micro pattern provides structure for upward continuation 1->3 : higher high, number 2 confirmed low
4: return and pullish reaction
what do I think will happen next ?
* a return to number 4 would provide a good
rr entry with proven buyers to protect our trade
* I have bullish divergence on RSI and MFI
* vwap seems to confirm bullish sentiment with bar reacting off vwap line
* pullback pitchfork pinpoints current bar
QO1! trade ideas
Dipping my toes with 1-Ounce Gold Futures CME in 2025 launched a new futures instrument called 1-Ounce gold.
Day trading margin requirement is $16.5 and overnight trading margin requirement is $165.
This has been a great way to start trading in live markets with low capital requirements.
1OZ price action closely mirrors GC gold futures so there is a lot of content and experts that share their ideas about where gold is going.
1OZ is equivalent to 1/100 of Gold Futures and tick sizes are 0.25 equivalent to $0.25.
Great for a beginner like myself to get a feel of the markets to test strategies and also experience the emotions of being in a position; being up and being down. These emotions cannot be simulated when backtesting or paper trading.
While experiencing these emotions, I have been journaling how the trades make me feel and behave. I have learnt more about myself that day-to-day life experiences do not subject me with.
I started my journey mid-2025 and so far I have had more losing trades than wins. However, 0.25 tick only represent 25c I treat it as the paying the market a low-fee for my education.
Who knows if I will be resilient enough to continue this journey in the months or years to come? We all have to start somewhere/sometime. Hope I have the discipline to stay the course and not give up.
Is anyone out there a beginner like myself trading 1OZ? Please comment and tell me how 1OZ has been treating you?
Gold Update 26AUG2025: Bullish Confirmation Above $3,534 The gold futures price has made a U-turn as it didn't trigger Triangle's invalidation at $3,300
This bounce back could be a harbinger of wave 3 within the larger degree wave 5
It will be confirmed once upmove breaks above the top of wave 1 beyond $3,534
I erased the complex correction scenario as the price might be taking off right now
I added the breakdown of the upcoming large wave 5 into smaller 5 waves inside
Target range remains intact between $3,900 and $4,300
Gold looks interesting again.Gold has successfully worked off its prior overbought condition through a period of sideways consolidation rather than a corrective drawdown. This resilience—marked by the metal’s unwillingness to print lower lows—points to a constructive setup.
Technical Setup
Support: The 50-day EMA has held as a key support level, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Breakout Potential: Should price resolve higher out of the current range, the move could prove sharp and decisive given the stored energy of consolidation.
Breadth Confirmation: While gold has moved sideways, GDX (miners) has already pushed to fresh highs, and silver is breaking out, signaling strong cross-complex participation.
Thematic Takeaway
The broad alignment across gold, silver, and miners suggests a healthy underlying bid for the precious metals complex. This type of breadth historically strengthens the case for sustained upside momentum rather than an isolated rally.
Gold Bulls Eye Breakout, But Caution May Be RequiredI'm seeing a lot of bullish calls for a gold breakout this week, and the contrarian within me suspects this could lead to disappointment over the near term. Even though my core bias is for gold to reach new highs eventually. Today I look at market exposure to gold futures from the commitment of traders report alongside key levels on gold's futures chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index.
GC Midweek Outlook – Daily Imbalance Tested, H4 FVG Still in PlaPrice has now completed the move into the Daily FVG (~3425–3443) that I highlighted earlier this week. This is the critical mid-week decision point.
Bearish Case: If price rejects here, downside rotation into the untouched H4 FVG (3377–3396) remains possible before any larger move higher.
Bullish Case: If buyers defend the H1 imbalance and hold above 3412, continuation toward the Monthly High (3451) is on the table.
ADX remains under 25, suggesting no strong trending conditions yet — market is still liquidity-driven.
I’ll be watching the Daily FVG reaction and how price handles the H1 imbalance as key intraday signals.
Gold Futures | ADX Heating Up – Continuation or Trap at MH?Price has pushed away from the untested H4 FVG, showing strong bullish pressure. With ADX > 25 on the 15m and close to crossing on 1H/4H, momentum is shifting into trend mode.
My watch:
Break + retest of yesterday’s high and MH level for continuation longs.
Only looking for shorts if liquidity sweeps above MH and we see strong rejection.
Question is: do we run higher with ADX confirmation, or is this just a trap before a deeper pullback?
GC - Gold Re-Testing The L-MLH - Short AheadFirst we crack the L-MLH.
Then we got a test and now the re-test.
On a close outside the fork it's a present to short wit stops above somewhere the wicks high.
Profit at the orange Centerline (PTG1) and at the Red Centerline. All in all a wonderful trade with a decent risk/reward.
And if the train leaves without us, NO FOMO please §8-)
How to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Candlestick Patterns Learn to identify and trade Morning Star and Evening Star candlestick formations using TradingView’s charting tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Morning and Evening Stars are powerful reversal patterns that often mark turning points in the market. Recognizing them can help you anticipate when momentum is about to shift—and take advantage of new trading opportunities.
What You’ll Learn:
• How Morning Stars signal bullish reversals at the end of a downtrend
• How Evening Stars indicate bearish reversals after extended uptrends
• The three-candle structure of each pattern and what it means for trader psychology
• Why indecision candles (like dojis) play a critical role in confirming momentum shifts
• Using volume confirmation to validate Morning and Evening Star setups
• The importance of context: spotting these patterns at major support and resistance levels
• Setting effective stop losses at the high/low of the pattern for risk control
• Advanced entry tactic: waiting for retracement after confirmation to optimize risk/reward
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to harness candlestick reversal signals to identify potential market turning points.
The strategies covered could assist you in creating structured setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key chart levels.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objective
Longing Goldyep, Longing Gold, i mean who would short it anyways.
Iam coming from a very long losing streak so that confirm the move and do your own analysis.
Also just so you know, there is a good chance that i will play out as analyzed, just do your own analysis and if both analysis matches, then take the trade.
Gold Eyes $3,700 Amid Overbought SignalsGold broke out of a multi-month trading range when the spot price finally cleared resistance around $3,450. It took some time for the ascending triangle to play out, and this could mean gold is now on its way towards $3,700. However, the metal has quickly reached overbought levels and may be due for a pause.
Breaking Out
The breakout could be significant and may trigger a move to much higher levels over time; it just doesn’t mean it will all happen at once. One way to measure the breakout from the ascending triangle pattern suggests the precious metal could climb to about $3,700.
The relative strength index also confirms the breakout, rising above a downtrend that had formed between April and August. The rise above the trend line on the RSI confirms the breakout and signals that the consolidation period has ended.
Overbought
However, the precious metal did not take long to reach overbought levels, with its value rising above the upper Bollinger Band and the relative strength index climbing over 70. This could mean that gold is due for a pause—a period of sideways consolidation—before moving on to higher prices.
It could also suggest that the metal is about to run out of steam, having expended too much energy breaking out of the consolidation range, and may be due for a sharp pullback to $3,440 to retest the breakout, or even a decline towards the lower Bollinger Band near $3,200.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
GC 4H icc analysisGold has been in a clear uptrend and ran into resistance between 3574.6/3587.9. Price broke the zone and indicated that sellers were weak above 3587.9, continued to climb making a new high before correcting back below the zone. Once price hit a support, it continued back above 3587.9 aggressively making a new indication and a new high.
Entry: around 3587.9 (after reversal confirmation on 1 hour)
Stop loss: Below last low
Target: Last swing high
Not financial advice.
gold is at the edge of pullback if structure is correct 1->3 : number 3 closes above number 1 ,
making number 2 proven buyers
3->4 : return to proven buyers
next ?
* lower LRC extended to 3 deviation points for
potential extreme pullback
* rsi and mfi hidden bull ( continuation) + oversold
* these complex tools can be embarresingly
bad.. but schiff pitchfork with frequency
shifting catches an edge in obv indicator, alongside diagonal trendline and horizontal support line
buyers are being setup for a trap , it seems obvious but dontmy theory for gold sells
*I was initially bullish until
I noticed a few tricky things
* structure number 2 is not
a solid low, meaning they
have not proven themselves
to be stronger than number 1
sellers, because they have not
created a push above them,
so this low is misleading and
not a proper stop
* obv is in a downtrend while
price is in an uptrend, obv
in downtrend means that there
is an increased selling interest ,
so this diverging from price going
up can only mean .... there
are no buyers and price is not going up
due to a huge amount of buying power but the sellers are not pushing too hard in specific areas
* the 3 support lines are not solid support, in fact they are all wicks and 'fake lows'
* I dont have a solid stop to enter a short,
but all these things + divergence on rsi and mfi is just telling me that the obvious
buy trade might be a trap
Intraday Bearish Narrative – London Session (Gold Futures)Gold opened the London session under clear downside pressure, extending weakness from the prior U.S. session. After a strong rally into the 3619–3620 area, sellers regained control, forming lower highs and pressing price below the descending trendline (red dashed).
During London hours, attempts to recover above 3600–3606 failed, reinforcing the bearish bias. The current setup aligns with a sell-on-rally structure: price has retested the broken trendline and prior support-turned-resistance zone near 3610–3613, where sellers defended strongly.
As long as price holds below 3613, the bearish structure remains intact, with intraday downside targets layered at:
3593.5 (nearest support, minor liquidity pocket)
3569–3566 (London extension target, key demand zone)
3550–3548 (deeper measured move target if momentum accelerates).
Stops are well-placed above 3610–3613, invalidating the setup if buyers reclaim this supply zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish intraday continuation, favoring shorts beneath 3610–3613 with room for multiple downside liquidity sweeps into the mid-3500s.
return to proven sellers presents sell continuation could not post on time due to 10 post per day limit. I entered as per the drawing tool visualization.
1->3 : creates a lower low , number 2 are dominant sellers
3->4: we see a solid buying pressure coming to meet our
sellers who have pushed the market below the previous
attempt to push up at number 1
what next ?
* a break below support / micro bull turn point with stop
above number 2 would look safe
* from number 2->4 I have a 2nd degree bearish divergence
* increasing volitility and sideways movemnet as market
prepares to open and perhaps pick a direction
* vwap 1st standard deviation from number 1
*extreme of peak #2 might align with vwap and vpoc ,
perhaps a sell stop when price reaches there ... which
it might when volume picks up
*despite price going up, staying under
obv trendline showing selling interest
*micro bear pattern wanted