UPDATEFriday we closed on the breakeven after that the price reached our 50% level of the trade, so our TP was raised to the breakeven.
Follow for more trades to catch up the next week!
US100 trade ideas
US100 makes a slight drop from ATH!Price dropped from the all time high of 23,703 we’re beginning to see a pullback in price. We’d be monitoring a time price will shift from intraday bearish to bullish. This is to help us position ourselves for a buy opportunity.
NAS100 - Potential Targets this WeekDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
(My week is building up; I'm using the DATA we have thus far)
Keynotes:
510k orders stacked at the current demand area.
If sellers push through Daily support decisively, it will become a strong resistance.
The real battlefield between sellers and buyer lies between 23250 - 23500.
Remember with stocks, Imbalances can remain unfilled for very long periods.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
Sunday Premarket AnalysisWe will likely hit the 4H FVG not too far above where price left off on Friday.
Then head all the way down take July's low and hit the area below that
because there is a BIG FAT juicy MONTHLY, WEEKLY && DAILY FVG
sitting directly under the July monthly low. We will likely hit all three or maybe just 2
of these FVG's and then head up for super big push, bullish into at least the first week of September. Keep in mind Jackson Hole Symposium is mid month-ish also.
US100The US100, also known as the Nasdaq 100 Index, tracks the performance of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange, primarily in the technology, consumer services, and healthcare sectors. It is a market-capitalization-weighted index and includes major corporations such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Alphabet. As a tech-heavy index, the US100 is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates, innovation cycles, investor sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators, especially those related to inflation, employment, and monetary policy.
Over the past two decades, the Nasdaq 100 has experienced strong long-term growth, driven by the expansion of the digital economy, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and e-commerce. After a steep correction in 2022 caused by inflation concerns and aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the index rebounded in 2023 and 2024, supported by improving macroeconomic conditions, a stabilization in interest rates, and renewed investor confidence in tech and growth stocks. AI-driven investments, semiconductor breakthroughs, and tech-led productivity gains have further fueled its momentum.
As of August 2025, the US100 is trading at 22,747, marking a new historical high. This reflects strong earnings performance from major tech companies, continued innovation in AI and automation, and a more dovish outlook from the Federal Reserve, which has helped reduce pressure on growth equities. Despite its gains, the index remains vulnerable to volatility stemming from inflation surprises, geopolitical risks, and shifts in central bank policy. The Nasdaq 100 continues to be a key benchmark for growth-oriented investors and a barometer for the health of the global tech sector.
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23050
Resistance Level 2: 43190
Resistance Level 3: 43430
Support Level 1: 22500
Support Level 2: 22333
Support Level 3: 22080
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 - The Stench of Insider Trading on Colossal Scale!!Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
This is just my observation on 12HR TF.
I need Monday's Pre-NYSE data to give a more detailed analysis on smaller TF.
The BEAR signal arrived, and what a monster it is!
Keynote:
Fundamentally something was very off, specifically regarding stocks.
Even though - yes, tariff uncertainty, massively overbought technically.
It had the aroma of serious insider trading profit taking pre-NFP!
I can't help but feel it was a massive exactly timed profit grab
Stocks hardly moved on the event itself...think about it
Also, I believe the labor figures was seriously cooked!!!
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ | BEARISHNASDAQ has retraced after hitting its top.A parabolic downward shift and an obvious bearish trend tend to print a LH.It may form an ABCD pattern and a sell stop order may be placed at the breakout of LL.
Nasdaq is retracing to lower channal line.Nasdaq is retracing to lower channal line. This fall is attributed to Tarrif war.
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span.
This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders:
Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond?
🔻 Key Observations:
Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure.
Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines.
Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior.
Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
NAS100 – Sharp Breakdown After Tariffs & Jobs Data MissAfter a macro-driven selloff, NAS100 broke decisively below 23,025.0, taking out prior structure and confirming bearish pressure. The drop followed two key catalysts:
📉 Jobs Report Miss: Only 73K jobs added in July vs 200K+ expected — signals a slowing economy.
📛 Tariff Shock: President Trump imposed new tariffs on 90+ countries, up to 41%, rattling global sentiment.
Support at: 22,870.0 🔽 & 22,640.0
Resistance at: 23,025.0 🔼 & 23,200.0
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained strength above 22,870 with momentum could aim for 23,025 retest.
🔽 Bearish: Rejection below 23,025 or break under 22,870 opens space to 22,640 and possibly 22,518.
🎯 Let the dust settle – market could still be digesting the shock.
📛 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Nasdaq US100 Wave 3 Expansion Toward 31,606 in PlayNasdaq US100 has completed a significant wave cycle with a confirmed wave 1 in the broader Elliott Wave structure. Following this, price underwent a corrective wave 2 that extended from the $22,237 supply zone down to $16,334, marking the conclusion of the previous cycle’s correction. This structure now signals the initiation of a fresh upward impulse, setting the stage for a powerful wave 3 advance.
The emergence of wave 3 will gain full confirmation once price successfully breaks above the external supply zone, reclaiming $22,237. If this breakout occurs with sustained momentum, the wave 3 projection targets an expansion toward $31,606, which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension from the prior cycle. This forthcoming rally is anticipated to unfold in a five-subwave format, indicative of a high-momentum bullish leg.
As long as price action remains above the key support at $16,334, the bullish cycle remains valid. All eyes should now be on the breakout structure and volume profile around $22,237, as it represents the gateway to a much broader impulsive move.
OUR TRADE TODAY ON NASDAQBeen a while since I last posted here, today I’m sharing with you our trade we took 15min ago with an RR of 3
Follow for more
NAS100 - BUYHuge drop as expected today. Now that we are reaching its key level of interest, I will wait for a buy confirmation to take our last nights highs.
NASDAQ & NFP- I expect BullishnessHello fellow traders,
Today is NFP and I expect a bulishness as per my PD Arrays analysis. Lets se if it words out.
I have higlighted all important PD Arrays in my chart, keep an eye.
NSDQ100 ahead of US Employment data After the US close, Apple and Amazon posted mixed results:
Apple rose ~2% after-hours on a strong revenue beat ($94bn vs $89.3bn est.) and broad-based growth, especially in China — its first sales increase there in two years.
Amazon fell after projecting weaker Q3 operating profits ($15.5–$20.5bn vs $19.4bn est.) and showing slower cloud growth than competitors, raising concerns over its AI strategy.
These results pulled NASDAQ 100 futures down by -0.20%, as investors digested disappointing Amazon guidance despite Apple’s strength.
Additional Drivers:
US July Jobs Report due today may add volatility. Slower payroll growth (+75k est.) and a rise in the unemployment rate (to 4.2%) could support a dovish Fed narrative.
Trump’s Global Tariff Announcement added macro uncertainty, with sharp tariff hikes on countries with trade surpluses, including a 35% hit to Canada and 39% to Switzerland. This weighs on global trade sentiment.
Pharma Pressure: Trump is also targeting drugmakers on pricing. AstraZeneca hinted at unsustainability, suggesting regulatory risk may be rising for the sector.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 Trading:
The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 faces near-term downside pressure, driven by Amazon’s weak outlook, broader macro headwinds from tariffs, and potential labor market softness. However, Apple's strong China rebound and stabilizing consumer trends (e.g., Target) offer some support. Expect choppy trade as markets await clarity from the jobs report and tariff policy impact.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23424
Resistance Level 2: 23565
Resistance Level 3: 23720
Support Level 1: 22815
Support Level 2: 22673
Support Level 3: 22500
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100 LongElite Analysis
This analysis is not executable ONLY UNTIL we get a BOS on the 10m time frame.
(Potential BOS is identified on chart)
Once we get the BOS, we execute from the 10m OB.
Targeting upper liquidity pools.
Nasdaq Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ):The Nasdaq index experienced a sharp decline yesterday and today, currently testing the 22,950 USD level.
1️⃣ If the price breaks below 22,950 USD and holds, it may lead to further downside toward 22,680 USD as an initial target, followed by 22,400 USD.
2️⃣ On the other hand, if strong buying momentum drives the price above 23,170 USD and holds, we could see a move toward 23,350 USD, and potentially 23,700 USD.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is not financial advice. It is recommended to monitor the markets and carefully analyze the data before making any investment decisions.
USNAS100 - Tech Weakness & Tariffs Drag NASDAQ LowerTariff Day Pressure Builds as Amazon Miss Weighs on Markets
Markets were hit by a wave of risk-off sentiment on Friday as renewed tariff headlines, weakness in pharma stocks, and a disappointing earnings report from Amazon clouded investor confidence. All this comes just ahead of the U.S. jobs report, which is expected to challenge the market's already diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts.
While macro markets appeared resilient earlier in the week, Wall Street futures and global equities turned cautious as sentiment deteriorated.
NASDAQ – Technical Outlook
The NASDAQ has dropped nearly 850 points from its recent all-time high of 23690, as anticipated in previous updates. The index remains under bearish pressure.
For today, the market is expected to remain sensitive due to recent macro and earnings-driven volatility.
If the price breaks below 22875, the decline is likely to extend toward 22710, with a deeper support zone at 22615.
To shift back to a bullish bias, the index must break and close above 23045 on the 1H chart.
Support Levels: 22875 • 22710 • 22615
Resistance Levels: 23140 • 23240 • 23320
Bias: Bearish while below 23045
Bullish confirmation: 1H close above 23045
NDX – Double Top & Divergence (H4, D FRL Setup)Hello friends! It's time for our beloved Nasdaq index to cool down. I expect a correction amid the strengthening of the dollar.
H4: clear Double Top forming near 23,000.
Daily: bearish MACD divergence confirms momentum shift.
📐 FRL (H4): neckline at 23,000, perfectly aligned with 100 SMA on H4.
🎯 Target: 0.618 Fib retracement at 20,500 – confluence with 100 & 200 SMA on Daily and strong horizontal support.
Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market.
🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias.
🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you.
📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
Top in Place? NASDAQ100 Signals Exhaustion After Incredible Run📈 The crazy run since April
NASDAQ100 has had a spectacular run since early April, when the index dipped to 16,300 amid rising tensions caused by Trump’s tax war. From that low, we’ve seen a mind-blowing rally of over 7,000 points, which translates to a 40% gain in just 4 months.
Such a rise is not just impressive— it’s overextended , especially by historical standards. Markets don’t move in straight lines forever, and this one might be showing signs of fatigue.
🕯️ Bearish signal at the top
Fast forward to this week: yesterday, the index marked a new all-time high at 23,700, but closed the day with a strong bearish engulfing candle — one that wipes out the gains of the previous 4 trading sessions.
This is not a small technical detail. Such candles, when appearing after an extended rally, often signal exhaustion and a potential shift in momentum.
❗ Top in place?
In my opinion, there's a high probability that a top has been set, at least temporarily. We might be looking at the beginning of a healthy correction, or even something more meaningful, depending on follow-through in the next sessions.
📉 Where to next?
The first major support to watch is the 22,200 level.
I expect that zone to be tested soon — and honestly, considering how much the index has gone up, this shouldn’t surprise anyone. It’s nothing more than a minor pullback, all things considered.
🧠 Stay smart!
When markets go vertical, it pays to stay disciplined and realistic. Tops rarely announce themselves, but when signals like this appear, it’s wise to listen.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
