NQCUSD trade ideas
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & Fundamentals📉 NAS100 VANTAGE:NAS100
Short Bias Analysis (1H Chart)
The market recently formed a Higher High (HH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside, suggesting a potential bearish shift. This move left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), now acting as supply zones.
Key Points
• Liquidity grab above the HH, followed by strong bearish momentum.
• Two FVGs aligning with short bias.
• Current retracement into inefficiencies offers a potential short entry.
• Downside targets: Discount PD Array and lower FVGs (24,480–24,440).
Trade Idea
• Entry Zone: 24,700–24,750 (upper FVG)
• Stop Loss (SL): Above 24,800 (invalidates bearish idea)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): 24,560
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): 24,440
Risk management remains key 🔑 if price closes above the upper FVG/BB zone, short bias is invalidated.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish momentum to extend?NAS100 is falling towards the buy entry at 24,368.82, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Stop loss is at 23,991.90, which is an overlap support.
Take profit is at 24,087.48, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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Nasdaq records near critical resistance! More to go or crash?Strong economic data suggest the soft landing scenario remains intact. Manufacturing strength, combined with improving employment data, appears to provide support. The Fed's dovish pivot also offers liquidity tailwinds, while the Nvidia-Intel partnership signals continued investment in US stocks.
But is the market reading the signals?
Strong employment data could actually be bearish for equities since it reduces the urgency for the Fed to cut. The Fed's dot plot already shows fewer 2026 cuts (only one instead of three) with higher growth and (slightly higher) inflation projections. The Nvidia-Intel deal also excludes Intel's struggling foundry business, a core problem for the company.
Technicals are not too promising either. Multiple resistance factors converge just a tad higher if not at current levels:
Long-term trendline from November 2021
138% Fibonacci level
Triangle pattern measured move completion
100% Fibonacci expansion target
Indicators flash warnings too:
RSI second divergence since May (price up, momentum flat)
Volume oscillator 13% below zero - lack of institutional buying
Missing third-wave volume surge - typical bull pattern absent
Fifth-wave characteristics suggesting impulse completion
As we trade in the historically worst month for equities, where the NASDAQ typically underperforms the S&P 500 during September selloffs, a high-probability short setup could be underway:
Entry : 24,700-24,750 area (resistance test)
Stop : Above 25,000 (avoid false breakout)
Targets : 23,700 → 22,730 → 22,200
Risk-Reward : Approximately 2.6:1 to first major support
Prefer a 5-wave decline if bear case confirms, followed by a 3-wave up, then continuation lower.
Watch 24,500 as it appears to be a decision point where multiple technical and fundamental factors converge.
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NAS100 rising wedge breakdown short setup The NAS100 recently broke down from a rising wedge formation on the 1H chart, signaling potential bearish momentum. After failing to hold above 24,700, price rejected the upper channel and is now trading below the wedge support.
Here’s my thought process:
• Pattern: Rising wedge, a bearish reversal pattern.
• Rejection Zone: Price failed at 24,705 resistance, confirming sellers stepped in.
• Breakdown Confirmation: A clean break below wedge support increases bearish bias.
Beyond the Chart - NAS100 Through Technicals & FundamentalsThe trendline I drew last week played out perfectly. Price has carved out a fresh trend on the lower timeframe and is breaking to the upside. But the real confirmation comes only if the FVG is fully filled and we get a strong bullish close above 24,700.
NASDAQ Daily Analysis 📊
👉Hold above 24,500 – 24,520 → BUY targeting 24,700 (upper FVG). Break & hourly close above 24,700 → room to push toward 24,850 – 24,900.
👉24,700 – 24,750 → strong SELL zone (Premium PD Array + FVG overlap). First downside target: 24,400 – 24,350.
⚡️Bottom line:
• Bullish case→ If inflation comes in lower and the Fed takes a softer tone → buyers could step in and push levels higher.
• Bearish case → If data runs hot and the Fed signals more tightening → selling pressure kicks in, and your short levels become key.
NAS100 Price has dipped into an H4 Demand Zone Price has now retested a demand zone. Look for long confirmations from here. If it reaches supply or retests that broken trendline and gives sell confirmations, then we will short it. However, if momentum to the upside continues, then we long to new ATHs.
NASDAQ September's Channel Up targets 24900.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 02 Low and at the moment it is unfolding its 2nd Bullish Leg following the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce on September 17.
Based on the previous 4H MA50 Bullish Leg, the sequence should peak below the 2.382 Fibonacci extension at a maximum +3.96% rise. Our Target is slightly below those at 24900.
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Nasdaq - USTEC: Trading Edge TodayDear Friends in Trading,
Experimental Test Phase Week:
Correlation Logic & Daily Efficiency - GOLD🔄NASDAQ🔄DOW JONES
🔎 Previous Week Observations -
Strong accumulation & clustered trading between 24,300 – 24,350.
This is where most volume likely sat (clustered POC zone).
Breakout above 24,400 carried price strongly higher.
Current price (~24,615) is sitting above last week’s value area, riding momentum.
USTEC - 22Sept:
Pivot: 24,300 – 24,350
Bias: Bullish while above pivot
Bull targets: 24,700 → 24,900
Bear targets: 24,200 → 24,000
👉 Nasdaq leading tech momentum.
Stronger risk appetite = supports US30 as well, usually opposite Gold.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NASDAQ US100 Long
Entry Zone: 24,542.
Stop-Loss: 24,360
Take-Profit: 24,717
Risk (Stop distance): ~182 points (24,542 – 24,360).
Reward (Target distance): ~175 points (24,717 – 24,542).
RSI Trend: Recently dipped sharply, showing selling pressure, but possible rebound if support holds. Price is respecting a long-term trendline.
NASDAQ - setting up for Bearish SetupLooking for the bearish signal or the H4/Daily time frame, might get that final push for the D extension on the weekly timeframe, opening of the week might get a small pullback then continuation to the upside. Trade will be validated only if we get bearish PA setup on the H4/Daily. Looking for the setup to create a turn shape then can look for potential entries. If price does not present a bearish setup on the H4/Daily then the plan is no longer valid.
US100: Short Trade Explained
US100
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell US100
Entry - 24498
Stop - 24559
Take - 24384
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NASDAQ index- Correction alertThe price has reached the yellow trendline, and in the previous two instances this led to significant short-term corrections:
📉 July 2024: -15.6%
📉 December 2024: -7.1%
Currently: optimistic correction target at 23,970 (-3.2%), and if that doesn’t hold – strong support at 22,223 (-10.2%).
NASDAQ (US100) - ShortNasdaq (US100) currently trading at 24662.
We reached a high at 24767 and from there got a rejection. Multiple reasons here now for a continuation to the down side.
Entry: In rising channel at current levels.
Stop Loss: 24702
T1: 24418
T2: 24072
I'm expecting to see a break of this rising channel soon, may get some retest of the upper line till then which are great entry points.
No trading advise, just my opinion. Have fun.
NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 🚀 NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 📊
Current Price: 24,507.1 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰
📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days)
🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,480 - 24,520 📍
Stop Loss: 24,420 🛑
Target 1: 24,650 🎯
Target 2: 24,800 🚀
🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO
Entry Zone: 24,550 - 24,580 📍
Stop Loss: 24,630 🛑
Target 1: 24,300 🎯
Target 2: 24,150 📉
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS:
RSI (14): 58.3 ⚡ *Neutral Zone - Room to Move*
Bollinger Bands: Mid-band Squeeze 🔥
VWAP: 24,465 - Dynamic Support Holding 💪
EMA 50: 24,380 ✅ *Bullish Above Key Level*
Volume: Declining 📊 *Awaiting Catalyst*
🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS:
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 Correction Complete 🌊
Next Target: Wave 5 Extension to 25,200+ 🎯
🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS:
Bullish Bat Pattern Active at 24,450 ✨
ABCD Completion targeting 24,750 🔄
⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks)
🚀 BULLISH TARGETS:
Weekly Resistance: 24,850 🏆
Monthly Target: 25,200 🌙
Gann Square of 9: 25,000 ⭐
📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION:
Weekly Support: 24,200 ⚠️
Critical Level: 24,000 🚨
🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE:
Trend: Consolidating Bullish 💪
Momentum: Building Energy 🔥
Wyckoff Phase: Re-accumulation 📈
Ichimoku: Neutral Cloud 🟡
🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 24,600 | 24,750 | 25,000 🚧
Support: 24,350 | 24,200 | 24,000 🛡️
Breakout Trigger: 24,580 confirmed close 💥
⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT:
Max Risk per Trade: 1.5% 🛡️
R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3 ⚖️
Position Size: Conservative in Range 📏
🌍 MARKET CATALYSTS:
Tech Earnings Season Approaching 💼
Fed Policy Impact on Growth Stocks 🏛️
AI/Tech Momentum Driving Index 🤖
🎯 FINAL VERDICT:
NAS100 coiling for EXPLOSIVE MOVE! 🚀
25K psychological level in sight! 💥
Watch for volume spike above 24,580 👀
Trade Management: Scale in on pullbacks to VWAP 📈
Key Decision Zone: 24,500-24,600 battle crucial ⚔️
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*⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Use proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.*
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
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