GOLD1! 📖 Social Market Update Template (Crown Point Research)1. Date & Time
Date: 2nd September 2025
Time: 01:15 AM IST
2. Fundamental News (If Any)
Global sentiment turning defensive with expectations of US Fed rate cuts and rising geopolitical uncertainty.
Gold demand rising as a safe-haven asset, adding momentum to the rally.
3. Public Sentiment & Human Behaviour
Retail: Chasing the rally, expecting “new lifetime highs” into year-end.
Institutions: Already positioned in gold, now distributing into spikes.
Social Signal: Headlines overly bullish, increasing risk of overextension.
4. Current Structure
Macro View (1Y, 1M, 1W, 1D)
Resistance: 106,000 – 110,000
Support: 100,000 – 98,000
Structure: Mountain Expansion phase, but nearing maturity with exhaustion risk.
Micro View (4H, 1H, 15M, 5M)
Resistance: 105,200 – 105,800
Support: 103,500 – 102,800
Behaviour: Controlled pullbacks → rebalancing moves after each spike.
5. Projection (Until December 2025)
Primary Path (65%)
Spike toward 108,000 – 110,000, followed by correction into 100,000 – 102,000.
Alternate Path (25%)
Sustained hold above 110,000 → momentum may extend into 115,000 – 118,000.
Low Path (10%)
Breakdown below 98,000 → deep correction into 92,000 – 94,000, only if macro sentiment flips risk-on.
6. Pullback Levels
Shallow: 103,800 – 104,200
Medium: 102,800 – 103,000
Deep: 98,000 – 100,000
7. Final View
Bias: Bullish but Overstretched.
Gold likely to test 108,000–110,000 before December, with risk of correction back to 100,000–102,000.
8. Essence (Philosophy Line)
“Gold is in Macro Expansion but Micro Fragile. Pullbacks are natural rebalances. Unless 110,000 is cleared with conviction, year-end will see both spikes and corrections.”
9. Disclaimer
⚠️ This analysis is shared for educational and research purposes only. It is not financial advice, trading advice, or investment recommendation. Market decisions are entirely your own responsibility.
#Gold
