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Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2023)Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2023)Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2023)

Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Jun 2023)

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MYMM2023 trade ideas

Dow Jones Daytrading Weekly Template Ahead Key LevelsSetting up my key levels for the current weekly template I will be expecting a range week as it is inside of a bear flag. Two levels that jump out at me are Last Week's Low and the middle of the range line at the bottom yellow box. I will be using those as targets. I think the 12's CPI was the last lower high and this week will make another lower high and new lower low. The average weekly candle is 947 ticks from high to low Some scenarios I can see playing out are the following It just depends on if price will work the high first or go down to the low and work that low. I will be looking out for June's Open price as a major resistance level. After going through the last 120 years on the monthly chart, 80% of all June's have been down months. I will be mostly looking for sells and will be using my trade management of: Max 2 Losses per day 50 tick stop losses 125 tick take profits 2.5 risk to rewards No trading the first hour 4 Hour trend/structure 15 minute entry time frame Shooting for 40-45% win rate
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Short
by travis18haney
Very interesting similarity between the ES1! and YM1!I was recently watching a video in the ideas section of trading view and I notice this person speculates that the price will drop lower in the Dow Jones. Interestingly enough, this also lines up quite well in my charts. It's important to notice that many differences exist between these two tickers. The fluctuations of the CBOT_MINI:YM1! and the CME_MINI:ES1! are quite different. I had to adjust the n data previous points in the short term mean return indicator to 20 as well as set the sensitivity to 2. This way the chart was not overcrowded and easier to read. As well as larger short term MA and distribution was needed. I'll take advantage of this difference to explain what happens when the parameters in the indicator change. There are two factors to the sensitivity of the indicator. One is the number of previous days considered (parameter n). The higher this value is, the less sensitive the indicator is, therefore it's better at detecting longer term trends. This is the reason why I include 2 in the indicator. One to see the short term trend and one for the long term trend. This in addition to knowing where we are in the distribution help me for a hypothesis of what is most likely to happen next. One key factor of my strategy when trading is to never go short unless you are absolutely sure you are correct, always look for discounts and take profits. It's better to buy at discounted prices than trying to catch both waves of the market. You already know the market did one wave, what do you think will happen next? Of course, the next wave! I personally trade with no stop loss to not materialize erroneous entries and look to buy even more as prices continue to drop and are at attractive levels. Unless there is a clear possible break of market structure like it's visible here, as the 200MA has been used in the past as strong points of support and resistance. If this structure is broken, then it's quite possible that price will trend even lower, so this trade does require a stop loss. When I was more of an intermediate and unprofitable trader, I relied a lot on two indicators, which did give me the ability to make somewhat accurate predictions. Since tradingview has kept increasing the restrictions on free accounts, I had to choose between two of my favorite indicators. The RSI and the MACD. I chose to keep the MACD as it's visible on previous trades. Mean Returns offers the value of these two indicators into one, plus tests out a new hypothesis that I've been testing so far with great success. The basic premise of this indicator is to chart the market cycles in terms of average returns generated in the n periods before and the current one. Additionally, it creates the supposition that the market has inertia and therefore is likely to continue doing what it's already doing (aka: the trend is your friend) I hope the original posters of the video @AdvancedPlays gets to see this and find it to be of value. Always remember there are no certainties in the markets, only probabilities
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by DarkMessiah777
Triple Screen Time Frame Analysis StrategyI am still trying to perfect my day trading strategy and am making this post for me to better understand all the moving parts of what it is I am trying to accomplish. I will use three time frames Weekly (Major Trend Direction) 4 Hour (Structure/Key Levels) 15 Minute (Lower Time Frame Entry) On the weekly time frame, I will mark January 1st 2024 to December 31st 2024 for the entire trading year. I will then mark the price the year opened at with a teal line. This is the open of the 12 month candle. I will then open up the ATR indicator to gauge the average weekly movements using the 14 period I then switch to the 1 period to see each individual weekly range. I can see that the 1 period ATR on average is roughly 1,400 ticks from high to low. Seeing how the 14 period's average is roughly 1,200 as well, I can say on average a given week should have roughly 1,200-1,400 ticks of movement from high to low. The weekly trend is bullish and trending higher in a spike and channel. Out of the last 31 weekly candles since the start of the move up, only 11 candles were of any bearishness. That is only 35% of all selected candles. The other 20 were bullish or a whopping 65%. The 4 hour time frame is for the structure and key levels. Over the course of this year there has been ample buy opportunities followed by selling spikes into the uptrend. A massive "W" is forming On the 15 minute, if I can align myself with the bigger move and limit myself to one trade a day, if it presents itself, with my 3:1 ratio, then my win% shall increase. I don't care how much further price went without me, as long as I hit my 3R target, that is all I care about. My personal goal is a 40% win rate with my 3R system.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
2
Market Crash - Dow Weakness and Ascending WedgeHere with yet another ascending wedge. The dow recently went on a huge run, I believe 8 green days in a row or something close to that. It topped out near ATH and nearly retested it's ascending channel before becoming extremely weak. It has now breached several support levels and has failed on retests while forming an ascending wedge and closing below on Friday. I expect a gap down on Monday and further downside throughout the week.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by AdvancedPlays
Dow Jones Range Sell High Set UpMy last trade was a loss due to me selling in the middle of the range. Part of trading. On the 4 hour, I have drawn my range better using the orange Buy to Sell box as the top of the range and the May 30th as the bottom. I have marked the green and red dotted lines as stop loss liquidity targets Currently price is in a bullish impulse move higher I will take the aggressive entry with the limit order right under the buy to sell red line. Stop just above with 185 ticks. I am targeting the stops under the red dotted line and about the middle of the range because from there I am not sure where price will go after. I don't want to guess a break out of the downside if it indeed bounces off the middle and breaks out to the upside. If it breaks out to the upside then that will negate my bullflag thesis and I will have to rethink my longer term plan. The conservative entry is when it breaks the bull move's counter trendline in green. What makes me second guess the breakout to the downside is that this range is being stacked on top of the previous range with the May 30th bottom being right AT the middle of the last range. Trade Entry: Limit Sell Order 6 MYM Micros at Price: 40,042 Stop Loss at Price: 40,227 with 185 ticks. Risk: $555.00 Target: 39,172 with 870 ticks Potential Gain: $2,610.00 Potential Risk to Reward: 4.7R Estimated Time For Holding Trade: 3-6 days upon being filled
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by travis18haney
Consolidation and Breakout + SL, TSL and TP Strategy and BotThe Consolidation and Breakout + SL, TSL, and TP Strategy and Bot builds on the indicator by Vulnerable_Human_X Trader Vulnerable_human_x — Trading Ideas & Charts — TradingView . It indicates periods of consolidation and breakouts, and it automates trades on breakout candles. Consolidation represents moments of market indecision when prices remain stable, indicating neither a positive nor negative trend. Typically, after a significant price surge or strong trend movement, the market enters a phase where traders are cautious about potential overbought or oversold conditions. During this period, the market stabilizes before another breakout or trend develops. After identifying consolidation, the next step is to monitor for a potential breakout. This indicator is particularly useful for breakout traders. To identify an inside bar, mark the high and low of a given candle. If subsequent candles do not close above or below this range, they are considered inside bars. This approach helps breakout traders avoid fake outs by ignoring the wicks that extend beyond the initial candle's range and only considering breakouts when the candle closes above or below the range. The bot function automates the use of a static stop loss, trailing stop loss, and take profit. To use this strategy a bot, set up a low-cost Virtual Private Server (VPS) to place trades. Add TradingView alerts, and select Webhooks to connect your broker to the Tradingview. See (4) What types of server's would I need to run a Forex trading platform? - Quora , Trading Stocks with Google Cloud Functions (youtube.com) , and How to setup VPS Servers 🖥️for hosting your Trading Bots 📈 (youtube.com) for set-up information and instructions. Note: The trading bot will only place trades in a live environment in your brokerage account. During testing, this strategy was most effective on MYM (Mini Dow Jones) 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 3-hour, 4-hour timeframes and MNQ (Mini Nasdaq) 4-hour timeframe. Testing yields very high Net Profit and low Max Drawdown.
CBOT_MINI:MYMM2024
by rrjrobinson1
Price Mean Reverting Around 2024's Open. Buy Low Target 120,000Price is oscillating around 2024's open price and is currently forming a bear flag to break down and start the pendulum swing on the other side of the open. This is where I will be looking to start scaling in my Long position for the next 15 years. After it touches down there at 37,000 it will never come back. That will be the prime time to buy. After it reaches price target of 150,000 in 2042, in order for it to reach 37,000 again, it must go through a 75% decline. The only time that has happened in the past was 1929 crash of 90% decline. 2024's Open Price and 2023's Closing Price are exactly the same These will be my next three buys in 2024 Stops will be 800 ticks on the Dow Targets will all be 120,000 price level I will be building my position from now 2024 until about 2040
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
How to pick trades in different market conditionsIn the video I look at two different markets and the resultant setups which yielded the prime trades. The two markets had to be approached in different ways, especially early in the session. I look through the price action on the DOW and then the Nasdaq. The DOW proved to be more clear cut and a trend style approach while the Nasdaq was very choppy and warranted a range or reversion style approach to the trades. Still, both were tradable and produced some good scalps although the action had to be recognised early. ANY QUESTIONS, JUST LEAVE IN THE COMMENTS !! ** If you like the content then take a look at the profile to get more ideas and learning material ** ** Any Comments and likes are greatly appreciated **
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Education
by TradeTheStructure
2
Dow Jones 2024 Daily Chart Spike and Channel Buy Setup 42,000 I made a post yesterday about the rest of 2024 and I have more updated information. This is what I will be playing going forward. A buy set up in a spike and channel with the target of 42,000 by year end. The teal line is the open of the 2024 yearly candle Prices below the teal line is the bottom wick There will be one more lower high and another pullback into the rectangle box I have set before the climb to 42,000 I am anticipating the buy in August That will close the year around a 13% gain from high to low or 4,800 ticks. I have my buy set at 38,774 Stop below the middle line on range box at 38,134 (650 ticks) Target at 42,000 area for (3,400 ticks) Around a 5 to 1 on the daily chart
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by travis18haney
1