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DXY 1D - dollar waking up, but patience is keyOn the daily chart, the US Dollar Index is showing the first signs of recovery: a falling wedge breakout and trendline breach hint that bulls are slowly reclaiming control. Price has moved above the EMA, a short-term bullish signal. Still, MA200 remains above, reminding us that the broader trend is not yet flipped. The ideal play here - wait for a retest of the breakout trendline to confirm buyers’ strength before jumping in. If price holds above 99.70, the next upside targets sit around 100.19, 101.31, and 102.63. But keep in mind - DXY loves to test patience. False breakouts are its favorite sport. Right now, the dollar looks ready to wake up, but maybe hit the snooze button one last time before the real move begins.
TVC:DXYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
US DOLLAR TARGETS HITThe U.S. government is still shut down, so no fresh economic data is coming out. That means everyone’s trading half-blind right now—no jobs numbers, no inflation updates, just noise. But the chart still tells the truth. All the bullish dollar targets were hit exactly as planned, and now price is sitting right under that 99.8 key high. That’s the line that decides everything. If market makers push price higher than 99.8, the bullish phase stays alive a bit longer. If it fails there, we drop back into bearish discount territory, where value sits lower and sellers regain control. Over the past four months, liquidity’s been building above those highs. Now we’re watching a classic stop run—price pushing up to take out weak hands before the real move begins. That’s why cross markets like stocks, gold, and crypto are slipping. The dollar’s acting as a safe spot while everything else bleeds. But the volume looks thin, which usually means manipulation, not genuine demand. Without the usual USD data, it’s all a guessing game until the Fed minutes drop later today. For now, it’s simple: the 99.8 zone is the make-or-break level. Stay patient, read the structure, and let the chart talk. Price always moves to where orders are missing, and stops where they’re full. Follow that rule, and you’ll never feel lost in the noise.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY Watching 98.800 Resistance as Shutdown Risks Weigh on DollarHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring DXY for a potential selling opportunity around the 98.800 zone. The Dollar Index remains in a broader downtrend and is currently in a correction phase, with price approaching a key daily resistance area. Structure: The market has been forming lower highs, consistent with bearish momentum. The 98.800 level aligns with both structural resistance and trendline rejection zones. Fundamentals: The ongoing US government shutdown continues to pressure sentiment around the Dollar. The longer the impasse persists, the higher the risk of fiscal strain and downside pressure on the USD. Next move: Watching how price reacts around 98.800 — a rejection here could confirm further downside continuation in line with the prevailing trend. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYShort
by JoeChampion
11
DXY Breakout Confirmed — How Far Can Bulls Run?💰 Thief’s Heist: DXY Bull Raid in Progress ⚡ Layered Entry Strategy! 📈 Setup Summary Asset: DXY Dollar Index (Cash) 📊 Bias / Plan: BULLISH — 0.786 Triangular Moving Average was breached by buyers → trend confirmation in progress 🚀 🎯 Thief’s Game Plan (Swing / Day Trade) 🕵️ Entry Plan — “Layered Thief Style”: 💎 Any price level entry is valid — flexibility is the Thief’s advantage! 🔹 Sample Limit Layers: • 97.800 • 98.000 • 98.200 (💡 You can increase or reduce layers based on your own style — stack smartly!) 🧨 Stop Loss (Thief SL): ⚠️ 97.400 → This is the “Thief SL Zone” 👉 But you’re the mastermind — set your own SL if you prefer! 💰 Target Zone (TP): 🚧 Police Barricade at ~99.400 — strong resistance area + oversold trap likely 💨 Thieves escape with bags before the trap closes! ⚙️ Take profit partially or fully at your own comfort — be swift, be smart 🦅 🧩 Market Insight & Technical Reasoning ✅ 786 Triangular MA breach confirms bullish structure ✅ DXY strength often follows Treasury Yield push 📈 ✅ Strong USD = Weak Gold & EUR/USD usually ✅ Oversold readings hint buyers ready to counter attack 🔗 Correlation Watchlist (Related Pairs) Keep an eye on these for confirmation 🔍 💶 FX:EURUSD → usually inverse to DXY 💷 FX:GBPUSD → tracks EUR/USD correlation 💴 FX:USDJPY → directly correlates with DXY 🥇 Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) → moves opposite to DXY 💵 TVC:US10Y Yields → rising yields = bullish DXY 💡 Key Tip: When EUR/USD & GBP/USD drop sharply + yields rise → DXY often continues its rally 🧭 ⚠️ Notes & Thief Disclaimers 👑 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs): I’m not recommending my SL or TP — make your own risk rules 💼 You can make money, take money, or just watch the play unfold 🎭 This is a “Thief Style” strategy, shared for fun & educational inspiration only 🧠 Always manage risk & protect capital first — thieves survive by escaping, not over-staying 💨 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: this is thief style trading strategy just for fun #DXY #USDIndex #Dollar #Forex #LayeredEntry #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TrendBreak #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #USD #TradingView #FXStrategy
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
US Dollar (DXY), strong rebound in 2026?The US Dollar is by far the weakest major currency on the FX market in 2025. But this situation could reverse in 2026 as the second year of the presidential term begins, a year that is historically unfavorable to risky assets and favorable to the US Dollar as a safe haven. Recall that during Trump’s first term, the first year (2017) saw a sharp decline in the dollar on the Forex, followed by a strong recovery in the second year (2018). Could we see a “bis repetita” scenario with 2026, the second year of the second term? The chart below shows the US Dollar’s last place ranking among major FX currencies. 1) The fundamental reasons that could support a rebound of the US Dollar in 2026 beyond the simple seasonality of the presidential cycle (midterms) Several fundamental factors could sustain a US Dollar rebound in 2026: • A shift in Federal Reserve policy could play a central role. If inflation persists or rises, the Fed could suspend or reverse the expected rate cuts, maintaining a yield differential favorable to the dollar and attracting foreign capital. • Stronger US growth compared to the rest of the world, driven by consumption, technology, and energy independence, would make dollar-denominated assets more attractive and boost demand for the currency. • An improvement in the trade balance, thanks to reshoring, higher exports, or lower imports, would support the dollar by limiting structural capital outflows. • Credible fiscal consolidation signals, such as a plan to reduce deficits, would strengthen investor confidence and ease concerns about public debt, contributing to a stronger dollar. • Increased political stability and greater predictability of economic policies, especially under a market-friendly administration, would reduce risk premiums and favor the US Dollar. • Higher demand for safe-haven assets in the event of geopolitical tensions (e.g., China-Taiwan or the Middle East) or a global economic slowdown would boost flows into the dollar. • Finally, the relative weakness of other major currencies — euro, yen, yuan — due to looser monetary policies or economic fragilities, would reinforce the dollar by comparison. Together, these dynamics could create a structurally favorable environment for US Dollar appreciation in 2026. 2) To validate a US Dollar rebound, we need a technical reversal signal on long-term charts, and this is not yet the case. Here’s what to watch for The historical weekly chart of the US Dollar shows how bullish reversals built up in 2018 and 2021. The conditions required are: stabilization of the dollar over several weeks, bullish divergences between price and momentum, a bullish reversal pattern, and finally, a breakout above resistance confirming the pattern. At this stage, these elements are not fully in place, and the US Dollar remains bearish on FX as long as it stays below the 100-point resistance. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. 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TVC:DXY
by Swissquote
1
Bullish bounce?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 97.96 1st Support: 97.49 1st Resistance: 98.77 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
US Dollar at Risk of More Losses amid Shutdown Woes, Fed DilemmaThe US dollar TVC:DXY has been knocked by last week’s US government shutdown and the subsequent economic blackout. At the same time, the Federal Reserve can’t figure out what’s worse – inflation or job crunch. After Congress failed to pass a funding bill, the government officially went dark at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday. Traders, however, didn’t panic. Stocks climbed to fresh record highs , gold OANDA:XAUUSD popped, yields dipped — and the dollar slipped further into the red . The greenback, usually the go-to safe haven during global turmoil, is acting like it forgot about that job description. With the Federal Reserve cornered between a slowing economy and stubborn inflation, plus fresh political uncertainty in D.C., the dollar’s shine is fading fast. ⚖️ When Politics and Policy Collide Let’s start with the elephant in the room: the government shutdown. Historically, these dark D.C. moments shave about a tenth of a percentage point off GDP per week. In other words, the economy loses a few hairs — not a limb. But this one hits differently. That’s because the Fed is already walking a tightrope. With unemployment creeping up ( 4.3% in August and lost jobs in June ) and inflation still running at 2.9% , the central bank has little margin for error. The longer the shutdown drags on, the harder it becomes for policymakers to parse what’s real economic weakness and what’s just delayed government paychecks. Investors, meanwhile, are pricing in a full quarter-point rate cut at the Fed’s next meeting and another one in December. The market is betting that Powell & Co. will prioritize saving jobs over fighting inflation. And that typically means one thing: a softer dollar. 📉 The Dollar’s Safe-Haven Cred Takes a Hit Remember when the dollar used to rally whenever things got messy? Not this year. Despite trade tensions, geopolitical flare-ups, and now a full-blown government shutdown, the dollar has lost roughly 10% since January. Part of that weakness stems from shifting interest-rate expectations. When the Fed signals it’s going to cut, yields on US assets drop — and so does the appeal of holding dollars. Lower rates make borrowing cheaper, but they also mean less income for investors parking money in dollar-denominated bonds. The euro took advantage, climbing above $1.17 as traders rotated out of the greenback. Gold also basked in the dollar’s weakness, closing Friday at $3,886 an ounce — a fresh all-time closing high. And just to rub salt in the wound, even cryptocurrencies have outperformed. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , the digital rebel of finance, has gained about 35% this year and on Sunday hit a record high above $125,000 per coin. 🧩 Fed Dilemma: Jobs vs. Inflation The Federal Reserve’s dual mandate is simple on paper: keep prices stable and employment high. But right now, the two goals are in open conflict. On the one hand, the labor market is clearly slowing. August brought just 22,000 new jobs — the weakest print since early 2020. Revised data for June showed the economy actually lost 13,000 staffers net. Those aren’t the kinds of numbers that inspire confidence. On the other side, inflation is still running above target. Core PCE, the Fed’s favorite measure, clocked in at 2.9% in August — unchanged from July but still nearly a full percentage point above the goal. So what’s the play? Cut rates to support jobs and risk stoking inflation? Or hold firm, keep inflation contained, and risk a deeper slowdown? That’s the central banker’s version of “Would you rather.” 👀 The Fed’s Independence (and the Trump Factor) There’s another layer of intrigue: politics. The Supreme Court just deferred a hearing on President Trump’s attempt to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook — a Biden appointee — until January. Cook can remain at the Fed in the meantime, but the episode has traders questioning just how independent the central bank really is under the new administration. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, nearing the end of his term, has been caught between maintaining credibility and avoiding direct political confrontation. His latest move — a quarter-point rate cut in September — was meant to show responsiveness to data, not pressure. But optics matter, and the market is watching for signs of interference. If investors start believing the Fed is bending to political will, confidence in US monetary policy could erode further — another potential strike against the dollar. 💡 What It Means for Traders Here’s the breakdown: • For FX traders: The dollar remains vulnerable, especially if the Fed confirms more cuts are on the way. Pairs like FX:EURUSD and FX:GBPUSD could see more upside. Meanwhile, FX:USDJPY might stay volatile as yen buyers return to their comfort zone. • For gold bulls: Lower yields and a weaker dollar create the perfect storm. Gold looks strong despite charting new horizons, though traders should watch for a potential pullback if the Fed’s tone shifts. • For equity investors: Rate cuts are generally bullish. Cheaper money means higher valuations — at least until inflation becomes a problem again. • For crypto enthusiasts: A dovish Fed tends to favor risk assets, and Bitcoin could benefit as a hedge against both inflation and institutional confusion. 🧮 The Shutdown Math: Small Impact, Big Symbolism Economists will tell you that a shutdown doesn’t tank the economy — but it does rattle sentiment. Each week of a federal closure trims GDP growth by about 0.1 percentage point. If this one matches the 35-day record from 2018–19 (during Trump’s first term), we’re looking at a 0.5% haircut. Manageable, but not ideal when the economy’s already wobbling. More concerning is what a prolonged shutdown means for data flow. If key reports like nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP or CPI ECONOMICS:USCPI get delayed, the Fed will be in the dark heading into its next meeting — and that’s when mistakes happen. Markets hate uncertainty, and uncertainty is the shutdown’s main export. 🧭 The Road Ahead The dollar’s trajectory from here depends on whether the Fed can strike the right balance. If Powell emphasizes employment and doubles down on cuts, you may expect the greenback to weaken further. But if inflation surprises to the upside, markets could quickly reverse their dovish bets. Make sure to keep an eye on the Economic calendar . September’s inflation hits October 15 and the Fed’s meeting is on deck for October 28-29. Off to you : Where do you see the dollar by year end? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
TVC:DXY
by TradingView
13
Bearish continuation setup?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 98.64 1st Support: 96.64 1st Resistance: 100.20 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by IC Markets
Dollar’s Cracks Are Showing — and the Market Smells BloodThe dollar’s strength cracked in September as fundamentals turned against the greenback. Cooling U.S. inflation, softer consumer spending, and signs of a slowing labour market gave traders fresh confidence that the Fed’s tightening cycle is over. At the same time, growing chatter about fiscal strain and a possible government shutdown eroded demand for U.S. assets. The Dollar Index drifted lower while EUR/USD and GBP/USD gained ground, supported by steady European inflation data and improving U.K. growth signals. By month’s end, markets weren’t chasing yield — they were repositioning for a world where the dollar no longer leads the charge.
TVC:DXY
by LegendSince
DXY (US Dollar Index): Seen in a Weekly Chart PerspectiveDXY (US Dollar Index): Seen in a Weekly Chart Perspective The chart shows DXY is sitting on a long-term ascending support line that has held multiple times since 2015. Price recently tested this support again near 96.37, making it a key level. Price is around 97.70, close to support. This zone is crucial: as long as it holds, the bias remains for a bounce. 🎯 Key Targets: First target: 100.00 (psychological target) Second target: 101.97 Third target: 106.00 If DXY breaks and closes below 96.37, it could invalidate the bullish outlook and open space toward 94.00–92.00 levels. The Dollar Index is at a critical support zone. If buyers defend this area, we could see a rebound toward 100–106. But if support fails, further downside could follow. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by KlejdiCuni
23
DXY DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 1. Market Context & Structure Timeframe: Daily Current Price: 97.711 Trend Bias: Medium-term bearish structure still intact, though currently in a corrective bullish retracement. Structure Flow: Lower highs and lower lows dominate since mid-July. Current price action shows a potential pullback within a bearish trend. --- 🧩 2. Key Technical Zones 🔵 Supply Zone (99.50–100.20 area) This area represents an institutional short-entry zone, where large orders previously triggered aggressive selling pressure. Expect liquidity inducement — price may push into this zone to grab stops above prior highs before reversing down. Aligns with the fair value gap below, which provides imbalance liquidity magnetism. 🟥 Fair Value Gap (around 99.00) The gap between bullish and bearish candles created inefficiency in price delivery. The market often revisits such imbalances to fill orders left behind by institutional players. Expect a short-term rally into this gap before a reversal. 🟪 Demand Zone (96.20–96.50) Marked as a strong previous accumulation point. Each retest here in the past has produced bullish rejection wicks — suggesting pending liquidity below. This is likely the final downside target if the bearish continuation unfolds. --- 📉 3. Institutional Flow Outlook Scenario A (High-Probability Bearish Path): 1. Price retraces upward into the fair value gap / supply zone. 2. Smart money executes sell programs once liquidity above minor highs is swept. 3. Momentum shifts downward, leading price to revisit the 97.00 mid-support and ultimately the 96.20 demand zone. Scenario B (Less Likely Bullish Continuation): Only if DXY reclaims and holds above 100.50, confirming institutional demand, then bias could shift bullish — but current chart doesn’t support this yet. --- 💼 4. Macro Correlation A weak DXY typically strengthens: EUR/USD → bullish continuation toward higher liquidity pools. Gold (XAU/USD) → potential upside resumption as dollar weakens. Watch for confirmation from upcoming CPI or FOMC data — a dovish Fed stance will likely accelerate the bearish DXY scenario. --- 🧠 5. Professional Summary Factor Observation Implication Market Structure Lower highs & lower lows Bearish continuation likely Supply Zone 99.50–100.20 Institutional sell area Fair Value Gap 98.80–99.20 Liquidity magnet (retracement target) Demand Zone 96.20–96.50 Final downside liquidity target Bias Bearish Look for shorts after retracement --- 📊 Conclusion: DXY is likely setting up a liquidity-grab rally into the 99.00–100.00 supply zone, followed by a bearish continuation toward 96.20. Institutional players are expected to use that retracement to load shorts, maintaining bearish macro bias.
TVC:DXYShort
by enwemadufranklyn1989