NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Forgotten Gap
A week ago, US100 formed a gap up opening.
It looks like the index is finally ready to fill it.
A breakout of a major horizontal support is a strong bearish signal.
Expect a bearish continuation to 25420.
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USNAS100 | Buyers Hold Control Above 25440USNAS100 | Overview
The price reached the resistance zone after stabilizing above 25440.
Currently, it appears to be retesting 25440 before attempting another push higher toward 25700 – 25820.
A 1H close above 25820 would confirm further bullish momentum toward the all-time high (ATH) at 26170.
However, a move below 25440 would indicate renewed bearish pressure toward 25220, with a confirmed break below 25220 activating a broader downward trend.
Pivot Line: 25700
Resistance: 25820 · 25960 · 26170
Support: 25440 · 25230 · 25010
Outlook:
Bullish while above 25440, targeting 25700–25820.
Bearish scenario activates only below 25220.
US NAS 100 BIG FALLPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
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Wall Street Tech Rally Resumes | USNAS100 Holds Firm Above 25440USNAS100 – MARKET OUTLOOK | Bullish Bias Above 25440
The Nasdaq continues to trade with bullish momentum after stabilizing above 25440, supported by strength in tech stocks and improving market sentiment.
Above 25440: Bullish continuation toward 25700 → 25820 → 26170 (ATH).
Below 25430: Bearish correction possible toward 25230 → 25000 → 24760.
Pivot: 25440
Support: 25230 · 25000 · 24760
Resistance: 25570 · 25700 · 25820
USNAS100 remains bullish while above 25440, but a confirmed 1H close below 25430 could trigger a short-term bearish correction toward 25230–25000.
Nasdaq Fails to Return to Record HighsOver the past six trading sessions, the Nasdaq index has begun to show a notable bearish correction of more than 2.6% in the short term, reinforcing a downward bias that remains active at this stage. So far, the selling pressure has persisted as the market grows increasingly concerned about the performance of several companies linked to artificial intelligence, which have maintained significant valuations without yet reporting profits strong enough to justify those price levels. This situation has started to raise warning signals and trigger a short-term decline in confidence, which, if sustained, could become a key driver of stronger selling pressure in Nasdaq movements over the coming sessions.
Uptrend Still Holding
Despite recent corrections, the Nasdaq index has managed to preserve a steady upward trendline since around April 14 of this year, and so far, there has not been a strong enough sell-off to cause a meaningful break of this trend in the short term. However, if the current selling pressure continues, it could increase the risk of weakening the buying trendline, which has recently entered a phase of consolidation or pause over the past few sessions.
RSI
The RSI indicator line remains oscillating close to the 50 level, suggesting a technical balance between buying and selling strength over the average impulses of the last 14 trading sessions. As long as this behavior persists, the market may enter a more pronounced phase of indecision in the short term, reflecting the absence of a clear directional bias in price movements.
MACD
The MACD indicator, meanwhile, has started to show a neutral pattern, as its histogram continues to approach the zero line. This indicates indecision in the strength of short-term moving averages and could be signaling the formation of a more significant technical neutrality, where the market seeks an equilibrium point before defining a new directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
26,000 points – Main resistance: Corresponds to the recent record highs and stands as the most important bullish barrier to watch. Movements that manage to hold above this level could confirm a stronger buying bias, potentially allowing the uptrend to continue on the chart.
25,115 points – Near support: This zone coincides with the most recent price retracements and could act as a technical barrier against potential short-term downward corrections.
23,800 points – Critical support: This level corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement on the chart. Bearish movements that reach and break below this area could put the current trendline at risk and generate a stronger selling bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Nasdaq Battle between correction & innovationNASDAQ 100 (NDX)
Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) currently sits at a crucial inflection point, defined by the overwhelming dominance of the technology sector's structural growth against a backdrop of increasing macroeconomic and technical vulnerability. After a historic rally driven by Artificial Intelligence (AI) euphoria, the market is undergoing a necessary and sharp correction, testing key support levels established during the latest bullish surge.
The Durable Foundation: AI, Earnings, and Profitability
The core bullish case for the NDX remains robust, fundamentally driven by the "Magnificent Seven" and the pervasive, non-negotiable surge in AI infrastructure spending. Unlike the speculative rallies of previous cycles, today's leaders are characterized by deep profitability, substantial cash flow, and diverse revenue streams.
Recent corporate earnings reaffirm this strength, with the technology sector posting strong double digit growth. This profitability suggests that investment in AI is being funded through internal cash flow, making the rally more sustainable than the debt fuelled expansion seen two decades ago. The long term trajectory is further supported by an accommodative Federal Reserve pivot, which is now in rate cutting mode a supportive contrast to the tightening cycle that ended the 2000 rally. The secular trend of technological innovation is accelerating, transforming AI from a growth narrative into an essential business imperative.
Macroeconomic and Sentiment Headwinds
Despite underlying corporate strength, recent market action signals a decisive sentiment shift rooted in macro uncertainty and high valuations. The index has experienced its steepest weekly decline since March, indicating heavy profit taking and a collective "reality check" among traders.
Several factors are contributing to this sentiment reversal:
1. Concentration Risk: The sheer weight of the largest components now represents an extraordinary percentage of the overall market capitalization, making the NDX acutely sensitive to volatility in just a few key names.
2. Labor Market Cooling: Data showing a significant spike in job cuts (particularly in the tech and warehousing sectors) has unsettled investors, suggesting that economic cooling is accelerating faster than anticipated.
3. Consumer Confidence: A sharp drop in consumer sentiment reflects heightened anxiety related to economic uncertainty and political instability, which historically dampens forward looking market optimism.
4. Valuation Concerns: While not at 2000 extremes, valuations remain elevated, shifting the market’s focus entirely from multiple expansion to demanding flawless execution and continuous earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: The Critical 25,000 Support Test
From a technical perspective, the NDX has been in a clear, rising trend channel over the medium to long term, confirming a persistent buy the dip mentality. However, the recent sell off has introduced significant short term caution.
The index is currently testing a non negotiable support zone around 25,000. This level is psychologically important and corresponds to a previous major breakout point. A decisive breakdown below this support could trigger a cascading sell off as automated stop loss orders are activated, potentially paving the way toward the next major supports at 24,500 and, more critically, 23,980.
Key Technical Levels:
• Immediate Support: 25,000
• Secondary Supports: 24,500, then 23,980
• Immediate Resistance: 25,200, followed by 25,500 and 25,700
Conclusion: Navigating the Volatility
Nasdaq 100 remains an index of unparalleled innovation and long term potential, yet its short term path is fraught with risk. The outlook hinges on the NDX's ability to hold the critical 25,000 support level. A bounce from this zone would confirm the resilience of the dip buyers and maintain the medium term bullish structure. Failure to hold this level, however, would signal a deeper technical correction is underway, shifting the focus to the lower support zones as the market cleanses its excessive exuberance. Traders should remain nimble, respecting the clear shift in short term momentum while maintaining conviction in the long term, secular growth of the technology giants.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 is expected to soon retest the horizontal supply area before continuing its bearish move toward the target zone.
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Stop Loss: 25,877$
Take Profit: 25,607$
Entry: 25,728$
Time Frame: 2H
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Sell!
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US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Nasdaq - The most important structure!💰Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) perfectly respects structure:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, the Nasdaq has been rallying an expected +50%. Still, until the Nasdaq will retest the upper channel resistance trendline, this rally won't be over. Therefore, we can still see a rally of another +10% in the very near future.
📝Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NAS100 – Bullish Setup Alert (Inverse Head & Shoulders on 30min)#NAS100 has been moving sideways on the higher time frames, showing consolidation after recent volatility. However, on the 30-minute chart, it’s now forming a clean Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal signal.
Key Levels to Watch:
Neckline Breakout Zone: Watch for a breakout above the neckline for confirmation of bullish momentum.
Entry Plan: Wait for a break and retest of the neckline before entering a long position.
Targets: Short-term resistance zones and Fibonacci extensions can be used for profit booking.
Risk Management: Always use a tight stop-loss below the right shoulder to protect capital.
Technical Outlook:
Once the neckline is broken with volume confirmation, it may trigger a strong bullish continuation move — aligning with broader market momentum.
What’s your view on this setup?
Do you see a breakout coming soon, or another fakeout before the move? Share your thoughts below
#NAS100 #Trading #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #HeadAndShoulders #Forex #Indices #DayTrading
Nasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US ShutdownNasdaq 100 Rebounds as Traders Anticipate End of the US Shutdown
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index has started the week on a positive note amid growing expectations that the longest government shutdown in US history may soon come to an end.
According to Reuters, a bill has been introduced in the Senate proposing amendments to extend government funding until 30 January. The news acted as a bullish catalyst for equity markets. Still, the question remains – is the risk truly behind us?
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100
Analysing the hourly chart of the Nasdaq 100 on 4 November, we:
→ Drew an ascending channel;
→ Noted signs of momentum exhaustion, as mentioned in our previous headline.
Since then, price action has evolved as follows:
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support (1), prompting a brief rebound;
→ The 25,770 level acted as resistance (2) on two occasions, strengthening the bears’ confidence to push for a downside breakout — which ultimately succeeded.
The index’s subsequent movements have now more clearly outlined the formation of a descending channel (shown in red).
From the demand-side perspective:
→ After a false bearish breakout below 24,680 (showing characteristics of a Liquidity Grab pattern), the market staged an aggressive rally from point B;
→ Today’s session opened with a bullish gap, and the price has moved above the red median line.
From the supply-side perspective:
→ The 25,500 level, where sellers gained control during the previous channel breakout, may now act as resistance;
→ If the A→B move is viewed as an impulse, today’s rally appears to be a corrective rebound consistent with Fibonacci proportions — suggesting that downward momentum could resume within the red channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US NAS 100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US100 – Bullish Reversal Setup-H4: Turning bullish with a new high at 25,667.
Pullback: Formed a lower high, now H1 shifting bullish again.
Plan: Looking for buys above 25,542, SL below last H1 LH.
Adjustment: If another H1 LH forms and breaks upward, trail SL for tighter risk.
-Fundamental: Shutdown-end hopes , supporting the bullish scenario.
Weakness PersistsI'm loathe to make a prediction here since I've been wrong so many times but I feel that today might be a bull trap. I still feel strongly the NASDAQ is in a bubble and I do hold a short in SNAS.AX. I'm thinking a close today below the rising blue trend line implies the breakdown is still in effect.
US100 - BULLISH POSSIBILITYPrice constantly forming higher lows which indicate a strong uptrend tendency. Possibility of stronger confirmation if you decide to wait for price to break above 25,750. This is purely ideas purpose only and should not be used alone to take on a trade. Good profits traders.
NASDAQ Channel Up still stands buy needs a pull-back.Nasdaq (NDX) reached the top of its 5-month Channel Up and got rejected. It completed a +9.59% rise from the last 1D MA50 (red trend-line) bottom (Higher Low for the pattern), similar to the previous Bullish Leg.
The maximum a Bullish Leg has increased by inside this pattern is +10.87%. As a result, either now or just above it, the pattern would require a technical pull-back. The most usual buy signal is on its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the most effective when the 4H RSI breaks below its oversold (30.00) barrier.
Our next Buy Zone is within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci retracement range.
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