NQH2025 trade ideas
Futures - Commodities / Financial: Nasdaq case (MNQ)+ Strong overnight support zone / ask increasing in volume at the zone. Contrarian trade.
Standard approach:
Applying A+ setup, volume profile (high volume nodes, low volume nodes day and intra-day and possibly extended to swing probability), smart money concept, numerical volume buy/sell side. trend confirmation, tick charts.
NQ - Sept 2, 2025 - 11AMWere moving lower. Trend lines broke, strong selling overnight.
FUNDAMENTALS: ISM manufacturing came out weak, employment weak but prices were also lower which is a good sign for inflation. Thursday we will get ISM-Non manufacturing data & Friday we will get Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP). This should let us know if we get a rate cut in September.
TECHNICALS: Trend lines all broke, were slowly grinding lower. NVIDIA has been seeing some profit taking since the last earnings a few days ago. Levels to watch in NQ! will be 23,000 and if we can break that, than 22,775.
Good trading!
NQ: 424th trading session - recapGood day today, atleast price action wasn't ugly - it just was not on my side. But that's OK since I am developing something and overall just expanding my knowledge - also gotta focus on the bulls obviously, since when I trade bearish identifying bullish movement and understanding it as well as I do twith the bears could help me making better decisions
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/2/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23509.50
- PR Low: 23461.00
- NZ Spread: 108.5
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Typical strong volume following long holiday weekend
- Contract expiration month
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 9/2)
- Session Open ATR: 297.15
- Volume: 114K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ – NFP Week Setup: Premium Distribution & Bearish IntentGoing into NFP week, the market is positioned in a premium array, trading above equilibrium. The recent attempt to push higher failed with a swing high left behind – an inducement that sets the tone. (a later target i would say)
We now have a buy-side rejection and displacement lower into sell side delivery. Price is hovering just up around equilibrium , with 2 inefficiencies overhead serving as potential rejection points.
I expect that the Bearish target will be taken close before or at NFP.
If Bullish target is taken first I would re-assess.
NQ & ES Premarket Comment 01-09-2025Good morning everyone, and happy new month,
We are currently trading in a discount zone, so I will be looking for long opportunities if price shows support at the key levels I have highlighted on the chart. If that support does not hold, I will remain on the sidelines — I will not be searching for shorts, as I do not feel comfortable with the current positioning of price.
📊 Possible Support Levels (S) and Possible Resistance Levels (R) have been marked on the chart to guide today’s trading outlook.
Wishing you all a successful trading session.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NQ - August 29, 2025 - Before the openThe trend is your friend in my opinion. Dips keep being bought.
PCE came out inline with expectations this morning. We sold off overnight but I expect this to be bought back. Were waiting for employment data next week to see what happens with the FED.
Good trading!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23550.25
- PR Low: 23498.00
- NZ Spread: 116.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- GDP
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/29)
- Session Open ATR: 285.83
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 278K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Nq & Es After hours comment 27-08-2028 Good evening everyone,
As you can clearly see, the target has been achieved exactly as anticipated. Price dipped slightly, then provided solid long opportunities, and afterward rallied strongly to the upside.
See you all tomorrow here, shortly before the market open, for the daily outlook.
Wishing you a good evening.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects personal market observations and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
NQ - August 27 - afternoonSince the Powell speech and rally on Friday the 22nd, the easier trade has remained to buy dips.
As we can see in image above we had broke below the longterm trendline and Friday brought us back above it.
And though we drifted below the trendline during the overnight session Monday, we've held above it and its been bought during the NY session everyday since, as seen below.
AFTER THE CLOSE: We have Nvidia earnings which will important for tomorrows trading session.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR: We have GDP tomorrow as well as PCE and Michigan consumer sentiment on Friday. I dont thing GDP will be very market moving but PCE will be quite important for inflation data, as that is what the FED uses. If Inflation is lower than expected and with Powell's most recent comments, its fair to assume a cut in September will be fully baked in.
Good trading! Wishing you all green PnL's :)
NASDAQ 100 TYRING TO CARVE OUR HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP? Hey traders so today looking at Nasdaq 100 looking like it's trying to form a top. More importantly a Head & Shoulders Top.
For those new to trading and understanding technical analysis I highly recommend you learn chart formations like Head & Shoulders.
Technical Analysis is a little bit like art what one trader sees not all other traders will see. However if alot of traders see it then it is becoming more significant.
So basically you have a left shoulder formed at top of rally 23,847. Then you have head or highest peak formed at 24,100. Then you have a neckline formed at 22,758. Finally you have the right shoulder which has not been completed yet. If you read about the Head & Shoulders it normally has a 90% probability or being accurate.
So is the market topping out?
No one knows for sure but we do know that historically September and October are the worst months of the year seasonally for the stock market. This definetly shows that the bearish case is stronger.
Scenario Time
Bullish- knowing that seasonally the market could weaken in September and we are right around the corner I would say wait for the sell off and buy back in November.
Bearish- The way you trade the Head & Shoulders pattern is if the right shoulder completes then you wait for the market to break below the neckline under 22,775 and then place your sell order. Then you place a stop above the right shoulder after if forms.
COT- Commitment of Traders report still showing the funds are holding Long Positions and even somewhat crowded on the long side. But last week they closed some of them could this be a bearish sign closing long positions? Most likely yes but lets see what happens in tommorows report.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
RISK DISCLOSURE
TRADING IN THE FUTURES AND FOREX MARKET INVOLVES SIGNIFICANT RISK. ALWAYS CONSULT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AS HIGH RISK ASSET CLASSES MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR ALL INVESTORS. THIS IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY ASSETS. ALL IDEAS ARE MADE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE DOES NOT GUARANTEE FUTURE RESULTS.
CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23622.75
- PR Low: 23601.25
- NZ Spread: 48.0
No key scheduled economic events
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/28)
- Session Open ATR: 284.71
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025
- PR High: 23520.25
- PR Low: 23499.00
- NZ Spread: 47.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 8/27)
- Session Open ATR: 297.44
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 281K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 24382
- Mid: 23239
- Short: 22096
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone