INDIA50CFD trade ideas
GST related jump; Auto, Consumption & others breaks market slumpThere was some positive game changing news required to break the market slump which was provided by honourable PM in his Independence day speech. Now exact GST slots and how the same is implemented is yet to be seen. There was some negative news as well as EU and Ukraine and US do not seem to be on the same page with respect to ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. So still there are some Global issues which are yet to be answered.
Additionally the Tariff war in general and with respect to India is not yet solved. Additionally the Trade talks between India and US have gone for a toss with next meeting which was to happen later this month has been postponed indefinitely. Thus the signal is not clear cut green. So once the GST Euphoria subsides there can be consolidation/correction again so traders have to be cautious. Long term investors can see this as an opportunity for reshuffling Portfolio in line with local consumption related stocks. Some of the Auto stocks have gone absolutely in the 5th gear. Consumption is heating up, Finance and Baking, Insurance, realty and FMCG can also join the band wagon along with Infra and capital goods in future. IT, Oil &Gas, Power can take a back seat for now but might join the band wagon if up move persists.
Overall what we saw today was a good up move. If Nifty is able to clear key resistances we can see strong up move across the sectors. If not so there can be further consolidation and sectoral rotation. Things are in balance right now. Predicting next move is difficult but certainly it was a good day on browsers.
Major events are unfolding but clarity will be there once the dust settles. Now the Nifty supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports remain at: 24810 (Father line of Hourly chart), 24746, 24671 (Mother line of Hourly chart), 24534 and 24334.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24995, 25116, 25246 (Trend Line Resistance above which Bulls will be comfortable), 25405, 25544 and finally 25639.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 18, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 18, 2025 – Monday 🔴
Gap-Up Glory Meets 25K Roadblock
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a massive 300+ point gap-up, but early profit booking dragged it down by 58 points. A sharp rebound from the day’s low in the first 5 min carried it to a new high of 25,022, just testing the psychological 25K level.
However, that zone acted as a ceiling; profit booking and fresh selling kicked in, pulling Nifty not only below the high or mean but also beneath the opening print and morning day low. After a brief 100-point bounce from a fresh day low, rejection from the VWAP kept the index suppressed.
By the close, Nifty settled near the day’s bottom at 24,876.95, still up +245.65 points (+1.00%) but printing a red candle due to closing below the open.
👉 A textbook gap-up exhaustion session: bullish sentiment upfront, intraday dominated by selling pressure.
📊 Intraday Walk
🚀 Gap-Up Start: Open at 24,938.20 (up >300 points).
📉 Early Booking: Dragged down ~58 points.
🔄 Quick Rebound: Buyers drove Nifty to the day high at 25,022.
⛔ 25K Blocked: Profit booking intensified, breaking below opening levels.
⚡ Second Bounce: +100 points recovery attempt from new day low.
📉 VWAP Rejection: Sellers regained control; close near the bottom at 24,876.95.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,938.20
High: 25,022.00
Low: 24,852.85
Close: 24,876.95
Change: +245.65 (+1.00%)
Candle Structure
Type: Red candle (close < open) despite a strong % gain.
Body: 61.25 pts
Upper Wick: 83.80 pts
Lower Wick: 24.10 pts
Interpretation
Market opened strong but gave back intraday gains.
Candle resembles an Inverted Hammer / Shooting Star in a gap-up.
Signals loss of bullish momentum, but needs next session confirmation.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 218.49
IB Range: 137.7 → Medium
Market Structure: imBalanced
Trade Highlight: No trade triggered
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones
24,955
24,995
25,030 – 25,050
25,100
25,240
Support Zones
24,850 – 24,820
24,770 – 24,745
24,695 – 24,675
24,600 – 24,585
🎯 What’s Next?
If 24820 ~ 24,850 holds, buyers may regroup and reattempt a breakout above 25,000.
If broken, expect deeper profit booking toward 24,745 – 24,675.
Psychological pressure at 25K remains the key battle zone.
💡 Final Thoughts
Today was a classic gap-up exhaustion day — the market showed enthusiasm, but sellers ruled intraday.
“Markets love to test conviction. What looks like strength at open can often be weakness by close.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Nifty levels - Aug 19, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.08.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 18.08.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range(R2-S2) is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY50.....Time is on our side!Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 rose 331 points 'til the end of the week.
A final sell-off hasn't started yet; but I am anticipating it.
Chart analysis:
Since the low of 24337, the NIFTY50 has risen by 465 point, peaking on Tuesday the 12th.
The chart leaves behind a difficult to assess pattern. Either we have seen the end of waves (iii), pink, or the start of a wave c/y with targets much lower in the coming weeks ahead.
With a wave (iv), green, coming to an end, the next move should be to the upside with potential for a new ATH in the coming weeks. My long term favored price target @28905 is still valid!
The bears need to watch, if wave b/x has ended, and a waves a-b-c are still in progress!
In any case! The wave structure is not clear to my view, and maybe the coming week will clear the focus we need to have!
Seasonally, the time has come for correction for the coming 8–10 weeks, but the stock marked is not like a "Christmas wish list"!
So, I recommend staying at sideline, as I did many times before. That is the time, where we all can crash our trading account!
We all need to wait for a clearer structure at the chart and if we can catch one impulsive move, we will be there and take the chance to do so!
For the coming week I will check the chart daily, and I will update, if something important happens!
Have a great week.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
$NIFTY: Failed breakout, no bullish pattern visible Indian equity markets were the investors favorite for many years, and it did perform very well for the last 10 years. At its peak the index has generated 150% return for its investors in the last 5 years beating the S&P500 and even the tech heavy NASDAQ100. But since peaking in Sept 2024 the index has been lower to sideways for almost 12 months.
The recent poor price action in NSE:NIFTY has resulted in the index down more than 10% from its highs. With SP:SPX and PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 at or new their ATH and TVC:DXY below 100 the index is unable to break out of this poor price action. On July 27 we discussed this and concluded that the medium-term target of 2600 on NSE:NIFTY and 96 on TVC:DXY remains intact. Since then, we are more of less unchanged on both the indices. Now let’s look into the Fib retracement levels on the Daily chart of $NIFTY. The Tops and the bottom on the NSE:NIFTY correspond perfectly with that of $DXY.
We need a revision in our short to medium term expectation in bot the indices. Now I expect much poor price action within NSE:NIFTY as it has very little momentum left to show for. We should be happy if we can touch the 0.786 Fib levels which is @ 25300 which indicates a meagre 3% upside from here.
Verdict: Underperform. NSE:NIFTY minimum upside potential in the index. Rather go long other risky assets to outperform the markets.
“NIFTY Price Action Breakdown Signals Next Big Move”🔑 Key Highlights
(1) Control Line as Key Zone
➡️The control line has acted as strong support and resistance multiple times (around 18 confirmations).
(2) Historical Example (Oct 2021)
➡️On 18 Oct 2021, NIFTY made a new high at 18,034.
➡️ The selling pressure was so intense that the index spent nearly 1.5 years trading below the control line.
(3) Recent Supply Zone (Sep 2024)
➡️On 23 Sep 2024, heavy selling activity pushed the market down toward the lower value area.
➡️Even after rebounding, the index once again faced resistance at the control line.
(4) No Trading Activity Zones
➡️The market has already formed one such zone in the past.
➡️Now a second “no trading activity zone” has been confirmed, showing reduced momentum and sideways behavior.
(5) Next Possible Move
➡️There is a high probability that NIFTY will attempt to test the Lower Value Area (23,500–22,800).
➡️After that, the market may oscillate between the control line and the lower boundary before deciding its next major direction.
👉 This entire analysis is based purely on DAMIR’s Price Action Breakdown theory, no indictor, no oscillator had been used.
GST Reforms + Cooling Inflation: Can Nifty Aim for 25,800..?🚀 Nifty 50: Breakout + Big Policy Boost ?
📉 Technical View
Nifty 50 has broken out of its downward channel and is testing higher levels.
* Key resistance: 24,850 🔑
* If sustained & retested → next target: 25,800 🎯
This could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg if momentum holds.
📊 Macro Tailwinds
* Inflation cools off ➝ July CPI at 1.55% (lowest since June 2017) 😮
* Food inflation at -1.76%, down from -1.06% in June.
👉 Softening inflation = stronger spending power + supportive environment 📈
📰 Policy Catalyst: GST Reforms by Diwali 2025
PM Modi’s Independence Day speech highlighted “Next-Gen GST Reforms” 🇮🇳:
* 12% GST slab ➝ may shift to 5% 💡
* 28% GST slab ➝ may shift to 18% 📉
* New 40% slab for sin goods (tobacco, beer, etc.) 🚬🍺
➡️ Could lighten tax burden, stimulate consumption, and lift corporate profits.
⚡ Takeaway
Technical breakout + cooling inflation + GST reforms = constructive setup for Nifty 50.
* Watch 24,850 carefully → breakout & retest opens gates to 25,800.
📌 Note: Global risk remains. Trump’s proposed additional tariffs could hinder the trend and inject volatility 🌍⚠️.
Nifty August TDX Levels -Observation:
The month has erupted with a bearish undertone, casting shadows over the market’s horizon. It’s a turbulent start, fraught with uncertainty .
Bulls:
Despite the indicators flashing oversold, there’s a flicker of hope—a glimmer that a resilient bullish pattern might awaken on a smaller time frame. Yet, patience is vital; we must wait for that decisive moment when the market reveals a clear bullish formation before boldly stepping in.
Bears:
Since the dawn of last month, relentless downward momentum has engulfed the markets .
Now, only a tentative pullback, should tempt us to initiate fresh short positions, for the risk-reward landscape remains perilous and unkind.
Conclusion:
The true opportunities lie at the crucial junctures—those key Support and Resistance levels, pausing points within the intricate dance of Time Cycles. It is only when these points are reached that we should reassess with clarity and resolve. The probability of an Impulsive wave surging forth is high; the current Corrective wave has hit its targets, yet its story remains unfinished—setting the stage for a potential dramatic turn in the market’s saga.
For sharper insight and a more profound understanding, I urge you to view the chart through the hourly lens. Only then can the full emotional weight and strategic clarity of these movements come into focus.
Nifty Rebounds After Six-Week Fall, Consolidation Continues● Nifty finally ended its six-week losing run, closing the week with a 1.10% gain despite trading in a narrow range.
● Volatility inched higher, with India VIX rising 2.68% to 12.35, reflecting a slightly elevated risk perception, though it remains comfortably low.
● On the technical front, the 24,300–24,400 zone is likely to act as immediate support, while resistance is seen at 24,700–24,800.
● Heading into nest expiry, the index is expected to remain in a neutral phase as it continues to consolidate below key resistance levels. Without a decisive breakout, aggressive buying should be avoided.
● Traders are advised to closely monitor price action around these key levels and manage risk carefully while planning trades.
Explaining concept of RSI with respect EMA.The NIFTY50 is currently displaying a bullish setup, characterized by the formation of a ‘W’ pattern on the chart. This structure is further supported by a strengthening Relative Strength Index (RSI), which indicates improving momentum. Additionally, the price action is aligning positively with the EMA20 , reinforcing the potential for an upward move. Together, these technical signals suggest that NIFTY50 may experience bullish momentum in the near future.
Disclaimer:
I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor nor a financial advisor.
Any investments or trades I discuss on my blog are intended solely for educational purposes and do not represent specific financial, trading, or investment advice.
Disclosure:
I, the author of this report, and my immediate family members do not have any financial interest or beneficial ownership in the securities mentioned herein at the time of publication.
Nifty August 3rd Week AnalysisNifty is looking positive, but there's uncertainty whether it will be able to hold on to the upside. We can expect momentum up to 25000, but for that, it must sustain above 24730-800. Otherwise, we can expect a sell-off on a rise. On the downside, Nifty has been defending 24350 for the last 2 weeks, and therefore, it is a strong support zone now, and no major downside is expected until Nifty breaches 24350.
Wkly Market Wrap – Nifty Breaks Losing Streak, Bulls Eye 25,100Nifty closed the week at 24,631, up 270 points from last week’s close, after hitting a high of 24,702 and a low of 24,347. As I highlighted in last week’s outlook, Nifty once again respected my range of 24,800–23,900 to the dot.
After five straight weeks of red, we finally saw a green weekly close—a much-needed breather for the bulls. But remember, this is the first pullback after a prolonged downtrend, so sellers are likely to make another attempt to drag the markets lower.
📌 Key levels for next week:
Support: 24,300 – If bulls defend this level, we could see a rally toward 25,000–25,100.
Resistance: 25,100 – Strong selling pressure likely here.
Even if 24,300 breaks, I don’t expect Nifty to slip below 24,200–24,150 this week.
💡 Opportunity Alert: For those who’ve been patiently waiting for a dip to enter, this week could present a good buying window—possibly followed by another opportunity by the second week of September. Have your list of fundamentally strong stocks ready to pounce.
Global Cue – S&P 500 on Fire
The S&P 500 once again closed at a new all-time high of 6,468, and the momentum suggests it’s on track to test the key Fibonacci level of 6,568. If you’re invested in the US markets, trail your stop-loss to 6,200 to safeguard profits.
Bulls are back in the game, but sellers haven’t left the field—next week will be all about who controls the pitch!
Nifty Weekly Outlook (15–21 August 2025)Nifty Weekly Outlook (15–21 August 2025)
Above pivot = bullish bias.
Below pivot = bearish bias.
Watch for reversals near R1/S1, then R2/S2, and finally R3/S3 if levels break.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 14, 2025 – Thursday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 14, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Quiet Expiry Day on the Surface, Wild Moves Beneath
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened neutral, and within the first 1 minute carved a 60-point range — a range that turned out to be almost the entire day’s action. For the rest of the session, the index stayed locked inside this band, repeatedly attempting to break above the PDH + R1 zone, but each time failing to sustain. Similarly, the lower boundary provided reliable support, keeping Nifty trapped.
While the overall weekly expiry felt silent in terms of range, the price action inside the band was anything but quiet — wild intraday swings offered ample opportunities for scalpers and quick traders. Structurally, today’s range stayed inside the previous day’s range, aside from a few points of false breakout shadows.
The game plan for the next session remains the same as discussed yesterday — we’re still waiting for a decisive breakout from this coiling structure.
Refere the game plan here:
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Candle Data:
Open: 24,607.25
High: 24,673.65
Low: 24,596.90
Close: 24,631.30
Change: +11.95 (+0.05%)
Structure Breakdown:
Green candle (Close > Open)
Body size: 24.05 points → very small → low momentum
Upper wick: 42.35 points
Lower wick: 10.35 points
Interpretation:
Market opened near yesterday’s close, tried pushing higher but failed to hold gains.
Small green body signals sideways indecision; buyers still defended the 24,600 zone.
Longer upper wick vs lower wick → selling pressure near highs.
Candle Type:
Small-bodied Spinning Top / Doji-like candle → indecision, no clear trend control.
📊 Short-Term View
Consolidation persists in 24,600–24,650 zone.
Break above 24,675 = bullish strength.
Break below 24,595 = bearish momentum toward 24,535–24,460.
Range & Bias:
Support: 24,595 – 24,535
Resistance: 24,675 – 24,700
Bias: Neutral-to-mildly bullish above 24,600
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 199.36
IB Range: 68.25 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlight: No Trade Triggered
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24,660
24,690 ~ 24,700
24,735
24,780
Support Zones:
24,585
24,560
24,525 ~ 24,515
24,500
24,475
💡 Final Thoughts
"The tighter the coil, the sharper the breakout."
Nifty is compressing hard — a breakout is inevitable, and expiry’s quietness might just be the calm before a directional move.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is a personal market observation, not financial advice.
Nifty successful in breaking the falling pattern after 6 weeksNifty against all odds was successful in breaking the falling pattern after 6 weeks. However we are not out of danger yet. We need another positive weekly candle next week to confirm the reversal. As of now we do not know for sure that the low of last week that is 24337 is the bottom or bottom is yet to be made but anyway it was a great fight back against all odds of Trump Tariff Tantrum and the news of US's cozying up with our unfriendly neighbours.
Amongst all this noise the great news came this evening when S&P (Standard & Poor's global sovereign rating agency) which has changed outlook for India after 17 years this welcome change comes as India's rating improved to BBB from BBB- that is from Stable to Positive. This is for all the nay Sayers who doubted. India's long term outlook. The Tariff noise will go away in few weeks or months but Long term investors should look at buying and reshuffling the portfolios looking in tune with the tail winds.
Medium to short term supports and resistances for Nifty remain are as under:
With all this data coming in Support for Nifty remains at: 24334, 24032 (Mother line support of weekly chart), If this level is broken we may see Nifty falling temporarily towards 23318 or lower.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24644, 24868, 25260 (Key resistance level), 25442, 25660.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Nifty Weekly Outlook: Holding the Line or Breaking Below?The Nifty 50 ended the week at 24,631.30, gaining +1.10%.
🔹 Key Levels for the Upcoming Week
📌 Price Action Pivot Zone:
24,553 to 24,710 – This is the critical zone to watch. A decisive move beyond either side may dictate next week’s trend.
🔻 Support Levels
Support 1 (S1): 24,319
Support 2 (S2): 24,007
Support 3 (S3): 23,708
🔺 Resistance Levels
Resistance 1 (R1): 24,947
Resistance 2 (R2): 25,263
Resistance 3 (R3): 25,502
📈 Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Scenario:
If Nifty sustains above 24,710, buying momentum could build, aiming for R1 (24,947). A strong breakout above this may push prices towards R2 (25,263) and R3 (25,502).
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If the index breaks below 24,553, selling pressure may return. This could drag Nifty towards S1 (24,319), and further down to S2 (24,007) and S3 (23,708).
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NIFTY50 UPDATEDiametric wave-g has extended in time and is larger than expected but still seems to be completing a reverse contracting triangle.
Wave-e of the reverse contracting triangle could end in the range of 24,553-24,467 and then I expect a bullish move in Nifty50.
If 24,336 is broken to the downside, the scenario will be violated and the next support level will be 24,080 24,121 points
Good luck
NEoWave Chart