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MNQ1! trade ideas

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 24876.75 - PR Low: 24822.00 - NZ Spread: 122.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Session Open ATR: 265.39 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 279K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -1.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 25204 - Mid: 23571 - Short: 21939 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Short
by mv3trader5
Face Value: Poised to go up1.Fundamentals of growth are good. 2.Q2 est. 3.8% growth 3.Q3 growth tracking @ 3.9% growth 4.Projections of $45/barrel oil in 2026 5.Many other favorable reasons On the other hand Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve say that they focus on supply-demand balance: when demand outpaces supply prices go up, and we have inflation. Therefore, so they conclude, we must keep interest rates high so people can't afford anything. Common sense says if you lower interest rates the money necessary for production will be less expensive, the supply will increase and prices will go down, as will inflation. Their view of ''supply-demand balance'' sounds like nonsense. I think common sense wins every time. The chart appears to be building a new base from which to head upwards. I'd like to see it go lower, but my Breakout trades are in place and I'm ready for the Breakout if it happens here. If this does become a new base, barring a Black Swan event, we should see a new high soon.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025 - PR High: 24769.75 - PR Low: 24721.75 - NZ Spread: 107.5 No key scheduled economic events Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 9/29) - Session Open ATR: 273.59 - Volume: 28K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 25204 - Mid: 23571 - Short: 21939 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2025Long
by mv3trader5
#202539 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood evening and I hope you are well. comment: Neutral/Slightly bullish above 24800 for at least 25000. I think we have seen the final bull flag and will now get either a new ath or a lower high, you never know in advance. If bears get below 24500 before we go above 24800, I am likely wrong and we could see a bear surprise and lower prices. My assumption for the next weeks is that we will hit at least 23500. current market cycle: parabolic buy climax very late in the trend - I think we top out very soon or 25027 already was the high key levels for next week: 24300 - 25100 bull case: Bulls printed a higher low on Friday and are free to now break above 24800 and re-test 25000. Everyone and their dead granny knows that this is overbought and overdone but that does not mean we have to go down. Tops are a process and we don’t even know if we have started it yet. Invalidation is below 24400 bear case: Anything below 24400 would be amazing for the bears and I do think a bit of a surprise. If they somehow manage to generate much more selling pressure, their biggest target is the bull trend line around 24000. As of now, given Friday’s price action, we can’t expect it though. Invalidation is above 25100 short term: Neutral but want to lean bullish for a re-test of 25000. Bears would have to surprise big time for me to join them somewhere between 24600 and 24800. medium-long term - Update from 2024-08-10: 22000 likely to get hit this year gain.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Introduction to Positional Trading in Global Markets1. Understanding Positional Trading 1.1 Definition Positional trading is a strategy where traders take positions based on anticipated price trends over an extended period. Traders using this approach do not react to short-term volatility but focus on the underlying market direction. The objective is to benefit from medium to long-term price trends, maximizing profit while reducing the noise associated with intraday fluctuations. 1.2 Key Features of Positional Trading Time Horizon: Positions are usually held for multiple days to several months. Focus on Trends: Decisions are based on identifying upward or downward trends in asset prices. Lower Transaction Frequency: Fewer trades reduce transaction costs and emotional stress. Dependence on Analysis: Traders rely heavily on technical indicators and fundamental data. 2. The Global Market Environment Global markets encompass a variety of asset classes: equities, commodities, currencies, bonds, and derivatives. Positional traders must understand the interconnected nature of these markets to make informed decisions. 2.1 Equities Global equity markets, including the NYSE, NASDAQ, London Stock Exchange, and emerging markets, are influenced by corporate earnings, central bank policies, and geopolitical events. Positional traders often focus on high-cap stocks or sectoral trends to identify medium-term opportunities. 2.2 Commodities Commodities like crude oil, gold, silver, and agricultural products are highly sensitive to supply-demand dynamics and global economic conditions. Positional traders exploit medium-term price swings by monitoring inventories, global demand forecasts, and geopolitical tensions. 2.3 Currencies (Forex) Forex markets are the largest and most liquid in the world. Exchange rates are influenced by interest rates, inflation, political stability, and macroeconomic indicators. Positional trading in forex focuses on trends between currency pairs over weeks or months. 2.4 Bonds Global bond markets respond to interest rate changes, inflation expectations, and government policies. Positional traders may take long or short positions based on yield curve movements and central bank announcements. 3. Core Principles of Positional Trading Successful positional trading relies on several core principles: 3.1 Trend Identification Trend recognition is fundamental. Traders classify trends into: Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows. Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows. Sideways/Range-bound: Price fluctuates within a channel. Technical tools like moving averages, trendlines, and channels help identify trends. 3.2 Support and Resistance Levels Support is a price level where demand exceeds supply, halting a downtrend. Resistance is a level where supply exceeds demand, halting an uptrend. Positional traders use these levels to set entry, exit, and stop-loss points. 3.3 Risk Management Managing risk is crucial in positional trading, especially when positions are held over long periods. Key risk management strategies include: Position Sizing: Limiting capital exposure per trade. Stop-Loss Orders: Automatically exiting losing positions to minimize losses. Diversification: Spreading investments across markets or sectors to reduce risk. 3.4 Patience and Discipline Unlike intraday trading, positional trading requires patience. Traders must avoid emotional reactions to short-term price fluctuations and stick to their predefined strategy. 4. Tools and Techniques for Positional Trading Positional trading relies heavily on technical and fundamental analysis to make informed decisions. 4.1 Technical Analysis Technical analysis involves studying historical price movements and patterns to forecast future trends. Common tools include: Moving Averages (SMA, EMA): Helps smooth price data and identify trend direction. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures momentum and identifies overbought/oversold conditions. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Helps spot trend reversals. Fibonacci Retracements: Identifies potential support and resistance levels. 4.2 Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis focuses on macroeconomic indicators and company-specific metrics. Key elements include: Economic Data: GDP growth, inflation rates, unemployment, and industrial production. Corporate Earnings: Revenue, net profit, debt levels, and cash flow. Geopolitical Events: Trade wars, sanctions, elections, and policy changes. 4.3 Sentiment Analysis Market sentiment plays a significant role in medium-term price movements. Positional traders monitor news, analyst reports, and social sentiment to gauge market psychology. 5. Strategies in Positional Trading Positional traders can adopt various strategies depending on their risk tolerance and market conditions: 5.1 Trend Following The most common positional strategy involves following the prevailing market trend. Traders enter positions in the direction of the trend and ride the momentum until signals indicate a reversal. 5.2 Breakout Trading Breakout traders enter positions when prices break key support or resistance levels. This strategy captures sharp price movements initiated by market volatility. 5.3 Range Trading In range-bound markets, traders buy at support and sell at resistance. While not as common in global positional trading, it can be effective for certain currencies or commodities. 5.4 News-Based Positional Trading Major economic announcements, earnings reports, and geopolitical events can create medium-term opportunities. Traders position themselves ahead of expected market moves. 6. Risk Factors in Global Positional Trading Trading globally exposes traders to several unique risks: 6.1 Market Risk Price fluctuations due to macroeconomic changes, investor sentiment, or geopolitical events can impact positions. 6.2 Currency Risk For traders investing in foreign markets, exchange rate fluctuations can affect returns. 6.3 Liquidity Risk Some global markets or assets may lack sufficient liquidity, making entry and exit difficult. 6.4 Political and Economic Risk Policy changes, sanctions, or elections can affect market conditions and disrupt trends. 6.5 Interest Rate Risk Changes in interest rates influence equities, bonds, and currency markets, affecting positional trades. 7. Positional Trading in Different Asset Classes 7.1 Equities Positional trading in equities involves selecting stocks with strong medium-term potential. Traders analyze: Price patterns and moving averages Earnings growth and valuation metrics Sectoral trends and global economic indicators 7.2 Forex In forex markets, positional traders focus on: Currency pairs with strong macroeconomic support Technical patterns like head and shoulders or trend channels Central bank policies and interest rate differentials 7.3 Commodities Positional traders in commodities analyze: Seasonal demand patterns (e.g., agricultural cycles) Supply shocks and geopolitical factors Global inventory and production data 7.4 Bonds and Fixed Income Traders monitor: Yield curves Inflation expectations Government policy announcements 8. Developing a Positional Trading Plan A robust trading plan is essential for consistency: 8.1 Setting Objectives Define profit targets, risk tolerance, and time horizons. 8.2 Market Analysis Use a combination of technical and fundamental analysis to select assets. 8.3 Entry and Exit Rules Entry: Confirm trend direction using indicators. Exit: Use stop-loss, profit targets, and trend reversal signals. 8.4 Monitoring Positions Regularly track positions but avoid reacting to short-term noise. 8.5 Reviewing Performance Analyze past trades to identify strengths and weaknesses, refining the strategy over time. 9. Advantages of Positional Trading Reduced Transaction Costs: Fewer trades mean lower brokerage fees. Less Stress: Traders are not glued to screens all day. Opportunity to Capture Major Trends: Can generate significant profits by riding strong medium-term trends. Flexibility: Suitable for both part-time and full-time traders. 10. Challenges in Positional Trading Exposure to Overnight and Weekend Risk: Price gaps can occur between sessions. Requires Discipline: Impulsive decisions can erode profits. Analysis Intensive: Requires continuous monitoring of global trends and indicators. Slower Feedback: Unlike day trading, success or failure takes longer to materialize. 11. Case Studies in Global Positional Trading 11.1 Stock Market Example During the post-pandemic recovery, traders who held technology and healthcare stocks for several months captured significant gains due to market trends and sector-specific growth. 11.2 Forex Example Positional traders holding USD/JPY positions benefited from long-term monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. 11.3 Commodity Example Gold positional traders who bought during inflation fears in 2021-2022 captured substantial upward trends over several months. 12. Conclusion Positional trading in global markets is a strategic approach that balances risk, patience, and market insight. By focusing on medium to long-term trends, traders can capitalize on significant price movements while minimizing the stress and noise associated with short-term trading. Successful positional trading requires a combination of technical analysis, fundamental understanding, risk management, and disciplined execution. In an increasingly interconnected global economy, staying informed about macroeconomic developments, geopolitical events, and market sentiment is crucial. Positional trading is not just about predicting price movements—it’s about aligning strategies with global trends and maintaining a disciplined, patient approach to investing.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Education
by GlobalWolfStreet
Trap or Triumph?Is Ajax, the ''human fortress,'' luring Hector into a trap or is Ajax tiring? The dueling drama continues. The px is coiling. It will breakout, whether up or down remains to be seen. Reasons for it to break up. 1.Historical bull market 2.Q2 GDP est. +3.8% 3.Bulls have pushed back hard against the bears with massive volume, defending the vpoc. 4.Bears appear to be tiring - ascending triangle (px coil) and 9/26 10:00 exhaustion candle 5.Bulls have forced a close above 4 strong resistances. 6.Picture perfect double bottom on a one-hour chart 7.Almost too many reasons to list. There is much financial news due out next week. I refer you to www.marketwatch.com and its U.S. economic calendar. Perhaps they are waiting for some direction from that basket of goodies. Most notably, the jobs report is a market mover. It comes out the first Friday of every month. That will be 10/3 at 08:30. There has been much controversy surrounding their numbers of late. Their numbers were found to be way overinflated. E.J. Antoni has been recently appointed. He is a real sharp guy. How many bureaucrats does it take to change a light bulb? Seven. One to say everything is under control and six more to file reports saying it was not broken after all. Whatever happens, we know how to manage margin, and our Trifecta Trading Plan of Breakouts, Dips and Pivots gives profits as we provide liquidity to the markets.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
Bloody Battlefield It's not over. 9/26 the bulls, breathing fire and dripping blood from the mighty sword of Monster H&S, breached four heavily fortified entrenchments. Can they hold this ground and advance? We shall rewrite Greek mythology. Ajax, Greek warrior, 2nd only to Achilles, huge in stature, dueled Hector, Prince of the Trojans, to a draw. In this rematch Ajax, aka Monster H&S, will lose. MNQ will go higher. If not now - definitely in the future. Right now, Hector has firm footing. On 9/17 @ 14:00 NY time, with courage and strength, he defended his city, his family and his beloved wife, vpoc, with a mighty hammer blow. Twice more he stuck his foot in the ground and pushed back Ajax. Neigh, thrice. On 9/26 10:00 NY time, Ajax tired, Hector drove hard on him, pushing him back. These heroes from antiquity battle on. A Pall of Darkness has descended from the heavens. Though we hear the clashes of hammer and sword and shields and their mighty shouts as they cry out, we cannot see them but for the Darkness. We shall take up this narrative when the Pall of Darkness lifts.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by Sidgate
NASDAQ 100 – Potential Liquidity Grab & Bearish Continuation SetHello Billionaires!! We All know that the Price has swept the New York session high (BSL) and is now showing signs of a potential market structure shift (MSS). If the short-term pullback holds, we may see a deeper retracement toward the demand zone (BPR + Asian range) before another leg down. 🔹Key Levels to Watch: 24,725 – 24,750: Liquidity grab zone (recent NY high) 24,575 – 24,550: Re-test area for possible continuation 24,500 – 24,450: Next downside target if bearish momentum continues Bias: Short-term retracement followed by potential bearish continuation toward lower liquidity pools (SSL). 📌 This is an educational projection, not financial advice. Trade safe and always manage your risk!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by AliyanFX