US30: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of US30 right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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Dow Jones Bulls Preparing Another Robbery — Are You In?🚨💰 US30/DJ30 Index CFD Market Heist Plan 🏦🎭
🕵️ Dear Thief OG’s, Ladies & Gentlemen of the robbery squad… the vault is wide open again! This time we’re sneaking into the Dow Jones (US30) for a Bullish Day/Swing Heist. 🔥
🎯 Robbery Blueprint
Asset: US30/DJ30 Index CFD (Day/Swing Trade)
Plan: Bullish 📈
Entry (Thief Style):
The thief never knocks once… we layer the doors! Multiple buy limit orders 🔐:
Layer 1 → 45,600.0
Layer 2 → 45,400.0
Layer 3 → 45,200.0
(You can expand the layers depending on your risk appetite 🕳️)
Stop Loss (SL) 🛑:
📍 Thief SL @ 44,600.0
(Adjust based on your own risk & startergy – remember, survival is key in every robbery 🏃💨)
Target (TP) 🎯:
🚓 Police barricade spotted @47,000.0! Our sweet escape is planned at 46,800.0 before sirens catch us. 💰
🏆 Thief Strategy
Multiple limit order entries (layering method / scaling in).
Enter at any price level if you’re fast, but layering is the OG Thief move.
Manage your SL & risk like a pro robber – no reckless moves, or you’ll end up behind market bars! 🚔
💡 Why This Heist? 💡
The US30/DJ30 is primed for a bullish run 📈, driven by real-time market signals:
Technical Analysis: Strong support levels holding firm, momentum indicators screaming bullish! 📊
Fundamental Outlook: Check global market data, COT reports, and sentiment analysis for confirmation. 🔗👉
Volatility Watch: Stay sharp for news releases that could spike volatility. 📰⚠️
⚠️ Thief’s Risk Management ⚠️
News Alert: Avoid new trades during major news drops to dodge wild price swings. 🚫
Position Management: Use trailing stops to lock in those sweet profits. 🔐
Risk Control: Adjust lot sizes and SL based on your layered entries and risk profile. 📉
🏆 Join the Heist! 🏆
💥 Hit the Boost Button 💥 to power up our Thief Trader crew! 🚀 Let’s make bank with ease using the Thief Trading Style! 💸😎 Stay tuned for the next heist plan, and let’s keep robbing the markets! 🤑🐱👤
US30 -Dow Jones Industrial Average Technical Analysis & ForecastCurrent Price: 46,785.30 | 4th October 2025, 12:54 AM UTC+4
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading at 46,785.30, showing consolidation near all-time highs. Multi-timeframe analysis reveals a bullish trend with caution signals emerging on shorter timeframes. Key resistance at 47,000-47,200 zone presents a critical decision point for continuation versus correction.
Bottom Line: Bullish bias remains intact on daily/weekly charts, but intraday traders should watch for potential pullback to 46,500-46,300 support zone before next leg higher.
MULTI-TIMEFRAME MARKET STRUCTURE
Monthly/Weekly Context (Swing Trading)
Trend: Strong bullish momentum maintained since October 2023 lows
Elliott Wave Count: Potential Wave 5 of larger degree impulse, suggesting final push before correction
Key Levels: Major support at 45,800-46,000 (previous breakout zone); resistance at 47,200-47,500
Daily Chart Analysis
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows pattern intact
Ichimoku Cloud: Price trading above bullish cloud; Tenkan-sen/Kijun-sen bullish cross active
Pattern Recognition: Ascending channel formation with upper boundary at 47,150
4-Hour Chart (Critical Timeframe)
Candlestick Patterns: Recent doji and spinning tops indicating indecision
RSI: Divergence warning - price making higher highs while RSI shows lower highs (bearish divergence)
Volume Profile: Declining volume on recent push higher suggests weakening momentum
1-Hour/30-Minute (Intraday Focus)
Microstructure: Double top formation developing at 46,850-46,900 zone
Bollinger Bands: Price touching upper band with band width expanding
VWAP: Trading 0.2% above daily VWAP (46,692) - moderately extended
TECHNICAL INDICATOR DEEP DIVE
Momentum Indicators
RSI (14):
Daily: 62 (neutral-bullish)
4H: 58 (declining from 72 two days ago)
1H: 54 (bearish divergence present)
Interpretation: Momentum cooling after recent rally; not yet oversold
Trend Indicators
Moving Averages:
20 EMA: 46,580 (immediate support)
50 EMA: 46,200 (critical support)
200 EMA: 44,800 (long-term trend support)
Golden Cross Status: Active and bullish (50 MA above 200 MA)
Volatility Indicators
Bollinger Bands (20,2): Price at upper band; squeeze releasing suggests increased volatility ahead
ATR (14): 285 points (elevated) - expect 250-350 point daily ranges
Volume Analysis
Volume Weighted Average Price: 46,692
Volume Trend: Declining on up-moves (distribution warning)
Anchored VWAP: From October 1st low at 46,450 - price 0.7% above anchor
HARMONIC & PATTERN ANALYSIS
Gann Analysis
Square of 9: Next resistance at 47,088 (90° from current cycle low); support at 46,488
Gann Angles: 1x1 angle from September low projects support at 46,550
Time Cycles: October 8-10 represents potential reversal window (45-48 trading days from last pivot)
Harmonic Patterns
Potential Bat Pattern: Monitoring for completion at 46,950-47,000 (0.886 retracement level)
Fibonacci Confluence: 1.618 extension of recent corrective wave targets 47,150
Wyckoff Analysis
Phase: Appears to be in Distribution Phase B (preliminary supply)
Spring/Shakeout Watch: False breakout above 47,000 could trigger sell-off
Elliott Wave Count
Primary Count: Wave 5 of Intermediate (3), targeting 47,400-47,800
Alternate Count: Wave B corrective triangle forming; expect breakdown if 46,500 breaks
SUPPORT & RESISTANCE FRAMEWORK
Immediate Resistance Zones
46,850-46,900 - Intraday double top / psychological
47,000-47,050 - Major psychological / round number / Gann level
47,150-47,200 - Channel top / Fibonacci 1.618 / weekly pivot
47,500-47,600 - All-time high extension target
Support Zones
46,650-46,700 - VWAP / hourly demand zone
46,500-46,550 - 20 EMA / Gann 1x1 angle / pivot
46,200-46,300 - 50 EMA / gap fill / strong demand
45,800-46,000 - Daily cloud / major breakout point
TRAP SCENARIOS
Bull Trap Alert
Setup: Break above 47,000 with low volume followed by immediate reversal
Confirmation: Close below 46,800 same day with volume spike
Target: Retest 46,300-46,500 zone
Bear Trap Potential
Setup: Quick spike below 46,500 followed by rapid recovery
Confirmation: Close above 46,650 with strong volume
Target: Resume rally toward 47,200+
INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (October 4-11, 2025)
Day Trading Strategy - Scalp Setups
Bullish Scenario (60% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Pullback to 46,650-46,700 with bullish engulfing or hammer on 15M chart
RSI (15M) reaches 40-45 oversold region
Volume contraction during pullback, expansion on reversal
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,680-46,720
Stop Loss: 46,580 (100 points risk)
Target 1: 46,850 (130 points, 1.3:1 R/R) - scale out 50%
Target 2: 47,000 (280 points, 2.8:1 R/R) - scale out 30%
Target 3: 47,150 (430 points, 4.3:1 R/R) - let 20% run
Optimal Entry Times:
9:45-10:15 AM EST (post-opening volatility)
2:00-3:00 PM EST (afternoon momentum)
Bearish Scenario (40% Probability)
Entry Criteria:
Rejection at 46,900-47,000 with bearish engulfing on 15M/30M
RSI (15M) overbought above 70
Break below 46,780 (short-term support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,760-46,800 (after break confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,920 (120-160 points risk)
Target 1: 46,650 (110-150 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 46,500 (260-300 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 46,300 (460-500 points) - trail remainder
Optimal Entry Times:
10:30-11:00 AM EST (if morning rally fails)
3:00-3:45 PM EST (late-day profit taking)
SWING TRADING PLAN (1-4 Week Horizon)
Primary Swing Setup - Bullish Continuation
Entry Strategy:
Ideal Entry Zone: 46,300-46,500 (if pullback materializes)
Aggressive Entry: Current levels with 46,450 stop
Pattern: Bull flag/ascending channel continuation
Position Management:
Entry: 46,400 (scale in 30% at 46,500, 40% at 46,400, 30% at 46,300 if available)
Stop Loss: 46,100 (300 points, daily close below)
Target 1: 47,200 (700-800 points) - reduce 40%
Target 2: 47,800 (1,300-1,400 points) - reduce 30%
Target 3: 48,500 (2,000+ points) - trail with 50 EMA
Timeframe: 2-4 weeks
Confidence Level: 65%
Alternative Swing Setup - Mean Reversion Short
Activation Criteria:
Daily close below 46,500 with volume above 20-day average
RSI daily breaks below 50
Break of ascending trendline from September
Trade Setup:
Entry: 46,450-46,500 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: 46,850 (350-400 points)
Target 1: 46,000 (450-500 points) - cover 50%
Target 2: 45,600 (850-900 points) - cover 30%
Target 3: 45,200 (1,250-1,300 points) - trail remainder
Timeframe: 1-3 weeks
Confidence Level: 35% (lower probability setup)
WEEKLY ROADMAP (October 4-11)
Monday-Tuesday (Oct 6-7):
Expected Range: 46,500-47,100
Bias: Neutral to bullish - watch for pullback completion
Key Level: 46,700 (holding above maintains bullish structure)
Wednesday-Thursday (Oct 8-9):
Gann Time Window: Potential reversal period
Strategy: Reduce position size; let patterns develop
Watch: Economic data releases could spike volatility
Friday (Oct 10):
Weekly Close: Critical for swing positioning
Bullish Confirmation: Close above 46,850
Bearish Warning: Close below 46,600
RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES
Position Sizing
Intraday: Risk 0.5-1% of capital per trade
Swing Trades: Risk 1-2% of capital per trade
Max Portfolio Heat: 4-5% across all positions
Key Risk Levels
Invalidation Point (Bulls): Daily close below 46,100
Invalidation Point (Bears): Daily close above 47,300
Correlation Monitoring
Watch US10Y yields (inverse correlation currently strong)
S&P 500 and Nasdaq leading/lagging analysis
Dollar Index impact on risk appetite
MARKET CONTEXT & EXTERNAL FACTORS
Macroeconomic Considerations
Federal Reserve policy stance remains influential
Q3 earnings season beginning - watch corporate guidance
Geopolitical tensions requiring monitoring (Middle East, US-China)
Sentiment Indicators
VIX below 15 suggests complacency - potential volatility spike risk
Put/Call ratios showing neutral sentiment
Institutional flows appear distributive near highs
Seasonal Patterns
October historically volatile (correction risk)
Year-end rally potential if correction occurs early month
FINAL TRADING RECOMMENDATIONS
For Intraday Traders:
Best Setup: Wait for pullback to 46,650-46,700 for low-risk long entries
Avoid: Chasing above 46,900 without confirmation
Focus Timeframes: 15-minute and 1-hour charts for entries; 5-minute for exits
For Swing Traders:
Patience Required: Current levels are extended; wait for 46,300-46,500 zone
Alternative: Small position at current levels with very tight stops (46,650)
Best Risk/Reward: Appears in the 46,300-46,400 region
Overall Market Outlook:
Bullish bias maintained with 60-65% probability of testing 47,200+ in coming 2-3 weeks. However, near-term consolidation or shallow pullback (5-7%) is healthy and would provide better entry opportunities. The combination of weakening momentum indicators and potential Gann time reversal window suggests patience will be rewarded.
TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTES
FOMO Warning: Resist urge to chase at current elevated levels
Discipline: Stick to predefined entry zones even if price continues higher
Flexibility: Be ready to flip bias if key levels break (46,100 bears / 47,300 bulls)
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Next Update: October 7, 2025 (Mid-week review with refined levels)
Analysis combines multiple technical methodologies for comprehensive market perspective. No single indicator should be used in isolation. Confluence of signals increases probability of success.
US30 - High Volume Control & Liquidity🚨My personal view:
➡️The Low Season/3rd Quarter is behind us.
➡️Liquidity is crucial for fresh acceleration in the High Season/Last quarter.
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🎯 KEY PIVOT
📍 Zone Type: DEMAND
📊 Price Range: 46,200-46,400
📏 Distance: 569 points below current price with strong support history
📊 MAIN BIAS
🔵 Bias: BULLISH
📌 Context: Strong uptrend near all-time highs
💎 DIAMOND EDGE - Primary Setup
🎲 Direction: Long from current levels targeting 47,000-47,100
🔍 Confirmations:
✅Bullish momentum continuation above 46,700
✅Bullish momentum continuation above KEY PIVOT @ 46,200-46,400
✅Break above 47,000 with strong volume
⚠️ NOTE:
✅Price 231 points from resistance. Watch for rejection at 47,000-47,100.
🎯 Bullish Extension Targets - Discovery
T1: 47,200
T2: 47,500
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🔄 BIAS FLIP SETUP- BEARISH🔴
💡 46,100-46,400 critical support - break changes structure.
⚡ Triggers:
➡️Multiple Rejection @ 47,000-47,100 Confirming Resistance as Supply Zone.
➡️Then Clear and decisive break below 46,200
🎲 Direction: Short from 46,100
🔍 Confirmations:
🟧Bearish rejection wicks at 47,000-47,100
🟧Break and close below 46,200
🎯 Targets:
T1: 45,600 - 45,800 ➡️➡️LIQUIDITY
T2: 45,200-45,400
T3: 44,600-44,800
⚠️ SESSION RULES
❌Avoid chasing between levels.
✅Use your 50% markers as targets in-between key high-volume areas.
🕐 Trade only NYSE - US session (9:30am-4pm EST)
📰 Monitor Fed policy, economic data
Dow Jones Watching 46,250 Support for Potential ContinuationHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring US30 for a potential buying opportunity around the 46,250 zone. The Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently in a correction phase, with price moving toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader trend remains bullish, with pullbacks serving as corrections within the uptrend.
Key level in focus: 46,250 — an important support zone where price could stabilize and attract buyers.
Next move: Holding above 46,250 could open the door for continuation toward higher highs, while a breakdown would suggest a deeper retracement.
Trade safe,
Joe.
US30: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 46,903.31 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 46,721.37 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DowJones Key Trading levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46900
Resistance Level 2: 47000
Resistance Level 3: 47210
Support Level 1: 46490
Support Level 2: 46410
Support Level 3: 46270
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Us30 Trade Set Up Oct 3 2025Price is trading above PDH so still bullish. If this 4h FVG gets respected and SSL gets swept i will look for buys to BSL/ATH but price has changed state on the 15m and 1h so i price comes to retest the 15m CISD and respects it i will look for IFVG on the 1m to take to lower SSL
www.tradingview.com
Bullish momentum to extend?Dow Jones (US30) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance whch acts as a swing high resistance.
Pivot: 46,363.54
1st Support: 46,125
1st Resistance: 46,723.87
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
US30 TREND ANALYSISIn US30 there is a clear uptrend important areas are marked as always one is 50 percent area and the other one is 75 percent area .Once the market comeback for retest we will shift to smaller timeframe and look for trendshift after observing everything. When the market again comeback for the retest on smaller timeframe we will look for buy side trade.
important areas
50 percent zone(46245.3)
75 percent zone(46134.3)
bigger timeframe (30 minutes)
smaller timeframe(5 minutes)
Dow Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 46580
Resistance Level 2: 46690
Resistance Level 3: 46850
Support Level 1: 46170
Support Level 2: 46040
Support Level 3: 45800
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 currently consolidating near a key resistance zone US30 is currently consolidating near a key resistance zone likely around the yearly high / major supply level. This resistance has already been tested once previously, where price reversed downward sharply — showing sellers are active here The current sideways movement suggests the market is indecisive or absorbing liquidity before a larger move. If bearish momentum builds, potential support zone we could expect downside target 46,100 – 45,900 falling Range.
You may Find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely Best Of Luck.
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