Long trade
🔹 Trade Details
Buy-side trade entry: 3,955.30
Profit level: 4,651.28 (+18.19%)
Stop level: 3,871.54 (−1.63%)
R:R: 11.19
Executed during the London to NY AM session on Fri 26th Sept 25 at 9:00 am, coinciding with a 4H FVG and structural shift on the lower time frame.
🔹 Key Technical Observations
Break of structure (BOS): Occurred after reclaiming the EMA 50 (blue) and surpassing prior swing highs.
👉 EMA alignment: The 50 EMA crossed back above the 200 EMA — a medium-term bullish trend confirmation.
👉 Volume: Expansion seen at the demand retest (high conviction buyers stepping in).
👉 FVG zones: Multiple unmitigated Fair Value Gaps remain below current price (4,430–4,480 area), acting as potential re-entry zones if price retraces.
👉 Supply zone: Around 4,691–4,700 (4H), where price is currently reacting, just beneath the larger FVG target zone (~4,570–4,600).
🔹 Market Narrative
This move reflects a classic Wyckoff accumulation to markup transition.
The “Consolidation Identified Phase” signalled the Phase C–D transition, confirmed by:
Higher timeframe spring event and reclaim of range midline.
Volume expansion with bullish displacement candles.
Structural BOS and retest of the neckline.
👉 Price respected the PD Array (Discount Zone) for entry and is now operating above equilibrium.
🔹 Forward Outlook
If price sustains above 4,480–4,500, expect continuation toward the 4,570–4,600 FVG for full target mitigation.
If retracement occurs:
Watch 4,445–4,460 demand zone (and unmitigated FVG) for buyside continuation setups.
Below 4,430 (WMA zone) would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
