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4GC1! trade ideas

/GC GC1! GOLD Futures (GCM2025) – An Analysis by WaverVanir DSSThis setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones. 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: Weak High in Premium Zone: Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high. Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through. Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias: Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure. Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase. Volume Analysis: Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal. Imbalance zones remain unfilled. Target Zones: 📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080. 📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880. Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price. 📉 Probabilistic Forecast: 🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions. 🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350. 🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice): Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries. Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium. 📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias #GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
2025.05.28 gold analysis This is the daily chart analysis for gold. After an upward move, a broadening descending pattern is forming on the daily chart. For the past four days, price has been supported by the 20-day moving average, with rebounds and pullbacks occurring repeatedly in similar zones. However, with the May 27th candle closing as a bearish candle, it’s wise to approach the market with the possibility of a 20MA retest and potential breakdown in mind. If the 20MA breaks, there's a high probability price will decline to clear the left-hand blue demand zone. At that point, the Ichimoku Cloud support may turn into resistance. Looking at the 2-hour chart, we can see a bounce from the bottom of the Ichimoku Cloud. The key turning point for gold seems to be a break below the cloud. Currently, the important level to watch is around 3286. If the cloud breaks and the low at 3277.8 is breached, the price could fall to the low 3200s or even down to the 3100s. From a bullish perspective, a break above the descending resistance trendline and 3366.5 would be needed to shift the view to bullish. If that trendline is broken, it would signal a breakout from the descending broadening pattern, and a move up to around the 3500 level — where the pattern initially started — could be targeted. Conclusion For now, a bearish approach seems appropriate. A breakdown of the daily 20MA could lead to a sharp drop, and its timing is uncertain. A bullish setup is still premature. It’s better to wait for the descending broadening pattern to be invalidated before considering a long position. The pattern still favors the downside.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by JELLO_X
GC (XAU) 1H Supply Short IdeaThis is a solid short setup. The fundamentals are strong, retailers are on the other side of the trade, and seasonality is in our favor. It's also overvalued compared to some other assets. The main concern is the current sentiment-driven economic environment, where a single news headline can shift the entire market cycle. Additionally, there are a few supply zones above our entry level, which pose some risk. However, the nearest 4H supply zone has already absorbed a significant number of orders, which reduces its strength. This makes it reasonable to take the trade now rather than waiting for price to reach that zone.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AlexiosCorporation
Gold at 100 Times its Price - A Psychological LevelGold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
2
WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT?WHAT IS A LOW RISK ENTRY POINT? First off, reminder that you will never find a low risk entry point at a low. You need upwards movement off a low to start creating the upwards velocity, to create the uptrend, which will lead to the faster, more sustained gains. The true party starts once the confirmed breakout occurs. -------------- Now, see the gold chart below where I showcase where the greatest gains, in the shortest amount of time occurred. The first run started in 2019 and had gold run up 50%, without any visible interruptions on the quarterly chart. The second run started in late 2023 had gold run over 60% (still running). A chart traders role is to identify the entry points which can lead to this. Notice the huge bases are found right before those. There are no huge bases right now. If you missed these entry points, then you missed them. While price can still trend upwards from here, anybody jumping onboard right now is still considered chasing (not entering at the most opportune time). -------------- In summary: Low risk entry points = lesser chances of getting stopped out + higher gains/time ratio It does not mean results are guaranteed, but they do offer the possibility of obtaining the results showcased here on the gold chart. So, maybe next time you will recognize these huge opportunities, as we have, and understand that they were the low risk entry points. Hope this helps you out!
COMEX:GC1!
by Badcharts
Gold Update: 2 optionsIndeed, the top metal surged well beyond $3,000, as I mentioned in my earlier post (see related post for details). The price reached a new all-time high of $3,510 before pulling back, as expected. So far, the retracement has been rejected at the trendline support around $3,123 (futures). From here, there are two possible scenarios: 1) Blue Labels The price may have already completed wave 4. If so, we could now see a large wave 5 move to the upside. This wave could reach the blue target box, which represents 61.8% to 100% of the distance from wave 1 to wave 3, added to the bottom of wave 4. This target zone lies between $3,700 and $4,100. Keep in mind that gold is a commodity, and commodities often have extended fifth waves — so the higher end of the blue box is still possible. 2) White Labels Typically, fourth waves retrace down to the valleys of previous lower-degree fourth waves. In this case, the market could form another leg down to complete a larger, more complex correction, potentially hitting $2,975 before wave 5 begins. If that happens, the target for wave 5 may be lower, but with a possible extended fifth wave, it could still reach the blue box area.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by aibek
GoldenZoneFX: Where Data Meets Strategy, GOLD TP Hit!Precision trading isn't about luck—it's about strategy, discipline, and expert analysis. Today at GoldenZoneFX, we executed a data-driven approach that led to a successful GOLD TP hit, proving once again that informed trading beats speculation. What We Determined Today: Market structure analysis revealed a key order block, signaling a high-probability trade setup. Fibonacci retracement levels aligned perfectly with major liquidity zones. Volume confirmation reinforced momentum, validating our entry and exit strategy. Why This Matters: GoldenZoneFX thrives on delivering calculated, professional trading insights. Whether you're a seasoned investor or refining your strategy, understanding market behavior through data-driven methods is what sets top traders apart. Join the @GoldenZoneFX Movement Success isn’t accidental—it's engineered. Subscribe, follow, and stay ahead with real market insights that position you for precision trading.
COMEX:GC1!
by GoldenZoneFX