The Bullish and Bearish Cases For ETH/USDOverview:
This idea contains both bullish and bearish cases for ETH/USD.
Bullish Case:
ETH/USD has formed a bullish pennant since April 8th. A strong break above the pennant's upper line indicates further upward momentum. The probability of success for a bullish pennant is roughly 54%.
Bullish Case Warning:
Although the bullish pennant is formed, there is a chance the price breaks below its bottom line, which would invalidate it. The bullish pennant is also accompanied by bearish RSI divergence, making a break of the bottom line more likely.
Bearish Case
Since December 17th, 2024, ETH/USD has formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern. The probability of success for a harmonic butterfly is roughly 75%. In addition to the butterfly, ETH/USD has short-term bearish divergence, further supporting point D as a turning point downward.
If the butterfly plays out, I would expect an initial drop to the 0.618 Fibonacci around $2750.
Bearish Case Warning
Given that there is a bullish pennant on the short term, I would wait until it is invalidated before taking a short position.
ETHUSD.PI trade ideas
Ethereum (ETHUSD) Technical OutlookEthereum remains in a critical yet bullish consolidation phase, trading sideways near all-time highs. This kind of price action often precedes major breakouts, especially with macro tailwinds building — the Fed is expected to cut rates this week, adding liquidity to the market.
🔍 Technical Setup
ETH is currently attempting a breakout from a symmetrical triangle — a bullish continuation pattern in trending markets.
✅ Uptrend confirmed by:
Higher highs
Higher lows
Strong support structure
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Immediate target zone: $5,700 – $5,800
Macro rally potential: $7,000 – $8,000
Crucial support: $4,000 – $4,200
As long as ETH holds above $4,000, there’s no technical reason to be bearish.
Bullish rise?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 4,437.74
1st Support: 4,264.46
1st Resistance: 4,691.58
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"Ethereum/Dollar – Breakout Confirmed, Eyes on $4,830 Target"The ETHUSD 4H chart illustrates a **strong bullish breakout** from a prolonged **consolidation area** that followed a downward trend. The price action confirms a **break of structure** with a clear move above the **descending trendline** and the formation of a **"break order"**, signaling bullish momentum.
After accumulating in a tight range, Ethereum surged upward, breaking through multiple resistance levels and validating **key targets**. The chart defines upside
**target zone** based on price action and historical resistance:
* Target / Sellers Ground: $4,827.83 – $4,830.26
This final target area is marked as “Sellers Ground”, where potential profit-taking or short interest may increase, making it a key zone to watch for reversal or consolidation.
The chart also outlines the **“Immediate Zone”** around $4,215.18 and a strong **Buyers Area** near $4,062.24, which served as the base for the recent bullish move. The price is currently approaching overbought territory, so caution near the final target is advised.
Trade strategically and Find Setup with patience.
Interesting IndicatorOver the past few days I've published my first script "Fibonacci Trader". It spotted a good trade in ETH but the market started off red. I learned something new today and decided to implement that into a strategy. It is a trend continuation indicator. Works great in the lower time frame such as 1M or 3M(better).
Breakout Trader
This script is designed to catch breakout opportunities that develop after a clear trend has already been established. By tracking price pivots and measuring key retracement levels, it can identify points where momentum shifts create the setup for a potential continuation move. These signals often occur when a failed attempt to push price further in the opposite direction leads instead to renewed strength in the original trend.
It is particularly effective on lower time frames, where breakouts can quickly evolve into strong extended moves. On charts like the 1-minute or 3-minute, the script helps traders capture these fast-developing opportunities, giving early warnings of potential entries that may lead to much longer trend extensions.
#ETH/USDT Testing Wedge Breakout Amid Key Support#ETH
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 4480, which represents a strong support point.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are in a consolidation trend above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 4524
First target: 4585
Second target: 4645
Third target: 4715
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
ETH - When In Doubt Zoom Out!!! 9/11/2025This is my personal top prediction. I don't post often, but I can't call the top after it happens. I'm not looking for any followers, but I do want to keep getting better at trading. The only way to do that is to hold my ideas accountable and put them out into the world.
This also is IMO confirming my last post price target of the Cup & Handle 🎯 Breakout Target from when ETH was in the $2,100 range. Please let me know your thoughts.
Thanks,
Ethereum Bets on Privacy in Its New RoadmapIon Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Ethereum has taken an important step in its evolution: privacy. The Ethereum Foundation has relaunched its team under the name Privacy Stewards of Ethereum (PSE) and presented a roadmap aimed at incorporating confidentiality tools into the ecosystem.
Sam Richards, one of the project’s key figures, summed it up bluntly: “without privacy, Ethereum (ETH) is not freedom, it is global surveillance.” A statement that underscores the importance of this initiative.
The strategy is structured around three pillars:
Private writes: ensuring private operations cost the same as public ones.
Private reads: enabling reads without leaving a trace on the network.
Private proving: delivering faster and more affordable ZK proofs.
Among the notable developments is PlasmaFold, a Layer 2 solution focused on private transfers, with a prototype expected this November at Devconnect in Argentina. In addition, the team is preparing a report on private voting in 2025 and is working on confidential DeFi applications targeted at institutional clients.
Technical Analysis of ETHUSD
The ETHUSD pair has entered a consolidation phase after recent bullish moves. It is currently trading near recent highs at $4,530.60, moving within a lateral channel defined by key support at $4,447.96 and resistance at the $4,954.17 highs, a level previously tested in 2021.
The current price holds above the 50-day moving average, with the first support level aligned with the 100-day moving average. A third support can be found at the 200-day moving average near $3,506.70. The current Point of Control (POC) sits far below, at the origin of the previous bullish impulse around $1,600.
The RSI is at 55.39, placing it in neutral territory following a series of bearish moves in mid-August. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in a lateral structure, with its histogram slightly positive—supporting the idea of price concentration. According to the ActivTrades Crypto Fear & Greed Index, sentiment stands at 61.65 (greed), reflecting lingering optimism in the market and sustained altcoin dominance.
A breakout above the immediate resistance could lead to new highs toward $5,100. However, failure to hold this breakout may result in a loss of the 50-day moving average support, a retest of lower supports, and potentially a decline toward the $2,800 area.
In conclusion, as long as ETHUSD holds above current support, the technical bias remains positive. Yet, breaking above the recent highs will be crucial to confirm a new bullish leg. With this approach, Ethereum strengthens its position not only as a smart contracts network but also as an ecosystem seeking to balance transparency and privacy—two key elements for mass adoption.
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ETHUSD, bullish short-term caseBullish case for ETHUSD.
This Elliott Wave count has price in wave (5) of ((3)) of iii.
Wave (4) retracing to 4 of lesser degree, .236 from (3) to (2).
Current price sitting at .5-.618 support, with volume profile point-of-control providing support at well.
If this proves correct, target wave (5) completion above 6500.
Analysis invalid below support of 4209.01.
Where Is ETH Going This Cycle? (Educational Perspective)
Every cycle brings the same question:
Where is Ethereum heading next? Most look for price guesses, but that’s a distraction. The real advantage comes from knowing what factors will drive ETH’s direction. Understanding the drivers doesn’t require prediction, it requires planning.
A Look Back: ETH in Previous Cycles
Ethereum has repeatedly proven its resilience and innovation leadership:
2016–2017: Breakout fueled by ICO boom—ETH became the token-launch backbone.
2018–2019: Bear market and ICO collapse—but builders persisted.
2020–2021: DeFi and NFT surge—Ethereum powered the blockchain economy as “digital oil.”
2022–2023: Post-Merge era—transition to PoS and reduced issuance amid regulatory uncertainty.
Through every phase, ETH stayed central to crypto’s evolution.
On-Chain Metrics to Watch
Ethereum’s transparency lets us monitor structural strength in real time:
Active addresses gauge real network use.
Staking levels shrink available supply—over 35M ETH (≈30%) staked by mid-2025.
ETH locked in DeFi reflects collateral demand.
Gas fee burn continues to tighten supply post-EIP-1559.
Macro & Narrative Drivers (2024–2025 Upgrades & ETF Momentum)
Stories move markets, and Ethereum has some strong ones now:
Spot ETH ETF Launch: Nearly $500M in institutional inflows since mid-2024.
Staking Supply Constraint: Record ETH locked → tighter supply.
Technical Enhancements: Dencun (2024) and Pectra (2025) improving scalability and validator usability.
Regulatory & Macro Tailwinds: GENIUS Act, institutional adoption, favorable policies.
The Real Question Traders Should Ask
Price targets are clickbait. The real question is:
“Which factors will move ETH this cycle?”
By tracking ETF flows, staking ratios, upgrades, and macro conditions, traders avoid being surprised.
ETH Bullish Trend The chart shows a potential "ABC" corrective wave pattern, often seen as part of a larger bullish trend.
Wave (A): The initial strong upward move from around $3,000 to over $4,800.
Wave (B): A subsequent correction or consolidation phase, where the price pulled back and appears to be finding support around the $4,200 - $4,300 area (highlighted by the yellow line and the brown box). This area seems to have acted as both previous resistance and now potential support.
Wave (C): If the bullish trend continues, the expectation is for a new impulse wave upward, potentially targeting the area between $5,600 and $6,000, as indicated by the white box and the projected line. This would represent a breakout above the previous high of Wave (A).
In essence, the idea is: The recent pullback (Wave B) has found support, and if this support holds, the cryptocurrency could be poised for another significant upward move (Wave C) towards new highs.
Please note that this is a technical analysis interpretation based on the provided chart and is not financial advice.
HARD SHORTMy former analysis successfully landed to target zone. And now market wants a pull back.
1-Above there is low liqudation
2-Next week we will probably see a rate cut. thats why I am a little nervous abot open short
3-Till that day I think whales will chase cheap asset that is where my courage come from
4-Market wants to see a pull back
be careful about short you may just want to open long at the below
Always manage your own risks this is not a investment advise I am not responsible neither your loss nor profit.
This is the graph I showed stream of our 2 possible scenarios Tbh im pretty new to this whole thing, however certainly put in hours of research into all sorts of techniques. However 2 things interest me in these scenarios. 1. Where everyone makes money. And 2. Only the big market makers make money.
For the first one we would need that dump before tomorrow starts. Then a small pump late Monday early Tuesday. Then a drawback Tuesday night into Wednesday. Then providing space on rsi and macD for a wave 3. However theres the chance that all of unclesams friends aunts and uncles could come together and say, we'll here's your rate cuts but we're gonna dump it on you. Cause "fear of reccesion" after dropping a 50 pt rate cuts. So it's anyone's game. But food for thought.
ETHUSD 4H HOURLY PROJECTION AND IDEA.The second in command in the crypto market is Eth, just broke a structure back into a previous Balance Area, which may mean price could be static for sometime and the Pair takes its lead and direction from its Head BTC, which is also on a downward move, but the overall direction of the market is Bullish, and currently price is within a previous range i expect price to stay within this range (Balance) lets see what price would do next.
ETHUSD bullish sideways consolidationThe ETHUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 4,100 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 4,100 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4,450 – initial resistance
4,730 – psychological and structural level
5,070 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 4,100 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3,990 – minor support
3,830 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ETHUSD holds above 4,100. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market opens Llower as Ethereum holds steady; Analysts eye $5,00Market opens Llower as Ethereum holds steady; Analysts eye $5,000
The market opened lower on Tuesday, with Ethereum trading around $4,500. While bears are applying pressure ahead of a potential rate cut, ETH remains relatively stable compared to more volatile altcoins.
Recent analysis indicates a significant cooling in Ethereum trading activity. The market has entered a neutral but nervous phase, characterized by a decline in perpetual futures trading—suggesting reduced leveraged speculation and a shift toward more organic spot trading. However, spot market volumes have also failed to impress, consistently staying low and reflecting limited investor participation.
This combination points to a indecisive market. Ethereum has managed to maintain a moderate upward trend but lacks strong bullish momentum, leaving it in a semi-bullish range.
Analysts suggest that a clear break above the key psychological level of $5,000 is crucial to avoid sideways movement and could trigger a rally toward $6,000 by year-end.
In institutional news, Standard Chartered’s venture arm, SC Ventures, is planning to launch a $250 million crypto-focused investment fund in 2026. The fund will target digital assets in financial services and signals growing institutional interest. The bank is also launching a separate $100 million Africa investment fund.
ETH Will HIT ATH very soon !!!! ETH is the future that will accompany BITCOIN besides Solana, because ETH has the strongest ecosystem and has been strongly supported by institutions this time. what's more after Tom Lee with his BMNR continues to add support for ETH price, my target may be too low this time. but I believe ETH price is at least 1/2 of bitcoin market cap.