$NIFTY: Minor hiccup or downside expected. Answer: Watch $DXYRecently we have seen some weakness in NSE:NIFTY where it has failed to break out of the upward sloping Fib Retracement level. On June 16 we reflected upon the situation with $NIFTY. I was bullish on NSE:NIFTY due to the $DXY.
TVC:DXY weakness and EM markets: NSE:NIFTY more upside? for NSE:NIFTY by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
My prediction was that the NSE:NIFTY can reach 26000 and TVC:DXY @ 96 by end of July. But the unravelling of the TVC:DXY short trade and recent strength in TVC:DXY has put pressure on our outlook.
Now we can go to the micro level and check what happening in the charts for both TVC:DXY and $NIFTY. In the daily chart below we overlayed TVC:DXY on top of the NSE:NIFTY candle stick chart. If we draw the Fib retracement level form the top to bottom of the NSE:NIFTY on the yearly chart we can see clear levels at play. It is also astounding to see how the Top and the bottom range of the Fib levels match to those from the $DXY. After making a new low of 97, TVC:DXY saw some short covering which took it back to 99. At the same time NSE:NIFTY put out a local top @ 25600 and then pulled back below to 0.786 Fib level currently below the psychological level of 25000. Hence our July end target of 26000 for NSE:NIFTY and 96 for TVC:DXY looks distant but not unrealistic. With 4 more trading days left in the month we might rally another 4.5% in NSE:NIFTY and drop 2% in TVC:DXY giving us a perfect leverage trade and meeting our July targets.
Verdict: NSE:NIFTY @ 26000 and TVC:DXY @ 96 as target remains intact. If not in July, we will achieve it in August.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
NIFTY50.....Miss a final sell-off!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 is moving within a sideways-range. It ranges from a possible wave ((iii)), with a green high @ 25116 and a low of 24508, the end of a wave z (pink) of a wave (w)/(a) of ((iv)) green!
What can we expect for the coming days?
I think, the final low is not in the cards yet! I miss a final "sell-off" that will take N50 down into the range of the rectangle, sky-blue, for the coming days. That means, a possible finale low would be around the 24473 to 23935 points.
If so to come, a break of the 25250 area probably would open the door to 25580 area in the next 2 weeks. If this high were to occur, it would end wave ((iii), in pink, with a wave (iv), pink, to follow. Seasonally, that would fit well into the structure 'til end of September/ mid-October!
Anyway! As can be seen at the 3h chart, there is a divergence at RSI (standard deviation 14). This, more often than not, indicates a change of trend, in this case to the upside! However, the daily RSI has room to decline for the reminder of the week.
So, again. The structure seems to be not done to the downside, and I expect a new low, below the Friday's low, to come.
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 25, 2025 – Friday 🔴
"When the tide goes out, you discover who’s been swimming naked." – Warren Buffett
Nifty GapDowns Below Key Support and Slips Further
The market opened with a sharp GapDown, breaching the previous day's low and instantly shedding 150 points within the first hour. Nifty attempted to find footing near the crucial 21st July low zone of 24,850–24,880, but the support gave way, slipping an additional 50 points.
The day mostly drifted around these lower levels with bearish dominance. Though bulls made an effort to recover late in the session, it lacked strength. The index finally settled at 24,837, decisively closing below the 21st July low — signalling a deeper structural breakdown.
📉 Trend & Zone Update
Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,144 ~ 25,155
Support Zone Shifted To: 24,729 ~ 24,755
📊 What If Plans – 28th July Outlook
🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup)
If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,815 ~ 24,850
Then potential targets are 24,920, 24,965, and 25,020
🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation)
If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,965 ~ 24,995
Then aim for 24,850, 24,815, 24,780, and 24,730
⏸️ On-the-Go Plan
If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range
Then wait for the Initial Balance (IB) to form and act based on structure and S/R levels.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,010.35
High: 25,010.35
Low: 24,806.35
Close: 24,837.00
Candle Structure
Body: Strong red candle (−173.35 pts)
Upper Wick: None (open = high)
Lower Wick: 30.65 pts
Interpretation:
A textbook bearish Marubozu — shows sellers had control throughout.
Bears stepped in immediately from open, preventing any bullish response.
Minimal lower wick implies limited buyer defense even at the session low.
Key Insight:
Bears are in command; bulls must reclaim 25,000+ quickly to prevent further downside.
If 24,800–24,820 breaks, eyes shift to 24,700–24,750 zone next.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 192.95
IB Range: 87.4 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trades Triggered:
🕙 10:10 AM – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.4 R:R)
🧭 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones
24,920
24,965
24,995 ~ 25,018
25,080
25,140 ~ 25,155
Support Zones
24,780
24,755 ~ 24,729
24,640
📌 Final Thoughts
When strong candles appear back-to-back with no meaningful recovery in between, it’s not just a correction — it’s a statement. In this market phase, reacting to price structure rather than assumptions will keep you on the right side. Stay nimble, stay prepared.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Chart📉 Nifty Technical Outlook – Bearish Bias with Macro Overhang
Nifty continues to show bearish momentum, having taken strong resistance near the 25450–25800 zone, which aligns with the runaway gap on the daily chart and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent decline.
On the short-term chart, a Head and Shoulder breakdown has already occurred, followed by a retest, which supports the ongoing weak sentiment.
In addition to technical factors, India–US trade talks are currently in focus. Uncertainty around tariffs, tech cooperation, and strategic agreements may keep market participants cautious in the near term. Any negative development could add to downside pressure, while a breakthrough might limit losses.
🔻 Key Technical Levels:
Major Resistance: 25450–25800 (Runaway Gap + Fibo 78.6%)
Immediate Support: 24200 (short-term support zone)
Next Support: 23700 (historical support level)
As long as Nifty stays below 25450, the trend remains bearish, with potential downside toward 24150–24200 and further to 23700, depending on trade talk developments and market sentiment.
📝 Note: This analysis is intended only for study and educational purposes. Please consult a qualified advisor before making any investment decisions. Market behavior is subject to change based on news, global trends, and macroeconomic factors.
Nifty index showing downtrend with negative divergence BEARISH VIEW Nifty index --showing downtrend with negative divergence , watch out important trendline breakdown and fib. levels on nifty index.
if it happens than there might be BLOOD BATH IN MIDCAP AND SMALL CAP INDEX ALSO
Nifty index may fall big time if breaks 24544 than 23460, 22580, 21700 possible.
lets see
Pressure Builds on Nifty Before ExpiryThe Nifty traded in a tight range for most of the week but eventually slipped below the 25,000 mark, ending on a weak note.
With the monthly expiry approaching, the index is likely to remain under pressure, and volatility may pick up in the coming sessions.
Key resistance levels are seen at 25,200 and 25,500. A decisive move above 25,500 could trigger an upside breakout. On the downside, support is expected around 24,500 and 24,400.
Given the current structure, traders are advised to stay cautious, focus on selective opportunities, and avoid aggressive positions until a clearer trend emerges.
NIFTY🎯 Trade Setups
ENTRY-1
Entry: 24,947
SL: 24,750
Target: 29,331
Risk: 197 pts
RRR: ~22.2:1
✅ Strong RRR, aligned with daily demand
ENTRY-2
Entry: 24,164
SL: 23,935
Target: 30,961
Risk: 229 pts
RRR: ~29.9:1
✅ Even better RRR, and sits within deeper Daily DMIP demand zone
📌 Key Insights
Structure: Bullish across all MTFs, no breakdown below major support.
Zone Strength: Repeated demand clusters around 23,935–24,947 strengthen conviction.
Trade Planning: Both entries offer excellent RRRs with manageable risk, especially Entry-2.
Action Near Supply: Watch the 24,700–24,900 area for rejection or breakout confirmation.
🧭 Suggested Strategy
If price sustains above 24,950: Long trades become active with Entry-1 logic.
If price dips to 24,164–23,935: Deploy Entry-2 plan for deep demand bounce.
Break below 23,935: Exit long bias; shift to neutral/wait for fresh demand formation.
✅ Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Demand Zone Analysis
Timeframe Proximal Distal Avg Zone Action
Yearly 18,887 15,183 17,035 BUY
6-Month 21,801 18,837 20,319 BUY
Quarterly 24,226 21,966 23,096 BUY
Monthly 25,116 23,935 24,526 BUY
Weekly 25,136 24,703 24,920 BUY
Daily (DMIP) 24,947 24,750 24,849 BUY
Daily (DMIP) 24,164 23,935 24,050 BUY
📌 Observation:
All major timeframes are aligned in Demand Zones, indicating a strong bullish structure unless the lower support (23,935–24,164) is decisively broken.
Nifty Weekly Market Update – Brace for Bearish Momentum? Nifty ended the week at 24,837, down 131 points from last week’s close. It made a high of 25,246 and a low of 24,806, staying perfectly within my projected range of 25,400–24,500.
As highlighted earlier, Nifty has now formed an inverted hammer on the weekly chart — a classic bearish reversal candlestick. 🔍
📅 Flashback: On 6th July, I mentioned giving bulls 10–15 days of playtime. That phase seems to be ending. The monthly time frame remains bearish, and now the weekly chart is aligning, indicating a stronger downside risk.
🔮 What’s Next?
👉 Expect Nifty to trade between 25,300–24,400 in the coming week.
👉 A break below 24,400 could open doors to 23,900.
👉 If 24,400 holds, bulls may still have a chance to regroup.
🧠 Pro Tip: Only Nifty Pharma is showing resilience. Those looking for long trades should focus on strong pharma stocks — the rest of the sectors are showing bearish signs.
Meanwhile in the US:
S&P 500 hits another all-time high, closing at 6,388, up 90 points from last week. My long-standing target of 6,568 now looks well within reach.
But here’s the catch — despite US strength, it’s not supporting Indian markets. If US markets correct, expect intensified selling pressure in India.
🎯 Strategy for Indian investors:
Let the bears rule till 7–8 August. Stay alert, and be ready to grab high-quality stocks at bargain prices. This is not the time to panic, but to prepare smartly.
Long term Nifty Outlook Still upbeat. Long term outlook of Nifty is still upbeat. As you can see in the parallel channel in the weekly chart of Nifty. As you can see in the weekly chart Nifty attempted to break free above the Mid-Channel resistance went above it briefly but due to various geopolitical, Tariff and earning related concerns has not yet been successful. In a few years time the channel top can be around 30K and channel bottom seems to be around 21K. Supports for Nifty currently are near 24789, 24475, 23969 (Mother Line support of Weekly chart), 22920 and 21793 (Channel Bottom.) Below that 200 Weeks EMA ot the Father line is at 20577. Resistances for Nifty with long term perspective remain at 25351, 25780 and previous All time high of 26277. Once we get a weekly or monthly closing above 26277 the doors towards 27K+ will open.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NIFTY S/R for 28/7/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Weekly Range for nifty (applicable till the expiry)This are mathematical calculation not based on important level of fib or support level that are derived by most of the Technical trader.
just trade the level with few point stop loss. for grabbing greater points.
please do check out sensex where few greater points are explained.
Nifty 50 Update | Technical Levels MappedThere are two chart of Nifty50.
Nifty 50 is trading within a well-defined parallel channel. As part of its natural corrective phase, a potential decline of around 5% cannot be ruled out, with key support anticipated near the 24,400–24,500 zone.
Nifty is forming a broadening wedge pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, with crucial support around 24,740. Additionally, both the weekly and monthly pivot supports are aligned in the 24,740–24,710 zone, reinforcing the significance of this level.
If this level sustain then we may see higher prices in Nifty50.
Thank You !!
Nifty Next Week: Can Nifty make a comeback after drubbing?Nifty received proper drubbing after falling below critical supports of Mother and Father line. Trump's warning signals for IT companies and the continuing deadlock in Trade deal with US weighing on Indian markets. Additionally the earning season also giving many disappointing and few good result has broken the back of the Bull rally and now Nifty is reeling under 25K levels.
Only silver line in the cloud seems to be that RSI is below 30. Currently RSI is at 27.52. Usually RSI has found support near 24 if not 24 it might bounce back from 16. So hopefully we can see some short covering in the beginning or middle of next week. Also next week the decision for Tariffs should come. If the result will be in favour of India we might see a strong come back as lot of sectors / Large cap stocks currently are looking oversold.
The Supports for Nifty Remain at: 24808 (Strong support), 24633, 24459 Below 24459 the index will be in firm grip of Bears who might try to drag Nifty towards 24K levels or even below that in unlikely circumstances.
The Resistances for Nifty Remain at: 24933, 25058 (Mother Line Resistance of Daily Chart), 25119 (Father Line Resistance) and 25243. After we get a closing above 25243 the Bulls can gain some momentum.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty levels - Jul 28, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty - Quarterly Pivot is 24805.35 | 22629.05 or 26981.65?Date: 04-06-2025
Pivot Point: 24805.35 Support: 24371.98 Resistance: 25241.83
Upside Targets:
Target 1: 25645.39
Target 2: 26048.95
Target 3: 26515.30
Target 4: 26981.65
Downside Targets:
Target 1: 23966.86
Target 2: 23561.75
Target 3: 23095.4
Target 4: 22629.05
#Nifty
#NiftyChartPatterns
#NiftyTrendAnalysis
Nifty below 25000 again!A short-term technical rebound is favored if 24,730-24,810 holds as a support zone and positive divergence with RSI also visible; upside targets lie near 25,000 and 25,050-25,200. A decisive close beneath 24,730 would invalidate the divergence setup and open room toward deeper supports.