ETHUSD: Reversal Expected Near 4100The bullish outlook remains unchanged. We are expecting the price to reverse near 4100 . The sharp move on wave a, a small correction for wave b, indicates a sharp decline and rapid rise in the upcoming days.
Previous research:
Stay Tuned!
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ETHUSD 4H: Bears Dominate After Key Breakdown – $4000 Under Test
ETHUSD 4H: Bears Dominate After Key Breakdown – $4000 Under Test
Chart Overview:
On the 4-hour timeframe, Ethereum (ETH/USD) is currently exhibiting a strong bearish trend following a significant reversal from its early October highs. The chart clearly illustrates a shift in market sentiment, with price action now decisively within a descending channel after breaking a previously bullish structure.
Recent Price Action:
Ethereum experienced a robust rally from its late September lows, forming clear higher highs and higher lows within an ascending green trendline/channel. This bullish momentum propelled ETH towards the 4650 Resistance zone, which proved to be a strong ceiling, leading to a sharp rejection.
Following this peak, the market structure shifted. The previously supportive green ascending trendline was decisively broken, indicating a loss of bullish control. Price then struggled around the 4500 Flip Zone, an area that previously acted as both support and resistance, before eventually succumbing to selling pressure.
A critical event was the breakdown below the 4200 to 4300 Key Level. This zone, which had served as a pivotal support area during the prior consolidation, has now flipped into a major resistance. Currently, Ethereum is firmly trading within a descending red channel, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows, signifying strong bearish momentum. The present candle shows a significant drop, pushing price down to test the crucial psychological and structural support at $4000.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
4200 to 4300 Key Level: This is the immediate and most critical resistance overhead. A move back above this zone and a successful retest as support would be the first sign of a potential reversal in momentum.
4500 Flip Zone: If bulls manage to clear the 4200-4300 level, the 4500 Flip Zone will be the next significant hurdle, likely acting as a strong area of contention.
4650 Resistance: The ultimate overhead resistance, where the prior rally topped out. Bulls would need substantial buying pressure to challenge this level again.
Key Support Levels to Monitor:
With the price currently hovering around $4085 and testing the $4000 mark:
$4000: This is the immediate, crucial psychological and structural support level. A bounce from here could indicate short-term relief, while a decisive break below could trigger further downside.
3850 Key Level: Should $4000 fail to hold, the 3850 key level is the next significant structural support. A strong reaction here would be vital for preventing a deeper correction.
Outlook & Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario: If Ethereum fails to hold the $4000 support level and breaks decisively below it, we can expect a continued move lower towards the 3850 key level. A breakdown below 3850 would signify a deeper correction, potentially opening up the path to further structural supports not immediately visible on this chart.
Bullish Scenario: For bulls to regain control, ETH first needs to establish support at or above $4000 and demonstrate a clear rejection of further downside. A sustained push to reclaim the 4200 to 4300 Key Level and a breakout from the descending red trend channel would be strong bullish signals, indicating that the corrective phase might be easing.
Conclusion:
Ethereum is at a critical juncture on the 4-hour chart, with bears firmly in control and testing the significant $4000 support level. Traders should closely monitor the price action around $4000, as a breakdown could lead to a deeper correction towards the 3850 key level. Conversely, a strong bounce and reclaim of the 4200-4300 Key Level would be necessary for any signs of a bullish recovery.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Fix my Stops, fix my profits (save up for a bigger account)I was trying to short ETHUSD but my mistake was to use vey small stops which my stops should have been above that high i identified with the circle. next time if i cant move my stops above or under a 1 hr major area but at least 50 points then i shouldn't take that trade because il be entering emotionally and not putting my stops based on structure #ICCMAFIA
ETH - Inverse H&S #2Yesterday we made a post outlining a potential inverse H&S pattern for ETH if price could hold $4,250.
However, with Trump's tariff announcement today that low was broken therefore negating the pattern. Looking at the chart now there is still a potential for a larger H&S to develop if this $1,070 low can hold. So far that is exactly where price wicked to (white line) and so far has held.
If we readjust the left shoulder to the first low that was established we could be forming the right shoulder at the exact same level! We have been outline the $1,060-$1,090 level as an EXTREMLY key level for many of our past posts so its important to see how price action develops here. If price can hold this level and rebound, the right shoulder should be completed still giving us a measured breakout of around $6k.
Keep in mind, if the low is broken then all eyes will be on if we create a lower low before our last low. If that is the case, refer to our last post outlining that scenario.
ETH PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $4700ETH PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $4700
Currently $4700
Targeting $4770 or Above
(Trading plan IF ETH
go down to $4640 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Ethereum + Hyperliquid | Macro Accumulation → Distribution FrameSpot Strategy | 0xPareto Thesis
This chart visualizes the ongoing macro accumulation phase across both Ethereum and Hyperliquid, aligning with cyclical VWAP structure and liquidity maps.
Ethereum (Right):
Accumulation area: $4,000–$4,500
Target: $5,200–$6,000
Hyperliquid (Left):
Accumulation range: $40–$45
Distribution range: $60–$70
Mean reversion setup with high confluence on 180d VWAP and prior liquidity clusters.
ETHUSD support at 4,263The ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,263 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,263 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,564 – initial resistance
4,654 – psychological and structural level
4,757 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,263 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
4,180 – minor support
4,100 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,263. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Eth/Usd - Bullish Trendline BreakoutTrendline Breakout Confirmed
Price has broken out of the resistance trendline, forming a bullish structure with confirmation from multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure).
Entry Executed
Entry was taken on breakout retest (highlighted zone). Price is now pushing above the resistance line, showing strong bullish momentum.
Target: 4430
Based on breakout projection and previous highs, next target is set at 4430.
Structure Overview:
Support Trendline holding price structure
Resistance Trendline broken with strong bullish candle
CHoCH and BOS indicate shift in market structure
15-minute timeframe suggests short-term bullish bias.
Target: 4430
Monitor for volume confirmation and continuation.
ETH Correction Complete? Bullish Setup Reemerges As I mentioned in my previous ETH analysis, while my medium-term outlook remains bullish, I was anticipating a short-term correction.
That’s exactly what unfolded. After retesting the 4750 resistance zone, Ethereum began to retrace, reaching the support area just below 4300 earlier today.
Currently, the price is rebounding, and there’s a strong probability that the corrective phase has ended.
I’m now looking to re-enter long, as even a move back to the recent highs could offer a 1:2.5 risk–reward setup — a solid short-term opportunity within the broader bullish structure.
$ETH 3rd Cycle the retest before parabolic.We can see that Ethereum has exhibited a similar pattern before every major bull run.
1st Cycle (2017)
Retest of the demand zone, followed by a parabolic rise.
2nd Cycle (2020)
Same structure, same momentum.
3rd Cycle (2025)
We are now back in the same zone, Pre-Parabolic phase after retest.
This is not just a correction, it will be the beginning of the next major wave of Ethereum.
$ETH Performing Ascending Channel
An ascending channel, or rising channel, is a chart pattern used in technical analysis to identify a security's ongoing uptrend. It is characterized by the price fluctuating between two parallel, upward-sloping trendlines.
Key components
Higher highs and higher lows:
The price consistently makes higher swing highs and higher swing lows over a period of time, indicating steady bullish momentum.
Parallel trendlines:
Two parallel lines are drawn to frame the price action.
Upper line (resistance):
Connects the higher swing highs. It represents the point where selling pressure is strong enough to temporarily stop the price from rising.
Lower line (support):
Connects the higher swing lows. This line indicates where buying pressure is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further.
Bearish drop off?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 4,422.34
1st Support: 4,129.91
1st Resistance: 4,566.08
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
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ETH/USD — Ethereum Consolidates Below $4,450 as Bulls Defend KeyAfter reclaiming its September high near $4,752, Ethereum (ETH) faced renewed selling pressure and pulled back toward the 20-day EMA (≈ $4,400). The broader trend remains intact, but bulls must defend this area to prevent a deeper correction.
Spot Ethereum ETFs have attracted over $1.3 billion in inflows since early October, fueling optimism. However, mixed sentiment on Wall Street — including concerns that crypto treasury firms like Bitmine may struggle long term — has kept traders cautious.
⸻
Technical Outlook
ETH/USD remains trapped in a bullish flag pattern. The upper Bollinger Band near $4,752 capped the last rally, while the lower band continues to act as short-term support.
For bulls to regain control, Ethereum needs to close above $4,443, which would open the way to $4,605, a key resistance repeatedly tested in September.
A daily close above $4,605** would confirm a breakout**, potentially sending ETH toward the confluence zone of the previous monthly high and the upper channel limit around $4,832–$4,958.
If buyers maintain momentum beyond this zone, the next Fibonacci targets are:
• $5,135 — 138% extension.
• $5,444 — 361% extension and medium-term bullish objective.
⸻
Bearish Scenario
If ETH fails to hold $4,395 (20-day EMA) and closes below it, a deeper pullback becomes likely:
• First support: $4,293–$4,220 (50-day EMA zone).
• Next levels: $4,055 and $3,975–$3,945 (Golden Pocket).
A decisive breakdown below $3,875 would shift sentiment bearish, exposing $3,723 (78% Fibonacci) and potentially the 200-day EMA around $3,550–$3,516.
Failure to hold this region would bring $3,388–$3,365 (August low) into play as the final downside target.
⸻
Indicators
• RSI (Daily): Back in the neutral 45–55 zone, needs to stabilize to preserve bullish potential.
• RSI (Weekly): Still holding a buy signal but trending lower.
• MACD: Momentum fading; histogram contracting near zero.
As long as RSI remains above the neutral line and the price holds the 20-day EMA, Ethereum retains potential for a Q4 recovery.
⸻
Key Resistance: $4,443 • $4,605 • $4,752 • $4,958 • $5,135 • $5,444
Key Support: $4,395 • $4,220 • $4,055 • $3,945 • $3,875 • $3,516
⸻
📈 Outlook: Ethereum is consolidating below resistance but remains within a bullish structure. A break above $4,605 could reignite upside momentum toward $5K+, while a drop below $4,220 risks deeper retracement toward $3.8K–$3.5K.
Time and Price Prediction for Ethereum - Canada - Toronto Time🔍 Key Chart Patterns & Structures
Head and Shoulders pattern marked at the top (with "Right Shoulder" labeled).
An ABCDE Elliott Wave structure is labeled (A to E).
Final movement projected as a G Wave toward the bottom.
📍 Major Time & Price Targets Identified
These are marked by orange labels:
Time & Price Target 1 — around 4,425 near intersection of trendlines D and e.
Time & Price Target 2 — lower target, around 4,275.
Time & Price Target 3 — higher target (~4,550), suggesting a bullish scenario.
Time & Price Target 4 — this label is duplicated at two different locations:
One around 4,275 again.
One higher near 4,425 (possibly indicating uncertainty between scenarios).
🕒 Follow Time Zones (Blue Labels)
These mark specific times to watch for possible market reactions or wave completions:
Follow Time 1–5 span from Oct 10 to Oct 11, potentially marking the development of wave E and G.
🔴 Support & Resistance Levels
4,369.17 and 4,227.06 are key horizontal price levels (likely S/R).
4,074.01 appears to be a final target for the bearish wave G.
ETHUSD 30-MIN – Holding Zone Reaction Ahead BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Market Overview
After sweeping liquidity from the upper rejection zone, ETH experienced a controlled sell-off, reaching into the strong blue holding zone. The current structure shows early signs of absorption and a potential W-shaped reversal forming. If buyers defend this area, we could see a breakout toward the 4 535 and 4 672 reaction zones. Otherwise, failure to hold this block could drive price deeper toward the yellow demand base for the next bullish reload.
Key Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case 🚀 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 435 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 535 | 🎯 Target 3 : 4 672
❌ Bearish Case 📉 → 🎯 Target 1 : 4 250 | 🎯 Target 2 : 4 100 (deeper demand)
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴 : 4 435 – 4 672
Support 🟢 : 4 280 – 4 100
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice.
A dangerous market on the swing of a new quarterSeptember ended, a month of seasonal sales and 4 weeks of sluggish market decline, which I predicted in the last review. October and December are the months of seasonal growth in the 4th quarter, but the bears continue to hold the market. The quarter opened neutrally on the ETH. An opening above 4100 provides an opportunity for retests of 4750-5000, however, an opening below 4250 is a slightly stronger signal for a stable consolidation below 4k and an attempt to retest 3500. The current market growth is still only a retest of the 4500-4750 range before the likely continuation of sales. It will be possible to talk about the continuation of medium-term growth only with a repeated breakdown of 4750, in which case active purchases of altcoins will begin. With the current market, the probability of a further flat and a slow fall for most coins prevails. Bitcoin opened the quarter below 115k, which further increases the likelihood of a market drop with sales up to a 90-100 k retest.
The oil price also continues to fall, which negatively affects the markets. If there is a rebound in brent to $67.5-$69 in the new week, then the probability of a breakdown of $ 4750 in ether will begin to prevail. If brent falls below 64, there will be a chance of a hike to 3900 on the ETH by the end of next week.
Today, the opening level of the new week on the ETH is of great importance. When opening above 4500, the probability of a breakdown of 4750 will increase significantly and we will not see sales below 4250-350. When opening below 4500, a breakdown of 4750 will be possible only against the background of weighty arguments, extremely negative statistics on the United States or oil growth.
With the current negative market and the prevailing probability of further altcoin decline, I am still cautiously considering coins for operation. The only oversold group with the probability of growth from its current position is still the fantokens. Among them, I am considering atm city juv acm for work. These tokens do not have binance futures, which reduces the opportunities for large speculators to sell and insures against a pattern similar to alpine and asr. These tokens also have extremely high undeveloped targets on large timeframes up to 5-7 x.
ATM opened the quarter above 1.5, which is a very positive signal. After drawing the shadow on a new monthly candle with a retest of 1.35, there is a high probability of a bullish reversal of the current monthly candle with a stable approach to the 2.1-2.5 test at least. In the event of a breakdown of 2.5, further growth towards 5-7.5 will be very active. With a negative market and ether falling to 3500, there is a possibility of a delay and flat ATM with a rebound from 2.1 and growth from the second half of the quarter.
According to CITY, there is also a good quarter opening above 1.0, which can lead to stable growth on the 2.1-2.5 test this month with a further trend.
For ACM and JUV, there is also a good opening of the quarter above the supports, but the candlestick pattern on large timeframes is more negative, and therefore growth may be more sluggish after the breakouts of ATM and CITY.
Among other altcoins, so far I am considering only chess pivx and fio, which can give an increase of up to 50-70% from current levels against the background of the lack of assignment of the monitoring tag in the first week of the new month. However, the opening of the quarter for them is quite negative, which is likely to lead to new price drawdowns, especially in the event of a drop in ether. In work, it is worth keeping a moderate position with the expectation of possible drawdowns to 0.100-115 for pivx, 0.05 for chess and 0.0125-150 for fio. Topping up can be confidently done from these levels, a hike below is possible only if the monitoring tag is assigned in the following months, or there is a strong drop in ether up to 2500.
I will consider other coins to work only after the breakdown of 4750 on ether.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 8 October 2025
- Ethereum reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 4000.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed from the resistance zone located between the key resistance level 4750.00 and the round resistance level 5000.00 (which stopped sharp impulse wave (1) in August).
The resistance level 4750.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the nearby resistance zone, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next round support level 4000.00 (target price for the completion of the active wave 2).
ETH - Macro OutlookHere is ETH from a zoomed out perspective.
Currently ETH has double topped around its previous ATH in 2021. This is currently a very bad sign for the macro trend and could end this bull market if it is not negated (check out our last post on the lowertime frames to see how it might be possible to negate this).
Also, I have outlined something very important on the charts which are the lows since our 2022 bear market low.
We have had many Higher lows (creating an uptrend), before the tariff collapse we saw in early 2025 creating lower lows (establishing a downtrend), and since the low in April 2025 we have started a series of higher lows again (creating another uptrend).
This is important as we can still see ETH's trend is in an uptrend. The only way this could be negated and the macro double top would play out is if we break our last low which could start a series of lower lows into the bear market.
We are in Q4 of the post halving year which usually indicates market cycle tops before a 1 year bear market (according to past data), so it is very important that we pay attention to these trends at this time.






















