Micro E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures (Dec 2025) forum
๏ปฟ๐ฏ Entry: 45,580
โ Stop Loss: 45,548
โ Take Profit 1: 45,700
โ Take Profit 2: 45,765
๐ด Trade Bias: Short (MYMU2025 โ Micro Dow Futures)
๐ฏ Entry: 45,740
โ Stop Loss: 45,772
โ Take Profit 1: 45,610
โ Take Profit 2: 45,560
Start with the long trade setup first
๐ฏ Entry: 44,770
โ Stop Loss: 44,642
โ Take Profit 1: 44,999
โ Take Profit 2: 45,100
Retail & Institutional Sentiment Outlook ๐
Retail Sentiment (% Bullish): 29.9% (down from 34.9% last week, below historical average of 37.5%) ๐
Institutional Sentiment (NAAIM Exposure Index): 85.66 (down from 96.25, indicating reduced bullishness) ๐
Bull-Bear Spread: -16.3 (more bears than bulls, increased from -8.3 last week) ๐ป
Fear & Greed Index ๐จ๐
Current Level: Neutral (no extreme fear or greed detected)
Indicators:
Market momentum and stock price strength show balanced sentiment.
VIX (volatility index) stable, no significant spikes indicating fear.
Safe haven demand (e.g., bonds, gold) not dominant, suggesting no extreme fear.
Fundamental Score ๐
Score: 65/100
Key Factors:
Corporate earnings: 69% of S&P 500 companies beat Q2 revenue estimates, supporting resilience.
Economic data: CPI inline at 0.2% m/m, but hotter PPI (+0.9% vs. 0.2% expected) raises inflation concerns.
Corporate profits and GDP growth remain healthy, supporting fundamentals.
Macro Score ๐
Score: 55/100
Key Factors:
Inflation pressures: Sticky services inflation and rising producer prices suggest upside risks.
Fed policy: 94% chance of a 25bps rate cut in September 2025, but hotter PPI data may cause hesitation.
Consumer sentiment: U. of Michigan Index dropped to 58.6 from 61.7, driven by inflation worries.
Overall Market Outlook ๐๐ป
Score: 60/100 (Neutral, leaning slightly bullish)
Outlook:
Bullish Case (Long): Strong corporate earnings, resilient consumer spending, and expected Fed rate cuts support upside potential.
Bearish Case (Short): Rising inflation, tariff concerns, and cooling labor market pose risks.
Summary: Markets are resilient but cautious due to inflation and policy uncertainty. Near-term consolidation likely, with dip-buying opportunities.
๐ฏ Entry: 45,020
โ Stop Loss: 44,905
โ Take Profit 1: 45,100
โ Take Profit 2: 45,125