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Ethereum Defends $3,800 Support as Bulls Target $4,580Ethereum has rebounded from $3,800, a confluence of Fibonacci and daily support, reclaiming its point of control. This sets up the probability of expansion toward $4,580 and beyond. Ethereum’s price action has responded strongly to a technical bounce at $3,800, where both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and daily support converged. This reaction enabled ETH to reclaim its POC, previously a resistance, and now viewed as a new base for upside expansion. Key Technical Points: - $3,800 support holds with 0.618 Fibonacci confluence. - POC reclaimed, signaling renewed strength. - Next major resistance lies at $4,580, a key decision level. After briefly testing lower levels, Ethereum bulls defended $3,800 with conviction. The rebound brought ETH back within its trading range and confirmed the POC as support. This structural shift strengthens the bullish case, particularly as higher closes suggest market acceptance of elevated valuations. The next resistance, $4,580, remains a key hurdle. A decisive break here, supported by strong volume inflows, will open the door toward a new all-time high. Sustained demand and accumulation above the POC are crucial for follow-through. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action: Ethereum looks poised to extend higher, provided it maintains support at the POC. Traders should watch $4,580 for decisive breakout signals that could mark the path to new highs.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Price Trend Under Economic News InfluenceHello everyone, Ethereum is showing important signals on the 4-hour chart as the price recently touched the $4,180 level and started to correct. Several Fair Value Gaps (FVG) have formed densely within the $4,000–$4,100 zone, suggesting that the market may return to this area for balance before determining sustainable bullish momentum. This will be a key support zone in the short term, where buyers could test their strength. The strong volume increase at the end of September indicates continued demand, but the resistance at $4,180 may cause ETH to retreat to $4,100–$4,050 before gathering momentum to move up again. If the support holds, the bullish trend could continue towards $4,300, and even potentially reach $4,500–$4,600 if resistance breaks. However, upcoming volatility will largely depend on US economic data, especially the NFP report. A weak report could boost expectations for policy easing, supporting ETH's rise, while strong data may apply downward pressure. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and the risk of a US government shutdown remain unpredictable variables. What are your thoughts on this scenario? Will ETH correct, or will it continue its breakout? Share your opinion in the comments below.
Long
by EmmaChartist
18
Ethereum Elliott Wave Update: Correction Ahead?Ethereum has recently completed the final leg of its ABC corrective structure, with the C-wave forming as a clear ending diagonal. This technical pattern often signals exhaustion in the current upward move and hints at a potential reversal. With the structure now completed, a corrective move is likely. Current price action suggests that Ethereum could retrace toward the $4,000 support region, which aligns with both technical targets and key psychological levels. 📉 Trading Outlook: Short-term traders should be cautious of potential downside volatility. A corrective wave into the $4,000 zone may offer opportunities for repositioning or new entries depending on market reaction. Risk management remains essential, as invalidation of the diagonal would occur if ETH pushes significantly higher without correction. In summary, Ethereum’s Elliott Wave count points toward a possible short-term pullback before the broader trend becomes clearer. Traders should keep a close eye on the $4,000 level for signs of support and potential bullish re-engagement.
Short
by CakirInsights
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 29❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour chart , After breaking lower resistance zones, ETH started a strong bullish leg toward higher resistance. It reacted to these levels but moved upward with micro-buyer support. Currently at $4323, a key seller ticker zone—breaking this could push ETH higher. Note: Trend shows some weakness; sell candles are engulfed but smaller. Over 90% of holders are in profit, causing frequent stop-hunts on selling pressure. 🧮 RSI: After moving from near oversold to overbought, RSI is cooling near the 70 level. With increased long volatility, multiple buy positions could form, but rejection here may lead to a correction. Key static resistance is 70; swing support is at 50. 🕯 Volume & Candles: Recent candle size and volume surged as buyers entered, but approaching $4300 resistance shows trend weakness. Candle size decreased; profit-taking and minor pullbacks are possible. For trend continuation, higher volume and repeated buying pushing ETH toward overbought are needed. 📊 Liquidation Heatmap : Unlike BTC, long and short orders cluster sparsely, forming max-pain zones. ETH approaching $4380 could trigger a short squeeze and remove the seller ticker, pushing toward $4500. Next long max-pain is $4246, with lower support around $4100. ETH is in a near-decision zone with one bullish leg. 💸 ETHBTC Pair Currently in a trading range; the floor is Maker Buyer Zone , the ceiling is Taker Seller Zone. Price bounced well from the floor. High concentration of longs and shorts makes range boundaries critical—breaking either could trigger a sharp move. Price is near 0.037 resistance, RSI close to swing resistance. Buyer and whale support could enable another bullish leg; rejection may slightly increase risk of range breakdown. 🧠 Focus on BINANCE:ETHBTC wait for exit from the trading range, then check ETH/USDT. Often aligns with BTC dominance drops. Selling volume in ETHBTC is decent; if whales add volume, this setup provides optimal trade duration. ↗️ Risky Long Scenario: Break 0.037 resistance ETHBTC, BTC dominance drop, breaking ETH/USDT seller ticker, RSI stabilizes in overbought. Small stop-loss; trade is risky but viable. 📉 High-Risky Short Scenario: Rejection from current zone, ETH/BTC rejection, swing rejections, indecision candles multi-timeframe, SMA7 touch, and rising sell volume could signal short positions. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
[SeoVereign] ETHUSDT BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The key basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that the Crab pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has been fully confirmed. For clearer verification, I have directly plotted the relevant section on the chart for your reference. For reference, the Crab pattern is an extended harmonic pattern with high volatility, typically forming point D at the 1.618 level relative to the XA wave, and is characterized by a strong reversal movement thereafter. Due to these characteristics, it is evaluated as a highly reliable pattern within the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Accordingly, the average target price is set around 4,135.40 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
Short
by SeoVereign
ETH - Viaquant Predicts the Future yet Again Here is an update to our post over 45 days ago: From the time we hit the top @$4,950 we laid out all the levels to watch for ETH. We were watching some short term levels but the MAIN level we were watching for was the green box titled "MAIN LIQUIDITY ZONE". This zone ranged from $3,800-$4,100. Since this was a multi-year resistance level we were watching it to act as a new macro support level. We pointed out how "buyers should find this level very appealing if we get a dip to there. The main interest level would lie between $3,850-$3,950." Current day we can see how perfectly this prediction played out. First main thing to not is the accuracy of our targets: the main level of interest ($3,850-3,950) was just $35 higher than where the actual bottom was established! Also the "MAIN LIQUDITY ZONE" was even better with it only be $15 lower than the actual bottom being established at $3,815!! The next key thing to note is how accurately price retested our green trendline. I have been posting about this green trendline for the past 3 months! Here are some other charts where I had this trendline that called the bottom drawn.
by VIAQUANT
ETH - Zoomed In UpdateHere is an update to our last post: In our last post we identified ETH was testing its key macro support of the green box and would be looking for a low established in that range. We saw our $4,060 support level broken which led price to fall into our green box. Once price initially rebounded from the green box we topped out at the $4,060 level as (old support became new resistance). After a secondary dip to the $3,950 level price rebound and broke our resistance. Upon the pullback we reclaimed our $4,060 as support again! This was our first major bullish signal. Then the next dip we got bulls front ran price around $4,090 showing strong demand once that level of support was reclaimed. Now we have seen a move to our first key level around $4,280. All candle bodies have been holding above this level and need to continue to do so to potentially make a move towards our main resistance level. This level would be the green trendline of old support that could now act as new resistance so keep an eye out for that.
by VIAQUANT
scalp ETHUSDTHi LONG Momentum Entry: Enter on a confirmed break and close above the immediate swing high (≈$4,350). This indicates the consolidation is over and the rally is resuming. Take Profit (TP) $4,500.0 A ≈3.2% move, targeting the major daily resistance at $4,490 and the psychological $4,500 level. Stop Loss (SL) $4,250.00 Placed precisely at the major pivot point (previous resistance, now strong support) to strictly manage risk. A break below here invalidates the entire pump structure. Risk/Reward ≈1:2.8 (Risk: $110 / Reward: $140) - Excellent R:R for a strong trend continuation trade. SHORT Entry Price $4,248.00 Sell the Failure: Entry on a confirmed close below the critical $4,250 support, which would signal a large liquidity grab. Take Profit (TP) $4,205.00 A ≈1.0% move, targeting the $4,200 psychological support, which was the first level reclaimed during the pump. Stop Loss (SL) $4,300.00 Placed above the last hourly low and below the current high. If the price reclaims $4,300, the short is invalid. Risk/Reward ≈1:0.8 (Risk: $52 / Reward: $43) - Lower R:R, strictly a defensive scalp.
by YMaki
ETH – Bulls Eyeing the Next Push!ETH has been showing strength after reclaiming the $4,000 psychological level and breaking back above structure. Price is now trading inside a rising channel, keeping the overall outlook bullish in the short term. At the moment, ETH is hovering around the $4,040–$4,000 support area. This zone aligns with the lower red trendline of the channel, creating a strong confluence for potential bullish continuation. As long as ETH holds above this zone, I’ll be looking for long opportunities with the next impulse higher in mind. If broken downward, however, we could see a deeper correction before the bulls step back in. The key level to watch remains $4,000 . Stay above = bullish bias intact. Break below = caution for further downside. Do you think ETH will maintain its momentum above $4,000, or will the bears step in for another retest lower? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
Market idea based on the Harmonious Energy Flow (HEF) conceptAt the current stage, we can observe a clear manifestation of buyers’ strength, even though the market conditions are shifting rapidly without any significant price expansion. This creates a state of consolidation, where energy is being accumulated for the next move. According to the HEF concept, consolidation represents a transitional phase — the market is searching for balance before moving into a new wave of directional flow. My current expectation is the transition towards the breakout moment, when price finally exits this consolidation zone and reveals the true side of strength. 📌 Key focus: monitoring how buyers sustain their advantage within this tight structure, and waiting for the signal of release from balance. If you find my charting approach interesting, you are very welcome to connect for further discussion. I am open to dialogue and exchange of views.
Long
by WVitalievich
Lingrid | ETHUSDT Structure Break - Potential Bullish SetupBINANCE:ETHUSDT recently found support near 3,815 after a sharp selloff and is now stabilizing above the bottom structure. Price action shows a sequence of lower highs within a descending channel, but the latest rebound hints at a possible reversal. A move toward 4,400 is viable if buyers sustain momentum above 4,000–4,100. The broader context still reflects medium-term weakness unless resistance near 4,300 breaks. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold 4,000 could trigger another retest of 3,815 support. Macro uncertainty and BTC volatility may weigh on ETH’s recovery. A rejection near 4,400 could resume the broader downtrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
3
Daily ETH Signal: Sell Now , target 4000ETH is currently showing signs of strength as it tests the key resistance level around 4150. the price retest the level My Personal Short Setup Entry : Sell Now from current Price 4153 can wait for Price 4180 🎯 Target 1: 4059 🎯 Target 2: 3961 ❌ Stop-loss: 4250 👍 Don’t forget to boost this trading idea if you found it helpful, and follow me for more daily crypto insights and trade signals. ⚠️ Please note: This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades. Always do your own research before taking action. Best of luck 🌹
Short
by Crypto-Treasure
1
Trigger: hold > 4 117 and 4h close above 4 244.7Snapshot (last 4h-candle) and what each point means Price: ~4 158.5 — current spot/futures price based on the last candle. VWAP (entire period): ~4 270.1, z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −0.54 — trading below the "fair by volume" for 100 candles; the discount is moderate → there is room for upward rotation to VWAP. aVWAP (anchors): start 4 270.1, 60d 4 295.2, from swing low 4 129.5, from swing high 4 164.7 — the price is above the local anchors (from swings), but below the senior ones (start/60d) → from above the zone 4.27–4.30k as a resistance magnet; from below — support 4.13–4.16K. Donchian 20: H 4 244.7 / M 4 102.9 / L 3 961.0 — local range of 20 candles; output above H = lock update. maximum. Donchian 55: H 4 497.7 / M 4 159.5 / L 3 821.3 — price at Mid of the senior channel → balance in a broad context. Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~4 490.5 / VAL ~3 627.2 / VAH ~4 778.2 — we are below POC and inside the Value Area. HVN (magnets): ≈ 4 274–4 350–4 395–4 418–4 490; LVN (thin): ≈ 4 059, 3 771–3 819, 4 802. RSI(14): ~56.4 — moderately bullish momentum, no overheating. MFI(14): ~66.0 — above-average money inflow, but not overbought (>80). CMF(20): ~+0.16 — positive cash flow, demand prevails. MACD(12/26/9): 27.4 > 18.5, hist +8.9 — bullish momentum phase. ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~25.7; +DI ~19.8 / −DI ~20.0 — moderate trend, DI in balance → tendency to rotate before a clear breakout. ATR(14): ~63$ — typical 4h range; used as a buffer for levels/stops. Keltner(20, ±2·ATR): Upper 4 244.9 / Mid 4 117.0 / Lower 3 989.2 — trading above Mid, upward trend slope. Bollinger(20, 2σ): Upper 4 251.3 / Mid 4 097.1 / Lower 3 942.8, BB-Squeeze: OFF — no squeeze, normal range. z(Price−VWAP) : −0.54 — лёгкий дисконт к VWAP, норм для ротации вверх. OBV z-скоры: z50 −0.39 / z100 −1.07 / z200 −1.68, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.007 — краткосрочно почти нейтрально, на средних окнах остаётся след прежнего оттока. Для устойчивого ап-движения хотим видеть z50 ≥ 0 и ROC>0. Open Interest: ~1.039M, z(168) ≈ −0.62, ROC(5/10) ≈ +1.0% / −0.5% — OI is below average and sluggish → some up-moves are easier to achieve through short-covering than through adding new longs. Latest divergences (auto-detector) RSI: bullish on 18 Aug 07:00 → 19 Aug 03:00, bearish on 24 Aug 03:00 → 24 Aug 19:00 MACD: bearish on 15 Sep 23:00 → 17 Sep 07:00, bullish on 27 Sep 19:00 → 28 Sep 11:00 OBV: bullish on September 7 at 19:00 → September 8 at 07:00, bearish on September 15 at 23:00 → September 17 at 07:00 MFI: bearish on September 10 at 15:00 → September 11 at 07:00, bullish on September 27 at 19:00 → September 28 at 11:00 Interpretation: bullish divergences increase the likelihood of a rebound/breakout upwards; bearish divergences increase the risk of a downward rotation. The signals are stronger when confirmed by a candlestick pattern + OBV/CMF. What does this mean now Weak bullish bias: MACD↑, CMF>0, price above EMA20/KC-Mid; RSI~56. VWAP/Profile context: we are below the senior aVWAP (4.27–4.30k) and far from the POC 4.49k; OBV z is negative on the middle windows, OI is sluggish → for now, this is a rotation to the middle/HVN, not a confirmed trend breakout. Profile: within the Value Area; the nearest "magnets" from above are the HVN belt 4.27–4.35k, followed by the POC 4.49k. Key levels Resistances: 4 244.7 (Donch-H20) → 4 270–4 295 (aVWAP start/60d) → 4 346–4 418 (HVN) → 4 490.5 (POC) → 4 497.7 (Donch-H55) → 4 778 (VAH). Supports: 4 117 (KC-Mid/EMA20) → 4 097 (BB-Mid) → 4 103 (Donch-Mid20) → 3 989 (KC-Low) → 3 961 (Donch-L20) → deeper 3 627 (VAL). LVN-pockets: ~4 059 (thin → you can fly quickly when passing through). Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council) A) Basic — rotation up to the VWAP/HVN anchors. Why basic: MACD+, CMF>0, price above KC-Mid, RSI~56; z(Price−VWAP) is negative (there is space for a pullback to VWAP/aVWAP). Trigger: hold > 4 117 and 4h close above 4 244.7 with a buffer of ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +6$ → > 4 251, with RSI > 55, CMF ≥ 0, OBV z50 → ≥ 0. Targets: 4 270–4 295 (aVWAP 60d/start) → 4 346–4 418 (HVN) → 4 490 (POC). Invalidator: quick return and fixing < 4 117 with weakening of MACD/CMF. B) Down rotation (reloading of momentum). Trigger: 4h close < 4 117 and < 4 097, RSI < 50 / MACD-hist ↓, while OI ROC+ is falling. Targets: 3 989 (KC-Low) → 3 961 (Donch-L20) → if weak, test LVN ~4 059 and, if broken, corridor to VAL 3 627. Cancel: return and hold > 4 244.7 with an increase in OBV. C) Acceleration up (mini short-squeeze). Trigger: a series of 4h-closings > 4 251 against the background of falling OI and rising OBV. Targets: 4 295 → 4 346–4 418 → 4 490 (POC); with inertia — 4 498 (Donch-H55). Tactics (example of logic) Impulsive long: after fixing > 4 251. Partial fixes: 4 270–4 295, then 4 346–4 418, the main one at 4 490. Stop under 4 117 (or under the retest level), buffer ~0.5×ATR ≈ 31$. Pullback long (conservative): zones 4 117 / 4 097 with signs of demand (CMF≥0, candle reaction, OBV z50 turns). Targets: 4 244 → 4 270–4 295. Contrary-trend short: only when 4 244–4 295 is rejected (upper shadows + bearish RSI/MFI divergences, weakening of the MACD histogram) and if OBV z50 ≤ −0.5. Targets: 4 117 → 3 989 → 3 961. Stop at 4 305–4 315. In short: what to expect The bullish bias remains, but without confirmation of OI/OBV, it is more of a rotation to VWAP/aVWAP and HVN than a full-fledged trend breakout. If we secure above 4,251, it is logical to rise to 4.27-4.30k, then to 4.35-4.42k, and with good flow, to POC ~4.49k. If we fall below 4,117/4,097, there is a chance of a reset to 3.99–3.96k; only breaking through these zones will open the way to VAL ~3.63k.
by AlexeyBullBear0297
Exit Psychology – Reflections On The SeriesNOTE – This is a post on Mindset and emotion. It is NOT a Trade idea or strategy designed to make you money. If anything, I’m taking the time here to post as an effort to help you preserve your capital, energy and will so that you are able to execute your own trading system as best you can from a place of calm, patience and confidence. Over the last few posts we’ve walked through the psychology behind many exits. Here on this chart, you can see how they all might have played out on a single trade. One trade, four different exits. Whichever you choose to implement isn’t just a technical decision - it’s a psychological mirror. Taking each in turn: The initial stop: the line where you admit, “The trade idea didn’t work” The break-even stop: the comfort of “I can’t lose now.” The trailing stop: the wrestle between protecting gains and letting them run. The profit target: the choice between certainty and potential. Put them all on the same chart and you’ll notice something: none of them are just about price. Each is a reflection of the trader making the call. What we’ve uncovered in this series: The initial stop tests whether you can accept being wrong on a trade idea without making it personal. The break-even stop shows how much discomfort you’re willing to tolerate before reaching for relief. The trailing stop mirrors your balance between fear of giving back and trust in your process. The profit target surfaces your relationship with certainty versus possibility. And tight vs. loose? That isn’t just a preference. It begins with trader type: your personality, values and beliefs set a natural baseline. It’s shaped further by how well your strategy fits that style. And in the moment, emotion (fear or hope) nudges you tighter or looser than planned. The bigger reflection: Exits reveal more than entries. They show how you handle: Loss and regret. Control and uncertainty. Trust and identity. Comfort and growth. But reflection alone isn’t enough. To turn insight into progress, you need practical ways to anchor behaviour: Pre-commit in writing: Note where you’ll exit before you enter, it closes the door to mid-trade negotiation. Separate outcomes from emotions: Journal not just where you exited, but how you felt in the moment. Patterns emerge quickly. Differentiate protecting vs. controlling: Ask yourself, “Am I moving this stop to protect the plan, or because I’m uncomfortable right now?” Train the nervous system: Notice the physical urge to act and how it shows up in the body (ex: shallow breath, tense shoulders). Pause before execution and breathe. Slow down the ‘urge’ and re-train self trust. These small practices are how you build the consistency to stay aligned with both your system and your psychology. Closing thought: The market doesn’t care where you exit. But your mindset does - and so does your account. Clarity in those decisions is where growth begins and where your odds of staying in the game increase. In the end, your edge isn’t only your system. It’s your state of mind - before, during and after engaging with the market. I hope you’ve enjoyed this series. If so would love to hear in the comments. Here’s a recap of the entire Psychology of Exits series in case you’d like to check out the details of each: Exit Psychology 1/5 : The Initial Stop Exit Psychology 2/5 : The Break-Even Stop - Comfort or Illusion? Exit Psychology 3/5: The Trailing Stop – Patience vs Protection Exit Psychology 4/5 : The Profit Target – Certainty vs. Potential Exit Psychology 5/5: Tight vs. Loose And finally here is the link to the original article by TradingView that inspired this series as promised: p.s. Apols if anything is odd in this post, I have had to repost it.
Education
by soda8888
5