Bearish Scenario on NQEyeing a bearish scenario on NQ after retracing it to 0.5 to 0.618 fib levels.
Bearish points
- Bearish Divergence on daily
- Rising wedge broken and retested
- Head n shoulder forming
Just waiting on breaking 24000 level to take a legendary short. And I beleive it should retrace back to atleast 0.5 fib level which is close to 21430.
Let's see....
Currently it seems it is going to pump from here to make a LH and then drop from there since it's oversold on Daily timeframe.
Please share your thoughts.
Trade ideas
Nasdaq 100 - Analysis
Currently watching this expanding megaphone pattern, should this break down, then a 20-30% drop would be on the table.
the recent drop in NVDA despite strong earnings signals cracks in the AI trade, concern over extending the depreciation of GPUs may also cause cracks as further financial investigation may find.
I am currently short QQQ, with some hedged long positions, but with a strong overall cash position.
should equities fall, then i expect crypto to follow suit, this would all equate to a tremendous buy opportunity in the next 6-12 months.
NQ Daily Outlook | November 21, 2025Timeframe Shown: 1H (1-Hour Chart)
EMAs I’m Using:
• 50 EMA (black)
• 5 EMA (white)
• 10 EMA (white)
Price dropped below all of these EMAs during the NY session. On the 1H chart we’re getting a pullback now, and when that happens I scale down to the 5M and look for the same thing — price pulling back into the EMAs and then breaking back below them. That’s where I look for my continuation entries.
Bias: Bearish while we’re still under all EMAs.
NQ Local top is in, 22,000 the target lowHi All,
NQ is still walking the same path it did in 2020–22.
Same weekly inverted FVG near the top.
Same slow fade after the high.
Same bar count into the rollover.
The fractal underneath isn’t a coincidence — Markets repeat patterns the same way people repeat bad decisions after saying ‘never again.
The downside confluence is hard to ignore:
the 0.5 Fib, the weekly imbalance, and the Value Area Low all sitting on top of each other around 22k.
Three signals, one destination.
Premium is done.
Distribution is done.
Now the market’s heading back to fair value, the same way you head back to the gym after a blowout weekend — not because it’s fun, but because that’s where the reset happens.
The fractal already laid the blueprint:
drift → tag fair value → reflex bounce → finish the imbalance.
Nothing in the current structure says this time is different.
Until that 22k zone is cleaned up, anything above it is just background noise.
Caution FormationAny reverse formation shouts "Caution!" Turn this pattern around and you have a Symmetrical Triangle which is a consolidation pattern and typically indicates continuation of the trend. It would also be a price coil. This Reverse Symmetrical Triangle is a price expansion. Whenever you see this reverse pattern think Caution.
Right now, 12:05, we have a very high probability win rate BTD trade forming, an Exhaustion Candle immediately followed by a White Bull @ strong near the prior day's close.
Some days require two charts. Today is one of them
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 25110.75
- PR Low: 24955.50
- NZ Spread: 211.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 478.35
- Volume: 49K
- Open Int: 292K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -4.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 24039
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ: 285th trading session - recapI'm back now, haven't scalped in a while since my gf decided to break things up which really messed me up. I'm trying to get my stuff together and start over with scalping after a longer break. One of the first days of me actually being able to have a sort of normal session lmao
"Tiny Bubbles"Don Ho 1966
Setup
6.3% moderate pull back
Px coil atop strong support
Breakout trade just above 09:30 close
09:30 5m candle big volume
Don't think this is a bubble. Just a normal pull back.
All fundamentals remain strong.
His entries
+4 @ 24640; target: 24659
+4 @ 24660; target: 24679
+4 @ 24680; target: 24699
+4 @ 24700; target: 24719
+4 @ 24720; target: 24739
This was a really good setup, so he used +4 for first five entries. He very seldom does 5 trades in a row of +4. That tells you how good this setup was. 24740 is a bit of resistance so he switched to +3 entries.
From here to 24840, the next resistance, he bot +3 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point targets.
From here to 24940, the next resistance, +2 in 20-point increments with corresponding 19-point increments.
From here on +1 in 20-point increments same 19-point target.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/19/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24635.25
- PR Low: 24540.75
- NZ Spread: 211.5
Key scheduled economic events:
14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 468.50
- Volume: 51K
- Open Int: 295K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -6.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 24039
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Do You Know Bitcoin and Nasdaq Have a 92% Correlation?* Most traders still believe Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 belong to two different worlds — one is “digital currency,” the other is “US tech stocks.”
- But in reality, Bitcoin and Nasdaq have nearly 92% positive correlation (based on past +10 years data).
The current market movements are showing signs of a market crash on the way...........
- See for arounf past 10 years, Bitcoin stayed above the tech index.
- It was the month of Nov only in 2015, when Bitcoin crossed above Nasdaq on the chart
After 10 straight years - Its 2025 & the month of November itself
- And Bitcoin has slipped below Nasdaq, forming its first bearish crossover in a decade.
This is a major shift.
- When a long-term leader loses momentum, it often signals deeper structural weakness — not only for Bitcoin, but for the entire risk-on ecosystem.
- Remember, Nasdaq & Bitcoin has over a 92% correlation
- And US tech industry is brewing a bubble somewhere - where the epicenter lies in the AI sector
A crash in one will sink the other with it
Checkout the chart (Nasdaq Futures & Bitcoin Weekly)
# /Nq trend #nasdaq - neutral to bearishNasdaq is trading at the crucial levels major support held at 2430 zone. if this level breaks then bearish momentum with broader sell off heading towards weekly correction. key levels to watch mentioned below.
resistance: 24800,24950, 25200-240
support: 24380 -2440 , 23845,23100
$NQ1! End of Year Prediction! Based off of the recent price action:
I understand that this is a Bank Run.
These take profits will be kiddy-backed by short margin and whence upon each institution reaches their desired "Share Weight", there will be a resultant Gamma Squeeze.
The rules are simple in these situations:
"Sell before our friends sell on us."
"First Out Wins, Last Out Loses."
This is basically just purely panic from High Executives of Financial Firms Reading the Room.
Don't worry about it, Buy the Dip when they Cover Up.
I expect some covering to begin around 23875 beeps, with the Lion's Share targeting a cover around 23050 - 23350.
Beware we can also fail out of this Broadening Descending Wedge (Bullish Structure although the price zig zags downwards in corrective mode)
In that case, you might want to target around 15800-16700 for fun.
Enjoy and Happy Trading!
Mr. Storm






















