ETHPROS_TPG8CJ.USD trade ideas
ETHUSDT 1D Chart Analysis | RSI Strength & Fibonacci TargetsETHUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | RSI Strength & Fibonacci Targets in Play
🔍 Let’s break down the latest ETH/USDT setup — bullish momentum is building with confluences pointing toward key upside targets.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
Ether continues climbing within a well-defined ascending channel, with recent candles holding above mid-level support. Price is pressing higher from a clean bounce at the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone ($2,017–$1,899), signaling the correction has likely ended.
📉 Fibonacci Levels & RSI Confirmation
- The strong recovery aligns with rising volume and a bullish structure.
- RSI is pushing into overbought territory (above 73), often a sign of strength during trends—not exhaustion.
- ETH is now positioned for a breakout continuation move if momentum holds.
🎯 Bullish Targets Ahead
- Immediate resistance: $3,300 (1.414 Fib extension + historical supply)
- Next major target: $3,700 (1.618 extension + upper channel confluence)
- Pullback zones: $2,950 (mid-channel) and $2,017 (Fib support base)
📊 Key Highlights:
- Price is respecting the rising channel structure — higher lows, higher highs in play.
- Volume supports the breakout narrative, rising on green candles.
- RSI breakout supports trend continuation, not exhaustion.
- Targets at $3,300 and $3,700 remain actionable on a confirmed breakout.
🚨 Conclusion:
ETH is showing a multi-variable bullish setup with clear continuation potential. A strong move above $3,300 could quickly send price toward $3,700. Pullbacks to $2,950–$2,017 could offer high-risk/reward re-entry zones. Momentum favors bulls — stay alert.
### **Bearish Analysis of Ethereum (ETH)**### **Bearish Analysis of Ethereum (ETH)**
Here is a bearish outlook on Ethereum (ETH) based on current market dynamics, incorporating technical, liquidity, and fundamental factors:
---
### **1. Technical Resistance & Topping Signals**
- **Key Resistance Zone**: ETH has repeatedly tested the **$3,000–$3,080** resistance level but failed to sustain a breakout. If it cannot hold above this range, a pullback toward **$2,865** or even **$2,710** is likely.
- **Daily Chart Topping Pattern**: Some analysts suggest the current rally may form a "daily top." While an immediate reversal is unlikely, the trend could shift to bearish dominance, with potential resistance near **$3,160**.
- **Overbought Risk**: The RSI has exceeded 70, indicating short-term overbought conditions. A loss of momentum could trigger a correction.
---
### **2. Heavy Shorting by Hedge Funds & Basis Arbitrage**
- **Surge in Short Positions**: CFTC data shows hedge funds have amassed **$1.73 billion** in ETH short positions on CME, marking a record high in net leveraged short exposure.
- **Basis Arbitrage Strategy**: Institutions are executing delta-neutral strategies by shorting futures while buying spot ETFs (annualized arbitrage ~9.5%). However, heightened volatility (e.g., a "Black Thursday"-like event) could trigger a short squeeze.
- **Whale Shorting Activity**: High-leverage (4.1x) short positions by whales (e.g., 0xSifu) reflect market skepticism about ETH's long-term competitiveness.
---
### **3. Fundamental Weaknesses**
- **Ecosystem Underperformance**: In 2025, ETH was among the worst-performing top-five crypto assets (down 51% YTD), lagging behind competitors like Solana. DeFi TVL has dropped **43%**, signaling declining user engagement.
- **Staking Risks**: While **29% of ETH is staked**, reducing liquid supply, high staking ratios may constrain market liquidity. A price drop could trigger panic unstaking.
- **Institutional Selling Pressure**: The Ethereum Foundation recently sold **1,206.7 ETH (~$3.6 million)**, fueling concerns about insider divestment.
---
### **4. Market Sentiment & Capital Flows**
- **BTC Dominance Pressure**: Bitcoin’s recent all-time high (**$118,000**) may divert capital away from ETH and other altcoins.
- **Extreme Short Positioning**: ETH’s open interest shows **62% short bias**, the highest since 2021. While this raises short-squeeze risks, it also reflects doubts about the sustainability of the rally.
---
### **5. Key Risks & Outlook**
- **Downside Triggers**:
- A break below **$2,865** could accelerate a drop toward **$2,530**.
- A Fed policy shift or global liquidity tightening.
- Competitors (e.g., Solana) gaining further market share.
- **Potential Reversal Signals**:
- A sustained breakout above **$3,080** may force short covering.
- If the **ETH/BTC ratio** surpasses **0.026 BTC**, an altcoin season could emerge.
---
### **Conclusion**
In the short term, ETH faces headwinds from technical resistance, institutional shorting, and capital rotation into Bitcoin. The bearish thesis holds for now, but extreme short positioning raises the risk of a squeeze. Traders should monitor:
- The **$3,080** resistance and **$2,865** support levels.
- Bitcoin’s market dominance and macroeconomic policy shifts.
ETH - what next??Ethereum is perfectly touching a macro uptrend (5 touches acting as Support). Price has recently rallied but is currently pausing for breath. Could the uptrend begin to act as resistance? A break above this line would invalidate this thesis. Equally there is a huge resistance zone @ 3,550 - 4,100
And then there is the ATH
So there are a few hurdles in the way of printing a new ATH.
If Ethereum fails to break above the uptrend the fib retracement tool could take price to 1,900 (.618).
The next few days/weeks will give us an indication as to which direction we are headed.
Bullish Outlook for Ethereum (ETH/USD)The chart shows a **bullish outlook for Ethereum (ETH/USD)** on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend after a recent breakout.
Chart Breakdown:
* **Current Price:** \~\$3,038
* **Key Levels:**
* **S1 (Support 1):** Around \$2,996 — a key breakout and retest level.
* **S2 (Support 2):** Around \$2,945 — secondary support and accumulation zone.
* **EMAs:**
* EMA 7: \$3,023
* EMA 21: \$2,996
* EMA 50: \$2,970
The price is currently above all three EMAs, signaling **short-term bullish momentum**.
Bullish Scenario:
* The price recently **broke out above a strong resistance zone (\~\$2,996)**.
* If ETH successfully **retests and holds S1 as support**, we could see a continuation move toward:
* **\$3,080 → \$3,120 → \$3,160** as short-term targets.
* The green path suggests a **healthy pullback and continuation pattern**, which aligns with bullish market structure.
Invalidation/Bearish Scenario:
* A **break below S1 (\$2,996)** may shift bias toward S2 (\~\$2,945).
* Loss of S2 support could open the door for deeper correction..”
Ethereum H4 | Falling toward a multi-swing-low supportEthereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 2,967.05 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns closely with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 2,840.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 3,208.95 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
ETH might just be setting up for a monster move!Something BIG is brewing with #Ethereum...
👀 And it’s being quietly triggered by a law almost no one was talking about, till today.
A new rally could be closer than you think. Here's the full story 🧵👇
Last month, the U.S. Senate passed the Genius Act — the first serious law aimed at regulating stablecoins.
Sounds boring? It's not.
Because this act could light a fire under ETH... and hardly anyone sees it coming.
Stablecoins like CRYPTOCAP:USDC will soon have clear rules to follow.
That opens the doors for banks, funds, and institutions to use them legally — and massively.
And who benefits most from that? You guessed it: Ethereum.
Ethereum hosts nearly 50% of ALL stablecoin supply.
It's the core infrastructure of the stablecoin economy.
That means:
More stablecoin adoption → More activity on ETH → More gas fees → More ETH burned.
And it doesn’t stop there.
Right now, Ethereum handles about 60% of all stablecoin transactions.
Tron is in second place… with just 15%.
This is ETH's game to lose.
Here’s where it gets juicy:
ETH gas fees = ETH getting burned.
Rising stablecoin usage doesn’t just mean more revenue for the network…
It means less ETH in circulation.
And you know what that does to price.
Oh — and the smart money knows.
Since mid-2024, ETH whales have been quietly accumulating.
Whale holdings just hit their highest level since 2021.
Last time that happened?
Right before a massive rally.
Also… Ethereum activity is already spiking on-chain.
Transaction volume is rising, fast.
The last two times we saw this setup?
🔹 2016–2017
🔹 2020–2021
ETH went on to crush ATHs both times.
Circle — the company behind USDC — just IPO’d in June.
Their stock? Skyrocketed!
The stablecoin dominoes are falling fast...
And Ethereum is sitting at the center of it all.
To sum it up:
✅ Regulatory clarity (Genius Act)
✅ Institutional greenlight for stablecoins
✅ ETH is the foundation
✅ Whales accumulating
✅ On-chain activity heating up
✅ Supply burn kicking in
The House just rejected a key vote on the GENIUS Act.
🚨 Regulatory momentum just hit a speed bump — but the charts will tell you the real story.
Pass or fail... ETH might just be setting up for a monster move.
Here’s the set up…
If ETH can secure a Weekly close above the orange major resistance and confirm a breakout above the yellow ascending trendline, we could experience LIFTOFF. 🚀
NFA... For edutainment purposes only!
ETHEREUM WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅ETHEREUM is going up
Now and the coin made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 3000$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Eth killer Today was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets:
S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range.
NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close.
Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high.
Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out.
Ethereum Is Coiled and Ready — Pullback or Launchpad?ETH is pulling back into a key breakout zone after a strong leg up — and the next move could be explosive. Price action remains clean, with bullish structure intact and a textbook retest underway. If support holds, a surge toward $3,300–$3,500 is on the table.
Momentum has reset, giving bulls the fuel they need. This is where traders prepare — not chase.
#ETHUSD #EthereumBreakout #CryptoTrading #BacktestYourEdge #QuantTradingPro #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Ethereum - It's about damn time!Ethereum has been slacking for a couple of years.
The strong catalyst to excel Ethereum just seems to be lingering compared to the first 5 years.
So, it looks like it's just following suit with Bitcoin current rally, as it hits all time highs and shines confidence to the rest.
So the update with Ethereum remains to be the same.
Price>20 and 200
Cup and Handle
Breakout above brim
Target $3,794
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.