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US100 trade ideas

US 100 – All Eyes on the NVIDIA Earnings UpdateLast week was a challenging one for US 100 traders who had to negotiate a period of increased volatility caused by concerns of the development of an AI bubble leading to over extended valuations for key technology companies, and then a headline speech from Federal Reserve Chairman Powell at the Jackson Hole symposium where he hinted at the potential for rate cuts later in the year. This saw prices drop 3% from opening levels at 23745 on Monday August 18th down to lows of 22970 on August 20th, before rebounding strongly on Friday, back up to current levels around 23545 (0730 BST). While the potential for Fed rate cuts may still be an important driver for the US 100 index, traders are waiting for key future economic data updates to provide more clarity on whether a 25bps (0.25%) cut is possible when the Fed meet next on September 17th. Before then traders will be waiting on the Friday August 29th PCE Index release, (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge), Friday September 5th Non-farm Payrolls release, especially given how Chairman Powell indicated a link between the health of the US labour market and potential rate cuts, and then the next US CPI update on Thursday September 11th. This data waiting game means volatility for the US 100 index could be determined this week by details provided by NVIDIA in their Q2 earnings update which is due after the market close later today. NVIDIA is the world’s biggest company by market capitalisation (circa $4.4 trillion) and is considered the bellwether for AI demand and revenue performance. While traders may be focused on judging actual earnings performance against expectations, they could also be looking for reassurance regarding the strength of AI spending, as a more cautious outlook for future earnings could bring a negative reaction to AI stocks in the US 100. Being prepared for an extended period of volatility in the US 100 index may be a wise move. Technical Update: Still Positive Sentiment into NVIDIA Earnings? Although the US 100 index entered a correction phase from the August 13th high of 23986 to the August 20th low of 22970, the overall positive trend that began at the April 7th low of 16290, appears to remain intact. As the chart above shows, since the April 7th low, the US 100 index has traced out a pattern of higher highs and higher lows in price. This suggests positive sentiment, with buyers appearing at higher levels after each pullback. As long as this pattern of rising lows continues, the outlook could be viewed as skewing risks toward further attempts at upward movement in price. While positive sentiment does currently appear to remain in place, NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings report has the potential to shift market sentiment. Therefore, it’s important to identify and monitor the next key support and resistance levels to be prepared in case an increase in volatility develops. Potential Support Levels: After finding support at 22970 on August 20th, traders are likely still watching this level. As long as prices continue to close above 22970, a more positive outlook could still be viewed as valid. However, a negative reaction to NVIDIA earnings if seen, may result in closes below this support level, even signal a sentiment shift toward the possibility of further price declines. While a break below 22970 doesn’t guarantee further price weakness, it could open the door toward a test of 22678, the August 1st low, and potentially even 21375, which marks the June 23rd downside extreme. Potential Resistance Levels: Following the recent rebound from the August 20th low of 22970, the first key resistance is likely to be the all-time high of 23986 set on August 13th. A close above this resistance level at 23986 could signal improving momentum and the potential for further attempts at price strength. If this break is sustained, traders may start to focus on levels at 24,421 and 24,665, corresponding to the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci extension levels, respectively. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100 Bearish Reversal from Supply Zone – Short SetupThe NAS100 (1H chart) is trading within a channel structure marked by a rejection line (resistance) and a support line. Price recently broke below the EMA (70 & 200), showing bearish momentum. Supply Zone (POI): 23,524 – 23,637, where price may retest before further decline (potential short entry zone). Trend: Current momentum is bearish after rejection from channel resistance. Support/Target: Main downside target is 22,979 – 22,905, aligning with previous swing low and Fibonacci extension area. EMA Strategy: Price below both 70 & 200 EMA indicates bearish trend continuation. Structure Break: Breakdown of channel support suggests sellers are in control. 📌 Trading Plan: Entry (Sell Zone): 23,524 – 23,637 (POI Supply Zone) Stop Loss: Above 23,640 (channel resistance) Target: 22,979 – 22,905 Conclusion: Market is in bearish structure. Wait for pullback to supply zone for a high-probability short entry, targeting the lower support zone.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by MR_JOHN144
Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413. I expect the price to make a move down toward this level. The chart is kept simple — no unnecessary indicators — because the most important element here is the VWAP line, which also aligns with the manipulation zone where bigger players often create false moves. If the market falls into the 23,413 zone, I’ll be watching closely for reactions and possible reversal setups. ⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View: This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything. In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, and hiding real risks. Trading is never guaranteed — every trader must make their own decisions and manage risk properly. My chart here is only my personal analysis and opinion, shared for educational purposes. 👉 Do you also want me to add targets (like 23,600 or 23,930) and possible stop-loss placement to make it look more complete for TradingView readers? You said: yes ChatGPT said: Perfect 👍 Here’s the expanded TradingView idea with entry, targets, and stop placement included: 📉 Nasdaq 100 – Key Entry Line at 23,413 On this chart, my main focus is the entry line at 23,413. I expect the market to fall into this level, which I see as both the VWAP line and a potential manipulation zone used by bigger players. Plan: 📍 Entry zone: around 23,413 🎯 Target 1: 23,600 (first reaction level) 🎯 Target 2: 23,930 (upper resistance and recent highs) 🛑 Stop-loss: below 23,300 (invalidation of setup) The chart is intentionally kept simple, without unnecessary indicators, to highlight the importance of this single level. ⚠️ Disclaimer & Personal View: This is not a signal service and I am not selling anything. In my opinion, many signal providers fool their customers by showing only winning trades, promising unrealistic win rates, or using tricks like martingale strategies that can blow accounts. Trading always involves risk. What I share here is only my personal analysis and opinion, not financial advice.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Rendon1
NSDQ100 corrective pullback support at 23420US Macro: Q2 headline PCE revised down: +2.0% (vs +2.1%), core PCE steady: +2.5%. Jobless claims: 229k (vs 230k), continuing 1.954m (vs 1.966m). → Soft-landing narrative reinforced, easing recession fears. US Equities: S&P 500 +0.32% → 3rd straight gain, fresh ATH. NASDAQ +0.53% led by tech. Nvidia -0.79% on slowing revenue growth post-earnings. Europe: STOXX 600 -0.20%, FTSE 100 -0.42% lagged. Eurozone econ sentiment index fell to 95.2 vs 96.0 exp. → weaker sentiment backdrop. What’s next: US July PCE inflation + spending data (today) → key for Fed path. Eurozone CPI flash (Germany/France/Italy) → ECB watch. Japan Tokyo CPI + activity data → BoJ implications. Alibaba/BYD earnings → China sentiment gauge. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23760 Resistance Level 2: 23880 Resistance Level 3: 23760 Support Level 1: 23420 Support Level 2: 23276 Support Level 3: 23050 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NAS100USD – Holding 23,350 Support, Eyeing 23,700The Nasdaq 100 found demand at the 23,350 support zone, holding the level after recent downside pressure. Price is now consolidating, with bulls looking for a potential push back toward the 23,700 resistance zone. Support at: 23,350 / 23,100 🔽 Resistance at: 23,700 / 23,880 🔼 🔎 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: A sustained hold above 23,350 could fuel momentum toward 23,700. 🔽 Bearish: A breakdown below 23,350 exposes 23,100 as the next key support. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SPOT_FX
NAS100 (15M) – Breakout & Continuation SetupThe NAS100 is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute timeframe with Heikin Ashi candles confirming trend strength. 🔹 Structure: After multiple consolidations and corrections, price formed higher lows (blue lines) and broke out of recent resistance (red zone). A clean bullish structure with impulsive legs is visible (green trend lines). 🔹 Indicators: The Alligator lines are opening upward, signaling trend continuation. RSI is holding above 70, confirming bullish strength (but caution for potential pullback). 🔹 Setup: Entry near 23,693 – 23,699. Stop loss below 23,617. Target around 23,841, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 📈 Bias: Bullish continuation towards 23,800+ as long as support holds. 📉 A break below 23,617 would invalidate the setup.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by fahimsafdar777
US100: Price Action Analysis Based On Historical MovementsUS100 Price Action Analysis Based On Historical Movements In recent analysis, we’ve seen the US100 drop multiple times last month by around 3.5% to 4%, but each time it quickly bounced back, showing that these moves were simply buying opportunities during deep pullbacks. The previous month, the index fell by about 4.3% due to fears over new tariffs on August 1st, but already recovered, which suggests that the bullish trend remains intact. Last week the price fell again by almost -4.3% and rebounded due to Powell's comment about a possible interest rate cut at the September meeting. As we can see, this is a recurring price behavior. If the momentum continues, the US100 could retest the highs near 23,950, and could also rise to 24,500. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by KlejdiCuni
1
A case for a correction of the US100While the long-term trend remains bullish, several short-term factors suggest the index is poised for a significant pullback. Why the US100 Could Be Bearish Several key factors point to a potential downturn for the US100 in the coming days: Elevated Valuations and Overbought Conditions: The US100 has experienced a rapid and significant rally in recent months, fueled largely by the enthusiasm for AI and the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks. This has pushed the index to all-time highs, but it has also led to stretched valuations. Many technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), show that the index is overbought, indicating that momentum may be running out and a correction is due. 📉 Doubt on a Fed Rate Cut: While recent inflation data showed a slight cooling, some analysts are pushing back against the idea of a certain September rate cut. The core inflation number remains above the Fed's 2% target, and some Fed officials may express a more cautious or "hawkish" stance at this week's Jackson Hole Symposium. A hawkish surprise from the Fed would likely lead to a sharp sell-off in growth stocks, which are sensitive to interest rates. Geopolitical and Trade Uncertainty: The ongoing trade tensions, particularly with China, continue to create a cloud of uncertainty. While a temporary truce has been announced, any renewed rhetoric or action could trigger a flight to safety, with investors pulling money out of riskier assets like technology stocks. Slowing Economic Growth: The U.S. economy's underlying health remains a concern. GDP growth in the first half of the year was modest, and the labor market has shown signs of weakening. This economic softness, combined with the potential for tariffs to increase inflation in the second half of the year, could lead to a less optimistic outlook for corporate earnings, especially for multinational tech companies. Key Technical Levels to Watch A breakdown of key support and resistance levels can help define the potential bearish path. Primary Resistance Zone: The immediate overhead resistance is the all-time high zone, which sits between 23,875 and 24,000. A failure to break above this area would confirm a bearish bias. Immediate Support: The first critical support level is around 23,690. A sustained break below this would likely trigger further selling. Correction Targets: A deeper correction could see the index fall toward the 23,500 zone, which represents a key technical support level. If that level breaks, the next target for bears would be the 22,800 mark. In summary, while the long-term trend remains positive, the confluence of high valuations, potential hawkish Fed commentary, and a weakening economic outlook creates a significant risk for a bearish correction in the US100 over the next two weeks.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by tshiiamom_sa
NASDAQ Can this 1D MA50 rebound be sustainable?Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since May 12 and last week made a double rebound very close to its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is technically the latest Higher Low of the pattern and as long as it holds, we should see the new Bullish Leg. The last two major ones rose by roughly +10% each. Given that the 1D RSI also made a Double Bottom on its Support, we remain bullish on Nasdaq, targeting 24800. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TradingShot
Why Markets Never Move in a Straight LineHello, Financial markets, by their very nature, do not move in a straight line. Prices fluctuate, trends develop, and corrections occur along the way. While it is tempting to expect that an upward rally will continue indefinitely, the reality is that markets require pauses and pullbacks to remain healthy. As shown in the chart above markets will always pull back (taking breathers as they move up). One of the primary reasons markets correct is profit-taking. Early investors, who entered positions at lower prices, often choose to lock in gains once prices rise to attractive levels. Their selling creates temporary downward pressure, leading to corrections. This cycle of entry, accumulation, and profit-taking is not a sign of weakness, but rather a natural rhythm of market activity. Corrections also serve a vital purpose: they prevent markets from overheating. Extended rallies without pauses often create unsustainable valuations, increasing the risk of a sharp reversal. By allowing prices to retrace, corrections provide opportunities for new investors to enter at fairer levels and for existing investors to add to their positions more strategically. History consistently shows that long-term market growth is built on a series of advances punctuated by corrections. Even in strong bull markets, prices rarely move in a linear fashion. Instead, they climb higher through a stair-step pattern—rising, correcting, consolidating, and then resuming their upward momentum. For investors, this means corrections should not always be viewed with fear. Instead, they can be seen as opportunities. As Warren Buffett often reminds us, the key is not to follow the crowd into overbought territory but to wait patiently for value. Recognizing that they cannot move in a straight line equips investors with patience and perspective—two of the most valuable traits in successful investing. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECFUEducation
by thesharkke
1