ETHPROS_TPG8CJ.USD trade ideas
Ethereum Flips MasterCard: Is $5,000 ETH Next?A new era is dawning for Ethereum, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency. In a stunning display of market strength, Ethereum has not only surpassed the market capitalization of financial giant Mastercard but is also setting its sights on the ambitious $5,000 price target. This powerful rally, which saw Ethereum gain an impressive 45% in a single month, is fueled by a potent combination of surging institutional investment, increasing regulatory clarity, and significant buying pressure from large-scale investors, colloquially known as "whales." However, this bullish narrative is not without its counterpoints, as short-term leverage risks and a sense of caution in the options market present potential hurdles on the path to new all-time highs.
A New King in the Asset Rankings: Ethereum Flips Mastercard
In a landmark moment for the cryptocurrency space, Ethereum's market capitalization soared to over $519 billion in August 2025, eclipsing that of the global payments behemoth, Mastercard. This achievement propelled Ethereum to the 22nd spot among the world's largest assets, placing it ahead of household names like Netflix, Exxon Mobil, Costco, and Johnson & Johnson. The surge was the result of a consistent upward trend, with Ethereum's price climbing nearly 7% in a single day to hit $4,300, capping a 21% rise over several weeks.
This "flippening" of a traditional financial institution has ignited fresh debate about the long-term potential of decentralized assets. The 24/7 nature of cryptocurrency markets provides a distinct advantage, allowing for continuous trading and accumulation of buying momentum, even when traditional stock markets are closed. While Bitcoin still holds a commanding lead with a market capitalization of $2.36 trillion, Ethereum's consistent gains since July 2025 have kept the conversation alive about its potential to one day challenge the top spot.
The Road to $5,000: A Rally Fueled by Whales and Regulatory Tailwinds
The drive towards the psychologically significant $5,000 mark is being underpinned by several powerful forces. A staggering 45% monthly gain has brought this target within reach, with analysts pointing to a confluence of bullish factors.
One of the primary drivers is the unprecedented level of accumulation by "whales." In a single week, these large-scale investors accumulated an astounding $946.6 million worth of Ethereum. This aggressive buying is not limited to individual investors. A mysterious institution was reported to have acquired 221,166 ETH, worth nearly $1 billion, in a single week, signaling strong long-term confidence even at elevated prices. This whale activity is significant as it reduces the available supply of ETH on exchanges, creating a supply squeeze that can amplify price movements.
Adding to this momentum is the growing clarity in the regulatory landscape, particularly in the United States. Recent developments, including the White House's new digital asset framework and a resolution in the Ripple-SEC case, have helped to remove key uncertainties that have long plagued the crypto market. This improved regulatory environment is fostering greater trust and encouraging institutional adoption. The introduction of tax-advantaged structures, such as IRS Code 351, which allows for tax-free exchanges of Ethereum for treasury shares, is further incentivizing large-scale purchases by long-term holders.
The Rise of Corporate Ethereum and ETF Inflows
A significant and growing trend is the increasing allocation of corporate treasuries to Ethereum. As of August 2025, corporate Ether holdings have surged to an impressive $13 billion, with the total amount held by companies reaching 3.04 million ETH. This rally in corporate adoption is being led by firms like BitMine Immersion Technologies, SharpLink Gaming, and The Ether Machine.
BitMine Immersion Technologies, in particular, has made headlines by becoming the first company to hold more than $3 billion in ETH, having increased its holdings by a staggering 410.68% in just 30 days to 833,100 ETH. SharpLink Gaming and The Ether Machine have also significantly boosted their ETH treasuries, with the top ten corporate holders now controlling over 2.63 million ETH, representing about 2.63% of the asset's total supply.
This corporate buying spree is mirrored by the substantial inflows into spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). In a single day, ETH ETFs saw inflows of $533.8 million, with cumulative inflows since July 2024 topping $8.9 billion. These sustained ETF inflows, coupled with the growth of corporate reserves, are seen as a powerful combination that could position ETH to outperform and challenge the $5,000 level for the first time.
A Time to Sell? Market Cycles and Exit Strategies
While the current sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, some analysts are sounding a note of caution, suggesting that the current rally may have an expiration date. Drawing on well-known market cycle cheat sheets, some traders are pointing to the current phase as one of "Optimism" and "Ethereum dominance," which they believe will eventually lead to a "Market Peak/Euphoria" phase.
According to one such analysis by a crypto trader, this peak could be reached by the end of October 2025, at which point the market may experience extreme overvaluation and a subsequent downturn. This perspective suggests that while there may still be room for significant upside, with short-term targets ranging from $5,800 to $6,000, a strategic exit plan is crucial. This view is not universally held, with other technical analyses projecting targets as high as $12,000 based on patterns similar to Bitcoin's 2020 rally.
The Clash of Fundamentals and Short-Term Risks
Despite the strong bullish fundamentals, there are short-term risks that could temper the rally. One of the primary concerns is the high level of leverage in the market. The all-exchange Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) has climbed to 0.68, approaching historical highs and signaling excessive speculative activity. While this indicates a high degree of confidence, it also increases the risk of cascading liquidations in the event of a price correction.
The Ethereum options market also reflects a degree of caution. Despite the 41% rally in a month, derivatives data shows that traders have yet to turn decisively bullish. The options delta skew, a measure of the relative demand for bullish versus bearish options, remains in neutral territory. This suggests that while professional traders are not anticipating a significant price drop, they are also not exhibiting the "euphoria" that often accompanies major market tops. This lack of euphoria in the options market could be interpreted in two ways: either as a sign of a healthy, sustainable rally or as an indication that there isn't enough conviction to push the price significantly higher in the immediate future.
Conclusion: A Bullish Trajectory Tempered by Prudence
Ethereum's recent performance has been nothing short of remarkable. The cryptocurrency has not only achieved a significant milestone by surpassing Mastercard in market capitalization but has also laid a strong foundation for a potential run to $5,000 and beyond. The confluence of strong institutional demand, growing corporate adoption, and increasing regulatory clarity paints a decidedly bullish picture for the long term.
However, the path forward is unlikely to be a straight line. The risks associated with high leverage in the short term, coupled with a sense of caution in the options market, serve as important reminders that volatility remains a key characteristic of the crypto space. While the fundamental drivers suggest that Ethereum is well-positioned for continued growth, investors and market participants would be wise to remain vigilant and mindful of the potential for pullbacks. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Ethereum can sustain its current momentum and solidify its position not just as a leading cryptocurrency, but as a global financial asset of the future.
Ethereum Struggles to Complete above the 0.786 Bearish 5-0 ZoneWhile on the intra-bar price action on ETH has gotten pretty excited above the 0.786 it is still worth considering that ETH has not completed any bars above the 0.786 since the breakout and that at a moments noticed much of the current price action above the main 0.786 PCZ could later find itself being filtered out of the Renko charts as a whole depending on how many Average True Ranges above the 0.786 PCZ ETH possible move.
Based on the fact that the current candle is simply still in the projection phase I'd caution longs here and remain accumulative of longer dated puts. There is also a 2x leveraged ETF of ETH called ETHU which has OTM monthly call options trading at 20-40 dollar premiums. I'd consider farming off of those premiums in the form of Bear Vertical Spreads as a way to hedge off the costs of holding the long puts.
Overall, we are still trading at the PCZ of the Bearish 5-0 which seems to also be in the similar shape of a Bearish Head and Shoulders pattern; the measure move of which could take ETH down to around $355 upon the break of $1,600
Inflation Countdown: BTC and ETH at Key Levels Ahead of CPIMarket focus is quickly turning to the US CPI report coming up this week. A higher-than-expected figure might weigh on risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, keeping the former in rangebound mode and the latter fighting for a handle above $4,000.
Ethereum is consolidating just above the $4,150 level after a sharp rally. The recent higher highs and higher lows keep the short-term bias bullish, but a sustained move below $4,100 could indicate shifting momentum.
Bitcoin is testing resistance at $119,000 after a solid recovery from below $113,000. The price remains inside a broader range between $116,000 and $123,000, with repeated upper wicks signalling sellers defending the top of the range.
Potential inverse head and shoulders target reached on EthereumWell... nearly reached at this stage anyway. In a similar vein to Dow Theory (in which you would normally expect that the Dow Jones Industrial Average would rise alongside the Dow Jones Transportation Index, the Nasdaq Composite, the SP500 and the Russell 2000 indices), let's suppose you would expect that Ethereum would rise alongside Bitcoin and the other altcoins.
Let's face it, Ethereum has had a great run recently, but what has Bitcoin been doing over the past month in particular? Literally nothing. Zero, zilch, nada... But why am I bringing up caution at this stage whilst everyone is so bullish about Ethereum? Let's scale out. If you look very far out to earlier this year, there was spike down in February for Ethereum (which formed a 'left shoulder' downward), and further retracement in share price downward to the ultimate low in April two months later to form the 'inverted head', followed by upward movement to form the inverted 'right shoulder' in late June.
This allows us to draw a 'neckline' at around about the 2880 level. Extending calculations from this neckline to the inverted head provides a range of approximately 1400, but when utilising exact numbers utilising charting software, and extending this range upwards from the neckline northwards provides a potential target of 4,368.94, which is fairly close to where we've been recently (the high of 4,333.13 about 2 hours ago at the time of writing).
Unless Bitcoin can get itself moving, as well as Ethereum turn around with respect to the one hourly momentum, tread cautiously and consider the possibility that the target may be reached of this head and shoulders target for Ethereum (thus, neutral bias at this stage, with potential to turn bearish).
Extreme Euphoria - ETH weekly update August 11 - 17thFrom an Elliott Wave perspective, Ethereum is likely advancing within Cycle degree Wave 3, Primary degree Wave 5, at the end of Intermediate degree Wave 3, and in Minor degree Wave 5. While theoretical upside targets for this structure have already been met, ETH has shown little sign of slowing down. On lower timeframes, the price action suggests the move is not yet complete.
The first alternative scenario would see the current wave extending further upward. The second, less probable alternative, would classify the move as part of an ongoing corrective formation — but the structure lacks the characteristics to strongly support this view.
Liquidity analysis reveals significant clusters below the low of Intermediate Wave 4 on the heatmap. In the order book, notable sell orders are stacked above the current price at $4,500 and $5,000 — levels of interest because they align with key technical confluences. Additionally, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) appears on the 1-hour chart, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback before price resumes its move toward the main target zone.
Funding rates are in a normal positive range and open interest is rising but beginning to flatten, signalling a steady but maturing uptrend. It’s worth noting that these funding rates have recently come down from elevated highs, indicating that the market was previously overheated.
ETH ETF flows remain steadily positive, but as mentioned in the Bitcoin analysis, these inflows appear to be driven more by rising prices and associated FOMO than by deliberate accumulation.
From a sentiment perspective, the Fear and Greed Index shows the market in “Greed” territory, while Ethereum’s own index indicates extreme greed. On LunarCrush, mentions of ETH are increasing, reflecting heightened market attention. However, sentiment measured per network interaction remains mostly neutral — a divergence that is worth monitoring.
In summary, caution is warranted at current levels. The primary target remains the 2.618 Fibonacci extension around $4,500, where a confluence of liquidity, order book resistance, and Elliott Wave projections converge. This level stands out as the most probable area for the current wave to complete before any significant correction.
Trade safe.
ETH ROAD TO 20K+I think we are getting closer to the final accumulation stage on ETH.
We can see a potential shape of huge channel in log scale.
After forming median of the channel I would like to see a big and fast correction near 30% from here towards 2900 support which must hold imo.
After that test of smthg around 3600 rgion and double bottom would be the best option just before few months of consolidation before breaking up and starting blow off top part.
Top of that channel depends on timing so the later the better I guess.
ETH/USD – 1H | Liquidity Run to OB in Play Price is holding below the P1D High/Swing High, showing signs of weakness after multiple failed attempts to break higher.
If structure plays out, expecting a liquidity sweep toward P1D Low and further delivery into the OB + Equal Low zone.
MMC Key Points:
P1D High rejection → potential liquidity run
Multiple Strong Lows acting as interim targets
Final delivery into deep Order Block near Equal Lows
Watch for reaction at OB for potential reversal setups
Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 4,326 – 4,273
Support Zones: 4,162 / 4,080 / 3,920 OB
🎯 Plan: Monitor for short entries on pullback to resistance zones; target liquidity pools below.
ETH Eyeing $4,300 Breakout — Long-Term Target $7K+After dominating the market since the April 9 low, ETH is holding firm, even as it faces minor short-term headwinds. This consolidation above key support levels is building a strong base for the next upward move.
Bulls are focused on the higher-low formation, which keeps the trend intact and momentum in their favor. As long as ETH holds above $3,100–$3,200, the bullish structure remains unbroken.
📈 Technical Highlights:
✅ Short-term resistance: $4,000–$4,300 (break and run)
✅ Medium-term target: $4,800–$5,000
✅ Long-term potential: $7,000+ this cycle
🛡️ Key support: $3,100–$3,200
📣 Takeaway:
Ethereum’s chart remains a textbook bullish setup. A breakout over $4,300 could trigger another powerful rally, while current pullbacks may offer attractive opportunities for both swing traders and long-term investors.
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ETHUSD big bada boomClearly after finishing 3rd wave with extended flat, we are now in 5th and looking at the first wave I can't get around this idea - it's first and the most longest wave in fifth which makes the rest 2 shorter, making it ending diagonal. The correction of the first in this diagonal is usually 60-70%, so be aware of this. Good luck trader. I'm back again.
ETHEREUM: The $4,000 Triangle - Breakout or Breakdown?🎯 THE MEGA SETUP: Giant Symmetrical Triangle
🔍 What We're Looking At: 📐 Triangle Specifications:
🟢 $3,042.00 - Triangle Lower Trendline
🟢 $2,875.00 - 1W FVG (Fair Value Gap)
🔴 $4,087.00 - BSL (Buy Side Liquidity)
🔴 $4,200.00 - Psychological barrier
_______________________
🛡️ CONSERVATIVE LONG:
Entry: $2,800 - $2,850 (Triangle support bounce) 📊
Stop Loss: $2,740 (Below triangle) ❌
Targets: $3,500 → $3,800 → $4,200 🎯
! Smash that follow button for more killer setups! 🔥📊
____________ NOTE __________
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT
⚠️ DYOR
Remember: No setup is guaranteed. Always manage risk and never invest more than you can afford to lose.
ETH/USD – 15M | Bearish Play Toward P1D LowPrice rejected from the Breaker Block (BB) at the swing high, confirming a Market Structure Shift (MSS).
Currently sitting around Equal Lows, a break below this level opens the path for a run into the FVG and further toward the P1D Low.
Key Levels:
BB / Swing High: 4,300 – 4,320
Equal Low: 4,230
FVG / Strong Low: 4,190 – 4,200
P1D Low: 4,160
Bearish Roadmap:
1️⃣ Reject from BB → MSS confirmed
2️⃣ Break Equal Lows → FVG fill
3️⃣ Continue to P1D Low for liquidity sweep
🎯 Watching for short entries on pullback to minor supply zones with targets at liquidity pools below.
ETHUSD Is Going Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 3,601.00.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 3,751.96 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Breaking: Ethereum Is Set To Reclaim the $5k Price Pivot The price of the notable Altcoin- Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is set to reclaim the $5k resistance amidst growing interest and buying momentum.
For the past 3 months Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) spiked 200+% breaking out from a cup and handle pattern amidst growing interest ikn the Ethereum chain.
Crypto Pundits on X, LinkedIn and Discord envisage the influx of memecoins on the Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) chain- while most skeptics think the layer 1 blockchain is dead, Ethereum's sojourn to the $5k pivot is just days away as popular folks like Eric Trump the son of the present president of USA hints on investor's to buy Ethereum's dip.
As of the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is up 0.58% already breaking the $4k resistance trading at $4276. With the Relative strength Index (RSI) at 71, CRYPTOCAP:ETH is on the verge of reaching overbought region. CRYPTOCAP:ETH might experience a respite before picking momentum up.