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Dow Jones Under Pressure as Bond Yields SurgeUS30 – Dow Jones Update The Dow Jones erased 250 points as September began with soaring bond yields, dragging stocks lower after the long weekend. Nasdaq was the session’s biggest loser despite showing pre-market strength. Technical Outlook: The index reached our support target at 44,950, exactly as projected yesterday. For now, price is expected to consolidate within the 45,285 – 45,110 zone before the next move. 🔼 A confirmed 4H close above 45,285 would support a bullish continuation toward 45,460 → 45,680. 🔻 Conversely, sustained trade below 45,110 would re-open the bearish path toward 44,950 → 44,720. Key Levels: Pivot: 45,285 Support: 45,110 – 44,950 – 44,720 Resistance: 45,460 – 45,680 – 45,860
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
Dow Jones (US30) 4H AnalysisHey guys another quick one from me, here we see price is holding a strong upward trendline while consolidating between 45,160 support and 45,730 resistance level. Always look left because stucture leaves clues. A retracement toward the 45,375 (50% Fib) level could offer a bullish entry. If buyers hold above 45,160, price is likely to push higher toward 45,980 (127.2% Fib extension) and possibly 46,092 (141.4% Fib). A break and close below 45,160 would invalidate this bullish scenario and shift momentum back to the downside. 📈 Bias: Bullish continuation as long as 45,160 holds. 🎯 Targets: 45,730 - 45,980 - 46,092. 🔑 Invalidation: Break below 45,160.
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by ZadyTrades
Dow Jones eyes new highs with NFP in sharp focusThe Dow was trading flat ahead of the release of the NFP data. A goldilocks report - one that is not too weak or too strong - is the best outcome for stocks as this will cement expectations for a September rate cut. A significantly weaker report will raise recession worries while a very strong number could weigh on rate cut bets, and pressure risk assets at least initially anyway. The price action on the DOW has been near perfect after a retest of the 45K broken resistance from above giving way for a big bounce this week. With a couple of short-term resistance levels such as 45470 and 45315 taken out, these will now be the initial support levels to watch moving forward. The next upside target is liquidity resting above the all time high of 45,763. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:US30Long
by FOREXcom
Us30 sell Trade Setup Observed Entry: Around 45,609 (current price zone). Stop Loss (SL): 45,659 (≈ 50 points above entry). Take Profit (TP): Significantly lower, around 45,300 (green zone). Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.12 → This is a good ratio (favorable reward relative to risk). Position Size: Qty 2. --- 📊 Price Action 1. Strong Upward Impulse: Prior to your trade, the market had a strong bullish rally (large green candles). 2. Consolidation Phase: After the rally, price is ranging in a tight band (sideways movement), marked by small alternating candles. 3.Manipulation is over and distribution si about to start
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by Osokam
Possible buy opportunity on US30- after confirmation!Hello Traders, I’m currently watching US30 for a potential long setup. Price has tapped into a key dynamic level that has previously acted as both support and resistance. This zone also aligns with a rising trendline, where we just saw liquidity taken out below it, followed by multiple candle rejections. This confluence makes me believe buyers could step in here. My confirmation trigger will be a close above 45,314, if that happens, I’ll be looking to enter long. 🎯 Target: 45,811.83 (previous high) 🛡️ Stop: 45,067 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: 1:2 I see good potential for upside from this level. 👉 What are your thoughts on this setup? Drop your insights in the comments and if you find this analysis valuable, a like would be greatly appreciated!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by AmaWina
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach: - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns. - ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices. - The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex. - Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum. Technical approach: - US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21. - If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900. - On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by DatTong
THE BIG TOP ... THE MID-CYCLE CORRECTION COMES SOONTHE BULL IS NOT DEAD YET... Alternate Cycle progression puts 1942 - 1947, 1982 - 1987. and 2022 - 2027 on the same phase of a larger 20-year cycle. This is the smallest growth cycle that completes in approximately five (5) years. It forms the first section of every alternate 20-year cycle and carves out a very identical fractal. This fractal remerges every 40 to 43 years. This is the basis of Gann's 43-year cycle repetition. 1942 - 1947 5-year cycle 1982 - 1987 Cycle 2022 - 2027 Cycle in progression Putting the price and time advances into a cumulative progression suggests that we are getting closer to a first correction at 47200 level. It also suggests that the next time and price for the current cycle is measurable and quantifiable with a very slim margin for error. 27th October is a major timeline to watch Beyond that we have March 2026 TRADE PLAN: We will close all buy entries in October We will buy again in May 2026 for another 2-year bull cycle. Follow for more updates
TVC:DJILong
by Fairmont-Markets
SHORT TERM DOW - REVERSE (H & S ) PATTERN FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed The chart shows a reverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) attempt. Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are marked clearly. But note: written that “8 out of 10 times H&S fails”, which is important — H&S is powerful, but also prone to false breakouts. AND FALSE BREAKOUT ITSELF IS VERY STONG SETUP!5 🔹 Short-Term Technical View Structure: Price attempted to form an inverse H&S, but neckline is not yet broken decisively. Instead of breakout, Dow is showing weakness near the right shoulder. Bearish Bias Active: Failure of the reversal pattern often triggers sharp declines (trapped longs exit). Breakdown projection is already plotted on your chart. Target Zone: Immediate downside target highlighted = 41,125. That’s consistent with measuring the depth from head to neckline and projecting downward. Invalidation: If price reclaims and sustains above the neckline (~45,000–45,200 zone), the bearish view weakens. 🔹 Short-Term Trading Implication Bias: Bearish as long as below neckline. Target: 41,125 (short-term). Stops: Above neckline (45,000+). R:R: If entered near 44,600–44,800, reward to risk is favorable (2.5:1+). ✅ Conclusion The Dow shows a failed inverse H&S, which typically results in downside continuation. Short-term target is 41,125, with risk managed above 45,000. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, or derivative. Trading carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
TVC:DJIShort
by shiva560060
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️‍♂️ 🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥 📊 Trade Plan Overview Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰 Direction: Bullish 🐂 Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close) Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️‍♂️ Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks. Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis). Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧 Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point). Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️ Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!). Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸 Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines: Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️‍♂️: Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision. Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level. Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains. Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢 Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets. Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading. Macro Environment: Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY). Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth. Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks. Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside. Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊: Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪ Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials. Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪ Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties. Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data. Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️ Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy. Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports). Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀 Bullish trend intact with no recession signals. Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings. Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD) S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA. NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum. FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts. 📝 Final Notes This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #TradingView #DJIA #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis
TVC:DJILong
by The-Thief
US30What is the US 30? The US 30, commonly known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow, is a stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large publicly traded companies in the United States. It is one of the most widely followed equity indices and serves as a key indicator of the overall health of the US stock market and economy. The Dow includes companies from various sectors like technology, finance, health, and consumer goods. How Do US 10Y Treasury Yield, DXY, and Fed Interest Rates Affect the US 30? 1. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) The 10-year Treasury yield reflects long-term borrowing costs and investor confidence in economic growth and inflation. Higher yields often mean higher borrowing costs for companies, which can reduce corporate profits and lower stock prices, including the Dow. Rising yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, leading to a shift away from equities like the Dow. Conversely, lower yields tend to support higher stock valuations as cheaper debt and less attractive bond returns encourage investment in equities. 2. US Dollar Index (DXY) The DXY measures the strength of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. A stronger dollar can negatively impact Dow companies that earn significant revenue overseas by making their products more expensive internationally and reducing translated foreign profits. A weaker dollar generally supports multinational companies’ overseas earnings, potentially boosting the Dow. Currency strength also influences inflation and trade dynamics, indirectly impacting stock market sentiment. 3. Federal Reserve Interest Rate The Federal Reserve sets the federal funds rate, which influences short-term interest rates and overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates typically raise borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, potentially slowing growth and leading to lower stock prices. Rising rates can also cause investors to prefer fixed-income securities over stocks. Lower or stable Fed rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting higher equity prices. Fed communications about rate intentions are closely watched as key drivers of stock market volatility, including the Dow. Summary The US 30 (Dow Jones) is influenced by interest rates, bond yields, and the dollar's strength. Rising US 10-year yields or Fed rate hikes generally create headwinds for the Dow by increasing costs and attractive alternatives to stocks. A stronger dollar can weigh on multinational earnings and lower the Dow’s performance. Conversely, lower yields, dovish Fed policy, and a weaker dollar tend to support gains in the Dow by making stocks more appealing. These factors together shape investor sentiment, risk appetite, and valuation dynamics in the US stock market.The US 30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a stock market index that tracks 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. It serves as a key indicator of the overall health and performance of the U.S. stock market. The US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) affects the US 30 because it reflects long-term interest rates and economic expectations. When the 10-year yield rises, borrowing costs increase for companies, which can dampen profits and lead to lower stock prices, negatively impacting the Dow. Higher yields also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, pulling investment away from equities. The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. A stronger DXY can hurt Dow companies with significant overseas revenue by making their products more expensive abroad and reducing translated foreign earnings, weighing on the Dow. Conversely, a weaker dollar tends to boost these companies and support the index. The Federal Reserve interest rate sets short-term borrowing costs and influences overall financial conditions. Higher Fed rates raise costs for consumers and businesses, potentially slowing economic growth and weighing on stocks. Lower or stable rates encourage borrowing and investment, supporting stock prices. Market expectations of Fed moves heavily sway investor sentiment and the Dow's performance. In summary, higher US10Y yields, a stronger DXY, and rising Fed rates often pose headwinds for the US 30, while lower yields, a weaker dollar, and accommodative Fed policy generally support it. These dynamics affect corporate profits, investment flows, and market risk appetite that collectively drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average. U330 ,the structure is giving a pullback into my demand floor and to the moon us30. if bulls keep the trend into the supply structure ,they could be selling from that zone. #us30
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Shavyfxhub
DowJones important support at 45190Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 45800 Resistance Level 2: 46000 Resistance Level 3: 46200 Support Level 1: 45190 Support Level 2: 44960 Support Level 3: 44720 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US30
by TradeNation