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DXY SELL PROJECTIONDXY (Daily Outlook) – Sell Projection The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been showing signs of exhaustion after its recent upward move, and price action suggests that a potential correction could be on the horizon. I am closely watching the 98.000 supply zone, which stands out as a critical resistance level on the daily timeframe. Should price retrace into this zone and show signs of rejection — such as bearish candlestick patterns or a shift in market structure — it would present a strong case for sellers to regain control. A sell from this region could set the stage for renewed downside momentum in the coming sessions. For traders, this projection carries important cross-market implications: if the dollar weakens from the 98.000 level, we can expect XXX/USD pairs to gain more buying power, particularly around the midweek trading period. This would likely support bullish opportunities in major USD counterparts such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, and potentially gold (XAUUSD). In short, patience and confirmation are key — waiting for DXY to tap into the supply zone and react will provide higher probability setups across USD-related pairs.
TVC:DXYShort
by Kosywilson
$DXY breaking down. Next level to watch 95. Year-end lows @ 90.Even if the Fed cutting cycle has just started, we are seeing major weakness in the TVC:DXY index prior to the easing cycle. It is quiet peculiar the bottom to top of the Fed hiking cycle matches exactly to the DXY index Cycle bottom in 2021 to cycle top to September 2022. With a drop in the Fed fund rate from 5.34% to 4.34%, which is close to 18%, and the DXY has also lost almost 17%. If the expectation is that there will be another 0.25% rate cut over the next few months which will takt the Fed fund rates to 4.09%, which is 23% from the recent highs of 5.34%. And surprisingly if we plot 23% lower from the ATH on the TVC:DXY Index then the index should reach 90 by the end of the year. Verdict: With Fed rate lowering cycle ongoing the TVC:DXY index will lose more strength. 95 remains our short-term target and TVC:DXY to reach 90 by year end.
TVC:DXYShort
by RabishankarBiswal
dxy 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels. Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
TVC:DXY
by Deltafx_Broker
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Institutional Structural OutlookMacro Context The Dollar Index is currently holding within a weekly demand zone after a prolonged distributive phase. The market is evaluating whether this region will act as a structural accumulation base or if deeper liquidity levels will be tested. Confirmation from COT reports will be crucial to validate institutional positioning. Technical Structure Breakout & Acceptance: The last major breakout is still respected, with price now consolidating above demand. Demand Layers: Three clear demand zones are mapped: Current Demand – where the market is attempting to accumulate. Deep Discount Demand – a deeper structural level where liquidity could be absorbed if the first zone fails. Extreme Deep Discount Demand – ultimate defensive layer, aligned with long-term rebalancing. Accumulation: Price is building a smaller accumulation range, signaling potential preparation for an institutional move. Projected Scenarios Primary Bias (Accumulation/Long): If confirmed by COT, current accumulation may trigger a structural recovery of the Dollar, strengthening against weaker counterparts (AUD, NZD). Invalidation: A clean break below the current demand would open the path towards deeper demand zones, reframing the context as continuation of distribution. Confirmation & Monitoring COT Reports: Weekly positioning will confirm whether institutional players are indeed accumulating or still unwinding Dollar exposure. Volatility Index (VIX + EVZ): As timing filters for breakout confirmation. Macro Drivers: Next Fed communications and global liquidity flows remain critical catalysts. ⚖️ Institutional Note: The DXY is at a decision point – smaller accumulation is visible, but validation from institutional flows (COT) is essential before considering a structural recovery.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by philipemav
DXY (US Dollar Index) AnalysisPrice is currently trading near 97.60 – 97.90, which is a strong resistance zone. I’ll be waiting for bearish confirmation here before expecting downside momentum. 🔻 If sellers hold this level, we could see DXY drop further, aligning with bearish pressure on USD across correlated pairs (EURUSD bullish, GBPUSD bullish, Gold bullish). Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 97.60 / 97.90 🟢 Target Zone: 95.00 📌 Trading Plan: Wait for rejection at 97.60 – 97.90 before entering. Look for sell setups targeting 95.00. Correlation: Bearish DXY supports bullish momentum in major USD pairs. ⚠️ Risk management is key. Always wait for confirmation before taking positions.
TVC:DXYShort
by Fm254
US Dollar: Bearish! Buyside LQ Sweep Before Rate Cut?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 15 - 19th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar The USD has a .25 basis point rate cut coming Wednesday. Will there be a manipulation of the buy side liquidity before prices turn downward? I am looking out for this fake out maneuver by MMs, being mindful the rate cut will weaken the USD against its counterparts. A short term move higher before the market turns bearish with the news announcements is more then possible. Wait and react. Do not predict. React and do not predict. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
8
USD Rate Cut Rally - X Marks the SpotThe Fed cut rates while warning of another 50 bps of softening for this year and another 25 for next year. Yet the USD has rallied since just after the release of the rate cut announcement with strength holding into the end of the week. This is quite similar to last year's rate cut cycle starting from the FOMC. At that meeting, the USD initially pushed down to a fresh low - and that's when sellers started to stall. It took another week and a half or so but soon bulls took over with aggression and ran a strong rally through Q4 trade. This also led to higher US yields, with both the 10 and 30-year setting a low yield watermark just a day ahead of the rate cut. But, as the cut and continued to cut in Q4, US yields just went higher and higher, with the 10-year eventually tagging 4.8% in the first few weeks of 2025 (after a pre-cut low of 3.6%) and the 30-year hitting 5% (after a pre-cut low of 3.9%). This may seem counter-intuitive, as the Fed softening rates led to higher long-term rates, but if the Fed is cutting rates with inflation already high, this is something that can happen. Long-term inflation expectations moving higher makes the prospect of sitting long in long bonds as a less attractive prospect. And there's also the opportunity cost element, why settle for a 3.9% year-over-year return if inflation is expected at 3% or maybe even more; meanwhile stock prices are rallying on the back of a softer Fed even with a backdrop of high inflation. While last year's rate cut marked a significant low for DXY, there's potential for a repeat occurrence. We're still in the early stages of the move and the Fed sounded just a little less dovish than what markets were hoping for, by reining in expectations for 50-75 bps in cuts next year. But given just how stretched USD bears have been, any further motive towards fewer FOMC cuts could lead to a stronger USD. For next week, the big focus is on EUR/USD supports which remain in-play, and those keep bulls in the conversation until they're traded through. And with the Euro as 57.6% of the DXY quote, that's an extremely important factor for USD trends as we near the Q4 open. - js
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
DXY is setting for another dropPre FOMC move on DXY bearish as with 0.25% to 0.5% rate cut decision as significantly impacted dollar index which on press conference, price finally rejected from the lower level 96.20 As with the weekly close coming in few hours, price approaching another key level of resistance, weekly and monthly giving a high probablity to reject back again to the support level as the resistance consist of 3 higher timeframe confulences, monty and weekly resistance alogn with weekly 10ema combining with break of series of lower highs and break of the combinations could lead the price to drop to the support. at 96.20
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexWizard01
What Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This WeekWhat Was Important for the US Dollar Index (DXY) This Week The long-awaited event — the Fed’s first rate cut of 2025 — has taken place. What is particularly important to note is the price action on the US Dollar Index (DXY) chart. The value of the USD against a basket of other currencies made a two-step move, forming a pin-bar candle with a long lower shadow: → Arrow 1: When the Fed actually announced the easing, the dollar weakened as expected on this “dovish news.” → Arrow 2: But at the subsequent press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered a series of “hawkish” remarks that shifted the market mood and drove the dollar higher. He stressed that this cut does not mark the beginning of “a series of continuous rate reductions,” and that further decisions will be taken “based on incoming economic data.” Powell also stated plainly that the option of a more aggressive 50-basis-point cut had not gained sufficient support among FOMC members. Therefore, the “down-then-up” move highlights a sharp change in trader sentiment within a short timeframe, as expectations failed to materialise. Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart In our 9 September analysis, we confirmed the relevance of: → the descending channel (shown in red) defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows; → the intermediate QL and QH lines, which divide the channel into quarters. Notably, at Wednesday’s low the price: → touched the QL line, underscoring its strength; → formed a clear Liquidity Grab pattern (in the terminology of the Smart Money Concept methodology). From the perspective of Richard Wyckoff’s method, Wednesday’s low may be viewed as a Spring pattern, which preceded a Mark-Up phase of rising prices. How Might Events Unfold Next? Given the above, we could assume that the hawkish tone could serve as a longer-term factor for the DXY index. The 97.55 level appears to act as resistance, but it is possible that we may see an attempt to break through it, with the next target being the QH line. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:DXY
by FXOpen
2
Dollar - Daily Range I Liqudity I Key Level - ShortDollar has reached key level after whipsaw move on FOMC. It also grabbed liqudity and COT is still bearish while HTF Key Level on lower prices. Hence I think new low is in play. Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
33
DXY 4H – Bullish Reversal Setup from FVG Zone | Target 98.63Technical Analysis Downtrend Channel (Bearish Structure) Price has been moving inside a descending channel (highlighted in red). Recently, it touched the lower boundary and formed a rounded bottom pattern (possible reversal signal). Trendline Breakout A short-term downtrend line has been broken to the upside. This suggests momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish. Fair Value Gap (FVG Zone) Price is currently testing an FVG zone around 97.00–97.28. This zone acts as a potential entry area for long trades. Entry, Stop Loss, and Target Entry Point: 97.28 – 97.27 Stop Loss: 96.90 (below FVG zone support) Target Point: 98.63 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → good setup. Potential Scenario If price holds above the FVG zone and doesn’t break below 96.90, we may see a bullish move toward 98.63. But if the FVG fails and price closes below 96.90, it could resume the downtrend. ✅ Summary: Market structure shows a possible bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. A clean long setup is planned: Buy near 97.27 → Stop 96.90 → Target 98.63. Confirmation needed: Strong bullish candle closing above the FVG zone
ICEUS:DXYLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Dollar Weekly WrapThe dollar ripped to fresh lows early in the week on the FOMC spark and is now set to close with a heavy bearish rejection candle. Next week’s macro stack: Tue – U.S. PMI flash Thu – Q2 GDP final and Durable Goods Fri – Personal Income/Spending and PCE Price sits just below a five-week liquidity shelf around the 98.00 area. Technically the market is oversold near the lower range, so high probability to target next week 98ich highs and lower on cross pairs. lets see how it will play out!
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
Dollar Bloodbath = Risk On Assets Rally?Dollar Fundamentals: The dollar posted modest gains on Friday due to higher T-note yields, which have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials. The University of Michigan US Sep consumer sentiment index fell more than expected to a 4-month low causing the weakening of the dollar. Limiting the upside in the dollar are the increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran’s intention to be a Fed Governor. What Can We Expect Going Forward? - Due To High Resistance Over Multiple Weeks, There Will Be Massive Levels Volatility, Aiming To Trap The Retail Traders - Next Week Wednesday Will Determine How Volatile Dollar Will Be. Anything More Than A .25 Basis Point Decline Will Cause Turmoil For Dollar. - This Will Lead Risk-On Assets (e.g. GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD) Rallying Up Into Premium Arrays Prices To Keep An Eye On: - 99.078 (Last Line Of Defence) - 96.377 Major Sellside Liquidity - Medium-Term Draw To 95.716 - 94.313 HTF Array GBPUSD Fundamentals : UK gross domestic product remained unchanged in July after growing 0.4% in June, the Office for National Statistics said, as manufacturing output, which makes up 9% of the economy, dropped by 1.3% on the month. The BoE is widely expected to keep its benchmark Bank Rate unchanged on September 18, after a split decision to lower the rate to 4% in August. What To Expect Going Into Next Week? - Increased Volatility - Trigger HTF Stop Losses - Unusually High Levels Of Manipulation Price Points To Keep A Eye On: - 1.35950 Buyside Liquidity - 1.36760 - 1.37036 Longer Term Premium Array - 1.34458 Mean Threshold (Last Line Of Defence)
TVC:DXYShort
by LegendSince