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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

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QQQ trade ideas

September Collapse in QQQAfter the April Tariff collapse, the index rose significantly off of the bottom and blew right past prior highs. There is a need to back-test to the $540 range. Further, which the government taking fascist equity positions in publicly traded equities and threatening the independence of the federal reserve, there are black swans looming everywhere. Also, tariffs will soon start impacting inflation, just as cracks are forming in the job market. However, can you really rely on the data since the head of BLS was fired for telling the truth about jobs?
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by RidgeHavenCapital
5
QQQ – Another Channel in Play: Breakout or Breakdown?QQQ has been respecting a series of parallel channels since March of 2023, forming a classic stair-step bullish pattern. Each channel ended with a break below the 10-week SMA. 🔸 Strong Trend Structure ▪ The chart shows five clear ascending parallel channels, each followed by a corrective/downward or sideways phase. ▪ This stair-step structure is characteristic of bullish price action, followed by consolidations, which often signals a healthy uptrend. 🔸 Channel Integrity ▪ Each channel respects its upper and lower bounds well, showing consistent buying pressure and trend continuation. ▪ There are multiple touch points for each upper and lower band, showing price support and resistance levels. ▪ The last channel is slightly narrower than the previous ones, which could imply momentum compression before either: • A breakout (continuation upward). • A breakdown (channel failure and pullback). 🔸 Risk Zone ▪ If QQQ breaks below the channel support and the 10-week moving average, the next likely support zone is around $540–$550. 🔸 Key Levels ▪ Upside Target: If QQQ breaks above the channel, we could see $600+ based on the measured move of prior legs. ▪ Watch volume for confirmation on any breakout attempt. ▪ Support Zone: If the channel fails, $540–$550 is the first major demand area aligned with prior consolidation. 🔸 Trade Ideas ▪ Bullish Bias: Breakout with strong volume, stop below channel support. ▪ Bearish Bias: Breakdown on confirmed move below channel and moving average. Note: This is not investment advice. Do your own research before making any trade decisions. Always conduct your own due diligence before investing. 💡 What do you think – continuation or correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by LevelUpTools
4
QQQ Pure LottoMomentum indicators (like stoch/RSI) are mid-range, so still room either way The dominant developing pattern is an ascending triangle under $580 That favors a bullish breakout if buyers hold $574–$575 If ~$580 fails again, it flips into a short-term pullback What we’ve seen since mid-August looks more like a round bottom recovery than an upside-down “U” The “handle-like” action under $580 is tight & flat, not sloping down That aligns more with an ascending triangle (bullish) than an inverted cup & handle (bearish) If this were a true inverted cup & handle, expect a weak “handle” bounce that fails near resistance before rolling over However, the bounce off $559 hasn’t been shallow; instead, price has climbed into a rising channel That channel is more characteristic of a bearish rising wedge than a handle Rising wedges often resolve lower, but they do climb higher first, sometimes to retest prior resistance ($580–$583) A close above $583 on volume invalidates the bear case Negates the “cup” idea & confirms a breakout A breakdown of the rising wedge (below ~$572 then $568) Aligns with the inverted cup & handle thesis and target ~$559 Right now, a bearish wedge inside the potential inverted cup & handle If it breaks down, it validates the bearish case If it powers through $583, it flips back to bullish continuation Trading a bearish setup inside an uptrend context Inverted cup + wedge is bearish, but bulls still have a chance until $583 is rejected Think of 583 as the “line in the sand” 1. Bearish Case (~55% probability) Head & Shoulders + rising wedge Failure to break/close above $583 Target $568 (neckline) If sellers press, $550–$555 with a full measured move to ~$532, but may need a macro shock to hit 2. Bullish Case (≈40% probability) Strong breakout & hold above $583 Squeeze toward $590 (prior resistance) If momentum + AI narrative revives, $605–$607 Would represent a sentiment shift 3. Neutral/Chop (≈5% probability) Sideways consolidation $570–$580 Economic data this week comes mixed results in no conviction $583 is the decision point & $568 is the neckline where bears are in control NVDA earnings reaction + economic data (jobs, inflation) If rally is on weak volume, likely a bull trap The market leans bearish unless bulls can decisively close >$583
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
1
QQQ Potential Inflection PointSymmetrical triangle = compression where buyers keep stepping in higher, but sellers cap at lower levels Often a continuation pattern, but it can break either way depending on volume + macro drivers MACD just had a bearish cross earlier, but it’s trying to curl back up which suggests indecision & matches the triangle RSI is holding mid-zone (~45) - not oversold, not overbought, again, neutral compression In a proper symmetrical triangle, volume should decline as the pattern compresses This shows traders waiting, fewer willing to commit inside the chop That looks normal here (quieter trading into late August) Volume must expand; otherwise it’s just a fake-out; ideally, RSI also breaks under ~40 & MACD diverges down If price falls back inside the triangle on weak volume, it’s a false move If price reclaims the ascending line quickly, it’s a bear trap If the breakout candle volume is ≥150% of average, that’s confirmation If price moves but volume stays weak, expect a possible reversal Watch the first 15–30 min of volume after the break If it’s a strong surge, odds favor continuation If volume fades and price chops back inside the triangle, it’s likely a fake-out Price broke down through the ascending support trendline around ~$572, currently testing $570 Volume expanded on the breakdown candle which adds credibility to the move If follow-through comes with continued above-average volume, it confirms the downside break Triangle height is ~24 points (from ~$583 high to ~$559 low), so $570 – $24 = ~$546 (aligns with prior support from mid-August) If volume continues to stay above 1.3M baseline & Tuesday closes weak, expect sellers to aim for ~$558 first (previous swing low) & then the measured move (~$546) Direction = which line breaks (up/down) Strength = whether volume surges beyond normal Bulls need a fast reclaim of $572–$573 on strong volume; otherwise, bears keep control
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
1
QQQ Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear friends, QQQ looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 570.30 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 572.83 Recommended Stop Loss - 568.90 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
2
QQQ Bearish vs Bullish Continuation A bull flag needs 3 key ingredients 1. Flagpole (strong impulsive move up) • QQQ ran from ~$563 (5 Aug) to ~$583 (14 Aug) 2. Flag (controlled consolidation) • The consolidation after 14 Aug hasn’t just been a tight downward drift; instead, QQQ dropped sharply to ~$563 (not shallow, that’s a full retrace) • Bounced, but then chopped sideways inside a descending channel • It looks more like a bearish channel than a neat flag that’s hugging the 50% retrace level 3. Volume & structure • In a bull flag, you want volume drying up during the pullback • The selling volume stayed heavy at times • The “flag” portion is wider, choppier & longer in time than a bull flag (which is usually 1/3 the length of the pole) This pattern is flag-like, but it leans closer to a descending channel/consolidation than a bull flag • If bulls can break $575 on rising volume, it becomes a flag breakout • If QQQ slips under $568, then it invalidates the bull flag & resolves bearish (a continuation of the down-channel) It can be a bull flag, but right now it’s an ambiguous consolidation that will only prove itself with a breakout over $575 • If QQQ breaks $575 with conviction, the projected target = $583 + $20 = ~$603
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
QQQ Battlefield Map1. Immediate Support Holds (~55%) QQQ consolidates above current levels A push above $583.32 (recent high) would confirm bullish continuation $589–$590 or retest of envelope top/channel resistance $600 is a round-number magnet & could trigger breakout momentum Extension to $607–$610, based on measured move from the last swing Biggest shelf (high-volume node) is $565–$575 This matches where QQQ has been consolidating with lots of buyers & sellers 2. Break Below $560s (~35%) Signals loss of short-term momentum Eyes turn toward $540 (23.6% Fib) - first real downside test Major support in the area of $529–$540 100d SMA ($529) + Fib ($540) is a critical test Bounces & dip-buyers defend trend Failure & trend weakens significantly Secondary shelf at $520–$530 perfectly lines up with Fib 38.2% ($514) & 100d SMA Low-volume gap at $545–$555 If QQQ breaks under $565, it can slide fast into this pocket before stabilizing at $540/$530 3. Deeper Downside (~10% - unless macro shock) $493 (50% Fib) is midpoint retrace, strong demand area (if market turns risk-off, this is the magnet ) $472 (61.8% Fib) is the golden ratio area of support If this breaks, trend structure flips bearish with risk toward $440–$433
NASDAQ:QQQ
by pakoumal
QQQ LongLooking at QQQ on the 15-minute chart, the broader market structure has shifted from bearish to more balanced after a deep selloff earlier in the month. The sharp decline created a series of lower lows until buyers stepped in aggressively around 560, forming a clear Change of Character (CHoCH) as the downtrend stalled. Since then, the structure has transitioned into higher lows, with price now pushing back toward prior supply levels. The most recent rally suggests buyers have regained momentum, though the major Break of Structure (BOS) needed to confirm a full trend reversal would come above 583.32. The key supply zones sit between 576–578 and higher up at 580–582, both of which previously sent price lower with strong rejections. These are significant resistance areas where sellers showed control, and they remain strong supply zones until decisively broken. On the demand side, the 570–571 region has proven itself as a solid base, where buyers stepped in with strength on multiple retests. Deeper demand sits closer to 561–563, which sparked the strongest bullish reaction, making it the most reliable support zone if tested again. Within the marked region, price is pressing into the 576 supply, showing a small pause but not yet a full rejection. The price action suggests buyers may allow a shallow pullback toward 572–573 before attempting another push into the 577–580 zone. If demand holds on that pullback, continuation higher into the upper supply looks likely. However, if 570 is lost, that would be a sign of weakness and could shift the short-term bias back toward sellers. Trade bias: Short-term bullish Expected direction: A continuation higher into 577–580 supply, possibly after a shallow pullback Invalidation level: A decisive break below 570 demand would flip the bias bearish Momentum condition: Buyers currently hold the edge, with clean higher lows and strong candles on impulses Price behavior: Consolidation under supply, signaling accumulation before the next test higher
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ProSignalai
$BTC 4-Year Cycle Is NOT Dead According to $QQQ $SPXIt’s really weird cause everyone keeps telling me the ₿itcoin 4-year cycle is dead yet Nasdaq and S&P 500 follow nearly the exact same pattern with cycle lows 🤓 It’s almost as-if monetary and fiscal policy creates this boom and bust cycle every 4-years 🤔 Question for the “this time is different people”…. Will NASDAQ:QQQ and SP:SPX not have similar bear markets as we’ve seen in the past along with CRYPTOCAP:BTC ?
NASDAQ:QQQ
by jonnieking
QQQ The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for QQQ is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 572.02 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 567.03 My Stop Loss - 574.78 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Qqq... Done or one more ?So in my previous post I mentioned Qqq tagged its 16 year trendline resistance Zoomed in and circled last 3 touches From 583 to 559 in one week. Now Zoomed to see the last 2month price action and you'll see we hammered off our summer channel support So with Powell speaking tomorrow i think we will be at a cross roads where either we will make 1 more high before sept or the move is done already. Let me explain In my last post (See link) I explained the tech Sectors and that they where signaling a top and here we are a week later. The 2 biggest tech Sectors NASDAQ:SMH (Chips) AMEX:XLK ( aapl , msft) Are both Showing a topping pattern called Wyckoff distribution.. This pattern is pretty much a conformation that Sept will be UGLY and Qqq will close gap at 530 minimum But I've said all this before in my last post.. This post is about the possibility of a bounce to 589-600 in the last week of August. It all comes down to Powell tomorrow.. if Qqq closes back over 571 or 20sma tomorrow then I would be leaning towards one more of 589-600.. 589 would be a tag of that yellow trendline which is that 16yr resistance. 600 would be extreme fawkery and a push back up to the top of the summer channel. Qqq has faked out twice before over that monthly trendline . I circled the last 2 fakeouts here So if Qqq and tech Sectors push back over their 20sma and close the week above it then I'd flip long for the last week of August then come back after labor day weekend with puts in mind. If Powell causes a sell and we close below 563 then disregard this post.. The next best short entry is below 557.00 Core pce and NVDA earnings are catalyst next week. Risky longs below 20sma.. Either wait for a break above 570.00 Or long 563-564.. If you long 563 then be willing to add to your position up into 559.00 Stop loss below 558.00 If you long above 570 them be willing to add to your position up into 567 Stop loss below 566 Over 570 and 576.50 comes Over 581 and we will head to a new high Trade idea If this goes up then I like NASDAQ:GOOGL calls with a target of 210.00 for the last leg up. See my link Entry above 197.50 (20sma) Stop loss below 195.00 1st Target 202.50 2nd target 210.00
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ContraryTrader
10