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DOLLAR INDEX TO CONTINUE FALLING 8/17/2025As I have been analyzing the trajectory of the dollar index over the last 3 months, I still expect the dollar index to continue falling after a few days of sideways consolidation this coming week. During the consolidation, I will be looking for a retrace up to about the 97.600 level and any open and close candle above the 97.600 level will invalidate this thesis. Target for this week after we gather steam to break the support level (97.200) is at 96.881 - 97.746. I thank everyone for taking time to visit my video publications and wish the best of trades for you this week. Cheers!!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by RICHINVESTOR
US Dollar: Is The Bearish Correction Ending?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Aug 18 - 22nd. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar The USD has been weak since the start of August. But this is after a Bullish July! Is the retracement going to find support and all buyers to take over? Price is currently at the levels that could see buyers step in, just above a protected fractal low. If the low holds, we will see prices move higher. If the low fails, we resume the down trend that we've been in since January. React and do not predict. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
6
$US and The Elliott Wave(Real Time Updates)This is an update of a previous publication(link below). In that publication, where Wave 1(Green) ended, there was speculation whether the correction that followed was a Zigzag or the first wave of a Flat, as you can see on the chart below. This Wave turned out to be the first wave of a Flat and this is just an update. We should expect a continuation to the upside for our Wave 3(Green), then a Zigzag for Wave 4(Green). Note that the green arrow does not represent where price will reach then retrace but is an indication of market direction. For more information on the same, go to:
TVC:DXYLong
by machariavictor017
Potential bearish reversal?USDX is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slghtly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could revrse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 98.62 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 99.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 97.49 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USDXShort
by VantageMarkets
DXY Dollar Heist: Can You Escape @100?🔥 DXY Dollar Index Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🔥 Asset: DXY Dollar Index 💵Plan: Bullish 📈Thief Trading Style: Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ 🏦 The Heist Plan 🏦 Dear Thief OG's, Ladies & Gentlemen, get ready to pull off the ultimate DXY heist! 💰 We're using the Thief Layering Strategy to stack multiple limit orders and maximize our loot. Follow the plan, adjust to your risk, and let’s escape with the cash! 🚨 📈 Entry: The Break-In Strategy: Deploy multiple buy limit orders to layer your entries like a master thief 🕴️. Suggested levels: 98.00 💸 98.20 💸 98.40 💸 98.60 💸 Flexibility: Add more layers based on your risk appetite or market conditions 📊. Pro Tip: Set an alert on TradingView to catch the breakout or pullback at these levels 🚨. 🛑 Stop Loss: The Escape Route Thief SL: Set at 97.50 to protect your stash 🛡️. Risk Management: Adjust SL based on your lot size, risk tolerance, and number of layered entries ⚖️. Warning: Don’t get caught! This is a high-stakes heist—stick to your risk plan 🔥. 🎯 Target: The Getaway Police Barricade: Resistance at 100.30 🚓—watch out! Our Target: Take profits at 100.00 to escape with the loot before the market traps you 🏃‍♂️💨. 🧠 Why This Heist? The DXY is showing bullish momentum based on real-time market data 📡: Macro Factors: Strong USD demand driven by economic indicators (check COT reports, geopolitics, and intermarket analysis) 🌍. Technical Setup: Layered entries align with swing trade pullbacks and key support zones 📉. Scalpers 👀: Stick to quick long-side trades with trailing SL to lock in profits 💰. ⚠️ Trading Alerts: Stay Sharp! News Releases: Avoid new trades during high-impact news to dodge volatility traps 🚫. Position Management: Use trailing stop-loss to secure your profits and stay safe 🛡️. 💪 Boost the Heist! Hit the Boost Button to power up our Thief Trading Style! 🚀 Every like and view strengthens our crew, helping us rob the market with precision. Let’s make money and vanish like pros! 🤑 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, Thief OG’s! 🕵️‍♂️🎉
FXOPEN:DXYLong
by The-Thief
Quick Forex update. Waiting for the Powell speech.Let's have a quick technical look at the top FX pairs before the Jackson Hole Symposium. Let's dig in. TVC:DXY FX_IDC:AUDUSD FX_IDC:NZDUSD FX_IDC:USDJPY FX_IDC:USDCAD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
by Marketscom
DXY ready to drop ?DXY trade setup for today : Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market. Monthly: 100.24 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top Weekly: Bearish engulfed formation with strong liquidity grab Daily: A sharp rejection with liquidity grab from the resistance Entry timeframe 4H : Upon retest of the order block, market has got rejected and potentially breaking out of the market structure to continue to drop to support level. Possible trade recommendation : Bearish entry with SL above sessions high
TVC:DXYShort
by ForexWizard01
US Dollar (DXY), the importance of Jackson Hole this weekThe Jackson Hole Economic Symposium organized by the Kansas City Federal Reserve is the dominant fundamental factor this week. This event takes place every August and is considered the major monetary event before the end of the summer vacations. It brings together the heads of the major central banks and has one highlight: the press conference given by the Chairman of the FED. This year's press conference will take place on Friday August 22. 1) Jerome Powell's press conference this Friday at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium will be decisive for the US dollar's end-of-summer trend on Forex Jerome Powell's press conference on Friday August 22 is eagerly awaited, as he is expected to outline the FED's planned monetary policy path between now and the end of the year. Let's not forget that the federal funds rate has not fallen since December 2024, and that the US labor market is beginning to show signs of weakness. But the PCE inflation rate is moving closer to the 3% threshold than to 2%, and Jerome Powell has so far been intransigent on the inflation target. No FED pivot? Technical pivot? Real FED pivot? The FED will have to make one of these three choices, and Powell could provide further details at this Friday's press conference. 2) Jerome Powell's press conference will have a very strong impact on the FED's monetary policy expectations, notably on the probability of a rate cut at the time of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday September 17 This press conference will have a direct impact on the FED's monetary choice expectations at the time of the monetary policy decision on Wednesday September 17. According to the CME FED Watch tool, the probability of a cut in the US federal funds rate currently exceeds 80%. But this may be too optimistic an expectation, given the resilience of inflation in the US. Last year in Jackson Hole, Powell spelled out what the FED was planning to do for the end of the year, so this August 2025, the market is once again hoping for clarification on what the FED will do on Wednesday September 17. 3) The US Dollar (DXY) has stabilized on the Foreign Exchange (FX) market, but at this stage has not validated a medium-term bullish reversal pattern. The DXY remains bearish as long as it holds below 100/101 resistance No FED pivot? FED technical pivot? Real FED pivot? The FED's monetary choices will have a decisive impact on the year-end trend of the US dollar (DXY) on the forex market. At present, the latter has stabilized on major technical support, but has not validated a bullish reversal technical configuration. The chart below shows the weekly Japanese candlesticks for the US dollar (DXY). DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
DXY - Silent, Structure in Compression, Destiny in Expansion. ⊣ ⟁ DXY / U.S. Dollar Currency Index - TVC - (CHART: 1D) - (Aug 19, 2025). ◇ Analysis Price: 98.035. ⊣ ⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D): ✴️ Note: The DXY (TVC) does not provide native volume data; therefore, flow-based indicators (OBV, MFI) are substituted by ADX (14) to quantify trend strength. ▦ EMA9 - $98.139: ∴ The current price ($98.035) is positioned below the EMA9 - ($98.139), affirming short-term pressure from sellers; ∴ The slope of the EMA9 is flat to slightly downward, indicating the loss of bullish traction in the most immediate timeframe; ∴ The EMA9 is located beneath both the EMA21 and the EMA50, confirming the presence of a “bearish stacking” alignment. ✴️ Conclusion: The micro-trend remains subdued under short-term resistance. The immediate ceiling is defined at ~98.14, and failure to close above reinforces continuous seller control. ⊢ ▦ EMA21 - $98.221: ∴ The price remains below the EMA21, which represents tactical control by sellers in the intermediate horizon; ∴ The fact that EMA9 < EMA21 demonstrates that rebound attempts will likely fail beneath 98.22; ∴ The EMA21 is in direct confluence with the Bollinger Band midline, magnifying the importance of 98.22 as a structural pivot. ✴️ Conclusion: The 98.22 zone is the primary tactical battleground; daily closure above would reduce immediate bearish pressure and open short-term relief potential. ⊢ ▦ EMA50 - $98.477: ∴ The price resides below EMA50, and EMA21 is positioned below EMA50, both confirming the persistence of a downward-leaning intermediate trend; ∴ The EMA50 itself is sloping gently downward, acting as a supply zone between $98.45 / $98.50; ∴ Rejections have occurred repeatedly below the $98.5 region, validating this level as the medium-term structural ceiling. ✴️ Conclusion: The $98.45 / $98.50 range is the second barrier; only a sustained close above this threshold neutralizes the existing bearish framework. ⊢ ▦ BB (21, 2) - $96.815 / $98.221 / $99.628: ∴ Current price oscillates around the midline ($98.22) but is positioned slightly below, keeping price action inside the lower quadrant of the bands; ∴ Bandwidth is approximately 2.81 points (~2.9% of the midline), which signals suppressed volatility and relative compression; ∴ The upper band at $99.63 and the lower band at $96.82 establish the immediate operational box. ✴️ Conclusion: A compression regime dominates; the probability of false breakouts increases as long as ADX remains below threshold levels. ⊢ ▦ RSI (21, 9) - RSI 47.75 / Signal 48.17: ∴ The RSI remains below the neutral 50 line, maintaining a neutral-to-bearish bias; ∴ RSI is positioned beneath its signal line, reinforcing waning momentum; ∴ No oversold or overbought extremes are present, leaving ample room for mean-reversion moves in either direction; ∴ The RSI lost its bullish inclination after the early-August peak, revealing that bullish momentum has dissipated. ✴️ Conclusion: Relative strength is fragile and biased downward; pressure persists, though without signs of exhaustion. ⊢ ▦ MACD (9, 21, 9) - MACD Line: −0.085 | Signal: −0.082 | Spread ≈ −0.003: ∴ Both MACD line and Signal line remain below zero, sustaining the negative macro momentum regime; ∴ The spread between MACD and Signal line is marginally negative (−0.003), illustrating momentum compression and indecision; ∴ The histogram bars are shallow, suggesting the likelihood of sideways “chop” until a decisive expansion occurs; ∴ No evidence yet of either bullish or bearish acceleration; instead, momentum is locked in equilibrium. ✴️ Conclusion: Residual bearish momentum persists, but without traction. A valid directional impulse requires expansion of the spread. ⊢ ▦ ADX (14) - 13.22: ∴ ADX at 13.22 is significantly below the 20 threshold, confirming a non-trending market; ∴ Under low volatility and low ADX conditions, breakouts tend to fail or reverse, producing whipsaw environments; ∴ Without ADX expansion, directional signals from EMAs, RSI, or MACD lack confirmation. ✴️ Conclusion: The trend is weak; consolidation dominates. Breakouts require ADX above 20 for validation. ⊢ 🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle: ∴ The structural configuration of the moving averages (Price < EMA9 < EMA21 < EMA50) defines a layered bearish stacking, emphasizing that control remains under sellers until the price successfully reclaims successive thresholds; ∴ The triple resistance crown ($98.14 / $98.22 / $98.50) represents the immediate fortress overhead. Until pierced, rallies remain corrective rather than structural; ∴ The Bollinger Band compression in combination with ADX = 13.22 reflects a regime of latent instability: volatility is contracted, energy is being stored, and the market is poised for a sharp directional move once equilibrium breaks; ∴ Mapping of levels: Support zones: $97.94 (recent intraday floor) -> $96.82 (lower Bollinger band); Resistance zones: $98.22 (BB midline + EMA21 pivot) -> $98.45 / $98.50 (EMA50 zone) -> $99.63 (BB upper). ∴ Trigger mechanics (Daily): Bullish relief scenario: A daily close above $98.22 exposes a test of $98.45 / $98.50. A confirmed structural shift requires closure above $98.50 with simultaneous ADX rising above 20, projecting extension toward $98.80 -> $99.63; Bearish continuation scenario: A breakdown below $97.94 expands the downside toward $96.82. Acceleration requires concurrent Bollinger Band expansion + ADX increase, validating momentum. ∴ Cross-asset implication (BTC/USD): A DXY trapped beneath $98.50 with ADX under 18 provides tactical relief for risk assets - (Bitcoin, equities). Conversely, a reclaim above $98.50 coupled with rising ADX would exert renewed pressure on Bitcoin and global risk sentiment. ✴️ Conclusion: ∴ The DXY is operating in a compression regime with light bearish bias, encased beneath the triple-layered resistance of $98.22 and $98.50; ∴ Until the index secures a daily close above $98.50 supported by a strengthening ADX, the prevailing outlook remains range-to-down, targeting $97.94 and potentially $96.82; ∴ Should the crown of resistance be pierced with confirmed directional strength, the Dollar Index would advance toward $98.80 / $99.63, transitioning the macro background toward “risk-off” and imposing significant headwinds on Bitcoin and correlated assets. ⊢ 𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation - DXY (1D, Aug 19, 2025): ∴ The Dollar Index remains imprisoned beneath its triple crown of resistance ($98.14 -> $98.22 -> $98.50). Each layer functions not as mere numbers, but as thresholds of control - the fortress where sellers guard the path forward; ∴ Momentum structures (RSI at $47.75, MACD compressed below zero, ADX at $13.22) whisper of weak conviction, a battlefield where neither camp advances decisively. Volatility compresses, energy coils. The silence of the bands is not peace; it is the breath before release. ∴ Supports lie at $97.94 and $96.82 - the fragile floor where weakness exposes the Index to further descent. Resistances culminate in the $99.63 upper band - the bastion to be conquered should strength return. ✴️ Philosophical Seal: Like the Stoic who tests virtue in adversity, the DXY now tests resolve in compression. Its stillness is deceptive - for beneath equilibrium, forces accumulate. The wise trader, like the Stoic, does not chase the noise of indecision; he prepares, unmoved, for the inevitable expansion. ⊢ ✦ Structure - DXY (1D, Aug 19, 2025): ∴ Bearish Stacking Alignment: Price $98.035 resides below EMA9 $98.139, which is below EMA21 $98.221, both beneath EMA50 $98.477. The moving averages align in descending order, sealing short-, mid-, and intermediate-term control under sellers; ∴ Compression Regime: Bollinger Bands narrowed to $96.815 / $99.628, with midline at $98.221. Volatility is contracted, reflecting equilibrium. The silence before expansion governs this phase; ∴ Momentum Exhaustion: RSI at 47.75 and MACD line at −0.085 with signal −0.082 indicate weakening drive, locked in indecision. ADX 13.22 confirms absence of a dominant directional force. ∴ Critical Thresholds: • Support: $97.94 -> $96.82; • Resistance: $98.22 -> $98.45–$98.50 -> $99.63; These levels form the sacred geometry of the Dollar’s battlefield. ✴️ Structural Seal: The DXY is architected in a descending yet compressed formation - a fortress of resistance above, fragile floors below. Until ADX rises and one side seizes momentum, the Index drifts in suspended balance, storing potential for decisive rupture. ⊢ · Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis · · Dominivm Cardo Gyratio Omnivm · Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred · ⊢
TVC:DXY
by Magister_Arcanvm
DXY Comprehensive AnalysisThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading around 98.14, struggling near the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at 98.33, where strong resistance has capped further upside. The RSI shows hidden bearish divergence, signaling potential weakness despite the recent bounce. Price action remains within a broader downtrend channel, and repeated failures to sustain above 98.30 indicate fading bullish momentum. Immediate support is seen near 98.00, any bearish break out will lead the prices towards 97.79 (Fib 0.786), followed by 97.50, which could attract sellers if broken. On the upside, only a decisive break above 98.33–98.70 would shift intraday sentiment bullish toward 99.08. For today, the bias leans bearish as long as DXY trades below 98.30, with intraday traders likely eyeing short setups on rejection patterns targeting the lower supports.
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by Nadia_farhat
DOLLAR INDEX IN CONSOLIDATIONNews from Bloomberg FX/RATES DAYBOOK EUROPE: Dollar Consolidates in Tight Range By David Finnerty (Bloomberg) -- The dollar held in narrow ranges versus major peers with traders focused on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at Jackson Hole due on Aug. 22. MARKETS: USD/JPY little changed at 147.86 (range 147.62–148.11) EUR/USD little changed at 1.1656 (range 1.1639–1.1675) AUD/USD little changed at 0.6488 (range 0.6485–0.6497) NZD/USD little changed at 0.5922 (range 0.5917–0.5929) USD/CAD +0.1% to 1.3811 (range 1.3797–1.3818) USD/CHF little changed at 0.8074 (range 0.8065–0.8086) GBP/USD little changed at 1.3502 (range 1.3487-1.3525) WTI Crude -0.6% to $63.07/bbl (range $62.99–$63.39) S&P 500 mini index futures -0.2% to 6,459.75 (range 6,459.25–6,477.50)
THINKMARKETS:USDINDEX
by Junmadayag
DXY Consolidates SidewaysTVC:DXY continues to consolidate and be held between a Resistance and Support Between: Resistance @ 98.2 - 98.3 Support @ 97.75 - 97.6 If TVC:DXY breaks the Local Resistance, this will see the USD gain strength temporarily til the Next Resistance Level @ 98.5 - 98.95 If TVC:DXY breaks the Local Support, this will see the USD lose strength temporarily til the Next Support Level @ 97.3 - 97.1 Fundamentally, Tariffs will continue to effect the underlying inflation issue USD deals with along with expectations gaining of not only 1 but a few Interest Cuts could come from the Federal Reserve before the end of the year! This could severely weaken USD!
TVC:DXY
by Novi_Fibonacci