Gold (Mini) Futures
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GC UpdateSilver looks topped out, and gold moving down as well. I think I'll wait for indicators this time, lol.
I exited out of the trade a bit early last week because ES1! had an open gap that I knew would fill, and I wasn't sure if gold would go down with the stock market.
With silver going parabolic, and gold following the same direction, I think this might be a difficult trade to track, but I'll give it a go, lol.
Gold Feb Fut. MCX Intraday Technical Analysis - 2nd Dec., 25MCX:GOLD2!
Gold MCX Futures — Chart Pathik Intraday Levels for 02-Dec-2025
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Gold Futures are trading near 130,725, pushing just above the zero line at 130,652 and testing the Long Entry band at 130,785 after recovering from a sharp intraday dip, signalling an emerging bullish attempt against prior supply. Each comment or share builds the momentum for disciplined, structured analysis across our trading community!
Bullish Structure
Longs activate above the Long Entry level at 130,785, with stronger conviction if price sustains above the zero line at 130,652 and holds the Add Long Position level at 130,616 as support on intraday pullbacks.
Targets: 131,537 (Long Target 1 / primary booking zone) and 132,084 (Long Target 2 / extended upside leg on strong breakout).
Control: Place stop or trail near 130,447–130,308 (Short Entry and Long Exit band) to keep risk defined while bullish structure remains active.
Bearish Structure
Shorts open below the Short Entry level at 130,447 or on clear rejection between 130,785 and the Short Exit supply zone at 130,924 after failed upside attempts.
Targets: 129,767 (Short Target 1 / partial or scalp booking) and 129,220 (Short Target 2 / extended downside if breakdown sustains).
Control: Fast short covers are required back above 130,785–130,924 where bearish structure weakens and trapped shorts risk a squeeze.
Neutral Zone
130,652 is today’s inflection and zero line—expect sideways, noisy moves while gold oscillates between roughly 130,447 and 130,785 without decisive 5-minute closes outside this band.
Every setup is designed for structure, plan, and logic—let the chart work for you, not your emotions.
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How to Trade with Bollinger Bands in TradingViewBollinger Bands are a volatility indicator that helps traders identify market extremes, trend strength, and potential breakout setups by measuring how far price moves away from its average.
What You’ll Learn:
• Understanding Bollinger Bands as a volatility-based trading tool built around a moving average
• How the middle band represents the 20-period simple moving average (SMA)
• How the upper and lower bands are calculated as two standard deviations above and below that SMA
• Why expanding bands signal rising volatility — and tightening bands signal market compression
• Recognizing overbought and oversold conditions when price touches or moves beyond the upper or lower bands
• Why these signals aren’t automatic buy or sell triggers, and how to confirm them with other tools like RSI or MACD
• Identifying the “Bollinger Band squeeze,” a setup that often precedes major breakouts
• Spotting potential mean-reversion trades when price closes back inside the bands after moving outside
• How to add Bollinger Bands on TradingView via the Indicators menu
• Understanding the default settings (20, 2) and how adjusting the period or deviation affects sensitivity
• Practical examples using the E-mini S&P 500 futures chart
• Applying Bollinger Bands across daily, weekly, and intraday timeframes for volatility analysis and signal confirmation
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, swing traders, and technical analysts who want to integrate volatility dynamics into their trading approach.
The methods discussed may help you identify breakout conditions, trend continuation signals, and potential reversal zones across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only.
Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools — not forecasting instruments.
15Min Rally-Base-Rally Long Setup | Daily & 4H Demand in Controlaily and 4H remain bullish with demand in control. Price is reacting at the base of a 15-minute Rally-Base-Rally demand zone that removed opposing 15M supply and is nested within 4H structure.
Despite being high in the range, execution is only for longs in alignment with HTF demand. Patience and risk management first.
GOLD: Bullish! Look For Valid Buys!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the Gold (XAUUSD) for the week of Dec. 1-5th.
Gold rallied last week, breaking the rangy consolidation. The strong close indicates the potential for some bullish follow through going into this week.
Look for valid buys.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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Thin Structure Repair & ATH ProximityCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026
Market Structure (The Problem):
The rally into this new high was built on a very thin profile. The auction moved higher emotionally on low holiday volume, leaving a series of single prints/low volume nodes (LVN) below current price.
The Theory:
In Market Profile, "thin" structures are fragile. The market often needs to rotate back down to "repair" this structure—backfilling the volume to prove that buyers actually exist at these higher prices.
Context & Seasonality:
ATH Proximity: We are striking distance from All-Time Highs. The air is thin up here, and without strong volume support, a breakout is prone to failure.
Time Constraint: We have a short trading window (runway) before Christmas and Year-End book squaring. Liquidity will likely be sporadic.
Plan & Execution: Heading into the US Open, I am cautious of this rally.
Stance: Flat / Monitoring.
The Setup: I am looking for a correction to repair the thin profile below.
Execution: If the market rotates down and finds acceptance (buyers) within that thin structure, it validates the trend. If it slices through, the rally was a fake-out.
Let's see how the auction develops today.
Talk to you for the next update.
Silver: A Sell Signal?COMEX: Micro Silver Futures ( COMEX_MINI:SIL1! )
What happened to the silver market? A previous all-time-high (ATH) record of $49.95 per ounce was set on January 17, 1980, and stood for 45 years until silver broke $50 in October 2025. Since then, silver prices kept climbing nonstop and setting new ATH records almost daily. Last Friday, November 28th, silver reached $56.86.
COMEX Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ) locked in an impressive 98% return year-to-date, which makes silver the top performer across all major asset classes year to date.
The strength of silver is supported by a confluence of factors including inflows into bullion-backed ETFs and expectations of a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut. Investors rotated assets out of stock amid recent market weaknesses, benefiting the safe-haven assets gold and silver. In addition, gold purchases have slowed in recent months due to the record high prices. Some investors may choose silver as an alternative hedging asset.
However, a key metric suggests that the tide is about to change.
A Refresher:
In my writing published on April 28th, I introduced the Gold-Silver Ratio, a financial term that measures the relative value of gold to silver. The Gold-Silver Ratio may be used as a buying or selling signal.
When to Buy Silver : A high Ratio, typically above the 95:1 mark, suggests that silver is undervalued relative to gold. This is often interpreted as a buying signal for silver.
• Recalling that in the April 28th writing, we explored the idea of buying silver at $33 when the Ratio stood at 100. Silver prices went up 72% since then.
When to Sell Silver : When the Ratio is low, say around 80:1, it indicates that silver is relatively expensive. Investors might consider selling silver and buying gold.
• As silver caught up with gold with its recent rally, the Ratio is declining all the way down to 74. This is a level indicating silver is very expensive relative to gold. From a mean-reversing point of view, the Ratio may rebound back to the 80-90 range soon.
In my opinion, gold could show more strength compared to silver in the new year.
• Global central banks have slowed gold purchases recently. Gold getting expensive did not cause the pause. Annual budget depleting may be a more plausible reason. A new year comes with new budget, and I expect central bank buying to resume in 2026.
• Silver is part precious metal and part industrial metal. Global GDP in 2026 is projected to slow to 2.9% to 3.1%, with downside risks from geopolitical tensions and trade policy uncertainty, according to the IMF. Industrial use of silver could slow as well.
• Expectations of Fed rate cuts are rising. The stock market could rally again, causing investors to rotate money out of safe-haven assets. In my opinion, gold could stand its ground better than silver, with central bank purchases serving as a key support. In this scenario, the Ratio rises because silver falling faster than gold.
Trade Setup with Micro Silver
Traders could apply the insights from the Gold-Silver Ratio with trading strategies using COMEX Micro Silver Futures ( AMEX:SIL ). There are a number of reasons why shorting silver makes sense:
• Traders expect mean-reversion of the Gold-Silver Ratio will occur soon.
• Investors expect Fed rate cuts to be bullish for stocks and bearish for precious metals.
• Traders with portfolio of spot silver or silver ETF want to hedge their positions.
The big advantages of using futures contracts are capital efficiency and leverage. Micro Silver contracts have a notional value of 1,000 troy ounces of silver. With Friday settlement price of $57.455, each January contract (SILF6) has a notional value of $57,455. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $4,000 at the time of writing. This suggests a built-in leverage of 14.4 (= 57455/4000) for futures contracts.
By putting a deposit equivalent to 70 ounces, traders could gain the full exposure of 1,000 ounces of silver. If silver prices move down by 10%, a short position in Micro Silver futures would gain 144% (= (57455*0.1) / 4000).
Micro silver futures (SIL, 1000 oz) and standard-size silver futures contracts (SI, 5000 oz) contracts together form a deep liquidity pool. On November 28th, SI had trade volume of 109,967 contracts and an open interest (OI) of 155,222 contracts. SIL had volume and OI of 79,015 and 14,900 contracts, respectively, according to data from CME Group.
To hedge the risk of rising silver prices, a trader could set a stoploss on his short-silver order. For illustration, a short order is executed at 57.455 with a stoploss at 59.0. If silver goes up 10% to $63.2, the maximum loss will be $1,545 (= (59-57.455)*1000), well within the margin account balance of $4,000.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
GOLD (XAU-GC) BUY PLAN📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment for GOLD remains strongly bullish. One of the key drivers is the aggressive accumulation by global central banks. Recession concerns and persistent inflation fears continue to position gold as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has completed the expected accumulation phase and broke out strongly from the accumulation range. This former range has now turned into a clear demand zone. Price has pulled back into this zone again and is currently testing the $4060 level.
📌 Game Plan
The $4060–$3900 zone is my primary buy zone. I will continue accumulating within this range.
My first target is $4250, followed by $4400, which aligns with new all-time-high expectations.
If price closes below $3900 on the daily, this idea becomes invalid. Therefore, my stop is a daily close under $3900.
💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below.
For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
Gold futuresOver the past four weeks, gold futures fell to the 3900 level, before resuming their upward move. They may be now be preparing to retest the all-time high at 4400. Formally, the trend remains bullish, however, from a historical perspective, it has already lasted for more than 1000 days, leaving limited room for further upside.
Long-term trend: Up
Resistance level: 4400
Support level: 3900
Gold Context: December Open & Holiday Inventory CheckCOMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Traders. Here is the context update as we transition into the new month.
Market Context (Holiday Drift): The auction drifted higher on thin volume during the Thanksgiving and Black Friday shortened sessions. This extension was largely driven by a lack of sellers rather than aggressive buying, leaving us with a "thin" structure.
Structure & Inventory: We have significant inventory resting back at 4200 – 4170, sitting just above the Previous Week High (PWH).
Current Action: Price is holding the holiday extension.
The Problem: The move up lacks heavy volume support. We have "unfinished business" below at the breakout zone.
Plan & Execution: Monday marks the start of fresh December flows. I am not interested in chasing this extension at these highs.
Stance: Flat / Patient.
The Test: I want to see Gold rotate back to test the inventory at 4200 – 4170 first.
Decision: We need to verify if buyers will defend this zone (turning old resistance into support) before committing to a new directional bias.
Talk to you for the next update.
1H Rally-Base-Rally Long Setup | Weekly & Daily AlignedMarket structure remains bullish across the higher timeframes with the Weekly, Daily, and 1H all trending upward. I’m focusing on the most recently created valid 1H Rally-Base-Rally demand zone for a potential long entry.
This zone is high quality because it:
✅ Removed opposing supply zones
✅ Broke a valid trendline on departure
✅ Shows strong impulsive buying pressure
✅ Is the most recent institutional demand on the 1H
Plan is to wait for price to return into this zone for continuation with the higher-timeframe trend. As always, patience and risk management first no chasing price.
MGC Long Setup – 15M WOW Demand Aligned with 4H & Daily Trend15M WOW demand has formed from a trendline break, showing a shift in order flow.
Even though the 15M structure is currently bearish, the 4H and Daily trends remain bullish, keeping the higher-timeframe bias to the upside.
Entry plan:
• 15M demand wick entry
• Or refined entry using 1M nested demand
This is a lower-timeframe entry aligned with higher-timeframe continuation.






















