nas100 4hTrading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week
In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and outlooks.
As can be seen, in each analysis there is a significant support/resistance zone near the current asset price. The market’s reaction to or break of this level will determine the future price trend up to the next specified levels.
Important Note: The purpose of these trading perspectives is to examine key price levels and the market’s potential reactions to them. The analyses provided are by no means trading signals!
USTECH100CFD trade ideas
Buy Opportunity Nas100Nas100 is bullish, therefore, this coming week we still looking for buys.
A lot of buyers will step into the market on the 3rd touch of the trend line, but the market will take those buyers out because there is a demand zone and liquidity below the trend line.
I believe the market will break the trend line, go towards the demand zone, and grab liquidity below that demand zone before continuing in its bullish momentum. It might even go towards the daily key level at 23900 before continuing up. Therefore, once we reach the demand zone, it is important that we drop to lower time frames and look for buying opportunities, being mindful of the liquidity zone. Do not take an aggressive entry, look for change of character on lower time frames before taking a buy position.
US100 Key Levels & Trend OutlookUS100 Update
We use advanced data that counts the start of the cycle and all important key levels.
On the low time frame, Nasdaq is consolidating just above the 24,516 – 24,488 support zone, which now acts as the key base for continuation.
Key levels:
24,516 – 24,488 → critical short-term support. Holding above confirms continuation of the uptrend.
24,603+ → current resistance. A clean breakout and hold above this level would extend bullish momentum and push toward new highs.
Downside risk: If price breaks back below 24,488, the next support sits around 24,158. A deeper breakdown from there could open a correction toward 23,404.
Cycle support: 19,407 is the major cycle uptrend level. Nasdaq must stay above this to keep the long-term bullish structure intact.
📌 Summary
Above 24,516 – 24,488 → bullish continuation in play.
Break & hold above 24,603 → signals further upside.
Below 24,488 → correction risk, first support at 24,158, then 23,404.
19,407 → cycle-level support for the long-term trend.
US100: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
US100
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US100
Entry Level - 24603
Sl - 24651
Tp - 24509
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps🚀 NAS100 Technical Forecast: Key Levels & Traps 🐻
*Analysis as of Sept 20, 2025 (12:50 AM UTC+4)*
📊 Overall Market Context:
Price: 24,610. Geopolitical events remain a key volatility driver. Current price action suggests a cautious market seeking direction after recent moves.
🔍 Key Technical Indicators:
• RSI (14): Neutral zone (~50). No strong overbought/oversold signal.
• Bollinger Bands (20): Price near the middle band, indicating balanced volatility.
• Moving Averages: Watching for a potential bearish crossover on the 4H chart. Key resistance at the 50-EMA.
• VWAP: Current price trading around the session's VWAP; a break above signals intraday bullish bias.
🎯 Critical Support & Resistance:
• Immediate Resistance: 24,800 -> 25,000 (Psychological)
• Strong Resistance: 25,250 (Previous High)
• Immediate Support: 24,500 -> 24,300
• Strong Support: 24,000 (Key Level)
⚠️ Pattern Watch:
• Bull Trap Risk: A false breakout above 24,800 could lure buyers before a drop.
• Bear Trap Risk: A sharp rejection from 24,300 could trap sellers before a rally.
• No clear Harmonic or Elliott Wave pattern on lower timeframes; monitoring for setup.
📈 Intraday Trading (5M-1H Charts):
• BUY (Long): Above 24,650, targeting 24,800. Stop Loss: 24,550.
• SELL (Short): Below 24,500, targeting 24,300. Stop Loss: 24,650.
*Confirmation: Use 5-min RSI divergence and volume spikes.*
📉 Swing Trading (4H-Daily Charts):
• BUY Swing: On a bullish reversal candle at 24,300 support, target 25,000+. SL below 24,000.
• SELL Swing: On a rejection at 24,800 resistance, target 24,000. SL above 25,100.
*Wait for a 4H close above/below key levels for confirmation.*
🎲 Risk Management:
Always use a 1:2 Risk/Reward ratio. Protect your capital.
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY/SPX
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
NSDQ100 volatility, triple-witching could exaggerate swings.Nasdaq 100 Trading Drivers
Macro backdrop:
US data came in strong:
Jobless claims fell to 231k (vs. 240k exp; prior 264k).
Continuing claims declined to 1.92m (vs. 1.95m exp).
Philly Fed survey surged to 23.2 (vs. 1.7 exp), an 8-month high.
This eased US slowdown fears and reinforced risk-on sentiment.
Equities:
Nasdaq +0.94% → new record high.
Tech/semis led: Intel (+22.8%) strongest S&P performer after Nvidia’s $5bn investment and US gov’t stake news. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.6%.
Momentum broadened → Russell 2000 +2.5%, first record high since 2021.
Rates:
Treasuries sold off on strong data → 10yr yield +1.7bps to 4.11%, 30yr +3.4bps. Higher yields a potential headwind if sustained.
Event risk:
Trump–Xi call (9 a.m. ET): key for TikTok’s US future & broader trade tone. Risk of mixed headlines given tensions (China soybeans skip, Gaza criticism, Taiwan aid freeze).
BoJ surprise: announced unwind of $4.2bn/year ETF holdings → dampened global risk tone.
US triple-witching: options/futures expiries today → elevated intraday volatility likely.
Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaway
Bullish momentum intact: record highs fueled by tech & semiconductor leadership.
Short-term watchpoints: Trump–Xi headlines and BoJ shift may inject volatility; triple-witching could exaggerate swings.
Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens.
Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24600
Resistance Level 2: 24710
Resistance Level 3: 24800
Support Level 1: 24210
Support Level 2: 24085
Support Level 3: 24940
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens.
Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 24600
Resistance Level 2: 24710
Resistance Level 3: 24800
Support Level 1: 24210
Support Level 2: 24085
Support Level 3: 24940
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
NAS100Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) Performance on September Options Expiration Days (2015–2024)
Based on historical data for the Invesco QQQ ETF (which tracks the Nasdaq-100), below is the daily performance on the third Friday of September each year—the standard options expiration day. The result is "Rise" if the closing price increased from the previous trading day's close, or "Fall" if it decreased. Data is sourced from reliable financial records, including adjusted closing prices.
- 2015: Fall (-0.45%)
- 2016: Rise (+0.32%)
- 2017: Rise (+0.62%)
- 2018: Fall (-0.20%)
- 2019: Rise (+0.11%)
- 2020: Fall (-1.18%)
- 2021: Fall (-1.25%)
- 2022: Fall (-1.69%)
- 2023: Fall (-1.13%)
- 2024: Fall (-0.19%)
Buy Nas100Nas is bullish and will continue buying. There are two possible buy entries, being the demand zone, or the liquidity grab zone. Do not enter a trade on the demand zone unless there is another confirmation on lower time frames. Remember it is Friday tomorrow, and the market can be very manipulative on Friday. Do not force trades, there is nothing wrong with not having a trading day. Trade what you see, and not what you feel.
2025 vs 2024 Growth comparison and OutlookPEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 2025 growth % is now more or less where 2024 was at the same date (+16% YTD) the difference is that last year in September Fed cut 0.5% and there was a bright future with inflation really going down, unemployment low and election coming. This year instead we have for the last quarter a GDP that is slowing , higher inflation (it did not decrease vs last September) and definitely a worst employment situation..So in 2022 NAS100 did another 10% from sep to dec 2024 to get to 26% . I really doubt we will do the same this year.(it would mean closing 2025 at 26400!...Just too put thinks in perspective
Recession “Announcements” vs. Reality — A Contrarian SignalMost traders anchor their sentiment to the official declarations of a recession. But here’s the catch: by the time policymakers and institutions announce “we are in a recession”, the contraction has almost always run its course.
If you are waiting for an official announcement we are in a recession in order to get out, It will be too late. You will likely be selling to the smart money buying for the eventual rise.
The game is rigged against the novice trader relying on generally available news.
On the chart:
The orange line marks the actual recession periods identified by economic data.
The red background shading highlights when the recession was officially recognized and reported.
Notice the lag: announcements consistently come after the worst is already behind us. Historically, these “recognition windows” line up closer with market bottoms than with tops.
👉 The key takeaway:
When you hear that a recession has been declared, it’s often not a sell signal — it’s closer to a buy signal. By then, the market has already priced in the pain, and recovery is underway.
This perspective flips conventional wisdom on its head: don’t fear the announcement — see it as confirmation that the worst is behind us. And do not wait for it to tell you we are going in to a recession, look at what the smart money is doing, what insiders are doing, what the banks are doing. Many thin that lower interest rates means a boost to business. But they are wrong.
Banks will charge as much as they think the economy can sustain. If Interest rates are rising, they know that business will be doing better. Falling interest rates tells you the banks know they can not get away with charging more and the economy is tanking.