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Ethereum Analysis – Climbing Step by Step🚀 Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Analysis 📌 The purple line shows my own projection. 📌 The small rectangles represent a steady, step-by-step growth in price. 📌 This structure on the chart indicates that the market is gathering strength at certain levels before moving higher. ✨ In short, the market seems to be recharging with corrections and getting ready for new highs. 👉 Target zones are marked above. Let’s see if my projection plays out! 💡 Do you think this scenario will happen? Or will the price take another path?
Long
by hamitcagdas
1
Ethereum. Watching the 3,880–4,060 Zone: Setup for a New ATH?Hi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). The price has entered the 3,880–4,060 range — the scenario I was waiting for in the related post. The September 25 seller candle is an IC candle and shows the highest volume since August 22. And with September — typically a weak month for asset growth — coming to an end, we watch closely. On the daily timeframe, the price is in a sideways range. The black lines mark the boundaries of this range. We’re waiting for the price to return back inside, absorb the seller’s candle that broke the lower boundary, and then it will be possible to look for buy setups targeting a new local ATH. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Ethereum — The Big Wave Towards New Highs, Bullish 10k?📝 Full Analysis Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 1W timeframe is showing a clear 5-wave Elliott Impulse structure. Currently, price is assumed to be in the (4) corrective phase after wave (3) peaked around the 4.9k–5k zone. Wave (4) is now retesting the critical support zone between 3.21k – 3.54k, which perfectly aligns with the Fibonacci retracement 0.5–0.618 levels. This area also acts as a key demand zone (previous resistance now flipping into support). If this zone holds, ETH is well-positioned to start wave (5), targeting new all-time highs. But if this level breaks, ETH could fall into a much deeper corrective scenario. --- 🔑 Key Levels on the Chart Main Support (yellow zone): 0.5 = 3,541 0.618 = 3,210 Bullish Extension Targets (Wave 5): 0.5 = 4,940 0.618 = 5,272 1.0 = 6,345 1.618 = 8,082 2.618 = 10,891 These are not just Fibonacci levels, but psychological points where the market often decides whether to continue or reverse. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario 1. Support 3.21k–3.54k holds → confirms wave (4) completion. 2. ETH prints a weekly rejection candle or bullish engulfing → buyer strength confirmed. 3. Breakout above 4.95k activates bullish momentum with staged targets: Target 1 → 5.27k (0.618 extension) Target 2 → 6.34k (1.0 extension) Extended Target → 8.08k (1.618 extension) Maximal Target → 10.9k (2.618 extension, potential new ATH) 4. Wave (5) is often accompanied by volume surge & market euphoria → a prime opportunity for swing traders and mid-term investors. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario 1. ETH closes below 3.21k weekly → weakens bullish wave structure. 2. Possible deeper retracement: 2.13k (0.5 retracement from macro impulse) 1.95k (0.618 retracement) 3. If ETH breaks below ~1.95k, the 5-wave Elliott structure becomes invalid, and the market could enter a prolonged accumulation/sideways phase similar to 2018–2019. --- 🔍 Pattern Breakdown Elliott Impulse Wave (1–5) with strong extended wave (3). Fibonacci retracement & extension for precise S/R validation. Resistance → Support Flip Zone (3.2k–3.5k). Potential Bullish Flag Structure (macro) if wave (4) is confirmed as a healthy correction. --- 🎯 Extra Insights Wave (5) is usually shorter than wave (3) if wave (3) was already extended → realistic target sits around 6.3k–8k. If crypto market euphoria (ETH ETF narrative, altseason) kicks in, then 10k+ ETH becomes a valid macro target. Caution: wave (4) often forms complex corrections (flat/triangle), meaning sideways consolidation before the breakout. --- 🛡️ Trading Notes Conservative entry: wait for weekly rejection confirmation at 3.2k–3.5k. Aggressive entry: buy the dip in support zone with tight stop below 3.2k. Breakout entry: wait for breakout + retest above 4.95k. Take profit progressively: 5.2k → 6.3k → 8k. --- Ethereum Weekly is forming a 5-wave Elliott Impulse. Currently, price is testing the critical support zone at 3.21k–3.54k. If this zone holds → ETH is ready for wave (5) rally targeting 5.2k → 6.3k → 8k → even 10.9k. If this zone fails → ETH risks a deeper correction towards 2.1k–1.95k. This is the decisive moment for ETH: either break into new ATHs or enter a prolonged correction. Not financial advice — manage your risk. --- #Ethereum #ETHUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #WeeklyChart #PricePrediction #AltcoinSeason
Long
by CryptoNuclear
The #1 Reason This Is A Strong Support Am currently thinking of the worse case scenario.. What if I fail in business? What if I face a family crisis? For example the death of a family bread winner What if Bitcoin or Ethereum or Pepe coin get delisted on the exchange? Imagine this happens to you when you have borrowed 💰 money On the price of Bitcoin going up. Hoping to use that money to support your business or financial independence? Life is full of challenges and you have to burn the ⛵ boat. Now don't get reckless and place all your eggs in one basket.Thats foolishness right? Well that's what I did I placed all my eggs in one basket.Atleast in the beginning. Why ? Because diversification is fake.. It doesn't exist. What matters are systems and strategies. With out the right mentors you will fall hard this is what happens to the best of us. The key is to stay cool and fall back on a system.A system you can hang on to. Ethereum has its faults but if you can trade it with confidence you will be okay. Especially if you have a hardware wallet to store it in. Look at the stochastic the blue line has crossed above the orange line. Right below level 20 the oversold territory. This has came after the bullish harami and so far the price is yet to break this support. The bullish harami support is strong that the reason it's a good buy. Rocket 🚀 Boost This Content To Learn More ⚠️Warning!!! Don't trade zero day options that expire in one day with high fees for forex trades. Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn about risk management and profit taking strategies. Also feel free to use a simulation trading account.
Long
by lubosi
2
ETH Oversold Again – Is a Bounce Coming?Ethereum (ETHUSDT) on the 4H chart is showing signs of oversold conditions as the RSI once again dips below the 30 level. This setup has historically aligned with local bottoms, where ETH tends to bounce back shortly after reaching such extreme levels of selling pressure. The current price action around $4,170 highlights a critical zone to monitor for potential reversal. If ETH can hold this level and buying momentum steps in, a relief rally could follow in the short term. However, if weakness persists, further downside retests cannot be ruled out. Traders should closely watch RSI recovery and volume confirmation for signals of a stronger rebound.
Long
by HexaTrades
1
ETH Trade Plan 27/09/2025Dear Traders, 📊 Ethereum (ETH) Technical Analysis As shown on the chart, ETH has broken out of the upper range box and is currently making a pullback. 🔻 If this breakout is not a false trap, we could see a decline toward the key levels of 3700 – 3500 – 3400. 💡 Such a heavy drop would create a strong buying opportunity at lower prices, potentially leading to a new all-time high 🚀. 🟢 Support levels: 3700 – 3500 – 3400 🔴 Resistance: Previous broken box high Regards, Alireza!
Short
by alirezak
ETH Crash or Bounce? The Critical Level Everyone Is WatchingEthereum (ETH/USDT) – Critical Support Test Ahead Ethereum is currently under pressure after breaking below the $4,000 support. The next significant level to watch is the $3,760 zone, which is not only a strong technical support but also aligns with the Elliott Wave 4 bottom as well as a key Fibonacci retracement area. Key Scenarios 1. Bullish Recovery (Primary Expectation) If ETH holds above the $3,760 support, we can expect consolidation in the range of $4,000 – $4,350. This zone is likely to act as a base for Ethereum until broader market conditions stabilize. Once momentum returns, ETH has the potential to resume its upward trend. 2. Bearish Breakdown If ETH fails to defend $3,760, then deeper downside levels may come into play: $3,450 $3,270 $3,000 This would represent a sharp and aggressive downturn. While possible, this remains weak scenario, given how violent the move would be. Why the Answer Lies Outside ETH’s Chart The real driver here isn’t just Ethereum—it’s the total "crypto market cap excluding BTC" as I have warned 2 days ago that's it's falling into a correction The altcoin market cap is currently in correction as capital flows back into Bitcoin dominance, which has already broken its downtrend line and reached today 59%. If the altcoin market cap holds its critical support and BTC dominance starts dropping, we can expect a broader bullish recovery across altcoins, with Ethereum following. If that support breaks, then the weaker bearish scenario may unfold. Conclusion For now, the $3,760 support remains the critical line in the sand. Holding it keeps Ethereum within a bullish recovery path. Breaking it could open the door to deeper corrections.
Short
by CryptoShip0
ETH Pullback before ATH and AltseasonOver the past few months, ETH has been a beast. Now it needs to cool off before it can push to higher highs, igniting the broader altcoin market and the long-awaited "altseason." Coinciding with an oversold RSI, I anticipate that we will see a "sell the news" event for next week's FOMC announcement on 9/17. This aligns with historic seasonality of September being a bearish month. My forecast is that we pull back to the $3,900-$3,500 zone (.618 fib and 21 week EMA confluence) before pushing to higher highs. IF ETH holds above $5k with volume, this will allow the broader altcoin market to pump, attracting massive liquidity to close out Q4 in euphoria. Happy trading, Melonfarmer
Long
by melonfarmer5
1
Last chance to hit Eth before new ATHWe’ve noticed that on the daily chart, whenever Ethereum reaches oversold conditions during an uptrend, it often presents a solid buying opportunity. Looking at the latest chart, you can see that the last two times this happened, they marked the bottom. Now, we’re testing the daily oversold zone for the third time after a while. To me, this signals that we’re on the right track to form a bottom and continue upward. Of course, if you decide to buy, the responsibility is entirely yours.
Long
by sampaiotrader22
$ETH - Bounce Back or Break Down?BINANCE:ETHUSDT | 3d Ethereum has experienced a roughly 13% decline over the past week, primarily due to deleveraging triggered by shifting expectations around rate cuts. The chart indicates that each time the price tests a previous high for the second time, it tends to decline in a bearish retest. The $3800 level is a critical support zone. If this support holds, it could pave the way for a rally, potentially retesting the $4800–$5000 range. However, a break below $3,800 could lead to further declines, targeting the $3500–$3200 zone. In a more bearish scenario, a drop to $2600–$2400 is possible.
by Tealstreet
1
ETH/USDT Drop Plan Layered Entries + Smart EscapeETH/USDT 🚀 Market Wealth Strategy Map (Swing/Day Trade) Market Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Confirmation: Watch for candle breakouts below the ATR Line @ 4100. This signals sellers gaining control — perfect for short entries. Entry Plan (Thief Style 🕵️‍♂️): 💡 Multiple layered entries using limit orders (Thief layering strategy): Sell layers: 4250 | 4200 | 4150 (adjust layers as per your own preference) ⚠️ Important: Set layer limit orders only after breakout confirmation. Do not enter blindly. Stop Loss (SL): ⛔ Thief SL: 4300 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), SL is your choice — manage your risk and profits at your own discretion. Target (TP): 🎯 Target: Weighted Moving Average Line (~3900) — strong support, oversold signals, and trap potential. Escape with profits before market catches you. Note: TP is also your choice, manage money at your own discretion. Related Pairs to Watch 🔗: BINANCE:BTCUSDT : Correlated short setups, watch BTC for confirmation. BINANCE:ETHBTC : Relative weakness/strength check vs Bitcoin. BINANCE:BNBUSDT : Can provide additional trend confirmation in altcoin moves. Key Points / Correlations: ETH closely follows BTC sentiment; if BTC tanks, ETH likely follows. Layering strategy allows flexible entries, reducing risk exposure. Oversold + WMA support often signals profit escape zones for smart exits. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is Thief style trading strategy, just for fun. #ETHUSDT #Ethereum #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #CryptoAnalysis #CryptoLayering #TradingViewIdeas #CryptoSetup
Short
by The-Thief
ETH: Sharp Flush, Filling the FVG or Preparing for a Deeper DropHello everyone, On the H4 chart the recent red candle in ETH was a textbook flush: price plunged straight below the Ichimoku Cloud, selling volume spiked, and a large cluster of FVGs has formed overhead around 4.32k–4.40k. This setup typically favours a technical rebound to fill those gaps before the market chooses its next direction. Why did ETH fall so sharply? First, mass liquidation of leveraged positions: this morning alone, hundreds of millions in long positions were wiped out, with ETH accounting for a significant share, intensifying the move lower. Second, deteriorating ETF flows: after a period of strong inflows, spot ETH ETFs saw heavy redemptions in early September (from ~$505M to ~$952M within days), adding supply as investors took profit or rotated into BTC. Third, risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed and lingering regulatory uncertainty around ETH ETFs—particularly the delayed review of staking features—has curbed appetite. Finally, the wider crypto market saw broad-based selling, wiping out tens of billions in market cap and dragging ETH down with it. From a technical view, I expect ETH to rebound toward 4.32k–4.36k (lower FVG edge, possibly extending to 4.38k–4.40k near the Cloud) to retest supply. If selling pressure re-emerges there, price is likely to reverse toward 4.08k–4.02k, retesting the recent absorption zone. Holding 4.02k could allow another attempt back at 4.32k; breaking and closing H4 below 4.02k, however, opens risk toward ~3.98k. Only if ETH closes above 4.40k–4.43k on H4 (escaping the FVG and regaining the Cloud) would I consider a scenario of building a higher base. What about you—do you lean towards “rebound to sell” or “base building for a reversal”?
Short
by EmmaChartist
22
This Volatility Period:Around September 24th(September 23rd-25) Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D Chart) This Volatility Period: Around September 24th (September 23rd-25th) Before this volatility period began, the price fell below 4403.87 and then fell to the 3900.73-4107.80 range. The 4403.87-1749.30 range, which corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, is likely to act as resistance, as it represents a high point. The 3900.73-4107.80 range represents the previous all-time high (ATH). If the price remains above this range, the uptrend is likely to continue. Therefore, the key question is whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 range. After this volatility period, we should examine whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range. If not, support around 3265.0-3438.16 is crucial. - If the OBV indicator falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to decline again. Therefore, support around 3900.73-4107.80 is crucial. - The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. Considering this basic trading strategy, it may be natural for the price to decline since it failed to rise above 4403.87-4749.30. Since it fell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it is likely to decline until it meets the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicator. However, since important support and resistance points or zones have formed, the trend can reverse at any time depending on whether support is found at those points or zones. In this sense, the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential uptrend in the near future. While the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, the possibility of further decline is high. However, the established support and resistance zones increase the likelihood of turning this crisis into an opportunity. In this situation, what we can do is confirm the signs of an uptrend. Otherwise, if we anticipate a new trade in advance, we may face another crisis as the volatility period progresses. - If you are currently trading, there is an opportunity to sell in the first installment when resistance is encountered in the 4403.87-4749.30 zone. As mentioned earlier, this is based on the basic trading strategy. Depending on whether support is found in the 3900.73-4107.72 range, you'll decide whether to sell in two installments or buy. Since the stock market trades in single-share increments, selling before the price has more than doubled from the purchase price makes it difficult to buy again. However, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making trading easier than in the stock market. This freedom of buying and selling is the biggest advantage of the coin market. If your buy price is below 3900.73, buying when the 3900.73-4107.80 range shows signs of support will increase your average buy price, potentially putting you under psychological pressure. However, as mentioned earlier, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making it possible to separate your buy price into separate trades. Therefore, you can record the purchase price and purchase amount separately, differentiating them from the existing average purchase price, and then trade them separately. If you understand this principle, you'll find the coin market much easier to trade than the stock market. This is one of the reasons why even those who have successfully traded in the stock market often fail in their initial trading in the coin market. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Activation trigger: 4h-close > 3977 (KC-Lower recap)Snapshot (last 4h-candle) — with the meaning of each indicator • Price: ~3910.5 — current base point. • VWAP (entire period): ~4245.2; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.72 — price is significantly lower than "fair" (by VWAP), deviation is stronger than usual → increased probability of average return. • aVWAP (anchors): start 4245.2, 60d 4256.0, from swing low 4036.6, from swing high 4020.0 — below swing anchors ⇒ sellers are locally dominant; below global (start/60d) ⇒ the cycle is still under pressure. • Donchian 20: High 4228.8 / Mid 4025.1 / Low 3821.3 — boundaries of the local trading frame; Mid is often the target of rotation. • Donchian 55: High 4643.7 / Mid 4232.5 / Low 3821.3 — "higher" range; breaking Mid changes the balance. • Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~4490.5, VAL ~3627.2, VAH ~4778.2 — we are far below POC, inside the value-area; POC is a "magnet" for returns. • HVN (volume nodes): ~4275–4420 and 4538–4610 (stable supply/demand zones). • LVN (thin spots): ~3939, 4059–4107, 3723, 3435–3531 (slippery acceleration corridors). • RSI(14): ~16.3 — deep oversold; often anticipates a rebound (but not always immediately in a strong trend). • MFI(14): ~8.5 — oversold, taking into account volume; reinforces the thesis about a technical bounce. • CMF(20): ~−0.06 — light capital outflow; for a stable reverse, you need ≥0. • MACD(12/26/9): line −98.6 < signal −85.5, hist. −13.2 — bearish impulse is still active, the histogram is shrinking → impulse weakening. • ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~63.0; +DI ~3.4 / −DI ~42.8 — very strong downtrend (−DI ≫ +DI). • ATR(14): ~81.8$ — characteristic 4h swing; used for buffers. • Keltner: Upper 4285 / Mid 4131 / Lower 3977 — the price is below KC-Lower: statistically, this is the mean-reversion zone to Mid (if the market makes a level recap). • Bollinger(20,2): Upper 4291 / Mid 4126 / Lower 3960 — below BB-Lower; mean-reversion to 4126 is likely when the trend weakens. • BB-Squeeze: OFF — no squeeze; volatility is already open. • z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.72 — the "discount" to VWAP is abnormally large → extreme on the selling side. • OBV z-scores: z50 −1.98 / z100 −2.56 / z200 −2.93, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.16 — volume background for the fall (distribution), no fresh influx of buyers is visible. • Open Interest: ~1.05M, z(168) ≈ −0.07, ROC(5/10) ≈ +0.05/+0.05 — moderate set of positions on the decline (it looks like shorts were added); this strengthens trend continuations, but also creates fuel for short-squeeze at the recap. Latest divergences (auto-detector) • RSI: bullish on Aug 18 07:00 → Aug 19 03:00, bearish on Aug 24 03:00 → Aug 24 19:00 • MACD: bullish on Sep 8 19:00 → Sep 9 15:00, bearish on Sep 15 23:00 → Sep 17 07:00 • OBV: bullish 7 Sep 19:00 → 8 Sep 07:00, bearish 15 Sep 23:00 → 17 Sep 07:00 • MFI: bullish 7 Sep 19:00 → 8 Sep 07:00, bearish 10 Sep 15:00 → 11 Sep 07:00 ⸻ What does it mean now 1. Mode: an extremely strong downward trend (ADX>60), with RSI/MFI in deep oversold, and the price below KC/BB-Lower and significantly below VWAP → a technical rotation towards the averages is statistically imminent; without confirmation, the market may still "slide along the lower edge." 2. Profile: under the upper HVN and significantly lower than POC ~4490 → KC/BB-Mid (≈4130) and Donch-20 Mid (4025) will act as a magnet on a stable recap round; above is 4232 (Donch-55 Mid). 3. Derivatives: OI slightly ↑ on red bars and OBV-z strongly neg. — downward extensions are possible, but with the first powerful recap, there is a chance for a short-squeeze. ⸻ Key levels Resistance: 3977 (KC-Lower) → 4025 (Donch-20 Mid) → 4126/4131 (BB/KC-Mid) → 4232 (Donch-55 Mid) → 4285/4291 (KC/BB-Upper) → HVN-cluster 4275–4420 → 4490 (POC). Supports: 3960 (BB-Lower) → 3939 (LVN) → 3821 (Donch-Low 20/55) → 3723 (LVN) → 3627 (VAL) → 3531/3459/3435 (LVN-pockets). ⸻ Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council) A) Basic - rotation to the middle (4025 → 4126/4131) Status: not activated yet (close < KC-Lower). • Activation trigger: 4h-close > 3977 (KC-Lower recap) and better > ~4018 (KC-Lower + 0.5×ATR, ATR≈81.8), with RSI > 25–30, MFI > 20, hist. MACD↑, CMF → 0. • Targets: 4025 → 4126/4131 → 4232 on impulse. • Invalidator: return < 3977 after recap, especially if OI ROC+ is on a red candle and OBV z50 ≤ −2.0. B) Continuation of the downward trend • Trigger: 4h-close < 3821 (Donch-Low), ADX ≥ 40, OBV z50 ≤ −2.0, OI ROC+ on the fall. • Targets: 3723 (LVN) → 3627 (VAL) → 3531/3459/3435 (LVN-pockets). • Invalidator: fast return > 3977 and hold. C) Short-squeeze (acceleration up) • Trigger: impulse break and hold > 4232 (Donch-55 Mid) or > 4285/4291 (KC/BB-Upper) when OI decreases and OBV increases. • Targets: HVN 4275–4420 → 4490 (POC) → 4643 (Donch-55 High) on development. • Invalidator: fake breakout with return < 4130. ⸻ Tactics (example of logic) • Impulse long (on the base): after closing > 4018. Partial fixation at 4025, main fixation at 4126/4131; then, trail to 4232. Stop under 3977 (or local minimum of the recap) with a buffer of 0.5×ATR (~41$). • Reversal long (conservative): from KC-Lower/BB-Lower 3977/3960 only when demand reacts (RSI/MFI up, CMF→0/+, hist. MACD is shrinking). Targets 4025 → 4130. • Contra-trend short: on rejection 4126/4131 → 4232 at RSI<50, hist. MACD↓, OI ROC+ — targets 4025 → 3977; stop — over 4235–4240. ⸻ Briefly: what to expect The basic setup is a technical rotation up (to 4025 → 4130), but it will turn on only after a recap > 3977 / better > 4018. • We will confirm the recap → a logical move to Mid-am (4126/4131), with strength to 4232. • We will break through 3821 on a growing OI/weak OBV → continuation down to 3723 → 3627 → 3530+
by AlexeyBullBear0297