$ETH Bearish Short-Term (September 25, 2025)BINANCE:ETHUSDT
CRYPTOCAP:ETH Strong Bearish Pressure with Oversold RSI Signals
Overall Price Trend: ETH has experienced a sharp decline from recent highs around 4,700-4,800 USDT earlier in the period, now hovering near 3,472 USDT (as labeled on the chart). The recent candlesticks show a series of strong red (bearish) bars, indicating heavy selling pressure in the last few hours. This mirrors broader market weakness, possibly correlated with BTC's drop.
Ichimoku Cloud:The price is firmly below the cloud, a classic bearish setup signaling sustained downward momentum.
Tenkan-sen (red line) is below Kijun-sen (blue line) in a bearish crossover, and the cloud itself is thinning but still reddish and acting as overhead resistance. The Chikou Span (lagging line) is also below price action, reinforcing the downtrend.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At the bottom panel, RSI is deeply oversold at 21.31—well below the 30 threshold. This suggests the selling has been exhaustive, potentially setting up for a short-term relief bounce. However, in a strong bearish context like this, it often just signals a pause rather than a full reversal.
Volume and Momentum: High volume on the red candles points to aggressive selling, with no immediate bullish divergence. The price is testing potential support around 3,400-3,450 USDT, but the momentum lines (like the blue trendline) are sloping downward sharply.
Summary: The chart remains Bearish dominantly, with the drop accelerating. The extreme oversold RSI adds a layer of caution for a possible pullback, but the Ichimoku setup keeps the bias downward.
Forecast Until Tomorrow (September 26, 2025):Based on the 2H chart, the bearish trend may continue in the coming hours, but with a small chance of rebound due to the deeply oversold RSI.
Here are the possible scenarios:
Base Scenario (Bearish, 75% probability): Price could test lower levels around 3,300-3,400 USDT if selling persists (especially if the cloud remains resistant). This would happen without a positive Ichimoku crossover or a strong green candle, and it's likely if broader market (e.g., BTC) stays weak.
Alternative Scenario (Mild Bullish, 25% probability): A short-term bounce to 3,550-3,650 USDT, if RSI climbs above 30 and price breaks the Tenkan-sen. This would be temporary, without changing the broader bearish trend.
To monitor, watch key levels: Support at 3,417 (recent low), resistance at 3,584 (near-term high). If ETH breaks below 3,400, it could accelerate lower; a close above 3,500 might signal temporary relief.
