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Dollar Index Elliott Wave Analysis | next move ABCIn this , we break down the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) using Elliott Wave Theory. 📊 ✅ 5-wave impulsive structure (1–5) has completed ✅ Market entering corrective phase (ABC) ✅ Key support: 97.40 – 97.20 ✅ Resistance zone: 98.00 ✅ Short-term bias: Possible corrective upside before continuation This analysis is crucial for EUR/USD traders, as Dollar Index movement directly impacts Euro strength. Watch till the end to understand the upcoming correction and trading opportunities. 🚀 #ElliottWave #DollarIndex #ForexAnalysis #DXY #EURUSD
TVC:DXYLong
by Greenfireforex
3
US Dollar Index: Bullish! Buy The Dip!Expecting price to retrace into the +FVGs below. Look on the 1H for a CISD when price comes into contact with either of the two poi's. Once a directional change is confirmed, buy it. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
1
Bearish drop off?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.12 1st Support: 97.23 1st Resistance: 98.77 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
DXY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
TVC:DXYLong
by Derry_Trades
6
BUY US Dollar! Sell xxxUSD Pairs! Buy USDxxx Pairs!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the Sept 30th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY. Keep it simple! Buy USDxxx pairs. Sell xxxUSD pairs. Just wait for valid setups. Once price shows a valid change in the state of delivery on your entry TFs, enter. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
6
DXY Daily Outlook: Bearish Pressure BuildsLooking at the DXY (US Dollar Index) chart as of September 30, 2025, the long-term structure is clearly in a descending wedge pattern, showing sustained weakness since the sharp rejection from the 100.23 level earlier this year. Price action has been consistently making lower highs and lower lows, respecting the upper and lower trendline resistance and support. Currently, DXY is trading around 97.80, slightly above the mid-support zone, but momentum suggests that bears remain in control. The chart also highlights multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) points, showing failed attempts by bulls to reverse the trend. Each rally has been capped below descending resistance, most recently around the 98–99 zone, which is now acting as a supply area. The ongoing compression in price suggests a possible breakout direction soon. From a Fibonacci perspective, the major retracement levels drawn from the swing high (100.23) to the swing low (96.18) give clear downside targets. If the wedge breaks bearish, first support lies near 96.18, followed by Fib -0.382 (94.63), then deeper at -0.618 (93.67). A strong bearish continuation could extend toward the -1.618 projection (89.62), which aligns with long-term demand. On the other side, if bulls manage to reclaim 98.50–99.00 with strong volume, it could trigger a corrective leg toward 100.23 (previous high and wedge resistance). However, given repeated rejections, this remains the less likely scenario unless macro fundamentals (such as Fed policy or global risk sentiment) strongly shift in favor of the dollar. The RSI/Momentum structure would likely be neutral-to-bearish given the flat but declining structure. The price remains below the major moving averages (200-day SMA/EMA), adding weight to the bearish bias. Momentum / indicators Momentum on the daily appears neutral-to-bearish (rallies are weaker and get rejected). RSI on daily (if checked) is likely flat-to-slightly below neutral, not showing strong bullish divergence — therefore rallies are corrective. Price is trading under the major moving averages on the daily (200MA acts as dynamic resistance), reinforcing the bearish bias unless reclaimed decisively. Key daily levels Immediate resistance / supply: 98.00 – 99.00 (daily rejection zone). Invalidation for bearish view (daily close basis): daily close above 100.23 / decisive break and hold above 100.5–101 would flip bias. Near-term support: 96.18 (first target / pivot). Secondary targets if 96.18 breaks: 94.63, 93.67 then 89.62 as extended target on a strong bearish continuation. Price-action scenarios Bearish continuation (favored): Price respects the upper descending trendline, forms a daily rejection or bearish engulfing at ~98.0–99.0 → short with first target at 96.18, partial take at 94.63 if momentum continues. Neutral / consolidation: Price oscillates 97–98.5, chopping in wedge — wait for a daily close below 96.60 or above 99.50 before taking directional trade. Bullish breakout (less likely): Daily close above 100.23 with follow-through and volume would signal trend change toward 102+ — invalidate shorts and look for long setups only after retest. In Summary Trend: Bearish within a descending wedge. Resistance: 98.50 → 99.00 → 100.23. Support: 96.18 → 94.63 → 93.67 → 89.62. Long-term bias: As long as 99–100 zone is not broken decisively, DXY is likely to head lower toward 94–90 levels in coming months. Risk factor: Only a macro-driven breakout above 100.23 would invalidate the bearish outlook and shift momentum toward 102+. One-line Conclusion Daily bias = bearish while price stays under the 98–100 supply zone; preferred approach is to short on daily rejections or after a break+retest of 96.18, with extended targets at 94.6 → 93.7 → 89.6, and clear invalidation only on a daily close above ~100.23. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:DXYShort
by SibiSh
Dollar Index: The Calm Before the Storm?The Dollar Index has been stuck in a tight range, but don’t mistake sideways trading for stability. Behind the scenes, traders are torn — weaker economic data and the prospect of a shutdown argue for a softer dollar, while global demand for safe havens keeps a firm bid under the greenback. That tug-of-war has kept DXY consolidating near recent highs, almost like a coiled spring waiting for a breakout. When Washington sneezes or the Fed shifts tone, the dollar won’t drift — it will lurch, and the next move could set the tone for every major market this quarter.
TVC:DXY
by LegendSince
3
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)- Daily Timeframe Analysis 🔎 Market Structure The Dollar Index (DXY) remains in a bearish market structure, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price action is currently reacting within important Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), which often act as magnet zones for liquidity and corrective moves before resuming the primary trend. --- 🟪 Higher-Timeframe Fair Value Gaps April FVG (Purple Box): Price previously filled part of this imbalance but failed to sustain a bullish continuation. This reinforced bearish order flow. September FVG (Blue Box): Price recently tapped into this imbalance, where sellers may look to re-enter the market. --- 📉 Bearish Reaction Zones 99.000 – 100.000 (Red Box): A critical supply zone aligning with the upper boundary of the blue fair value gap. If price retests this region, strong rejection is likely. Current price around 97.96 suggests the market is already reacting to this supply/FVG area. --- 🔮 Directional Bias The broader expectation is for the DXY to form a new lower high before resuming bearish momentum. Two possible scenarios are highlighted: 1. Rejection directly from the current FVG zone (97.9 – 99.0) → continuation lower. 2. Slight extension into the upper supply zone (99.5 – 100.0) → liquidity grab → sharp bearish reversal. Both paths suggest a downside move targeting 96.20 and potentially lower levels. --- 📌 Summary for Traders Bias: Bearish Key Resistance: 99.0 – 100.0 (FVG + Supply Zone) Key Support: 96.20 (short-term target) Expectation: Formation of a lower high, followed by renewed selling pressure. ⚠️ Note: Always confirm with confluence (macroeconomic data, USD pairs’ correlation, and risk management rules) before entering trades.
TVC:DXYShort
by enwemadufranklyn1989
$DXY - Ballads of The Dollar (Q3/Q4 2025/26)TVC:DXY - Ballads of The Dollar TVC:DXY (Q3-Q4/2025) (2026) *** NOTE THAT THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE ! PLEASE DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH BEFORE PARTAKING ON ANY TRADING ACITVITY BASED SOLEY ON THIS IDEA. *Fundamental Summary What to Watch out for : -The Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has recently retraced from mid-2025 highs as markets price an easing cycle for the Federal Reserve. The Fed began cutting rates in 2025 and market pricing implies additional cuts through late-2025/early-2026. That shift is the main near-term headwind for the dollar. -The broad macro backdrop (slower global growth, easing inflation) supports a gradual AMEX:USD softening on average in 2026 — but risk events (hotter-than-expected inflation, geopolitical flight-to-safety, tariff shocks) could trigger episodic dollar strength. +1 - Bank/Strategy Notes (JPMorgan, market reports) show many Macro desks expecting some AMEX:USD weakness into 2026, but divergence in regional growth and rate paths keeps volatility and range trading likely. +1 - Key current fundamentals and news drivers. Fed policy path / rate cuts: The OECD and market pricing expect more Fed easing (several 25bp cuts across late-2025 into 2026). The magnitude and timing of cuts are the single largest driver for DXY. A faster/larger easing path → weaker TVC:DXY ; A delayed or shallower path → stronger OPOFINANCE:DXY. +1 - U.S. GDP Growth & Labor data: Slowing growth and softer payrolls increase rate-cut expectations; any surprising strength in jobs or inflation would support the dollar. +1 - Cross-Currency Central Bank Policies: The European Central Bank, BoJ and others’ moves matter — if the ECB stops cutting or the BoJ tightens, that reduces one-sided USD weakening. JPMorgan and other large banks note currency pairs (e.g., USD/JPY) will be shaped by central bank divergence. +1 - Global Growth & Inflation (IMF/World Bank): Global growth is projected to remain modest in 2025–26. Falling global inflation reduces the need for other central banks to keep rates high, which can compress rate differentials and weigh on USD upside. +1 - Risk Sentiment(Geopolitics & Tariffs) Episodes of risk-off (safe-haven flows) or trade/tariff headlines can push short-term USD strength even if the long-term trend is softer. +1 - Data-Driven Events Risks: watch out for U.S. CPI, PCE, non-farm payrolls and each FOMC statement/summary of economic projections — these are volatility catalysts that will determine whether the index follows the base case or a tail scenario. Federal Reserve +1 - Cross-Hedging: If you expect the base-case mild USD weakening, consider pairs where dollar weakness shows clearly (EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD) or hedge with short-USD positions sized to risk tolerance. If you fear tail-risk spikes, hold options or tight stop-losses because sudden rallies can be sharp. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS : - Charts show a macro Support/Demand zone ~96 (a historically important DXY floor) and a supply/resistance cluster around ~102–105 (multiple reaction highs). That structure matches recent market commentary that the mid-90s acts as a key support and the low-to-mid-100s area is the principal resistance zone. Use these bands to refeer as the primary range framework. - Momentum/MA signals are mixed: short-term pullbacks (to trendline/200-day EMA) are visible on several data summaries; RSI/momentum in mid-2025 has shown episodic bullish runs followed by corrective phases—consistent with a choppy transition from a strong-dollar regime to a more range-bound market. (Dovish / Hawkish tail risks) Forecast — scenario framing and level ranges Below we give a base case and two alternative scenarios As presented expected TVC:DXY ranges (not precise dates) for the remaining part of 2025 (the next calendar quarter(s) from now) and for 2026. -Best case-scnario (highest probability) Fed cuts gradually; TVC:DXY drifts lower but remains range-bound Q4 2025 (near term): TVC:DXY drifts toward 98–101 as markets price in further Fed easing and global risk appetite improves. Occasional pullbacks to the 96–97 demand zone are possible on weak US data. (Full-Year 2026) Average 95–100 TVC:DXY , with the index oscillating between the mid-90s (95–97) on dovish surprises and re-testing ~100–103 on risk events or if other central banks disappoint. This reflects expectations of a lower Fed funds rate by spring 2026 but still persistent inflation risk that keeps cuts measured. - Dovish tail (Fed cuts faster / Global resilience): AMEX:USD Weakens more Q3 & Q4 2025: Quick drop to 95–98 if the Fed signals a multi-cut path and U.S. real rates fall; EUR/JPY strength and reduced safe-haven flows accelerate the move. 2026: TVC:DXY trades 92–97 on average. This is the scenario many currency strategists price as the “USD softening” path if inflation cools quickly and global growth stabilizes. - Hawkish tail (Inflation Reaccelerates or Geopolitical shocks): AMEX:USD reasserts Q3-Q4 2025: A surprise inflation uptick or risk shock pushes markets back to a higher DXY 101–106 zone (testing the resistance cluster shown on your chart at ~102–105). 2026: Intermittent surges to 103–108 on episodic safe-haven flows or delayed Fed easing; average could still be mid-to-high-90s if the hawkish episodes are episodic rather than structural. - Practical Trade / Risk Managment recommendations (tactical) If you’re trading price action on your charts: use the 96 area as a high-conviction support/demand entry (tight risk) and 102–105 as the primary supply zone to consider fading rallies. Your annotated zones and boxed consolidation areas are a good place to set stop levels and scale positions.
TVC:DXY
by Mr_J__fx
1
U.S Dollar Index (DXY) Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 98.913Previous Trend: There was a strong upward move, forming a rising channel (highlighted in pink). Price reached the upper boundary of the channel and then reversed downward. Current Price Action: Price broke below the midline of the channel and is approaching a potential support zone. This zone is marked by a blue rectangle (support/demand area). Trade Idea: Long Setup (Buy Position) Entry Point: Around 97.862 Stop Loss: Around 97.665–97.679 (just below support zone) Target Point: 98.913 (near previous high) ✅ Trade Rationale Support Zone: The marked area has previously acted as a demand zone, likely to support price again. Bullish Recovery Expectation: The idea is that price will bounce from this support zone and resume upward movement. Good Risk-Reward Ratio: Risk: ~20 pips (from 97.862 to 97.665) Reward: ~105 pips (from 97.862 to 98.913) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 — a favorable setup. ⚠️ Cautions Price is still above entry level (98.020) — the setup assumes a pullback to the 97.86 area before buying. If price breaks below 97.665, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit). Channel Breakout Risk: Since the channel is already broken to the downside, this trade assumes a temporary dip before a rebound — which may or may not happen. 📌 Summary Parameter Value Entry 97.862 Stop Loss 97.665 Target 98.913 Risk-Reward ~1:5 Trade Direction Long (Buy) Confirmation Needed Pullback to support zone
ICEUS:DXYLong
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
1
DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) – Bearish MomentumPrice is giving us signs of Bearish Momentum while respecting the larger descending channel structure, having recently tapped the upper trend line with a strong rejection. Expecting: A lower time frame correction to confirm continuation. Targeting 90% if price breaks impulsively to the downside. If price taps into our area of interest, we might expect a potential bullish reversal, depending on price action and correction quality. Let price do the work, wait for the correction before entering short.
TVC:DXYShort
by fxcasts