Day 25 — Trading Only S&P Futures | Gold’s Rally Raises FlagsWelcome to Day 25 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today started strong with an overnight short and continued by taking longs at major support levels. With the FOMC blackout period in effect, I leaned bullish but stayed selective, waiting for the 5-min MOB to hit before entering. That trade paid off and I wrapped the day at +264.83.
Still, there’s a cautionary note: gold just hit a record high above $3,633/oz, and that could be signaling underlying stress in the markets. Something to keep an eye on as we move forward.
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6480 = Remain Bullish
Below 6465 = Flip Bearish
📰 News Highlights
SPOT GOLD EXTENDS GAINS, LAST UP 1.3% TO HIT A RECORD HIGH OF $3,633.65/OZ
SPX500U2025 trade ideas
MES1! WEEK 37 SEPT 7TH Looking for MON. TUE, WED HIGH of the week trading above $6500. LOOK TO TAKE SELLS FROM THE PREMIUM END OF THE CURRENT DEALING RANGE.
THERE ARE RELATIVE EQUAL LOWS AT $6430 AND $6365.
IF -- PRICE CAN NOT GET BLOW THE DISCOUNT RANGE THEN YOU ARE OFF SIDE AND SHOULD LOOK TO BUY FOR HIGHER PRICES.
CALANDER EVENT
TUES
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
- 2PM - TRUMP SPEAKS
WED
-10AM - JOLT's JOB OPENING (HIGH)
THUR
-8:30AM - NF- EMPLOYMENT CHANGE (HIGH)
-10AM - PMI (HIGH)
FRIDAY
-8:30AM - NFP / UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (HIGH)
- UNEMPLOYMENT CHANGE (HIGH)
-4PM - TRUMP SPEAKES
Note - find 6pm=6am dealing range.
- note any smaller ranges within the DR that we can trade form on the 15m.5m.or 1m
Automating TradingView Alerts to Tradovate (Step 1: Webhook + JSWelcome to the first video on my channel, Quant by Boji.
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Creating an indicator in TradingView using Pine Script
Adding the alertcondition() function so alerts know when to fire
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Writing a JSON message in the alert so your server has all the data it needs
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return to support during uptrend presents a cheap entry 1->3 : push up marking 2
as proven buyers
3->4 : return to proven buyers
next?
* hidden bull divergence
* behind vpoc 1->3 swing(s)
*uptrend continuation
*bullish bar entry at support
*zone trading 75% probability follow through to profit, though the invalid is below our stop as the zones are too big to align stop with zone stop also
Non Farm Payrolls 0830 EST Non Farm Payrolls (NFP) main event is tomorrow. Big show down between Bulls vs Bears. ADP was a market miss today, will NFP be a market miss?
If jobs report is no bueno will markets blast a roo up because they like the potential for Fed Rate cuts confirmed or will risk markets do a dumpster fire? Only time will tell. 0730 CST is the time to sit by the ringside to find out who wins.
#nonfarmpayrolls
#volitilemarkets
Bullish energy Just an idea …..I mostly scalp. 20-30% targets. Because the market is respecting higher lows, sustaining above moving averages, and showing momentum confirmation, my bias is bullish. I expect that as long as price holds above the most recent support zone, buyers will continue to press toward the next resistance level.
(ES) – Key Resistance at 6475The ES is approaching a significant resistance zone around the 6475 level, which has the potential to act as a short-term cap on price action. Given the current structure and momentum, ES may struggle to break and hold above this area.
This presents a possible short opportunity near 6475, with a tight stop just above the resistance. If this level holds as resistance, we could see a rejection leading to lower levels in the coming sessions.
Monitor price action closely around this zone for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Jackson Hole Fade OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Jackson Hole Fade 🏔️🐻
We’re looking for a SHORT(s) in spot and options for a macro swing down into Jackson Hole and the immediate aftermath 📉. Plan is to sell rallies into value (red box), ride the drift lower, and bank along staged targets. After that, we’ll be hunting the first-cut squeeze back up 🏦✂️🚀.
Risk: a surprise dovish leak / policy jawbone that front-runs the cut and squeezes shorts. Size smart, trail tight, don’t overstay.
#SP500 #ES #Macro #JacksonHole #ShortSetup #OTEUM
return to proven buyers might be the continuation of trend1->3 : number 3 closes above number 1 ,
this makes number 2 a solid major low in
the local scope and the origin of dominant
volume
3->4 : return to number 2
next ?
* hidden bull rsi and mfi
* testing upside trendline obv and small breaks
* uptrend
*vwap, 1st stand deviation + pulback to vwap
*zone trading 66% chance to reach target above big
red bar = upside bias if they beat that
*poc defending buyers
Day 22 — Trading Only S&P Futures & Market analysisWelcome to Day 22 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today I kept things simple — waited for the 10am JOLTS report to set direction and only got long after we held the 1-min MOB. Even then, I stayed cautious since price was still under 6465 resistance.
I focused on gamma levels, which played out clean on both the buy and sell side. The only real slip-up was a FOMO long, and that reminded me of an important rule: I should only size up when I’ve got 2+ confirmations. If I take a trade with less, it needs to be 1 contract only — risk management first.
Closed the session with +256.25, ending the day disciplined and green.
📰 News Highlights
U.S. JULY JOLTS JOB OPENINGS FALL TO 7.181M (EST. 7.380M, PREV. 7.357M) — LOWEST SINCE MARCH 2021
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6470 = Flip Bullish
Below 6450 = Remain Bearish
ES (Sep 3): short pops into 6420–6435; watch JOLTS & Beige BookHTF still skews bearish; intraday bounce stalled into overhead supply. For Wednesday (Sep 3), I’m planning sell-the-pop into 6420–6435 with confirmation. News risk: JOLTS 10:00 ET, Factory Orders 9:00 ET, Fed Beige Book 14:00 ET. ISM Services & ADP are Thursday (not Wed).
HTF bias (top-down)
• Weekly/Daily: Price rolled off the 6.5k zone; momentum flattening; room to probe lower demand in coming sessions.
• 4H/1H: Clean LH→LL sequence; today’s bounce tagged supply, then ranged under it. Bias sell rallies until acceptance above the ceiling.
Key zones I’m using (approx.)
• Supply / short zones: 6420–6435 (NY PM high / intraday OB cluster).
• Hard liquidity / targets below: 6396 → 6378 → 6310–6280 (HTF demand/extension cluster).
• Invalidation / flip line: 6448–6450 (15m/30m acceptance above = stand down shorts; consider flip long on retest).
Numbers reflect my mapping from today’s 30m/15m/5m; execution still needs rulebook confirmation (see below).
A++ setup (primary)
Short the pop into 6420–6435
• Trigger: 15m bearish context plus a 5m bearish close inside the zone (no exceptions).
• Initial stop: 6448 (or last swing high if tighter).
• TPs: TP1 6396 (scale ½) → TP2 6378 → TP3 6310.
• Management: Move stop → BE only after structure break or 15m/30m close through TP1; trail runners by 15m/30m swings.
Flip scenario (only if invalidated)
If we accept above 6448–6450 (15m close + hold), I’ll look long on a retest 6448–6452 toward 6463 → 6476+, provided structure confirms.
Macro calendar (what actually hits Wednesday Sep 3)
• 09:00 — Factory Orders (Jul) (Census M3; FRED calendar lists the release).  
• 10:00 — JOLTS (Jul) (labor demand; BLS schedule). 
• 14:00 — Fed Beige Book (regional conditions; often a volatility nudge). 
Day 21 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$417 Tilted LossDay 21 — Trading Only S&P Futures | -$417 Tilted LosWelcome to Day 21 of Trading Only S&P Futures!
Today was a tough one — I turned a positive morning into a -417.18 loss.
I started the day green, up about +150, but made the mistake of assuming the market had already bottomed at 6384. When it broke lower to 6374, I got stopped out at the true bottom of the day.
Frustration set in, and I tilted. I put on a 10-contract short at the MOB, expecting a rejection, but the EOD MOC imbalance and strong news from Google pushed the market higher, blowing past my stop.
The lesson today? Don’t fight the market, and never size up when you’re on tilt.
📰 News Highlights
DOW ENDS DOWN 250 POINTS, VIX JUMPS AS STOCKS DROP TO KICK OFF SEPTEMBER
🔑 Key Levels for Tomorrow
Above 6465 = Flip Bullish
Below 6450 = Remain Bearish
ES - September 3rd - Daily Trade Plan September 2nd - 4:10pm - Update & Trade Plan
I said last night that " Below 6459 and we will need to most likely get out the way and let price flush a few levels". That we did overnight right before the European open, we flushed 6459 and could not reclaim the level, then tested last week's 6430 level, bounced around 20pts and flushed again down to 6382, bounced and back tested the 6423 resistances. I posted a note at 11:20am EST " IF, price can't hold 6383, look for a flush to 6372, 6358 and a reclaim of those levels above. At 11:53 we flushed down to 6371.75 and started to build a nice base and then went higher the rest of the session. Where are we closing? Right into the 6445 resistance that is important to clear to keep things moving higher!
Plan for the overnight session/tomorrow am as follows:
Our first support down is 6421, 6412 then 6397. Ideally, overnight we can pull back to the 6383-86 level, flush, then reclaim or even better, flush 6371.75 then reclaim for continuation higher.
I did say yesterday that "I am still bullish above 6390, but a break below this level would be a warning to the current trend." We broke below and recovered it today. We could have another bounce left in the tank at the levels discussed above but would ideally see a slow grind into those areas, and not a big flush. Pretty simple for tomorrow, still cautiously bullish until we clear the 6455 level that we broke down from last night.
My lean is we chop around overnight between 6445-6397 with 6385-87 the lowest we would want to chop down to, or we will most likely need to retest 6371 sessions low. IF, we lose the session low, the levels below are of interest and level reclaims will be expected bounces higher. IF, price is flushing, 6368-64, 6333.50 are the 2 big levels of interest to me.
I will send out an update tomorrow around 6am EST after price digests the overnight session.