Doom for Dogecoin? - November 2025 - 4 cent forecastHere we go again. Dogecoin, the only “currency” that started as a joke, became a religion, and now looks like it’s back on life support. Every time the blue line (that’s the 50 SMA on shown 12-day chart above) touches price, the crowd shouts, “It’s breaking out!” Then gravity reminds everyone how charts and physics actually work.
Look left
As price action closed a 10 or 12 day candle on or below the blue line, that is the 50SMA, price rises to the moon or falls off a cliff. It’s like déjà vu but more expensive.
The technicals (A.K.A. reality check)
1. The support channel: Price has been obediently bouncing inside that nice little rising channel since 2022. When you see price action following the channel rather than reacting to it, that’s a warning. That's a warning of impending weakness. Now price has fallen like a drunk through a coffee table.
2. The RSI: Hovering in the mid-40s, which basically means it’s deciding whether to bother trying or just give up quietly. If it creeps down to 42, abandon ship!
3. The Stochastic RSI: You can see it curling down again. That red circle? That’s the technical equivalent of a yawn before a nap, usually followed by a drop. Once you’re below 20, you’re staying there for a period.
See that 78% correction from 2021? Yeah, we’ve just printed the same setup again (points 1 through 3). The only thing missing is a Twitter meme from a ketamine fuelled billionaire.
The Forecast
Best case: A dead cat bounce back to the bottom of the channel (~$0.17). Congrats, you’ve broken even on the way to losing more.
Base case: Another 70–80% correction, just like last time. History doesn’t repeat, but Dogecoin traders sure do. Price action would test 4-5 cents in this instance.
Worst case: Elon tweets something, it pumps 40% in an hour, and you buy the top again.
Conclusions
Dogecoin still does what it’s always done, remind us that markets are powered more by emotion than logic. It was fun while it lasted, but the joke’s over. The punchline is your portfolio. If history is any guide, the next few months will be spent pretending this is “accumulation.” It isn’t. It’s denial with extra steps. Could it moon again? Sure. So could my toaster if Elon tweets about it.
Ww
Disclaimer
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This isn’t financial advice. It’s a bloke on the internet pointing at a picture of a dog and some candles. If you buy Dogecoin because of this, don’t DM me crying when it tanks, call your therapist. If it pumps, you’ll call yourself a genius. If it dumps, you’ll call it market manipulation.
Either way, it’ll be hilarious.
