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ETHEREUM - THE TRAP IS UNFOLDING – EXPECT A BLOODBATH!As I mentioned in my latest Bitcoin and ChainLink analysis , I believe the crypto market is setting up for a huge long squeeze. Let’s break down why this move looks fragile and why you should be cautious. What do we need for a healthy rally? Spot demand – Real buyers (spot market) need to step in and absorb supply. Without this, rallies are built on leverage and tend to collapse quickly. Controlled leverage – A healthy move isn’t fueled by overleveraged longs. If open interest keeps spiking while spot demand is flat or negative, that’s a recipe for a squeeze. Auction structure support – Price should build strong bases (value areas, balanced profiles) instead of just ripping up through inefficiencies. Right now? We don’t have these ingredients. Step 1: Look at CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 For those unfamiliar, CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is the crypto market cap excluding BTC and ETH. It’s a great index to measure the “altcoin market” and often shows where broader crypto is heading. Now let’s apply some tools: Anchored VWAP (AVWAP): Tracks the average position of buyers/sellers from a specific swing (like a cost-basis anchor). Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP): Shows where most trading occurred (value area, POC, low/high volume nodes). What CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 shows: The upper AVWAP band from the swing low (A) is at 1.12T. The upper AVWAP band from the swing high (B) is also at 1.12T. Price is retracing into the Value Area High (VAH). This lines up with: An ascending trendline retest and a Fib retrace (0.75–0.786 zone). When AVWAP bands from opposite swings collide like this, it’s a double-sided supply zone. Longs from the low see this area as “expensive” → they reduce risk. Shorts from the top defend their break-even. This creates a congestion zone where strong reversals often happen unless fresh spot demand breaks through. Example: Imagine two teams pushing on opposite sides of a door at the same time. Unless one side gets backup (spot demand), the door doesn’t move — it slams shut. Step 2: Apply This to CRYPTOCAP:ETH Now, let’s clear one thing up: CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 excludes both Bitcoin and Ethereum. It’s basically the “altcoin index,” showing how the rest of the market behaves without the two giants. But here’s why it still matters for ETH: ETH often moves in strong correlation with altcoins, especially during risk-on or risk-off events. When CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 is at a critical resistance or AVWAP collision zone, it usually signals that risk appetite across alts is stretched. And since ETH trades like a “bridge asset” between BTC and alts, it tends to get caught in the same flows. So while ETH isn’t included in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 , the technical structure of CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 gives us strong hints about where ETH and the altcoin market could be heading. Step 3: Check USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Yes, you can chart USDT dominance, and it’s often a leading indicator. Why? If USDT.D goes up → money flows into stablecoins → crypto selling pressure. If USDT.D goes down → money flows into crypto → bullish risk-on move. Right now: USDT.D broke out of a descending trendline and is retesting the breakout region. It’s also printing a harmonic pattern that suggests upside continuation. Step 4: Order Flow – who’s really buying ETH? This is where the story gets clear: Aggregated Spot CVD = trending down heavily. Price goes up while spot CVD goes down = spot is selling into strength → no real demand. Futures CVD (stablecoin-margined) = trending up heavily. This means perps are pushing price higher with leverage. Futures CVD (coin-margined) = trending down. Another divergence → no strong confirmation from that side either. Stablecoin OI: First impulse up = OI dropped → shorts closing, not buyers entering. Since Oct 1, OI rising → new longs piling in. ByBit Order Flow: heavy leveraged longs entering, but looks like absorption. For those that don't understand it:The rally is built on FOMO leverage longs, not real buyers. That’s fragile. Conclusion All the ingredients are here for a mega squeeze: CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 at double AVWAP + VAH + Fib confluence, ETH backfilling inefficiencies into double AVWAP supply, USDT dominance signaling risk-off, Order flow showing no spot demand, only leveraged perp longs. When this unwinds, it won’t just be ETH. Expect broad crypto to follow. The trap is unfolding. Don’t get caught on the wrong side.
Short
by ThetaNomad
4
ETH/USDT Swing Trade | Heikin Ashi Confirmation + Pullback Plan🚀 ETH/USDT: The Great Crypto Heist — Swing/Day Trade Wealth Strategy! 🤑 Ladies and Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief’s Master Plan for ETH/USDT (Ethereum vs. Tether)! 🎩 This is a fun, professional, and calculated swing/day trade setup designed to catch the bullish wave while dodging the traps. Let’s break down this heist with style, precision, and a sprinkle of humor! 😎 📊 Asset: ETH/USDT (Ethereum vs. Tether) Market: Crypto (High Volatility, High Reward!) Strategy: Swing/Day Trade with a Thief’s Layered Entry approach Vibe: Bullish, sneaky, and ready to outsmart the market! 🦹‍♂️ 🧠 The Plan: Bullish Breakout with Technical Confirmation ✅ Bullish Confirmation: We’re riding the bullish wave with a Triangular Moving Average (TMA) pullback. This confirms the trend direction and filters out noise. ✅ Heikin Ashi Magic: A strong bullish Heikin Ashi candle signals momentum. Watch for smooth green candles to confirm the trend’s strength! 📈 🔑 Key Insight: The TMA pullback combined with Heikin Ashi gives us a high-probability setup for a breakout. Stay sharp, Thieves! 🚪 Entry: The Thief’s Layered Approach 🕵️‍♂️ Strategy: Use a layered entry (multiple buy limit orders) to scale into the trade like a true market bandit! 📍 Entry Levels: Buy Limit @ $4250 Buy Limit @ $4300 Buy Limit @ $4350 Buy Limit @ $4400 💡 Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those orders like a master thief stacking loot. 💰 ⚠️ Note: You can enter at any price level within this range if you spot momentum. The layered approach maximizes flexibility! 🛑 Stop Loss: The Thief’s Escape Route 🚨 Stop Loss: Set at $4150 to protect your loot. ⚠️ Thief’s Disclaimer: This is my suggested stop loss, but you’re the boss of your own heist! Adjust based on your risk tolerance. Don’t get caught by the market cops! 👮‍♂️ 🎯 Target: Steal the Profits, Dodge the Trap! 🏦 Target Price: Aim for $4700 as our primary profit zone. 🚨 Resistance Alert: A police barricade (strong resistance) lurks around $4800. This level is overbought and a potential trap for greedy thieves. Cash out early to secure your gains! 💡 Pro Tip: Don’t get too greedy — take profits at your own discretion. The market is full of traps, so escape with your loot! 🏃‍♂️ 👀 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated pairs to confirm market sentiment and strengthen your setup: BTCUSDT ($): Bitcoin often leads the crypto market. If BTC is pumping, ETH is likely to follow. Watch for BTC breaking key resistance at $60,000 for added bullish confirmation. ETHBTC: This pair shows ETH’s strength relative to BTC. A rising ETH/BTC ratio suggests ETH is outperforming, reinforcing our bullish bias. SOLUSDT ($): Solana often moves in tandem with ETH. A breakout in SOL above $150 could signal broader altcoin strength. Key Correlation: ETH’s price action is tightly linked to BTC and overall market sentiment. Monitor BTC’s trend and crypto market cap for context. 🔍 Key Points & Why This Setup Works TMA Pullback: Acts as a dynamic support zone, ensuring we enter after a healthy retracement. Heikin Ashi Confirmation: Filters out choppy price action, giving us clear bullish signals. Layered Entries: Spreads risk and allows flexibility in volatile markets. Risk Management: Tight stop loss at $4150 keeps the risk-reward ratio attractive. Market Context: Crypto markets are volatile, but ETH’s bullish structure and correlation with BTC make this a high-probability trade. 📝 Thief’s Code: Risk Management Dear Ladies and Gentlemen (Thief OGs), this is a fun strategy, but trading is serious business! 🕴️ Set your own stop loss and take profit based on your risk tolerance. Never risk more than you can afford to lose — this is a heist, not a gamble! Stay disciplined, and don’t let the market cops catch you off guard! 🚓 “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” Disclaimer: This is a Thief-Style trading strategy crafted for fun and educational purposes. Always do your own research and trade at your own risk. The market is a wild place — stay sharp, Thieves! 🦹‍♂️ #ETHUSDT #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #HeikinAshi #TradingView
Long
by The-Thief
2
Ethereum Defends $3,800 Support as Bulls Target $4,580Ethereum has rebounded from $3,800, a confluence of Fibonacci and daily support, reclaiming its point of control. This sets up the probability of expansion toward $4,580 and beyond. Ethereum’s price action has responded strongly to a technical bounce at $3,800, where both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and daily support converged. This reaction enabled ETH to reclaim its POC, previously a resistance, and now viewed as a new base for upside expansion. Key Technical Points: - $3,800 support holds with 0.618 Fibonacci confluence. - POC reclaimed, signaling renewed strength. - Next major resistance lies at $4,580, a key decision level. After briefly testing lower levels, Ethereum bulls defended $3,800 with conviction. The rebound brought ETH back within its trading range and confirmed the POC as support. This structural shift strengthens the bullish case, particularly as higher closes suggest market acceptance of elevated valuations. The next resistance, $4,580, remains a key hurdle. A decisive break here, supported by strong volume inflows, will open the door toward a new all-time high. Sustained demand and accumulation above the POC are crucial for follow-through. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action: Ethereum looks poised to extend higher, provided it maintains support at the POC. Traders should watch $4,580 for decisive breakout signals that could mark the path to new highs.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Price Trend Under Economic News InfluenceHello everyone, Ethereum is showing important signals on the 4-hour chart as the price recently touched the $4,180 level and started to correct. Several Fair Value Gaps (FVG) have formed densely within the $4,000–$4,100 zone, suggesting that the market may return to this area for balance before determining sustainable bullish momentum. This will be a key support zone in the short term, where buyers could test their strength. The strong volume increase at the end of September indicates continued demand, but the resistance at $4,180 may cause ETH to retreat to $4,100–$4,050 before gathering momentum to move up again. If the support holds, the bullish trend could continue towards $4,300, and even potentially reach $4,500–$4,600 if resistance breaks. However, upcoming volatility will largely depend on US economic data, especially the NFP report. A weak report could boost expectations for policy easing, supporting ETH's rise, while strong data may apply downward pressure. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and the risk of a US government shutdown remain unpredictable variables. What are your thoughts on this scenario? Will ETH correct, or will it continue its breakout? Share your opinion in the comments below.
Long
by EmmaChartist
18
Ethereum Elliott Wave Update: Correction Ahead?Ethereum has recently completed the final leg of its ABC corrective structure, with the C-wave forming as a clear ending diagonal. This technical pattern often signals exhaustion in the current upward move and hints at a potential reversal. With the structure now completed, a corrective move is likely. Current price action suggests that Ethereum could retrace toward the $4,000 support region, which aligns with both technical targets and key psychological levels. 📉 Trading Outlook: Short-term traders should be cautious of potential downside volatility. A corrective wave into the $4,000 zone may offer opportunities for repositioning or new entries depending on market reaction. Risk management remains essential, as invalidation of the diagonal would occur if ETH pushes significantly higher without correction. In summary, Ethereum’s Elliott Wave count points toward a possible short-term pullback before the broader trend becomes clearer. Traders should keep a close eye on the $4,000 level for signs of support and potential bullish re-engagement.
Short
by CakirInsights
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 29❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour chart , After breaking lower resistance zones, ETH started a strong bullish leg toward higher resistance. It reacted to these levels but moved upward with micro-buyer support. Currently at $4323, a key seller ticker zone—breaking this could push ETH higher. Note: Trend shows some weakness; sell candles are engulfed but smaller. Over 90% of holders are in profit, causing frequent stop-hunts on selling pressure. 🧮 RSI: After moving from near oversold to overbought, RSI is cooling near the 70 level. With increased long volatility, multiple buy positions could form, but rejection here may lead to a correction. Key static resistance is 70; swing support is at 50. 🕯 Volume & Candles: Recent candle size and volume surged as buyers entered, but approaching $4300 resistance shows trend weakness. Candle size decreased; profit-taking and minor pullbacks are possible. For trend continuation, higher volume and repeated buying pushing ETH toward overbought are needed. 📊 Liquidation Heatmap : Unlike BTC, long and short orders cluster sparsely, forming max-pain zones. ETH approaching $4380 could trigger a short squeeze and remove the seller ticker, pushing toward $4500. Next long max-pain is $4246, with lower support around $4100. ETH is in a near-decision zone with one bullish leg. 💸 ETHBTC Pair Currently in a trading range; the floor is Maker Buyer Zone , the ceiling is Taker Seller Zone. Price bounced well from the floor. High concentration of longs and shorts makes range boundaries critical—breaking either could trigger a sharp move. Price is near 0.037 resistance, RSI close to swing resistance. Buyer and whale support could enable another bullish leg; rejection may slightly increase risk of range breakdown. 🧠 Focus on BINANCE:ETHBTC wait for exit from the trading range, then check ETH/USDT. Often aligns with BTC dominance drops. Selling volume in ETHBTC is decent; if whales add volume, this setup provides optimal trade duration. ↗️ Risky Long Scenario: Break 0.037 resistance ETHBTC, BTC dominance drop, breaking ETH/USDT seller ticker, RSI stabilizes in overbought. Small stop-loss; trade is risky but viable. 📉 High-Risky Short Scenario: Rejection from current zone, ETH/BTC rejection, swing rejections, indecision candles multi-timeframe, SMA7 touch, and rising sell volume could signal short positions. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
[SeoVereign] ETHUSDT BEARISH Outlook – October, 03 2025The key basis for presenting a bearish perspective in this idea is that the Crab pattern, one of the harmonic patterns, has been fully confirmed. For clearer verification, I have directly plotted the relevant section on the chart for your reference. For reference, the Crab pattern is an extended harmonic pattern with high volatility, typically forming point D at the 1.618 level relative to the XA wave, and is characterized by a strong reversal movement thereafter. Due to these characteristics, it is evaluated as a highly reliable pattern within the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). Accordingly, the average target price is set around 4,135.40 USDT. Additional briefings will continue to be updated in this idea as the chart develops.
Short
by SeoVereign
ETH - Viaquant Predicts the Future yet Again Here is an update to our post over 45 days ago: From the time we hit the top @$4,950 we laid out all the levels to watch for ETH. We were watching some short term levels but the MAIN level we were watching for was the green box titled "MAIN LIQUIDITY ZONE". This zone ranged from $3,800-$4,100. Since this was a multi-year resistance level we were watching it to act as a new macro support level. We pointed out how "buyers should find this level very appealing if we get a dip to there. The main interest level would lie between $3,850-$3,950." Current day we can see how perfectly this prediction played out. First main thing to not is the accuracy of our targets: the main level of interest ($3,850-3,950) was just $35 higher than where the actual bottom was established! Also the "MAIN LIQUDITY ZONE" was even better with it only be $15 lower than the actual bottom being established at $3,815!! The next key thing to note is how accurately price retested our green trendline. I have been posting about this green trendline for the past 3 months! Here are some other charts where I had this trendline that called the bottom drawn.
by VIAQUANT
ETH - Zoomed In UpdateHere is an update to our last post: In our last post we identified ETH was testing its key macro support of the green box and would be looking for a low established in that range. We saw our $4,060 support level broken which led price to fall into our green box. Once price initially rebounded from the green box we topped out at the $4,060 level as (old support became new resistance). After a secondary dip to the $3,950 level price rebound and broke our resistance. Upon the pullback we reclaimed our $4,060 as support again! This was our first major bullish signal. Then the next dip we got bulls front ran price around $4,090 showing strong demand once that level of support was reclaimed. Now we have seen a move to our first key level around $4,280. All candle bodies have been holding above this level and need to continue to do so to potentially make a move towards our main resistance level. This level would be the green trendline of old support that could now act as new resistance so keep an eye out for that.
by VIAQUANT
scalp ETHUSDTHi LONG Momentum Entry: Enter on a confirmed break and close above the immediate swing high (≈$4,350). This indicates the consolidation is over and the rally is resuming. Take Profit (TP) $4,500.0 A ≈3.2% move, targeting the major daily resistance at $4,490 and the psychological $4,500 level. Stop Loss (SL) $4,250.00 Placed precisely at the major pivot point (previous resistance, now strong support) to strictly manage risk. A break below here invalidates the entire pump structure. Risk/Reward ≈1:2.8 (Risk: $110 / Reward: $140) - Excellent R:R for a strong trend continuation trade. SHORT Entry Price $4,248.00 Sell the Failure: Entry on a confirmed close below the critical $4,250 support, which would signal a large liquidity grab. Take Profit (TP) $4,205.00 A ≈1.0% move, targeting the $4,200 psychological support, which was the first level reclaimed during the pump. Stop Loss (SL) $4,300.00 Placed above the last hourly low and below the current high. If the price reclaims $4,300, the short is invalid. Risk/Reward ≈1:0.8 (Risk: $52 / Reward: $43) - Lower R:R, strictly a defensive scalp.
by YMaki
ETH – Bulls Eyeing the Next Push!ETH has been showing strength after reclaiming the $4,000 psychological level and breaking back above structure. Price is now trading inside a rising channel, keeping the overall outlook bullish in the short term. At the moment, ETH is hovering around the $4,040–$4,000 support area. This zone aligns with the lower red trendline of the channel, creating a strong confluence for potential bullish continuation. As long as ETH holds above this zone, I’ll be looking for long opportunities with the next impulse higher in mind. If broken downward, however, we could see a deeper correction before the bulls step back in. The key level to watch remains $4,000 . Stay above = bullish bias intact. Break below = caution for further downside. Do you think ETH will maintain its momentum above $4,000, or will the bears step in for another retest lower? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
7
Market idea based on the Harmonious Energy Flow (HEF) conceptAt the current stage, we can observe a clear manifestation of buyers’ strength, even though the market conditions are shifting rapidly without any significant price expansion. This creates a state of consolidation, where energy is being accumulated for the next move. According to the HEF concept, consolidation represents a transitional phase — the market is searching for balance before moving into a new wave of directional flow. My current expectation is the transition towards the breakout moment, when price finally exits this consolidation zone and reveals the true side of strength. 📌 Key focus: monitoring how buyers sustain their advantage within this tight structure, and waiting for the signal of release from balance. If you find my charting approach interesting, you are very welcome to connect for further discussion. I am open to dialogue and exchange of views.
Long
by WVitalievich
Lingrid | ETHUSDT Structure Break - Potential Bullish SetupBINANCE:ETHUSDT recently found support near 3,815 after a sharp selloff and is now stabilizing above the bottom structure. Price action shows a sequence of lower highs within a descending channel, but the latest rebound hints at a possible reversal. A move toward 4,400 is viable if buyers sustain momentum above 4,000–4,100. The broader context still reflects medium-term weakness unless resistance near 4,300 breaks. ⚠️ Risks: Failure to hold 4,000 could trigger another retest of 3,815 support. Macro uncertainty and BTC volatility may weigh on ETH’s recovery. A rejection near 4,400 could resume the broader downtrend. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
3