Nifty Dips, Suggests Range-Bound Movement AheadIndian markets ended the week with a decline of nearly one percent, driven by lingering concerns over global tariffs and a weak start to the earnings season.
The 25,500 level has now turned into a strong resistance zone, marked by heavy call writing, while 25,000 continues to act as a solid support level backed by significant put writing.
Given these dynamics, the index is likely to enter a consolidation phase, with upcoming earnings announcements expected to keep sectoral volatility elevated.
INDIA50CFD trade ideas
Nifty July 3rd Week Analysis Nifty is looking uncertain at the moment , and we can expect a highly volatile week ahead for Nifty. Upside momentum can be trusted only if Nifty crosses and sustains above 25320, and it can continue upside momentum upto 25600-650. On the downside, if Nifty breaches 25050-24950, then we can expect a downtrend upto levels of 24750-650.
Nifty at Make-or-Break Zone: What to Expect Next Week Markets eMarkets ended the week under pressure, with the Nifty 50 closing at 25,149, down 312 points from the previous week. The index traded within a tight band, hitting a high of 25,548 and a low of 25,129 — perfectly respecting the 25,900–25,000 range mentioned in last week’s analysis.
Now, Nifty finds itself at a crucial support level near 25,000. A rebound from this zone could trigger a short-term rally towards 25,500–25,600, which will act as immediate resistance. However, traders should proceed with caution, as the monthly chart remains neutral to bearish, indicating that this could just be a temporary bounce rather than a sustained uptrend.
Looking ahead, expect Nifty to trade within a range of 24,700 to 25,600. A breakdown below 24,700 could open the gates for deeper cuts, while a breakout above 25,600 needs to be backed by strong volume and participation to confirm a trend reversal.
Sector Watch: Reliance Shines Amidst Caution
Among the large caps, Reliance Industries stands out as the only stock showing strength on the monthly chart, while other heavyweights and key sectors continue to lack momentum. This narrow leadership is a red flag for broader market sustainability.
Global Markets: S&P 500 at a Crossroads
Globally, the S&P 500 closed at 6,259, down slightly from last week. What’s more important is the formation of a Doji candle — a classic sign of indecision. A move above 6,300 could lead to upside targets of 6,376 / 6,454 / 6,500, which would likely boost sentiment in global and Indian equities.
However, if the index slips below 6,150, it would mark a failed breakout, potentially triggering a global correction — a risk that Indian markets can't ignore.
Final Word
We’re at a critical juncture. While technicals suggest a potential bounce in Nifty from 25,000, the lack of confirmation on higher timeframes and uncertain global cues call for prudence over aggression.
👉 I’ll be staying out of the market this week. The setup doesn’t offer a favorable risk-reward, and in trading, patience is often the best position.
Let the charts speak. We’ll act accordingly.
NIFTY S/R for 14/7/25Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Institutional Trading Process 1. Investment Idea Generation
This is where it all begins.
Institutions generate trading ideas based on:
Fundamental research (company earnings, macroeconomic data)
Quantitative models (statistical or algorithmic strategies)
Technical analysis (price action, trends, volume)
Sentiment analysis (news flow, social media, market psychology)
Often, the research team, quant team, or portfolio managers work together to develop high-conviction trade ideas backed by data and analysis.
2. Pre-Trade Analysis and Risk Assessment
Before placing a trade, institutions perform:
Risk/reward analysis
Scenario testing (How does the trade perform in different market conditions?)
Volatility analysis
Position sizing based on portfolio risk budget
Nifty 50 Index (2h time frame)Nifty 50 Index (2h time frame), here is the analysis and potential target levels:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Trendline Break: The chart shows a rising trendline which has been broken to the downside.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price has moved below the cloud, indicating bearish momentum.
Arrows & Levels: Two downward arrows suggest potential drop zones.
🎯 Target Levels (as marked on chart):
1. First Target Zone:
📍 Around 24,400
Likely first support zone / take-profit level after breakdown.
2. Second Target Zone:
📍 Around 23,800
Deeper correction zone based on prior support and structure.
✅ Summary:
If the breakdown sustains below the trendline and cloud:
Immediate target: 24,400
Extended target: 23,800
Let me know if you want stop-loss ideas or a risk/reward plan for this trade.
NIFTY BROKE DOWN SUPPORT LEVEL,BUT SOME BOUNCE BACK IS EXPECTEDNIFTY Analysis Update
Recent Price Action
- The **25330** level acted as a significant support zone, as discussed previously.
- The market opened with a gap down below 25330, confirming bearish pressure.
- The next anticipated support at **25200** was also breached, and the session closed below this level.
- With these supports broken, the **25050–25000** range is now identified as the next key support zone.
Technical Indicators
- The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is showing extreme oversold conditions across smaller timeframes.
- Such oversold readings typically suggest the potential for a technical bounce or reversal, as selling momentum may be exhausted.
Outlook for Monday
- Given the oversold RSI, there is a heightened probability of a **reversal or bounce** on Monday.
- A rebound towards the **25500-25700** zone is possible, which could serve as a near-term resistance or top before the next directional move.
- If the market manages to close in green, it would confirm the short-term reversal thesis.
Key Levels to Watch
25330: Previous major support (broken)
25200: Next support (broken)
25050–25000: Current support zone
25500-25700: Potential bounce/reversal target
Summary
- **Immediate trend:** Bearish pressure persists after key supports were broken.
- **Short-term outlook:** Oversold conditions suggest a potential bounce; watch for a move toward 25700.
- **Risk:** Failure to hold 25000 could trigger further downside.
Monitor price action closely around the support and resistance zones, and watch for confirmation of reversal signals on Monday.
Will NIFTY make a price correction?
My first scenario is still valid and I think it is more likely to happen. It seems that Wave-g has ended from the second pattern and I think NIFTY50 will decline at least to the price range of the X-wave and there we need to check the waves again to see what pattern is forming. To confirm this scenario, a break below the key level of 25000 is very important.
I have also proposed a second scenario that this correction may be an X-wave and after that the price can eventually grow to 25680-26133 and spend time there to complete the third pattern. This scenario is also valid as long as the price remains above the level of 25000.
The price correction that is forming can be a double combination pattern like triangle - X - diametric or triangle - X - triangle.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Nifty levels - Jul 14, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NIFTY 1. Rectangle Box (Sideways Zone)
Nifty had earlier made a strong range-bound consolidation around 24,400 -25,000.
This has now become a strong support zone (red shaded area).
2. Breakout & Retest Pattern:
Nifty then broke out of this zone and went to around 25,600.
Now it is retesting the same old resistance (now support).
3. Price Action Zones:
Support Zone: 24,950 25,100
Resistance Zone: 25,600 - 25,800
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Have a successful week
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. All the views are for educational purpose only
#Nifty directions and levels for July 11th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 11th:
There have been no major changes in the global market. It has been maintaining a moderately bearish sentiment, and our local market is also showing a moderately bearish tone. Gift Nifty is supporting this view by indicating a gap-down start of around 110 points.
So, what can we expect today?
In the higher time frame, the market still holds a bullish bias, however, the lower time frame reflects bearish sentiment.
If we analyze this with chart patterns, it appears to be forming a channel pattern. So, if the market finds support near the bottom of this channel, it may take a pullback after the gap-down, which would mean the channel pattern may continue further.
On the other hand, if the market declines sharply or consolidates near the channel bottom, then the correction is likely to continue.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/07/2025Nifty is likely to open on a flat note today, continuing the weakness seen in the recent sessions. The index has shown a consistent downward move after facing resistance near the 25550 zone. If Nifty sustains below the 25450–25400 range, it may trigger further bearish momentum with immediate targets at 25350, 25300, and 25250. Breaching 25200 could lead to further downside toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels.
On the other hand, any sharp reversal and breakout above 25550 may revive bullish sentiment. Sustaining above this level can push the index toward 25600, 25650, and 25750+. However, upside movement will require strong buying interest and volume support.
Overall, the broader trend remains weak unless a clear breakout occurs. Traders are advised to trade with caution, wait for directional confirmation, and use strict stop-loss to manage risks in this volatile environment.
Nifty approaching Mid-channel support zone now. Nifty after a 120 point negative closing is entering an important support zone. This support zone has 3 layers. The First of the support lies at 25322 which is just above the mid-channel. The second for Nifty is near 25222 which is just below the mid channel support.
There is a possibility of bounce either from the current level or either of these 2 levels. If we get a closing below 25322 then there is a possibility that bears might try to pull Nifty down towards 25167 which is the Father line or 200 Hours EMA.
The resistances for Nifty remain at 25404, 25437 which is the Mother line or 50 hours EMA. Post that there are resistances at 25477, 25551 and 25641. Closing above 25641 is required for Nifty to fly towards 26K levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 10, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
"False Hopes, True Drop – Bears Tighten Their Grip"
Nifty opened with a mild 50-point gap-up, but within the very first minute, that optimism was crushed. It dropped nearly 100 points, breaching the previous day’s low, and entered the key support zone of 25405–25418, which held briefly for about half an hour.
But this wasn’t a day for bulls.
After a weak attempt to recover from the 25360 support (which held twice intraday), sellers regained momentum, dragged the index further down, and finally closed at the lowest point of the day – 25348.
🔸 Expiry volatility played its part — trapping option buyers and luring them into false reversals.
🔸 However, quick scalpers and intraday short-sellers likely capitalized well.
🔸 The structure was decisively bearish, with no meaningful intraday bounce.
Tomorrow becomes crucial.
Bulls have one last stronghold at the 25300 level.
Bears, already in charge, may extend the damage further if this breaks.
⚠️ Bias Levels:
🟢 Bullish above: 25420
🔴 Bearish below: 25290
⚪ Between = Neutral / Watch Mode
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,511.65
High: 25,524.05
Low: 25,340.45
Close: 25,355.25
Change: −120.85 (−0.47%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 156.40 points – large red candle
Upper Wick: 12.40 points – minimal bullish push
Lower Wick: 14.80 points – bears kept pressure till close
🔍 Interpretation
Bears took over early and never let go
The close at day low shows strong conviction from sellers
Lack of significant wicks → no real fight from bulls
🕯 Candle Type
Bearish Marubozu-style candle – clear sign of dominance by sellers, and potential for continuation if no quick reversal
📌 Key Insight
Market is in a critical zone — hovering above the edge of deeper correction
25300–25290 is the line in the sand
A breakdown below can target 25,200–25,250
Bulls can only regain momentum above 25,420
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 189.49
IB Range: 113.75 → Medium IB
Market Structure: 🟡 Balanced
Trades Triggered
10:52 AM – Short Trade → 🎯 Trail SL Hit (R:R 1:0.38)
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
25,380
25,405 ~ 25,418
25,470 ~ 25,480
25,530
25,545 ~ 25,550
Support Levels
25,315 ~ 25,295
25,260
25,212 ~ 25,180
25,125
💭 Final Thoughts
"Expiry days often blur the picture, but today’s price action was sharp. Unless bulls step up quickly, the breakdown may just be getting started."
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty Intraday Analysis for 11th July 2025NSE:NIFTY
Index has resistance near 25500 – 25550 range and if index crosses and sustains above this level then may reach near 25650 – 25700 range.
Nifty has immediate support near 25225 – 25175 range and if this support is broken then index may tank near 25000 – 24950 range.
Nifty levels - Jul 11, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Levels for Nifty - 10 July 2025As the market was in the range of 25548-25425 i.e. traded within the support and resistance, one can plan long/ short:
1. Long once 25560 is broken for target of 25580 and second target of 25610.
2. Short only after the strong support zone of 25415 is broken for target of 25370 and second target of 25336. Do keep in mind of the trendline which will act as support
3. No trading zone with be todays range of 25548-25425
#Nifty directions and levels for July 10th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 10th:
The global market has a moderately bearish sentiment, while our local market is showing a moderately bullish sentiment.
Meanwhile, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-down start.
So, what can we expect today?
Structurally, we are still in a range with a moderately bullish bias. So, until the range is broken, we may not get any clear direction.
However, my expectation is that if the market initially pulls back, it could continue the rally with some consolidation.
In this case, if a solid structure forms, we can expect a longer rally.
On the other hand, if the market declines and finds support around the immediate support level, it may continue to stay in the range.
Or, if a solid structure forms on the downside, then the correction is likely to continue.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/07/2025Nifty is also expected to open flat today, reflecting a similar consolidation pattern observed in recent sessions. The index continues to trade within a tight range, signaling indecisiveness among traders and lack of strong directional momentum.
Currently, Nifty is oscillating in a consolidation zone between 25550 resistance and 25450 support. A breakout above 25550 could trigger fresh long entries, with potential upside targets at 25600, 25650, and 25750+. Sustained strength above 25750 may open the way for extended bullish movement.
Conversely, a breakdown below the 25450 level may lead to short opportunities, with downside targets at 25350, 25300, and 25250-.
Until the index decisively breaks out of this range, sideways movement is likely to persist. Traders should wait for confirmation before taking aggressive directional positions.