DJCUSD trade ideas
DOW JONES INDEX completed its 5 WAVES UP, what's next?Powell's speech this morning boosted the market up and creating a new high.
BUT.. It also completed the last impluse wave, wave 5.
Next movement, whether to be a correction or a massive trend reversal shoud be DOWN.
So i am SHORTING now.. A-B-C correction is going to happen anytime soon!
My expectation is 1-2 weeks ahead is correction time.
LET'S GO!
US30 H4 | Bullish momentum to extendUS30 is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 44,458.02, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 43,968.79, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 45,275.09, which is a pullback resistance.
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US30: Will History Repeat Itself?US30: Will History Repeat Itself?
On the left side of the chart, we can see that after breaking below the second pattern, US30 experienced a sharp bearish move.
Now, a similar pattern is forming, and the index has just printed another historical high. If price breaks below the current structure—just as it did previously—there’s a strong possibility of another aggressive drop.
A breakdown could trigger a repeat of the past sell-off, especially if momentum shifts to bearish and if Powell makes interesting comments at the Jackson Hole Symposium.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Dow Jones – Elliott Wave Setup Near All-Time HighsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has printed a Wave 3 high at 45,757.84 , with the structure suggesting that an internal Wave 4 pullback is unfolding. Once this is complete, a final Wave 5 push could follow, potentially driving the index into fresh all-time highs.
Alternatively, the recent high at 45,757.84 may already mark the completion of Wave 5 . If that is the case, the corrective phase has already begun.
On the RSI , a clear bearish divergence is visible: while price has moved higher, momentum has failed to confirm. This often signals that the current leg of the rally is losing steam.
Based on Elliott Wave guidelines, the entire advance from 34,611 can be counted as either:
Wave 1 of a new bullish impulse, or
Wave A of a larger corrective structure .
In both cases, a corrective phase will follow once Wave 5 completes. Standard retracements are typically in the 0.382–0.618 Fibonacci zone , but the exact levels can only be projected after the Wave 5 top is confirmed.
⚠️ Invalidation Note: The current view expects a correction after the final Wave 5. However, if the index continues to trend strongly higher without respecting this sequence, the bearish setup is invalidated and the wave structure must be re-evaluated.
Summary:
Current status: Wave 3 high at 45,757.84 .
Expecting: Wave 4 pullback, then a Wave 5 push to new highs.
After Wave 5: Retracement likely in the 0.382–0.618 zone (levels to be projected once Wave 5 is fixed).
Risk: Invalidation if price keeps trending higher without corrective behavior.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
LONG DJ / US30 READINGContinuation after a PullBack On H1 timeframe
Another Entry can be done on the current Trend Line to the upside.
After a Breakout to the upside which is still valid for a Buy trade
Entry Price .... 45,230.00
DJ / US30... 45,230.0
S/L ...45,100.00
T/P ...45,320.0
Also looking at a final touch to 46,000.0 LEVEL.
And More
US30: Will 45,110 Hold or Break Lower?US30 – Overview
Bearish Drop Reaches Target, Market Consolidates at Key Levels
The Dow Jones (US30) dropped over 450 points, exactly reaching the downside targets highlighted in the previous idea.
For now, the index is expected to test 45,110 and then consolidate within the 45,110 – 45,285 range until a breakout occurs.
🔹 Technical Outlook
A 1H close below 45,110 would extend the bearish move toward 44,950. A further break lower opens the path to 44,720 → 44,610.
A 1H close above 45,285 would shift momentum bullish, targeting 45,410 → 45,580.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 45,110, 44,950 – 44,720
Resistance: 45,285 – 45,410 – 45,580
✅ Summary:
US30 has completed its bearish move and is now consolidating around the 45,110 pivot. Watch for a confirmed 1H close to determine whether the next leg is a continuation lower or a rebound higher.
US30 - Giant Break OutDear Friends in Trading,
Keynote:
As long as price remains above 45000, potential for more
Bullish continuation remains high.
Especially after yesterday's sentiment for September.
Quality:
It's a giant break-out candle.
This candle has the potential to serve as all 4 functions going forward.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
PS:
I really apologies for changing the format again.
I am aiming to find the golden thread between my eyes for work,
and simplified clarity for ideas.
I will settle on a standard template soon.
Dow Jones Index Analysis (US30 / Dow Jones)The index is currently trading in an overall uptrend and recently bounced from the support area at 45,180.
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
The index may retest the 45,300 level, and if bullish momentum continues with a breakout above 45,500 and holding above it, the price could head towards 45,700, and later open the way to 46,000.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
If the index breaks below 45,200 and holds beneath it, it may head to retest the 44,900 level.
US30 / Dow Jones Technical AnalysisThe Dow Jones index is currently in a general uptrend, with a downward corrective movement on the hourly timeframe.
1️⃣ Bullish Scenario:
If a bullish momentum leads to a rebound from the 45,200 area and the price holds above 45,360, the index may target 45,700, with continued buying pressure potentially opening the way toward 46,000.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
However, if the price remains below 45,200, this could push the index to test the 44,950 area.
Dow Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 45080
Support Level 1: 44900
Support Level 2: 44733
Support Level 3: 44566
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US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/26/2025📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 08/26/2025
US30 ripped into 45,761 last week but failed to sustain momentum, rejecting hard and pulling back. Now trading around 45,170, price is consolidating just under the EMA cluster and recent highs.
Market is in decision mode: either reclaim 45,300–45,400 for continuation, or break down into the 44,800s.
📊 Current Market Behavior:
📉 Sharp rejection from 45,761 high
🔄 Sideways chop around 45,100–45,200
🧱 Key support holding near 44,894–44,704
⚠️ Momentum cooling after strong move up
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance Zones:
45,300–45,400 → EMA cluster / intraday pivot
45,500 → Short-term upside target
45,761 → Rejection high / ceiling
🔹 Support Zones:
44,894–44,704 → Crucial intraday support
44,200 → Mid-range demand
43,982–43,471 → Major downside liquidity zone
🧠 Bias:
🔄 Neutral to Slightly Bearish Intraday
Rejection from 45,761 gives sellers short-term control
Bulls need to reclaim 45,300+ to regain momentum
US30 Trade Set Up Aug 25 2025FX:US30
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Us30 Trade Set Up: price has created a huge gap between HH/HL so i want to see more price action play out but we got sell side liquidity on the 15m that can be tested. If price sweeps and closes above i will look for buys but if price closes below we could see the start of a bigger pull back down before continuing higher
US30 Correction in Play — Will 45,285 Hold?US30 – Overview
After Powell’s Jackson Hole remarks boosted rate-cut expectations (now nearly 90% probability for September), indices remain in focus with volatility high.
🔹 Technical Outlook
The Dow is currently in a bearish correction toward 45,410.
If the price stabilizes below 45,410, the correction could extend toward 45,285.
Failure to break 45,285 would likely trigger a rebound, pushing the price back toward 45,690 and 45,860.
🔹 Key Levels
Support: 45,410 – 45,285 – 45,100
Resistance: 45,690 – 45,860
✅ Summary:
The Dow is consolidating within a correction phase. The bias remains broadly bullish in line with Fed expectations, but a deeper dip to 45,285 is possible before another upward attempt. A breakout above 45,690 would confirm fresh bullish momentum.