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This is a quick follow up from early this morningI was freaking out over the pattern and the dxy and then it occurred to me that every time I do a trade and I want to get out of it... I basically get back into the dollar by default.... And that may be the reason the dollar is doing so badly is that there are a group of sharp traders exiting the gold and silver because they may understand that there is a reversal pattern and that they should liquidate their position in the gold and silver contracts...... This is clearly hypothetical in any case... I think there is value to the video that I did this morning and I hope that you take a look at it.
TVC:DXY
by ScottBogatin
US Dollar: Wait For The +BOS, Then Buy It!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 6 - 10th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar The USD is technically still bearish, trying to find support for higher prices. A US government shutdown is not helping that case! However, personally, I am still looking toward the upside. Price is still holding at a bullish discount array, an +OB. As long as the +OB is respected, I am looking for higher prices. A bearish BOS will make looking for higher prices invalid. So, let the market show its bias before entering a trade. Look for the confirmations to its direction. Don't take trades inside the middle of consolidations! Wait and react. Do not predict. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXYLong
by RT_Money
DXY – The Road to 100 Looks ClearIn my previous analysis on DXY, I mentioned that as long as the 97.60 zone holds, there are strong chances for an upside move and a possible test of the 100 level. Indeed, the index reversed perfectly from that support area and has now broken above the interim resistance around 98.60, trading close to 99 at the time of writing. Over the last three sessions, DXY has also completed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern, with the neckline breakout confirming the bullish structure. From here, the path toward the 100 zone appears clear and technically justified. I maintain a bullish bias for the U.S. Dollar Index, which naturally implies a bearish outlook for EURUSD and GBPUSD in the short term.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
DXY Target Achieved | Smart Money Model #1 Playing Out PerfectlyHello Billionaires!! In DXY D1 Projection we know the bullish projection on DXY played out exactly as expected. Price swept the short-term sell-side liquidity (SSL), filled the IFVG, and then launched upward through the FVG, completing the Model #1 structure. Currently, price is trading inside the BPR (Balanced Price Range), showing that the target zone has been successfully reached. 🧠 Smart Money Logic: SSL sweep → Market Structure Shift IFVG + FVG = Strong Reaccumulation Price delivered to BPR (Premium Zone) Model #1 completion confirms bullish delivery Now I’ll be watching for potential reaction or retracement from this premium zone before the next move develops. #DXY #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #ICT #Forex #Liquidity #BPR #FVG #IFVG
TVC:DXYLong
by AliyanFX
US DOLLAR TARGETS HITThe U.S. government is still shut down, so no fresh economic data is coming out. That means everyone’s trading half-blind right now—no jobs numbers, no inflation updates, just noise. But the chart still tells the truth. All the bullish dollar targets were hit exactly as planned, and now price is sitting right under that 99.8 key high. That’s the line that decides everything. If market makers push price higher than 99.8, the bullish phase stays alive a bit longer. If it fails there, we drop back into bearish discount territory, where value sits lower and sellers regain control. Over the past four months, liquidity’s been building above those highs. Now we’re watching a classic stop run—price pushing up to take out weak hands before the real move begins. That’s why cross markets like stocks, gold, and crypto are slipping. The dollar’s acting as a safe spot while everything else bleeds. But the volume looks thin, which usually means manipulation, not genuine demand. Without the usual USD data, it’s all a guessing game until the Fed minutes drop later today. For now, it’s simple: the 99.8 zone is the make-or-break level. Stay patient, read the structure, and let the chart talk. Price always moves to where orders are missing, and stops where they’re full. Follow that rule, and you’ll never feel lost in the noise.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY Watching 98.800 Resistance as Shutdown Risks Weigh on DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.800 zone. The Dollar Index remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key daily resistance area. Structure: The market has been forming lower highs, consistent with bearish momentum. The 98.800 level aligns with both structural resistance and trendline rejection zones. Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown continues to pressure sentiment around the Dollar. The longer the impasse persists, the higher the risk of fiscal strain and downside pressure on the USD. Next move: Watching how price reacts around 98.800 — a rejection here could confirm further downside continuation in line with the prevailing trend. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYShort
by JoeChampion
11
US Dollar (DXY), strong rebound in 2026?The US Dollar is by far the weakest major currency on the FX market in 2025. But this situation could reverse in 2026 as the second year of the presidential term begins, a year that is historically unfavorable to risky assets and favorable to the US Dollar as a safe haven. Recall that during Trump’s first term, the first year (2017) saw a sharp decline in the dollar on the Forex, followed by a strong recovery in the second year (2018). Could we see a “bis repetita” scenario with 2026, the second year of the second term? The chart below shows the US Dollar’s last place ranking among major FX currencies. 1) The fundamental reasons that could support a rebound of the US Dollar in 2026 beyond the simple seasonality of the presidential cycle (midterms) Several fundamental factors could sustain a US Dollar rebound in 2026: • A shift in Federal Reserve policy could play a central role. If inflation persists or rises, the Fed could suspend or reverse the expected rate cuts, maintaining a yield differential favorable to the dollar and attracting foreign capital. • Stronger US growth compared to the rest of the world, driven by consumption, technology, and energy independence, would make dollar-denominated assets more attractive and boost demand for the currency. • An improvement in the trade balance, thanks to reshoring, higher exports, or lower imports, would support the dollar by limiting structural capital outflows. • Credible fiscal consolidation signals, such as a plan to reduce deficits, would strengthen investor confidence and ease concerns about public debt, contributing to a stronger dollar. • Increased political stability and greater predictability of economic policies, especially under a market-friendly administration, would reduce risk premiums and favor the US Dollar. • Higher demand for safe-haven assets in the event of geopolitical tensions (e.g., China-Taiwan or the Middle East) or a global economic slowdown would boost flows into the dollar. • Finally, the relative weakness of other major currencies — euro, yen, yuan — due to looser monetary policies or economic fragilities, would reinforce the dollar by comparison. Together, these dynamics could create a structurally favorable environment for US Dollar appreciation in 2026. 2) To validate a US Dollar rebound, we need a technical reversal signal on long-term charts, and this is not yet the case. Here’s what to watch for The historical weekly chart of the US Dollar shows how bullish reversals built up in 2018 and 2021. The conditions required are: stabilization of the dollar over several weeks, bullish divergences between price and momentum, a bullish reversal pattern, and finally, a breakout above resistance confirming the pattern. At this stage, these elements are not fully in place, and the US Dollar remains bearish on FX as long as it stays below the 100-point resistance. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
1
Bullish bounce?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 97.96 1st Support: 97.49 1st Resistance: 98.77 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
US Dollar at Risk of More Losses amid Shutdown Woes, Fed DilemmaThe US dollar TVC:DXY has been knocked by last week’s US government shutdown and the subsequent economic blackout. At the same time, the Federal Reserve can’t figure out what’s worse – inflation or job crunch. After Congress failed to pass a funding bill, the government officially went dark at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday. Traders, however, didn’t panic. Stocks climbed to fresh record highs , gold OANDA:XAUUSD popped, yields dipped — and the dollar slipped further into the red . The greenback, usually the go-to safe haven during global turmoil, is acting like it forgot about that job description. With the Federal Reserve cornered between a slowing economy and stubborn inflation, plus fresh political uncertainty in D.C., the dollar’s shine is fading fast. ⚖️ When Politics and Policy Collide Let’s start with the elephant in the room: the government shutdown. Historically, these dark D.C. moments shave about a tenth of a percentage point off GDP per week. In other words, the economy loses a few hairs — not a limb. But this one hits differently. That’s because the Fed is already walking a tightrope. With unemployment creeping up ( 4.3% in August and lost jobs in June ) and inflation still running at 2.9% , the central bank has little margin for error. The longer the shutdown drags on, the harder it becomes for policymakers to parse what’s real economic weakness and what’s just delayed government paychecks. Investors, meanwhile, are pricing in a full quarter-point rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting and another one in December. The market is betting that Powell & Co. will prioritize saving jobs over fighting inflation. And that typically means one thing: a softer dollar. 📉 The Dollar’s Safe-Haven Cred Takes a Hit Remember when the dollar used to rally whenever things got messy? Not this year. Despite trade tensions, geopolitical flare-ups, and now a full-blown government shutdown, the dollar has lost roughly 10% since January. Part of that weakness stems from shifting interest-rate expectations. When the Fed signals it’s going to cut, yields on US assets drop — and so does the appeal of holding dollars. Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, but they also mean less income for investors parking money in dollar-denominated bonds. The euro took advantage, climbing above $1.17 as traders rotated out of the greenback. Gold also basked in the dollar’s weakness, closing Friday at $3,886 an ounce — a fresh all-time closing high. And just to rub salt in the wound, even cryptocurrencies have outperformed. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , the digital rebel of finance, has gained about 35% this year and on Sunday hit a record high above $125,000 per coin. 🧩 Fed Dilemma: Jobs vs. Inflation The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is simple on paper: keep prices stable and employment high. But right now, the two goals are in open conflict. On the one hand, the labor market is clearly slowing. August brought just 22,000 new jobs — the weakest print since early 2020. Revised data for June showed the economy actually lost 13,000 staffers net. Those aren’t the kinds of numbers that inspire confidence. On the other side, inflation is still running above target. Core PCE, the Fed’s favorite measure, clocked in at 2.9% in August — unchanged from July but still nearly a full percentage point above the goal. So what’s the play? Cut rates to support jobs and risk stoking inflation? Or hold firm, keep inflation contained, and risk a deeper slowdown? That’s the central banker’s version of “Would you rather.” 👀 The Fed’s Independence (and the Trump Factor) There’s another layer of intrigue: politics. The Supreme Court just deferred a hearing on President Trump’s attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook — a Biden appointee — until January. Cook can remain at the Fed in the meantime, but the episode has traders questioning just how independent the central bank really is under the new administration. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, nearing the end of his term, has been caught between maintaining credibility and avoiding direct political confrontation. His latest move — a quarter-point rate cut in September — was meant to show responsiveness to data, not pressure. But optics matter, and the market is watching for signs of interference. If investors start believing the Fed is bending to political will, confidence in US monetary policy could erode further — another potential strike against the dollar. 💡 What It Means for Traders Here’s the breakdown: • For FX traders: The dollar remains vulnerable, especially if the Fed confirms more cuts are on the way. Pairs like FX:EURUSD and FX:GBPUSD could see more upside. Meanwhile, FX:USDJPY might stay volatile as yen buyers return to their comfort zone. • For gold bulls: Lower yields and a weaker dollar create the perfect storm. Gold looks strong despite charting new horizons, though traders should watch for a potential pullback if the Fed’s tone shifts. • For equity investors: Rate cuts are generally bullish. Cheaper money means higher valuations — at least until inflation becomes a problem again. • For crypto enthusiasts: A dovish Fed tends to favor risk assets, and Bitcoin could benefit as a hedge against both inflation and institutional confusion. 🧮 The Shutdown Math: Small Impact, Big Symbolism Economists will tell you that a shutdown doesn’t tank the economy — but it does rattle sentiment. Each week of a federal closure trims GDP growth by about 0.1 percentage point. If this one matches the 35-day record from 2018–19 (during Trump’s first term), we’re looking at a 0.5% haircut. Manageable, but not ideal when the economy’s already wobbling. More concerning is what a prolonged shutdown means for data flow. If key reports like nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP or CPI ECONOMICS:USCPI get delayed, the Fed will be in the dark heading into its next meeting — and that’s when mistakes happen. Markets hate uncertainty, and uncertainty is the shutdown’s main export. 🧭 The Road Ahead The dollar’s trajectory from here depends on whether the Fed can strike the right balance. If Powell emphasizes employment and doubles down on cuts, you may expect the greenback to weaken further. But if inflation surprises to the upside, markets could quickly reverse their dovish bets. Make sure to keep an eye on the Economic calendar . September’s inflation hits October 15 and the Fed’s meeting is on deck for October 28-29. Off to you : Where do you see the dollar by year end? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
TVC:DXY
by TradingView
13
Bearish continuation setup?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.64 1st Support: 96.64 1st Resistance: 100.20 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets