Will Gold (Spot) Test $4,000/oz or Gold is Becoming UnsFall DownGold is Becoming Unstoppable 
Made a New Record High of +3976.5
- But Will It Rise Further? Will it Test $4000 per oz? 
or 
- Will Fall Down From Here (The New ATHs) ?????
Taking reference from the Gold Futures Market
- Gold futures already & officially hit $4,000/oz for the first time in history.
- Generally, it is expected that the spot price & the futures prices converge as the contract expiration date approaches
- That means at expiry, gold spot & future must attain the same level 
That means the spot might rise to 4000, or the future price might fall from 4000
The attached Gold mini future chart says that gold prices might fall from current levels
Trade ideas
Gold’s Epic Breakout | Parabolic Curve with Flag & Pennant SetupWhat a run for Gold (GC1!) — a powerful move years in the making.
After a long, flat base from Sept 2020 to March 2024, gold finally broke out and has been trending with incredible momentum ever since. If you missed the initial breakout, there were multiple clean reentry setups along the way — offering low-risk, high-reward opportunities.
Each pullback to the 10- or 20-week line formed classic bull flags and pennants, providing continuation entries within a larger parabolic curve structure.
The overall pattern shows acceleration — each base gets shorter, steeper, and accompanied by expanding volume, the hallmark of a strong parabolic trend.
So while the macro trend is parabolic, the buy points were tactical — small, high-probability continuation setups that allowed traders to compound gains without chasing.
Gold Futures (MGC) – No Pullback, Just Pure StrengthPrice never offered a clean pullback yesterday — just an aggressive continuation straight through prior structure. That type of behavior usually signals either institutional repricing or momentum fueled by broader uncertainty (like the ongoing U.S. government shutdown risk).
🔹 Bias: Bullish until a clear break of intraday structure
🔹 Current Levels:
‣ W-H: 3922.8
‣ M-H: 3899.5
‣ D-L: 3909.0
💡 Notes:
Price is extremely extended, but until we see evidence of rejection or a 1H BOS (break of structure), the path of least resistance remains up. I’m watching closely for a controlled pullback into demand — ideally near 3920–3900 — to join the next wave higher.
Still keeping an eye on news risk tonight; if the shutdown proceeds, volatility could spike and disrupt the structure.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #SmartMoney #DayTrading #PriceAction #NOFOMO
MCX Gold Futures – Intraday Analysis for 7th Oct 2025MCX:GOLD2!  
Gold is trading at 121,603, consolidating just above the zero line (121,583), after a breakout above resistance, followed by mild profit-taking. This is a key inflection zone for either a momentum extension or a retracement.
Bullish Scenario
Long Entry (121,321):
Initiate fresh longs above 121,321, confirming buyers supporting every dip at trend breakout levels.
Additional exposure can be taken at 121,145 (add-long area) if minor dips are absorbed, marking higher lows.
Upside Targets:
122,504 (Target 1): First mapped supply zone and profit booking area.
123,073 (Target 2): Extended bullish target if strong momentum continues.
Stop Loss:
Place below 120,969 (short entry) or progressively trail as price moves up.
Bearish Scenario
Short Entry (120,969):
Shorts trigger below 120,969, marking breakdown of support and handed control back to sellers.
Downside Targets:
120,662 (Target 1): Demand zone and first logical bounce/support area.
120,093 (Target 2): Next extension target for aggressive move.
Stop Loss:
Cover shorts if price retakes 121,321 to avoid losses on failed breakdowns.
Range/Neutral Logic
Zero Line (121,583):
Price at zero line marks market balance; sustained action above encourages further momentum, while repeated rejection here raises risk of short-term pullback to lower supports.
Avoid new trades around zero line unless breakout/breakdown conviction emerges.
Long trade 
30min TF overview 
Trade 4 – Active Trade Idea
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Fri 3rd Oct 2025, 9.00 am
Entry: 3900.8
Profit Level (TP): 3967.3 (+1.70%)
Stop Level (SL): 3837.0 (−1.33%)
RR: 5.16
Narrative:
Setup aligns with sweep/trigger/entry model.
Market respected the prior demand zone and left a clean FVG + liquidity pool below.
EMA/WMA structure is turning bullish.
Fibonacci extension targets 1.618 – 2.618 zones (3921–3967).
5min TF overview
Summary
Gold continues to display a buy-side bias following accumulation and successful retests of the demand zone. Multiple trades have been logged, and the current narrative favours further upside towards the 3960–3970 range, provided the 3837 support level holds. In addition, the potential U.S. government shutdown may prompt investors to seek safer havens such as Gold, which could further support this continuation trajectory.
Gold Futures (MGC) – Pushing Into New HighsPrice continues to climb into all-new highs with very little pullback, showing clear bullish momentum. However, structure is getting thin, and momentum could begin to exhaust soon.
🔹 Current Bias: Bullish — until 4H structure breaks.
🔹 Key Levels:
‣ W-H: 3928
‣ D-H: 3916
‣ D-L: 3861
‣ Daily FVG: 3820–3720
💡 Notes:
Price has yet to rebalance the large Daily FVG below. If we sweep external liquidity above 3928–3935 and fail to close strong, that could set up a pullback or even a deeper correction into the Daily FVG zone.
Volume profile shows thin structure between 3860–3820 — if momentum fades, that area could act as a magnet for price.
For now, the bullish pressure remains intact — but I’m watching closely for exhaustion signs or a liquidity grab setup at the highs.
#GoldFutures #MGC #FuturesTrading #ICT #PriceAction #SmartMoney #DayTrading #NOFOMO
Gold Dec. Futures (MCX) – Intraday Analysis 6th Oct., 2025MCX:GOLD1!  
Gold is consolidating at 119,369 after a strong bounce, with price action pressing against a pivotal resistance area (zero line) and testing higher-low support in a sideways-to-bullish formation.
Bullish (Long) Setup
Long Entry (118,955):
Fresh longs are actionable above 118,955 with price holding above recent swing support, confirming buyers’ intent for further upside.
Adds can be managed at 118,779 if dips hold with rising volume and higher lows.
Upside Targets:
120,256 (Target 1): First mapped supply zone and likely profit-booking area.
120,826 (Target 2): Higher bullish extension and next major resistance.
Stop Loss:
Keep stops below 118,602 (short entry area) or 118,457 (long exit) to reduce risk in case of reversal.
Bearish (Short) Setup
Short Entry (118,602):
Shorts activate below 118,602, confirming breakdown of support and shifting momentum to sellers.
Downside Targets:
118,410 (Target 1): Bounce/support area for first profit booking.
117,840 (Target 2): Deeper extension and next major demand zone.
Stop Loss:
Exit shorts if price retakes 118,955 to avoid losses on failed breakdown.
Range/Neutral Logic
Zero Line (119,333):
Current action near the zero line marks the market balance; a sustained close above 119,333 supports bullish momentum, while repeated rejection turns bias sideways or soft bearish.
Wait for a breakout from the zero line for high-conviction trades.
New ATHs for Gold?It seems like every single week, gold has been making new ATHs. With the overall bullish sentiment of the market plus the government shutdown, I don't see price slowing down any time soon. 
As long as price is trading above the VWAP on lower time frames (4H, 1H, 15min), we could continue to see ATHs up to $4,000. 
Me personally, I've been very cautious trading in these ATH markets. The reason is because price doesn't have much structure to follow. There's no clear vision of the target when entering longs and you're kind of just trading into no-mans-land. 
We'll see what price decides to do early in the beginning of the trading week. 
Options Traders Display Caution As Gold Bulls Gun For $4000With gold trading less than $120 from the $4,000 milestone, it would be rude not to test that key level. While market positioning suggests a move beyond it is possible, options traders appear to be bracing for higher volatility — or even a pullback.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
Gold Options Check-In: Are the Big Players Cashing Out?A quick look at the latest CME options data for Gold shows some interesting signals. It looks like the bulls might be getting tired.
The Big Signal: We're seeing big trading volume, but the number of actual open positions (Open Interest) has barely changed.
Calls: 27,274 contracts traded, but only +2,933 new positions were opened.
What this means: This isn't new money flooding in. It's big players shuffling their decks and taking chips off the table.
What's happening with Calls? 🔼
Traders are closing out their winning bets on strikes like $3850, $3800, and 
4000
The Takeaway 🎯
The market sentiment is shifting from bullish to neutral & defensive. Big players are:
Cashing out their profits on call options.
This kind of activity is a  sign that an uptrend could be running out of steam. 
However, another leg up for  gold is still possible.  The argument for this scenario is the presence of a futures hedge within many of PUT spread portfolios. The logic works like this: if the asset's price continues to rise, profits are taken on the futures leg, and the position is closed. This profit can then make the put spread a breakeven trade, essentially providing downside protection for free, even if the price keeps rallying.
As for me, main bias:  short at upper ER  (if you're unfamiliar with the ER concept, check out my profile for a detailed post on Expected Range).)
Entry on touch. Risk kept small.
GC TRADE IDEAGold has been uptrend, but gold today run into daily FVG and on 4hr rejection with 1hr breakout, I am looking to buy if we trace back to that zone I marked belowGold has been uptrend, but gold today run into daily FVG and on 4hr rejection with 1hr breakout, I am looking to buy if we trace back to that zone I marked below
Gold - A shifted move in play and up to 4K🔱 Here’s a shifted move in play 🔱 
What exactly is a shifted move?
You see the parallel lines next to the white fork?
Those are the shifted lines.
Now, if you observe how price behaved at the white fork, you’ll notice it was a bit sloppy at the L-MLH, and again at the Centerline after reaching it.
But when we add the dotted parallel lines to the chart and measure the distance from the overshoot at the L-MLH, we find a beautiful support at the Shifted Centerline.
The usual target would be the U-MLH.
So, could the target also be shifted?
And what does that tell us?
Well, if you’re long on Gold, you might want to take some profit at the Shifted U-MLH and let the rest ride up toward 4K—if there’s enough gas in the goose.
For me, a re-entry long would be a pullback to the Centerline—either the original or the shifted one—with a small stop just below some structure.
Let me know what you think ho far Gold will go in the comments.
😊 Thanks for boosting, thanks for following 🙏
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures)
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Sun 29th June 2025
Session: 6.00 PM
TF: 1H
Trade Details:
Entry: 3,904.5
Profit Level: 4,134.5 (+18.47%)
Stop Level: 3,793.0 (–1.18%)
RR: 127.17
Wyckoff Narrative & Structure:
Phase A (Preliminary Support / Selling Climax): Market sold off into spring lows, where high volume absorption signalled potential accumulation.
Phase B (Building the Cause): An extended consolidation range is formed, marked by tests of support and resistance. Smart money accumulated positions while shaking out weak hands.
Phase C (Spring & Test): Price wicked below support to collect liquidity (spring event) before reclaiming the range. The test confirmed demand returning.
Phase D (Markup Initiation): Breakout above resistance with strong volume, creating a Sign of Strength (SOS) and retest zones acting as Last Points of Support (LPS).
Phase E (Trend Continuation): The current price action indicates a bullish continuation, in line with the long-term markup phase, which targets higher extensions (Fib 1.618 and above).
Feeling really good about this trade tbh. 
Long trade 
Pair/Asset: MGC1! (Micro Gold Futures)
Trade Type: Buyside trade (Trade Idea)
Date: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025
Session: 6:00 AM
Trade Details
Entry: 3841.3
Profit Level (TP): 3914.2 (+1.90%)
Stop Level (SL): 3822.0 (-0.50%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 3.78
Technical Narrative
Market Context:
Gold retraced sharply overnight, creating multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) on the 5m chart.
The strong rebound at ~3820 formed a structural low + BSLQ sweep, suggesting liquidity taken below support. A bullish recovery candle with high volume confirmed aggressive buyers stepping in.
Entry Justification:
Entry at 3841.3 coincided with the demand zone after the sweep.
EMA/WMA realignment showed a momentum shift back to the upside.
Volume spike supported bullish intent.
Target Rationale:
TP at 3914.2 chosen just below the prior swing high & inefficiency zone.
Broader context: If USD shows weakness during the NY session, upside continuation is likely?
DYX (1Hr TF) overview 
Gold Futures Bullish Setup – Entry at Demand Zone1. Channel Formation
The price is moving inside a rising parallel channel (blue lines).
Recently, the price broke below the midline (dashed blue) of the channel, indicating short-term weakness.
2. Trade Setup: Long (Buy) Position
The chart indicates a bullish outlook, expecting a price reversal from the demand zone.
🔹 Entry Zone
Entry Price: ₹116,251 – ₹116,277
This is marked with a grey zone, which aligns with a support area and previous consolidation.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL)
Stop Loss Price: ₹115,705 – ₹115,729
Placed just below the lower boundary of the support zone to protect against a false breakout.
🎯 Target (TP)
Target Price: ₹119,331 – ₹119,338 (LABA target point)
This lies above recent highs and near the upper boundary of the channel, suggesting continuation of the bullish trend.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio
The blue shaded box indicates a reward zone.
The trade has a favorable Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 2:1, which is considered a strong setup.
🧠 Interpretation & Strategy
The red curved arrow indicates expected price action: a short-term pullback into the demand zone, followed by a bullish bounce toward the target.
The structure suggests a buy-the-dip opportunity within an ongoing uptrend.
⚠️ Key Takeaways
Component	Value (INR)
Entry Zone	116,251 – 116,277
Stop Loss	115,705 – 115,729
Target	119,331 – 119,338
Trend	Bullish inside channel
Risk/Reward	Favorable (>2:1)
✅ Conclusion
This setup represents a bullish continuation pattern. If price revisits the highlighted demand/support zone, and forms bullish reversal candles (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing), it could offer a high-probability long entry toward the upper end of the channel near ₹119,338.






















