priceactiontds

priceactiontds

wti crude oil comment: Market is making marginally higher highs on the 1h tf but it’s a reasonable triangle we are in. I think it will chop some more inside before another breakout and I think that will be news related/event driven. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 80-86 but converges inside 82-84 bull case: Bull legs inside the range...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Bulls got excited again and calling for new all time highs after a 3 week selloff. Well today was the expected disappointment for the bulls, after euphoric bears got disappointed last week. That’s what markets do after wild moves. No one knows where it’s going and market is looking for the fair...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. Gold comment: Tough spot to trade imo. Different time frames tell different stories here. Daily had a big reversal and closed above the 20ema. 4h says it’s a small pullback from a potential W1 of a bear trend and on the 1h chart we could argue that market formed a nice double bottom and we trade back to the weekly high...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Today’s bounce was expected and necessary for the bulls to stop the selling and the real question was not if we get a pull back but how high it will be. That will determine the new short-medium term targets. bitcoin comment: Most of fintwit will promise you this pullback is the start of the new...

priceactiontds

Good Morning and I hope you are well. Let's do some SAP today because they just reported earnings. current market cycle: Strong bull trend is done after 3 pushes up and market is now correcting. Earnings were utter garbage and W1 could go much deeper and so will the targets below. I will update this, once market found bigger support. key levels: 170-185 -...

priceactiontds

Dax Quote from last week: bear case: Bears showed strength this week and bulls continued to take profits. Every bounce was sold and this pull back is now as deep as the one we got from mid 2023-12 to early 2024-01, which is around -4%, which is, given the +28% rise, almost nothing. Now we are at the first very important level to determine the strength and...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. Let's review my short term outlook from tesla #4 2024-04-03.. "short term: 150-160, earnings in 2 weeks should bring us below 150 and on our way to 100-110." Earnings being released on Tuesday after US close. I have absolutely not edited anything from the drawn wave thesis 2 months ago. This stock is in a strong bear trend...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. Today nothing moved the markets and I was humble enough to book some early profits and scalps before US open. I left it at that and am very happy with that decision. Days like this are the death for inexperienced traders, so if you lost money today, train on a paper account when market is this choppy. Leave your ego at the...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. bull case: 50 points down and 60 points up. Unreal price action for this Market. Bulls bought where they had to, to stay inside the broad bull channel or expanding triangle. Call it what you want, you trade it the same. Since Fridays sell off was so extreme, I rather be humble as a bull and take my profits on weakness. Retest...

priceactiontds

Good Evening and I hope you are well. overall market comment Last week was expected until Wednesday, as markets mostly moved sideways. Two weeks ago I concluded the most recent bull trends had their trend lines broken and the daily 20emas also. Wednesday’s CPI print was a bit above forecast but reminded markets that maybe not all is well buying into the highs...

priceactiontds

Good Day and I hope you are well, prev. outlook from 2024-03-13 Quote from my #3 Tesla update: "tl;dr: do or die here at 170 for the bulls. If we break below the bear channel line, bulls covering will fuel this further. Strongly bearish." and the second quote: "bear case: Nothing bullish about this stock at all. Bears are in full control and selling...

priceactiontds

Good evening and I hope you are well. Today bears actually showed up and bulls began the profit taking. Very refreshing to see some two sided trading and not making more ath. I do think for all indexes the selling was strong enough to get another leg down, which then is mostly a third leg or W5 and markets are or will then trade at bigger support prices, trend...

priceactiontds

Good Morning and I hope you are well. WTI Crude Oil bull case: Still inside the bull channel but market get’s more two sided trading. I can’t see another strong leg up but more trading range price action between 80-85. 85 Should be the max here and the very big triangle will probably play out over more months. Upside is probably very limited here. bear...

priceactiontds

Good day, I hope you are well and enjoyed the holidays. This is my post from before US Session open today, sorry for posting late here. overall market comment tl;dr monthly update: The following are my very rough guesses what could happen over the next 6 months and why this trend is on it’s last leg Q1 earnings will show weakness and market stops making new...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. sp500 e-mini futures bull case: Bulls got the more up but barely. The high today was 3 points below the ath and that qualifies as a double top. Do we trade down from here? I don’t know. If bulls can keep it above 5300, it’s as bullish as it gets. Many support lines below on the chart and bears not doing enough to make...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Gold Quote from my weekly post: short term: Neutral. Bulls could break above 2200 again and bears could also break below 2140. bull case: Market seems bullish enough for 2220 test again and i think it this time it will break again for retest 2247. I’d be surprised if we get big sell volume around 2220 again. Market...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. I was totally already writing the update with the most annoying small trading range price action in mind (obviously not the dax) but then the bears used the power hour to extend the range downwards. If anything i’d guessed we close near the open. Interesting going into tomorrow and if bears can generate follow through or at...

priceactiontds

Good evening and i hope you are well. Let me start today with a beautiful quote, which is often repeated in some form or another and indefinitely more people do not grasp. As we’ve discussed, every security is a claim on some set of cash flows that will be delivered to investors over time. Yet at any given moment, the only two things that determine the price of...