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Futures steady ahead of Fed cutFutures steady ahead of Fed cut U.S. stock futures held flat on August 15 ahead of the Sept. 17–18 Fed meeting, where a 25-bps cut is widely expected. Markets price about 70 bps of easing by year-end, though Powell may highlight inflation risks to temper dovish bets. Retail sales Tuesday will be the last key data before the decision. Global markets were subdued: oil ticked higher on Ukraine-Russia tensions, the dollar eased, and Asian stocks firmed with South Korea’s Kospi hitting records. The Bank of Canada may also cut this week, while the BoE and BoJ are likely to stay on hold. Traders are watching today’s Empire State manufacturing survey (8:30 AM EDT), the Senate vote on Fed nominee Stephen Miran, speeches from ECB’s Lagarde and Schnabel, and EU Council President Costa’s visit to Cyprus ahead of its 2026 presidency.
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by ProfessorSingapore
USNAS100 Holds Below 24,115 as Fed Rate Decision LoomsUSNAS100 – Overview Markets are awaiting the upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision, which will set the tone for the next move: A 50 bps cut would likely trigger strong bullish momentum. A 25 bps cut may result in a more moderate reaction. 📉 Bearish scenario: For now, the Nasdaq shows bearish momentum while trading below 24,115, with downside targets at 23,935 → 23,870 → 23,700. 📈 Bullish scenario: A confirmed 1H close above 24,115 would shift bias bullish, opening the way to 24,245 → 24,350. Key Levels Pivot: 24,115 Resistance: 24,245 – 24,350 Support: 23,940 – 23,870 – 23,700
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US 100 Index – Assessing a Crucial Week for Tech StocksAs a trader it can be helpful to spend some time on a Sunday afternoon sitting at your trading desk gathering your thoughts and preparing for the week ahead. Checking the Pepperstone economic calendar to assess the scheduled risk events in terms of timing and importance can be a useful part of this process. This upcoming week is quite impressive, packed with central bank meetings and economic data that could impact many, if not all, of the major markets available to trade on the Pepperstone platform. The standout event could be the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate announcement on Wednesday at 1900 BST, which is followed closely by the press conference led by Chairman Powell, which starts at 1930 BST. However, Thursday’s Bank of England interest rate decision at 1200 BST, or Friday’s Bank of Japan interest rate decision due at 0400 BST, and then the press conference led by Governor Ueda may also keep traders on volatility alert. The US 100 index is the focus of today’s commentary as it can be more sensitive than other indices to interest rate moves made by the Fed. As can be seen on the daily Pepperstone chart above, the US 100 index has experienced a period of higher highs and higher lows since the 2025 low was hit way back at 16290 on April 7th, helped in no small part by a re-engagement of traders with the potential of artificial intelligence and what it could mean for the future earnings of the leading companies in this space. This AI driver is still in very much in play but may take a backseat this week due to the Federal Reserve rate decision. Since the surprise weaker than expected US employment report on August 1st (Non-farm payrolls) market expectations for Fed rate cuts have increased, helping to support the latest US 100 uptrend from its August 1st lows at 22678 to print numerous record closing highs, the latest being Friday at 24096. For the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday, a 25bps (0.25%) cut is fully priced by traders, but there is a small outside chance of a 50bps (0.5%) cut, a decision which, if it happened, could generate equal amounts of uncertainty that policy makers feel they could be behind the curve in supporting the economy and that the labour market is weakening faster than anticipated, but also surprise that the Fed may be willing to cut rates faster, which as a general rule can be supportive of US100 index gains. The press conference may also be a relevant consideration for US 100 price volatility. Traders will be keen to hear Chairman Powell’s stance on the possibility for further rate cuts, with economists predicting just one more 25bps cut into the end of 2025, while the market is pricing another 2 25bps reductions. Any comments he makes on the independence of the US central bank, with an appeal court ruling expected imminently on whether President Trump has the authority to sack Fed Governor Cook, as well as his thoughts on the deterioration of the US labour markets and direction of inflation could also be important. Technical Update: New All-Time Highs Posted After reaching a new all-time high of 24142 on Friday, the market continues to show signs of a positive trend, which has been evident since the low of 16290 recorded on April 7th. As the chart above shows, the market has formed a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. While this doesn’t guarantee that prices will continue to rise, the recent new peak suggests there might be further upward momentum ahead. Although positive sentiment appears to remain in place, this week’s upcoming data releases and interest rate decision could significantly impact price movements. As a result, it may be important to identify and then monitor key support and resistance levels in case an increased spell of volatility emerges. Potential Resistance Levels: Following the recording of the latest all-time high at 24142 on Friday, traders may be anticipating continued attempts at upward momentum to extend the current uptrend. The outlook suggests that further attempts to push toward the next resistance levels could emerge in the coming week. With the US 100 index now entering uncharted territory, traders may be turning their attention to Fibonacci extension levels based on the August 13th to 20th sell-off. The 38.2% extension is at 24368, and if this level is breached, the next potential resistance could be 24607, the 61.8% extension. Potential Support Levels: The US 100 recently closed back above the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 23606, and so this level could act as the first initial support for the week. If retested, it may be important to monitor whether the market can hold above it on a closing basis. A closing break below 23606 wouldn’t necessarily signal a negative shift, but it could open the door for a test of 22970, which is the low from August 20th, and potentially lower if that level fails to hold. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NAS100 - Stock market awaits Federal Reserve meeting!The indicator is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trajectory is maintained, I can expect the future to continue as it has in the past. In case of a valid breakdown, its downward path is to the specified range, which can be approached with a reward for buying. Last week’s economic data painted a mixed picture of the U.S. economy. On the one hand, new jobless claims rose to 263,000, above the market forecast of 235,000, signaling labor market weakness. On the other hand, the August inflation report came in hotter than expected, though most of the increase stemmed from housing costs rather than tariff pressures. Rents rose 0.34%, marking the fastest gain since December 2024, while shelter costs climbed 0.39%, the sharpest jump since January 2025. Still, real-time housing indicators suggest that prices are adjusting, which will likely be reflected in official data in the coming months. Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury fell below 4% for the first time since April—a sign that markets are reacting more to labor market weakness and the prospect of Fed rate cuts than to inflation concerns. CIBC, analyzing the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, stated that while the data came in slightly above expectations, it was not strong enough to dissuade the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from delivering a 25-basis-point cut next week. Ali Jafari, an economist at the bank, wrote: “There was little in the report to prevent a September rate cut. More importantly, the labor market needs support, and a weaker jobs market implies softer demand-side inflationary pressures ahead.” On a yearly basis, core inflation held steady at 3.1%, while headline inflation rose two-tenths to 2.9%, both in line with forecasts. More troubling, however, are signs that price increases are spreading into new sectors. The report noted: “Tariff pass-through effects intensified this month, with core goods prices rising at the fastest pace since broad tariffs were imposed. Today’s report also showed the first notable increase in new car prices, suggesting that tariff impacts may now be extending to higher-ticket items, though overall car price gains remain modest.” CIBC expects the Fed to cut rates in September and October, pause afterward, and then deliver two additional cuts in the first half of next year. The bank added: “The overall U.S. inflation picture remains notably above target, but the Fed is willing to tolerate this for now, given growing concerns about a weakening economy and a labor market showing signs of fatigue.” Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump once again criticized the Fed in an interview with Fox News, saying the central bank “always acts late on interest rates.” He added: “We have the best stock market in history. Inflation has come down, equities are climbing, so rates should be lower.” These comments come as the Fed is widely expected to cut rates at Wednesday’s meeting. While such a move could reduce borrowing costs in the short term, analysts caution that lower short-term rates do not necessarily translate into lower long-term yields. Morgan Stanley now projects that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining meetings this year—an upgrade from earlier forecasts of only September and December cuts. The bank also expects three additional 25-basis-point cuts in January, April, and July of 2026. At the same time, Standard Chartered has revised its outlook and now anticipates a 50-basis-point cut in September—double its previous forecast. The shift followed weak August jobs data showing employment growth had slowed sharply and unemployment rose to 4.3%, the highest since late 2020. The bank described labor market conditions as “dramatic,” noting that in just six weeks the market shifted from “strong” to “weak.” It characterized the larger cut as a form of “catch-up” to align monetary policy with economic realities. This week is set to be pivotal for global markets, with a series of central bank decisions and key economic releases. Monday will see the Empire State manufacturing index, followed by Tuesday’s August retail sales report. On Wednesday, housing starts and building permits will be released, along with the Bank of Canada’s rate decision. The highlight of the week, however, will be the Fed meeting and Jerome Powell’s press conference. On Thursday, the Bank of England will announce its policy decision, followed by U.S. jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey. The busy week will conclude Friday with the Bank of Japan’s policy announcement.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Nas100 – Trading Zones to Watch Near HighsZone 1 – All-Time High Supply (24,133 – 24,142) This zone sits right at the all-time high, where volatility and liquidity are elevated. Sellers are likely to defend aggressively here, making sharp rejections common. A clean breakout and acceptance above would show strong buyer conviction and could trigger momentum into new record territory. Zone 2 – High Liquidity Demand (24,014 – 24,026) This area reflects a high-liquidity pocket where buyers previously absorbed heavy selling pressure. Pullbacks into this zone may attract renewed demand, offering potential long setups. If the zone breaks decisively, however, it risks flipping into resistance and signaling continuation lower. Sentiment in the US100 remains cautiously constructive. Optimism is fueled by strong tech leadership and expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts, while softer labor data and cooling producer prices have eased pressure on yields. Still, inflation readings surprised slightly to the upside last week, reminding traders that risks remain. With price now testing all-time highs, volatility is elevated and the market’s mood is fragile momentum is there, but it requires confirmation through clean breakouts rather than relying on hope alone.
FPMARKETS:US100
by Kathrine_Sofie
NASDAQ 100: A Tipping Point on the 4H ChartKey Takeaway NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is at a critical juncture, hovering at a potential inflection point around the 24,000 level. A clear breakout above or breakdown below this psychological and technical area will likely dictate the next major move for the index, presenting distinct opportunities for both bulls and bears. Macro View NASDAQ 100 has been in a strong rising trend channel for the medium to long term, indicating persistent investor optimism. The overall technical outlook remains positive. However, recent price action on the 4hour chart suggests a period of indecision, with the index consolidating just below its recent highs. This consolidation, combined with the emergence of a potential head and shoulders pattern, signals that a significant move is imminent. Bearish Outlook: A Breakdown Scenario A breakdown below the key support level at 23,800 would be a significant bearish signal. This level is crucial as it marks the lower boundary of the current consolidation zone. • Target 1: 23,700 A move below the first key support could quickly see the index test the 23,700 level, which has acted as a previous point of interest. • Target 2: 23,450 A break of the 23,700 support would confirm a deeper correction, with the next major target being 23,450. This level coincides with a significant volume node and previous support, making it a strong magnet for price. Risk Management: A stoploss should be placed just above the resistance to mitigate risk in a false breakdown. Bullish Outlook: A Breakout Scenario The bullish case is contingent on the index successfully holding the 24,000 psychological level and breaking above the key resistance at 24,208.5. • Target 1: 24,463 A confirmed breakout would likely propel the index toward the upper boundary of the rising channel, with a primary target of 24,463. This level represents a key extension of the current trend. • Target 2: 24,600 A decisive move beyond 24,463 would suggest a continuation of the bullish momentum, with a secondary target at 24,600. This level aligns with a major extension and could see the index set new all-time highs. Risk Management: A stop loss should be placed just below the support to protect against a trend reversal. Conclusion NASDAQ 100 is at a pivotal moment. Traders should watch for a clear break in either direction before entering a position. The 24,000 level is a critical pivot, and the ensuing price action will provide a clear roadmap for the market's next move.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by SufiyanShabbirGangdani
NAS100 HL's to HH's...Guaranteed 1While the market continues to make HL's to HH's...I am particularly cautious to enter new buys especially since we are currently trading at HH's and one of the first rules in trading is that you buy low and sell high. With that in mind, I have given you a history of the market movements that landed us at multiple guaranteed HH's over the past week. 1. Everything looks normal until you got to Thursday's inflation data (indicated by the red dotted areas) 2. That wick still does not sit well with me and In my heart I still believe that we will see a revisit to that point and below before creating the next HL on the on the daily or weekly timeframes. 3. I am also cognizant of the fact that the daily timeframe has made a series of 3 HH's in July, August and currently in September which should not be ignored as this could be the perfect triple top setup for another retracement. 4. Since I have already booked my profits from one of the HH points from last week...there is absolutely no harm in waiting at this point for the market to reveal it's intentions for this week...Mondays, Tuesdays and sometimes Wednesdays are days the market consolidates, retraces and creates volatility before making a major move so patience will be key. Finally if the trend is HL's to HH's and buyers have gotten their fair share of HH's, it would be silly not to wait for the next HL on the largest timeframe before committing to the next swing trade. Please note that this is in no way a recommendation to blindly sell the market as you need to monitor your levels closely so you do not get trapped as the bears always do. The only sure strategy in this scenario is to book your profits on the HH and wait for the next largest HL before buying again. Have a great week. HL's to HH's #guaranteed #oneauberstrategy #aubernation
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by auberholdings
1
Professional Analysis of Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) – Daily Timefram The NDX chart shows that after a strong rally from the 22,200 support zone, the index is now testing a key resistance around 23,950 – 24,100. Bullish Scenario: If the daily or weekly candle closes firmly above 24,100, the path opens toward 24,800 – 25,000. Breaking this resistance could trigger a new wave of buying momentum. Bearish Scenario: If the index fails to break higher and sellers step in, we may see a pullback toward 23,500 and possibly 22,200. The 50-day moving average (yellow line) near 23,300 – 23,400 will act as an important mid-term support. Conclusion: The market is at a decisive turning point. A breakout above 24,100 signals continuation of the bull run, while rejection here could trigger a deeper correction.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by isahebdadi
nas100 4HTrading Outlooks for the Week Ahead In this series of analyses, we review short-term trading outlooks and perspectives. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support/resistance zone close to the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction to or breakout from these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets. Important Note: The purpose of these trading outlooks is to highlight critical price levels ahead and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
NAS100 Forecast & Projection📊 NAS100 Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀📉 (11th Sept 2025) 🕵️ Market Context NAS100 closed at 24,096. Global equities remain volatile due to inflation, Fed policy outlook, and tech earnings season. Short-term sentiment: Neutral to Slightly Bullish. Swing sentiment: Bullish while above 23,500 key support. 🧩 Technical Framework Candlesticks: Bullish engulfing spotted on H4, suggesting buyers defend 23,800 zone. Elliott Wave: Current move resembles Wave 3 extension with corrective pullbacks near 23,750–23,900. Wyckoff: Distribution signs absent, market in late accumulation. Gann Analysis: 24,200–24,250 forms a key resistance square. Ichimoku Cloud: Price above Kumo (H4/D1), bullish confirmation if 24,300 breaks. Support/Resistance: Major Support: 23,500 / 23,750 Major Resistance: 24,300 / 24,750 📈 Indicators Snapshot RSI (H1): 58 → room to climb before overbought. Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper band → momentum bullish, risk of overextension. VWAP (D1): Holding above daily VWAP → bullish bias intraday. MA Cross: 50 EMA > 200 EMA (Golden Cross) → swing uptrend intact. ⚡ Intraday Levels & Strategy 🔑 Buy Zone: 23,820 – 23,900 (pullback entry). 🎯 Targets: 24,150 / 24,300 / 24,450. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,700. ⚠️ Bear Trap Alert: A dip under 23,800 with quick rebound signals strong accumulation. 🌀 Swing Trading Levels & Strategy 🔑 Buy Zone: 23,500 – 23,700. 🎯 Medium-Term Targets: 24,600 / 25,000 / 25,500. 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 23,300 (weekly close). 📌 If 24,750 breaks → bullish continuation toward 25,800. ❗ If 23,500 breaks → swing bias shifts bearish to 22,800. 📊 Pattern Watch 🦅 Head & Shoulders invalidated (bullish continuation favored). 🦋 Harmonic Bullish Gartley forming near 23,750 (PRZ zone). 🚨 Watch for Bull Trap above 24,300 → confirmation needed before chasing longs. 🧭 Final Outlook Intraday Bias: Buy dips toward 23,820–23,900. Swing Bias: Accumulate above 23,500 for 25,000+. Market remains buy-the-dip mode while above 23,500. Risk management 🔑: Keep SL tight as volatility persists. 💡 NAS100 traders should balance intraday momentum with swing accumulation zones. The broader structure favors upside continuation, but resistance at 24,300 must break cleanly for momentum to sustain. For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
NASDAQ | H2 Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders! 👋 🧐 Market Overview: CPI is out today — and it could be the spark the NASDAQ needs. Price is stalling at the previous all-time high, and that’s where I’m watching closely. I’ve been tracking a double top on the daily for a while now, and today the H2 chart is starting to show the same structure. That kind of multi-timeframe alignment doesn’t happen often. 📊 Trade Plan: I’ve entered a starter short on the daily structure. If the H2 confirms, I’ll scale in with a second position. Risk/Reward: Entry: Stop Loss: Take Profit 1 (50%): Take Profit 2 (50%): 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: Double tops work best when paired with other signals. In my system, I look for: - RSI negative divergence - Lower volume on the second top - A confirmation candle close within my entry range This reduces false signals and adds conviction. 🙏 Thanks for reading! Do you trade double tops? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by GTradingMethod
21
NASDAQ | Daily Double Top | GTradingMethodHello Traders 👋 🧐 Market Overview: I’ve opened a short on the NASDAQ based on a clear double top setup that formed yesterday. Several of my key variables aligned, giving this trade a high-probability edge: Negative RSI divergence → showing weakening buying momentum Lower volume on the second top → indicating exhaustion Daily candle closure within threshold → confirming structure validity 📊 Trade Plan: RR: 9.1 Entry: 23 931 Stop Loss: 23 178 Take Profit 1 (50%): 22 453 Take Profit 2 (50%): 21 969 💡 GTradingMethod Tip: When trading reversal patterns like double tops, I always wait for confirmation across multiple variables (momentum, volume, candle structure). This increases probability and reduces false entries. 🙏 Thanks for checking out my post! Follow me for more setups and let me know — do you see this double top holding, or is there more upside left in the NASDAQ? 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by GTradingMethod
23
Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space█ Liquidity Voids: Where Price Runs Through Empty Space Big moves don’t just “happen”, they happen because either buyers or sellers step aside and let price run. A liquidity void is what’s left behind when that happens: an area on the chart where price traded with very little volume, leaving a ‘hole’ in market participation. This is not just another fair value gap. A typical FVG can form on normal volume during strong momentum. A liquidity void specifically signals a displacement under thin conditions, meaning the move was too easy, and price often comes back to check that area later. █ What Exactly Is a Liquidity Void? Think of the order book as a ladder of bids and asks. Normally, price moves step by step as orders fill at each level. But when there aren’t enough orders (low liquidity), price jumps levels and that jump is your void. On a chart, it shows up as: A large, one-directional candle with very small or no wicks overlapping neighbors. Little or no volume relative to the move’s size (thin participation). Price displacement that looks almost “too clean” — no hesitation, just a straight run. These clues tell you price didn’t just move on heavy buying/selling, it moved through empty space. ⚪ Liquidity Void Detector Use this free Liquidity Void Detector indicator to spot liquidity voids. It signals when the market makes a relatively sharp move on comparatively low volume, helping you spot these voids in real time. █ Why Low Volume Matters ⚪ Not All Gaps Are Voids A fair value gap can form on high participation, think of a breakout candle with heavy volume and institutional backing. That’s an accepted price move. ⚪ Voids Are Different A liquidity void happens when the market skips prices because there was no one there to trade. It’s an inefficient move that the market often wants to revisit and “fill in” once participation returns. ⚪ Volume as the Filter When volume is below its own average (or below a trend baseline), it tells you this wasn’t a “healthy” move, it was a thin-book displacement. █ How Traders Use This ⚪ Mark the Zone Draw the high and low of the candle(s) that created the void. This is your “inefficiency zone.” ⚪ Wait for the Return Voids often act like magnets. Price often reverses and retests or fills the void, but it can just as easily slice through the zone once revisited, as thin liquidity offers little resistance. █ What Research Show Academic studies on price gaps find that immediate fills are rare, but the probability of fill rises over time. Downward voids (panic selling) fill faster on average than upward voids. Crypto traders track CME Bitcoin gaps and report over 80–90% eventually get filled, but timing is unpredictable. Volume-adjusted strategies outperform simple gap-filling because they focus on inefficient moves, not every gap. The key is filtering for thin participation. █ Bottom Line Liquidity voids are not just gaps, they are evidence of skipped prices under low participation. They tell you where price moved “too easily,” leaving behind unfinished business. Learn to filter for low-volume displacements, mark those zones, and watch how often price comes back to rebalance them. This turns a random candle into a predictive level, one that can guide your mean reversion trades or act as a support/resistance flip in trending markets. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by Zeiierman