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ETHUSDT.5S trade ideas

ETHUSDT - IdeaPrice consolidating within this channel since ETH made ATH, could it be possible that we see a new high next week? The speculators would like to think we're going to 10k but realistically, what is everyone's EOY target for ETH? Do keep in mind September has been a bad month for ETH since inception, can it be different this time around? "ETH's price history reveals a persistent and often brutal September pattern. Since 2016, ETH gains in August are regularly wiped out in September. In 2017, ETH rallied 92% in August, then dropped -21.65% in September, after China announced a ban on ICOs."
by ZephyrM88
ETHEREUM PLS ALLOW FED TO DECIDE ON THE NEW RATE ,THE PROBABILTY FOR HIKE IS IN THE picture and incoming economic report will be put into perspective. the fed will likely apply the Taylor Rule in its monetary policy decision. The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions. What is the Taylor Rule? It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors: The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%). The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output. The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating. Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth. Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions? The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency. It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth. The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy. During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment. The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets. Basic Taylor Rule Formula r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗ r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate) p=actual inflation rate p*=target inflation rate (~2%) y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP) r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%) In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy. The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth. The Taylor rule also points to a hike Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure. Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios. Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary. However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level. The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now. trading is 100% probability. apply caution at all time think like a hunter. #ethereum
Long
by Shavyfxhub
ETH/USDT: Final stages of Wave 3> Wave structure: ETH appears to be completing black wave (3), with signs pointing to an imminent wave (4) corrective move. > RSI warning: Bearish RSI divergence suggests weakening momentum—typical before a wave (4) pullback. > Wave (4) target zone: Correction likely into $3,800–$4,000, aligning with previous structure and acting as a potential accumulation zone. > Strategy: Wait for a pullback into the blue zone to accumulate on weakness, aiming for a breakout toward black wave (5).
by Stoic-Trader
ETH (1D) – Medium-term TargetsETH continues to respect the daily uptrend and bounced cleanly off support. Key breakout level is 4,808 - above here opens Fibonacci extensions toward 5,007 → 5,261 → 5,541. Pullback support sits in the 4,441–4,651 zone (0.5–0.786 retrace). As long as this area and the trendline hold, bias remains bullish into the 5.25–5.55k supply band. Invalidation: Daily close below 4,441. Bias: Bullish while above trendline. Note: Note a financial advise
Long
by ibneturabhassan
Ethereum (ETHUSD) – Technical Outlook with Key FundamentalsDescription: Ethereum (ETH) is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and a leading blockchain for decentralized applications, smart contracts, and DeFi ecosystems. Its network is continuously evolving, with Ethereum 2.0 upgrades focusing on scalability, security, and sustainability. Market participants often view ETH not only as a digital asset but also as a fundamental infrastructure for the Web3 economy. This analysis highlights potential technical levels and market structure for ETH. Traders are closely monitoring price action to assess possible continuation or reversal scenarios, taking into account both short-term momentum and broader market conditions. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or investment recommendations. Always conduct your own research and risk management before making trading decisions.
Long
by MoonTradingForecast
ETH - Ranges overviewWe’ve finally broken through 4K on ETH and we are currently trading around new highs. From here let’s see how we play out. IF we break through 5K and hold expect us to continue higher towards new all time highs at 6K and higher - on the longer term. IF we fail to hold the “support” (sellside liquidity) around 4K-3.5K expect us to trade back lower. As always when in new highs territories…do not BECOME A VICTIM OF EUPHORIA. Position yourself and be PATIENT. THE MARKET WILL SHOW YOU ITS HAND. Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
by Patrick2707
ETH/USDT Chart Analysis CRYPTO:ETHUSD ETH/USDT shows a strong upward move after a period of consolidation and a breakout from a descending trendline. Bullish Momentum: The price has moved significantly higher from the S/R level and is currently trading at the higher end of the recent range. Impulsive Move: The recent candle is a large green candle, indicating strong buying pressure and an impulsive move to the upside. Potential Pullback: As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price may experience a pullback or a retest of the broken trendline. The strong move up could be followed by some profit-taking before a continuation of the trend. This is a common pattern in breakouts. Key Levels: The price action confirms that the S/R level around $4,284 is a critical area. As long as the price stays above this level, the bullish structure remains intact. A break below this level could signal a false breakout and a return to the previous range.
Long
by smarthashmi21
For those who are long-term investors (not short-term traders), ETH maintains the key support at $3,800—which appears to be a critical Fibonacci and horizontal level—we could indeed see a bullish move toward $5,000, representing about a 16% gain from current levels. This target makes sense technically, as it would test the prior all-time high area and potentially break the descending trendline visible on the chart. For those who are long-term investors (not short-term traders), you can consider buying ETH in parts from the current price (~$4,300 range) down to $3,850 to average in on any dips, while setting a stop loss at $3,800 to protect against a breakdown. This strategy allows for dollar-cost averaging into strength if the uptrend resumes or weakness if it tests support, but always manage position sizes based on your risk tolerance.
Long
by waqarxbt
ETH - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 21.08.25Greetings and welcome to another Ethereum analysis. For Ethereum we got two scenarios. Both bullish. Case 1: We assume the last top which we created during the 14th of August was our blue Wave 3 and the recent correction our blue Wave 4 as red ABC. The Wave 4 support area goes down to the 0.618 FIB at 3976 USD which is the invalidation of this scenario. Next we want to see a bounce which would start the blue Wave 5 which should take us to new ATH. Case 2: Alternatively we could count the blue 5 wave move up finished in which case the blue Wave 3 would be the blue Wave 5 and the move up was our white Wave 3 which means we started the white Wave 4 correction. In this scenario we assume the move down was only the yellow Wave A of a bigger correction as yellow ABC. The yellow B could be in but we think this would be a rather shallow and short B so we doubt it has finished already. We also want to make aware that we were very close to making a new ATH which could lead to the B Wave to overshoot and take out the ATH before starting the Wave C down. We do lean towards the 2nd scenario where we would see a deeper correction as yellow ABC which would take us to the price area of 3300 USD to 4000 USD. For further clarity we need to observe the price action on the lower timeframes but at the moment it looks rather corrective than impulsive which would fit case 2 better. Short term we would like to see a bounce in either case. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
ETH/USDT – Weekend & Short-Term OutlookMacro & News Impact Unemployment Claims (235K vs 226K expected) → Slightly higher = weak labor market = bullish for ETH (more dovish Fed expectations). Flash Services PMI (55.4 vs 54.2 expected) → Stronger services sector = economic resilience = neutral-to-bearish ETH (less urgent for Fed to cut). Net Effect → Mixed signals, but ETH remains supported as investors rotate into risk assets. 🔹 Price Action & Technical Zones Support: $4,250–$4,300 (strong buyer defense zone). Immediate Range: $4,300–$4,500 consolidation. Resistance: $4,600 (short-term), $4,700 (major wall). Breakout Levels: Above $4,700 → opens path to $4,900–$5,000. Below $4,250 → correction risk toward $4,100–$3,950. 🔹 Probability & Swing Trade View Short-term (weekend) → ETH likely to range $4,300–$4,500. Next week outlook → 60–70% chance ETH retests $4,700 if support holds. Bearish risk only if macro shocks push ETH below $4,250. 🔹 Whale Activity & Liquidation Heatmaps Whale buy walls visible around $4,250–$4,300, suggesting strong demand. Whale sell walls stacked near $4,650–$4,700, explaining repeated rejections. Liquidation clusters: Long liquidations trigger below $4,250 → sharp downside possible. Short liquidations trigger above $4,700 → possible squeeze rally toward $4,900+. ✅ Trading Idea Summary: ETH/USDT is consolidating but biased bullish. Watch $4,250 (support) and $4,700 (major resistance). A breakout above $4,700 could ignite a strong move to $4,900–$5,000, while a breakdown under $4,250 risks $4,100 or lower. Whale positioning and liquidation heatmap levels reinforce this range.
Long
by aneespk13