doji candle on a weekly TF fed is not supposed to cut rates in next meeting there are possibilities that dollar can regain its strength
price did not break below the previous week low..