QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 090325Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 570/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find an entry-level position. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of the slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over the 61.80% level, that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, TradingView provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with the fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill of to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low points of rising stocks.
If you prefer long-term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day
QQQ trade ideas
QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!QQQ 15m: Critical Support - Breakdown Watch!
The QQQ 15m chart shows price consolidating above a key support level. If it breaks and sustains below this level, a bearish move is likely. The next target in such a scenario would be the 565 retest area. For any bearish positioning, a stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
return to support provides uptrend continuation entry1->3 : a higher high shows
dominance of number 2 buyers
3->4 : return to dominant buyers
what do I think will happen next?
* rsi and mfi hidden bull and oversold
*obv seems to be continuing uptrend
showing continued buying interest
* buying trade with protection of number 2
buyers is a sensable move that can be
articulated
QQQ : Stay heavy on positionsQQQ : Stay heavy on positions (QLD, TQQQ)
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ: Long Signal Explained
QQQ
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long QQQ
Entry - 570.32
Sl - 568.90
Tp - 572.98
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โค๏ธ Please, support our work with like & comment! โค๏ธ
QQQ (29 August)A strong red bar, almost full body, closing near its low - thatโs a bearish marubozu-type candle (pattern signals a powerful downward price movement & suggests the continuation of a downtrend or a strong potential reversal from an uptrend), which means sellers in control
Prior small-bodied candles with upper wicks around $576โ$578 look like stalling candles/spinning tops or indecision near resistance
Earlier in the bounce (21-27 August), a string of green candles climbing steadily - thatโs a rising three method-style move (short-term bullish continuation/essentially a "bull flag" formation), but it has now broken with that big red bar
This looks like a bearish engulfing setup where the latest red candle completely wipes out several of the prior green candlesโ progress, so it suggests buyers lost control at ~$576โ$578 & momentum has shifted back to sellers
Signals 1โ2 more red days unless quickly negated
The strong close near the lows suggests sellers want to press further right away (no bounce intraday)
If Tuesday continues below $570, that confirms the short-term breakdown
Near-term = bearish pressure (engulfing + strong close at lows)
Swing = risk of a retest of $564 to $558, unless buyers immediately step back in & reclaim $576
QQQ Break or Fail?Bullish Breakout
QQQ breaks and holds above $575
Calls with tight expiry (if momentum is strong) or slightly further out for safer time decay
Needs broad tech confirmation (NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, META & etc)
Bearish Rejection
QQQ fails to push above $575 and stalls
Puts with tight expiry for momentum, or stagger entries to scale in
If NVDAโs earnings fade spreads to semis, this path gains momentum
Current Bias
Momentum is mid-stochastic (not overbought/oversold)
That means the $575 zone is the decision point
The trade will likely set up today/tomorrow - break or fail
QQQ : Stay heavy on positions.Currently in a short-term bounce signal zone. Maintaining the same outlook as before.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ Binary Setup Around PivotBias slightly bullish as long as $570 holds, but QQQ has been fading end of day, so morning strength needs confirmation
If QQQ holds above 5$70 pre-market/first hour, risk/reward favors calls
If QQQ loses $569 pivot with volume, momentum shifts down
Whichever side wins $569/$570 will likely carry the session
QQQ Technical Outlook โ Symmetrical Triangle After Pullback๐ QQQ Technical Outlook โ Symmetrical Triangle After Pullback
Ticker: QQQ (Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF)
Timeframe: 30-minute candles
๐ Current Setup
QQQ has been in a strong uptrend since June, peaking around ~582 before pulling back. Price is now consolidating into a symmetrical triangle, with:
Descending resistance: from ~582 down toward current ~572.
Ascending support: from June lows, now near 563โ565.
Current price: ~572, sitting right near the apex.
This structure suggests compression ahead of a breakout move.
๐ Breakout Levels
๐ Upside (Bullish Scenario)
Trigger: Break and close above 575โ577.
Intermediate Targets:
582โ585 โ Prior highs.
590 โ Extension zone.
Measured Move Target: ~600 (triangle height projection).
๐ป Downside (Bearish Scenario)
Trigger: Break below 565, with confirmation under 563.
Intermediate Supports:
555โ552 โ First demand zone.
540โ542 โ Stronger support.
Measured Move Target: ~545 (triangle height projection downward).
๐ Volume Analysis
Volume has contracted during this triangle โ classic consolidation behavior.
Expect a volume expansion to confirm the breakout direction.
โ๏ธ Probability Bias
The trend into the pattern was bullish, favoring continuation higher.
Still, failure to defend 565 could quickly open downside risk toward 552โ545.
โ
Takeaway
QQQ is at a major decision point inside a symmetrical triangle:
Bullish Break > 577: Targets 582 โ 590 โ 600
Bearish Break < 565: Targets 555 โ 545
QQQ day & hr reviewWatch these new soft lows. Lower Highs.
Hr chart shows a band to band play within the BB... nice.
Day reflects double wicks w/ HL... bullish. The close was a bit of a rejection... makes sense as the BB are right there. Let's see if we pullback Mon/Tues of next week.
*NVDA & BABA earnings next week. Will be watching....
Have a great weekend. What do you see?
Bullish Pattern: V-Shape + Shakeout with Strong RSI SignalOn the QQQ weekly chart, a recurring bullish pattern has emerged multiple times over the last years:
1) V-shape recoveries followed by Cup & Handle formations and then a shakeout, all of which preceded powerful upside moves (highlighted with arrows and circles).
2) Each time the weekly RSI touched the 30 zone , it triggered a strong bullish rally. This happened three times in the past (2018, 2020, 2022) and just occurred again in March/April 2025.
3) Both times the Cup & Handle pattern formed, the RSI found support around the 45 level.
This suggests that QQQ may be setting up for another bullish leg if history repeats itself.
๐ Key Takeaways:
Weekly RSI bouncing from oversold (30 zone)
Recurrent V-Shape + Cup & Handle + Shakeout bullish pattern
Strong rallies historically followed this setup
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice โ purely a technical pattern study.
QQQ Fear-Adjusted Momentum GaugeThis is a fear-adjusted momentum gauge
A higher ratio = strong risk appetite (bullish for QQQ)
A lower ratio = stress (bearish for QQQ)
Big rallies in QQQ (January to July 2024 & May to August 2025) coincided with QQQ/VIX trending upward
Price gains were stronger than implied volatility
Whenever QQQ/VIX rolled over (August to October 2024 & January to March 2025), QQQ sold off hard
QQQ price sometimes โlingered flatโ at first, but the ratio gave an early risk-off warning
As of late August 2025, the ratio is at +28%, near upper resistance zone where rallies have previously stalled
QQQ price itself is consolidating near highs
If the ratio holds above +20% and pushes higher, this confirms a risk-on continuation
If it rolls back below +20%, this is a warning of correction, even if QQQ is still flat
Ratio rising from neutral (~0%) into +20โ40%, which confirms healthy momentum with low fear; however, the ratio is falling while QQQ still up (divergence)
Sharp drops below 0% (volatility leading) indicates strong downside risk
QQQ/VIX is elevated, confirming risk-on, but at a spot where past rallies faded
Suggests short-term cautious bullish bias, but watch for reversal in ratio which would precede a QQQ pullback
QQQ (22 August)Monday is binary
If momentum pushes through $575 early, calls can run toward $580โ$583 quickly
$575 is a decision point - break & run to $583, or fade back to $568
Powell hint already absorbed so the next big movers include economic data mid-week (jobs, inflation reads) & tech leadership (NVDA moves will matter)
QQQ Post Powell Move w/ Range ExpansionQQQ closing right in the middle of the down channel at ~$563, which is a key battleground ahead of Powell
Whatโs โdevelopingโ is either a base at $563 (could support a bounce) or a bear flag (if bounce fails)
1. Dovish Tilt (hinting at cuts/easing)
Dollar & yields drop, then QQQ rallies
Break above $566, tests $570 quickly
If $570 breaks, upside gap-fill to $575โ$577 possible
2. Neutral (balanced/data-dependent)
Market chops inside $561โ$570 range
Expect whipsaws; QQQ likely oscillates around $563 pivot line until close
3. Hawkish (higher-for-longer/inflation worry)
Dollar & yields rip higher
QQQ loses $561, then flush toward ~$558
If momentum builds, $553โ$555 opens fast
Qqq... Done or one more ?So in my previous post I mentioned
Qqq tagged its 16 year trendline resistance
Zoomed in and circled last 3 touches
From 583 to 559 in one week.
Now Zoomed to see the last 2month price action and you'll see we hammered off our summer channel support
So with Powell speaking tomorrow i think we will be at a cross roads where either we will make 1 more high before sept or the move is done already.
Let me explain
In my last post (See link)
I explained the tech Sectors and that they where signaling a top and here we are a week later.
The 2 biggest tech Sectors
NASDAQ:SMH (Chips)
AMEX:XLK ( aapl , msft)
Are both Showing a topping pattern called Wyckoff distribution..
This pattern is pretty much a conformation that Sept will be UGLY and Qqq will close gap at 530 minimum
But I've said all this before in my last post..
This post is about the possibility of a bounce to 589-600 in the last week of August.
It all comes down to Powell tomorrow.. if Qqq closes back over 571 or 20sma tomorrow then I would be leaning towards one more of 589-600..
589 would be a tag of that yellow trendline which is that 16yr resistance.
600 would be extreme fawkery and a push back up to the top of the summer channel.
Qqq has faked out twice before over that monthly trendline . I circled the last 2 fakeouts here
So if Qqq and tech Sectors push back over their 20sma and close the week above it then I'd flip long for the last week of August then come back after labor day weekend with puts in mind.
If Powell causes a sell and we close below 563 then disregard this post..
The next best short entry is below 557.00
Core pce and NVDA earnings are catalyst next week.
Risky longs below 20sma..
Either wait for a break above 570.00
Or long 563-564..
If you long 563 then be willing to add to your position up into 559.00
Stop loss below 558.00
If you long above 570 them be willing to add to your position up into 567
Stop loss below 566
Over 570 and 576.50 comes
Over 581 and we will head to a new high
Trade idea
If this goes up then I like NASDAQ:GOOGL calls with a target of 210.00 for the last leg up. See my link
Entry above 197.50 (20sma)
Stop loss below 195.00
1st Target 202.50
2nd target 210.00
QQQ , Stay heavy on positions. QLD or TQQQ , Stay heavy on positions.
Same view as before. No change.
A signal for catching a bounce has emerged.
The bounce signal reflects a swing-to-intraday view and is not tied to the broader trend.
In stay light on positions zones, I hold QQQ and reduce exposure.
In stay heavy on positions zones, I increase allocation using a mix of QLD and TQQQ.
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
QQQ Bearish ContinuationFade into resistance at $567โ$569, cover into $559โ$555 & flip bullish only if $570+ is reclaimed
If QQQ rejects $568โ$569 & rolls, target $562, then $559โ$558 (channel bottom)
Breakdown below $558 opens $555โ$553 extension
If QQQ can reclaim and close above $570, it breaks the channel mid-line and attacks $575โ$577 (upper channel)
Only above $577+ do bulls get control back
NQ โ Nasdaq follows the witchโs SPY prophecyNot only is the S&P 500 following the oracle in the SPY, but the Nasdaq has also given us a short signal. So, the scenario is the same as with SPY: short down to the Centerline.
For the indicator traders, Iโve also added the EMA(10) and EMA(20). Look at how well theyโve provided support so far. If the EMA(20) cracks, things will get hot. And if the CIB line (Change In Behavior) also breaks, then all hell breaks loose!
As already mentioned in the SPY post, it wouldnโt be a shame to take at least 50% of the profits youโve accumulated so far. Because if it goes further up, e.g. above the U-MLH, you still have 50% left to benefit. If it goes down, weโve already bagged 50%.
BTW: At the 1/4 line, we can usually expect support.
Exciting times, when maybe itโs better to sit still and keep your hands to yourself.
Iโll create the YT video with details tomorrow.
Happy profits to you all!