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ETH Crash or Bounce? The Critical Level Everyone Is WatchingEthereum (ETH/USDT) – Critical Support Test Ahead Ethereum is currently under pressure after breaking below the $4,000 support. The next significant level to watch is the $3,760 zone, which is not only a strong technical support but also aligns with the Elliott Wave 4 bottom as well as a key Fibonacci retracement area. Key Scenarios 1. Bullish Recovery (Primary Expectation) If ETH holds above the $3,760 support, we can expect consolidation in the range of $4,000 – $4,350. This zone is likely to act as a base for Ethereum until broader market conditions stabilize. Once momentum returns, ETH has the potential to resume its upward trend. 2. Bearish Breakdown If ETH fails to defend $3,760, then deeper downside levels may come into play: $3,450 $3,270 $3,000 This would represent a sharp and aggressive downturn. While possible, this remains weak scenario, given how violent the move would be. Why the Answer Lies Outside ETH’s Chart The real driver here isn’t just Ethereum—it’s the total "crypto market cap excluding BTC" as I have warned 2 days ago that's it's falling into a correction The altcoin market cap is currently in correction as capital flows back into Bitcoin dominance, which has already broken its downtrend line and reached today 59%. If the altcoin market cap holds its critical support and BTC dominance starts dropping, we can expect a broader bullish recovery across altcoins, with Ethereum following. If that support breaks, then the weaker bearish scenario may unfold. Conclusion For now, the $3,760 support remains the critical line in the sand. Holding it keeps Ethereum within a bullish recovery path. Breaking it could open the door to deeper corrections.
Short
by CryptoShip0
ETH Pullback before ATH and AltseasonOver the past few months, ETH has been a beast. Now it needs to cool off before it can push to higher highs, igniting the broader altcoin market and the long-awaited "altseason." Coinciding with an oversold RSI, I anticipate that we will see a "sell the news" event for next week's FOMC announcement on 9/17. This aligns with historic seasonality of September being a bearish month. My forecast is that we pull back to the $3,900-$3,500 zone (.618 fib and 21 week EMA confluence) before pushing to higher highs. IF ETH holds above $5k with volume, this will allow the broader altcoin market to pump, attracting massive liquidity to close out Q4 in euphoria. Happy trading, Melonfarmer
Long
by melonfarmer5
1
ETH 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 27❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Day timeframe 👀 On the daily timeframe we observe that Ethereum is trading inside a strong ascending channel. Currently, after touching the channel top, price moved toward the midline, lost the midline, and is now heading toward the channel bottom. Ethereum reacted once at the 38% Fibonacci zone, but selling pressure is increasing, and with losing this support level around $3,930, ETH can move toward the channel bottom and even lower support levels. 🎮 The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the $2,600 breakout area up to the all-time high of Ethereum, which clearly covers all the support and resistance zones. At this stage, Ethereum has reacted to the 38% Fib level, but with losing this area it could move toward the key support overlapping with the channel bottom. The 38% zone observed in this analysis has high validity in daily price action, and with breaking this area we can open a short position. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after creating a new all-time high, Ethereum entered selling pressure and is now near its oversold area. Our key RSI zone is also located here. With a cross below 33, Ethereum could experience a deeper correction and fully enter the oversold range. 🕯 The size and volume of red candles for breaking Fibonacci zones usually happen in a whale-driven manner. Normally, before the move, one or two opposite stop-hunts with shadows (wicks) appear, and then the move continues. The recent candles Ethereum has formed show strong selling volume, and candle closes below the 38% Fib zone together with selling pressure can bring even more red candles. 🧠 For an Ethereum position, it seems better to wait until whales and sharks of the market finish their stop-hunts. On the third touch, for example, with a break of the 38% Fib zone and entry of ETH into the oversold RSI area, we can open a sell position. 💡 Keep in mind that today the U.S. labor market has strengthened significantly, and there may be no signal of upcoming rate cuts in the next Fed meetings. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
Ethereum (ETH): Back Near $4000 | Huge Shakeout Going OnETH has had a nasty fall since breaking the long trend holders' EMAs. Since then we were looking for a reclaim of EMAs but what happened was the price bottomed at $4000, which is a strong support zone! Every indicator is telling us the ETH is oversold and so we are looking for some kind of bounce to happen anytime soon, which would lead to a retest of EMAs, and then most likely back above them and movement to a new ATH! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
1
ETH - First Key TestHere is a link to our last post: We were seeing some market structure be build with three different bottoms come in around the $4,060 level. However, last night those lows were breached which lead us to our first test of the macro support range. This area ranges from about $3,700 to $3,950. It is very important as it was a level of resistance for many years and we would like to see the market establish this area as a new level of support. If this is established the trend will be intact to push toward highs. We just saw the first test and bounce from the top of the box at $3,950. Will be key to monitor how the market reacts to this price action and will be looking for any further bottom developments in this macro support range.
by VIAQUANT
ETH/USDT | Correction Over? Big Rally Loading After Demand ZoneBy analyzing the Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after Bitcoin’s heavy dump , ETH also corrected and is now trading around $4,200 . Based on the previous analysis, the $3,300–$3,900 zone is still a key demand area. If the price enters this zone, I expect Ethereum to start its next bullish wave. The possible upside targets for this rally are $5,100, $5,500, and $6,000. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
9
$ETH shows bullish hidden RSI divergence.A **bullish hidden RSI divergence** is a trading signal that suggests a continuation of an upward trend, often indicating that the price will keep rising. It occurs when the price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show a specific pattern. Here's a simple explanation of how to identify and trade it: ### Step 1: Understand the Pattern - **Price Action**: The price makes **higher lows** (each low point is higher than the previous one), indicating an uptrend. - **RSI**: The RSI makes **lower lows** (the RSI is declining while the price is not), showing a divergence from the price trend. - This mismatch suggests that the uptrend is still strong, and the dip in RSI is just a temporary slowdown in momentum, not a reversal. ### Step 2: Identify the Divergence 1. **Chart Setup**: Use a price chart (e.g., candlestick chart) with the RSI indicator (typically set to 14 periods) on a platform like TradingView . 2. **Spot Higher Lows in Price**: Look for a price chart where the recent low is higher than the previous low (e.g., $100 to $105). 3. **Check RSI for Lower Lows**: At the same time, check if the RSI is making a lower low (e.g., RSI drops from 50 to 45 while price makes a higher low). 4. **Confirm the Uptrend**: Ensure the overall trend is bullish (price is generally moving up with higher highs and higher lows). ### Step 3: Trading the Bullish Hidden RSI Divergence 1. **Entry Point**: - Enter a **buy** trade when you confirm the divergence and see the price starting to rise again after the higher low. - Look for additional confirmation, like a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., a hammer or engulfing candle) or a break above a resistance level. 2. **Stop Loss**: - Place a stop loss below the most recent higher low to protect against a potential trend reversal. - For example, if the higher low is at $105, set the stop loss slightly below, like $103. 3. **Take Profit**: - Target a take-profit level based on previous highs, support/resistance levels, or a risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2, meaning you aim for twice the profit compared to your risk). - For instance, if your stop loss is $2 below entry, aim for a $4 profit target. ### Step 4: Manage the Trade - **Monitor RSI**: Ensure RSI doesn’t drop into oversold territory (below 30) or show signs of a bearish reversal. - **Adjust Stop Loss**: As the price moves up, consider trailing your stop loss to lock in profits. - **Exit Strategy**: Exit the trade if the price hits your target, or if you see signs of a trend reversal (e.g., a bearish divergence or break of key support). ### Example - **Price**: Stock XYZ makes a low at $100, then a higher low at $105. - **RSI**: RSI drops from 50 to 45 during the same period. - **Action**: You enter a buy trade at $106 after a bullish candle. Set a stop loss at $103 and aim for a take-profit at $110 (1:2 risk-reward). - **Outcome**: If the price continues its uptrend to $110, you take profit. If it drops below $103, you exit with a small loss. ### Tips - **Timeframes**: Use higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for more reliable signals. - **Confirmation Tools**: Combine with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines for stronger signals. - **Practice**: Test this strategy on a demo account before using real money to understand how it works in different market conditions. - **Risk Management**: Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading account on a single trade. This strategy works best in trending markets, so always confirm the broader trend before trading.
Long
by Crypto-Adda_Official
ETH Long-Term Outlook📊 Current Setup ETH just cracked down from consolidation and is now sliding toward that $3750–$4000 pocket 📉. This zone’s a straight-up make-or-break spot for the long-term trend — no cap. 🚦 Scenarios 👉 If price taps the zone and rejects strong (big wicks, strong closes, volume surging) 🔥 — ETH could gear up for a bounce that not only reclaims upper ranges but maybe even pushes toward fresh ATHs 🚀. 👉 If the zone cracks and we consolidate under it, that’s a midterm bearish flip 🐻, and the market could stay heavy for a while. 🧭 My Take No clean setup to ride yet. Patience is key — the next few candles and ETH’s reaction to the $3750–$4000 zone will lay it all out. This is one of those levels where legends get made, fam. Either we catch the next monster wave 🌊, or we sit tight and protect the bag until the tide shifts. Stay locked in 💯. 💬 What do you think about this scenario? Only share your idea if you’ve got another opinion — otherwise just hit that button 👍
by peyfx
2
ETH Check-In📊 Current Setup ETH just slipped outta the box and is cruisin’ down toward that $3750 zone 🩸. That spot’s stacked with weight — if it holds, we might see the tide flip from bull vibes to bear mode 🐻. 🚦 Scenarios 👉 If $3750 catches and sticks, could be a minor pivot point worth watchin’. 👉 If it cracks clean, ETH might surf lower before bulls even think about comin’ back. 🧭 My Take Right now? No clean setup. Best play is to sit tight, let the dust settle, and wait for the next wave 🌊. Patience prints 💯. ❓ What’s Your Read? Does $3750 hold the line, or are we about to see ETH dive deeper? Drop your vibe below 👇
Short
by peyfx
1
ETHUSDT #009 (Be careful, need 15-20% correction for next cycleHello dear traders. Good days. First of all thanks for your support and comments. ———————————————————————— On daily Gann Square ETHUSDT break out 0.5 Gann Square price zone and with good strength trend line support it expected to fill 0.618 Gann box price level at exact reversal time zone . So be careful and do not be FOMO . expected to grow up to 4800$ and correct 15-20 % correction for retest 0.5 Gann price zone . If support at 3940-3915 $ will grow up fro next bull cycle . BTC Dominance is mached also at exact time with ETHUSDT . Weekly overview of ETHUSDT Chart will updated. Good luck and safe trades.
by SHAlavi
10
Elliott Wave Ethereum / Fibonacci LevelWave C Progress: Wave C has already reached 100% of Wave A. Price is sitting near the 0.618 retracement of the previous 12345 impulse wave. Subwave Count Inside Wave C: I have counted Waves 1, 2, 3 inside C. If this sub-count is correct, a Wave 4 bounce is expected soon in the 4028 – 3978 zone. Critical Levels 4028 – 3978.18: Expected bounce range (Wave 4 inside C). 3978.18: Key level — breaking it opens the door to deeper downside. If broken, the next supports are: 3812 (1.272 extension) 3708 (0.786 retracement of entire impulse) Implications If 3978 holds, ETH may stage a corrective bounce (Wave 4) before a possible Wave 5 inside C. If 3978 fails, 3812 and 3708 are the next tipping points where market makers/pattern traders might start accumulating for a new 12345 impulse set. Watch for a bounce between 4028–3978. Lose 3978, and 3812/3708 become the big decision zones for the next move.
by polarity
ETH: Sharp Flush, Filling the FVG or Preparing for a Deeper DropHello everyone, On the H4 chart the recent red candle in ETH was a textbook flush: price plunged straight below the Ichimoku Cloud, selling volume spiked, and a large cluster of FVGs has formed overhead around 4.32k–4.40k. This setup typically favours a technical rebound to fill those gaps before the market chooses its next direction. Why did ETH fall so sharply? First, mass liquidation of leveraged positions: this morning alone, hundreds of millions in long positions were wiped out, with ETH accounting for a significant share, intensifying the move lower. Second, deteriorating ETF flows: after a period of strong inflows, spot ETH ETFs saw heavy redemptions in early September (from ~$505M to ~$952M within days), adding supply as investors took profit or rotated into BTC. Third, risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed and lingering regulatory uncertainty around ETH ETFs—particularly the delayed review of staking features—has curbed appetite. Finally, the wider crypto market saw broad-based selling, wiping out tens of billions in market cap and dragging ETH down with it. From a technical view, I expect ETH to rebound toward 4.32k–4.36k (lower FVG edge, possibly extending to 4.38k–4.40k near the Cloud) to retest supply. If selling pressure re-emerges there, price is likely to reverse toward 4.08k–4.02k, retesting the recent absorption zone. Holding 4.02k could allow another attempt back at 4.32k; breaking and closing H4 below 4.02k, however, opens risk toward ~3.98k. Only if ETH closes above 4.40k–4.43k on H4 (escaping the FVG and regaining the Cloud) would I consider a scenario of building a higher base. What about you—do you lean towards “rebound to sell” or “base building for a reversal”?
Short
by EmmaChartist
22
#ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound 📊 #ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound ⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally. ➡️Note that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:ETHUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
This Volatility Period:Around September 24th(September 23rd-25) Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D Chart) This Volatility Period: Around September 24th (September 23rd-25th) Before this volatility period began, the price fell below 4403.87 and then fell to the 3900.73-4107.80 range. The 4403.87-1749.30 range, which corresponds to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, is likely to act as resistance, as it represents a high point. The 3900.73-4107.80 range represents the previous all-time high (ATH). If the price remains above this range, the uptrend is likely to continue. Therefore, the key question is whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range and rise above the 4403.87-4749.30 range. After this volatility period, we should examine whether the price can find support in the 3900.73-4107.80 range. If not, support around 3265.0-3438.16 is crucial. - If the OBV indicator falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to decline again. Therefore, support around 3900.73-4107.80 is crucial. - The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. Considering this basic trading strategy, it may be natural for the price to decline since it failed to rise above 4403.87-4749.30. Since it fell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, it is likely to decline until it meets the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicator. However, since important support and resistance points or zones have formed, the trend can reverse at any time depending on whether support is found at those points or zones. In this sense, the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential uptrend in the near future. While the K value of the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold zone, the possibility of further decline is high. However, the established support and resistance zones increase the likelihood of turning this crisis into an opportunity. In this situation, what we can do is confirm the signs of an uptrend. Otherwise, if we anticipate a new trade in advance, we may face another crisis as the volatility period progresses. - If you are currently trading, there is an opportunity to sell in the first installment when resistance is encountered in the 4403.87-4749.30 zone. As mentioned earlier, this is based on the basic trading strategy. Depending on whether support is found in the 3900.73-4107.72 range, you'll decide whether to sell in two installments or buy. Since the stock market trades in single-share increments, selling before the price has more than doubled from the purchase price makes it difficult to buy again. However, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making trading easier than in the stock market. This freedom of buying and selling is the biggest advantage of the coin market. If your buy price is below 3900.73, buying when the 3900.73-4107.80 range shows signs of support will increase your average buy price, potentially putting you under psychological pressure. However, as mentioned earlier, the coin market allows for decimal trading, making it possible to separate your buy price into separate trades. Therefore, you can record the purchase price and purchase amount separately, differentiating them from the existing average purchase price, and then trade them separately. If you understand this principle, you'll find the coin market much easier to trade than the stock market. This is one of the reasons why even those who have successfully traded in the stock market often fail in their initial trading in the coin market. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
ETHUSDT 1D chart Review1. Trendline (orange) - was clearly pierced down → it is a signal of weakening the growth moment. 2. Horizers of support / resistance: • Resistance: $ 4,604 (strong), above $ 4,960. • Support: $ 4 150 (currently tested), next $ 3,958 and $ 3,696. 3. Price - currently ~ 4 169 $, i.e. right with the support of $ 4 150. 4. Candles - a strong inheritance candle after piercing the trend → weakness signal. 5. STOCHASTIC RSI - in the sales zone (<20), which may suggest the possibility of short -term reflection. ⸻ 🔹 Application: • Short date: possible reflection from $ 4 150 thanks to the sale (technical bounce). • average date: If level $ 4 150 breaks and the candle closes below → the road opens to $ 3,958 and even $ 3,696. • Only a return above $ 4 272 and a retest trendline from below would give a signal of buyers. ⸻ 👉 To sum up: The market is in the critical zone - support $ 4 150 decides. • Bull: keeping the defense of this level + reflection from the sale. • Bear: loss $ 4 150 = greater correction in the direction of $ 3 950–3 700.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH Oversold Again – Is a Bounce Coming?Ethereum (ETHUSDT) on the 4H chart is showing signs of oversold conditions as the RSI once again dips below the 30 level. This setup has historically aligned with local bottoms, where ETH tends to bounce back shortly after reaching such extreme levels of selling pressure. The current price action around $4,170 highlights a critical zone to monitor for potential reversal. If ETH can hold this level and buying momentum steps in, a relief rally could follow in the short term. However, if weakness persists, further downside retests cannot be ruled out. Traders should closely watch RSI recovery and volume confirmation for signals of a stronger rebound.
Long
by HexaTrades
1
ETH - Current Levels Post Rate CutHere is the chart for pre rate cuts: After about a week of price action development we have a much better idea for the next potential move for ETH. After the rate cut (vertical purple line) we saw price have a small rally followed by a swift move to the downside. Our green trendline (current support trendline) was breached which caused a crash from around $4,400 to $4,070. Now price has established a clear low for the time being around the $4,070 level. This shows what looks like a TRIPLE BOTTOM (black arrows + black ray)! There is currently strong demand at the level which should help push price back to the $4,400-$4,500 level. If we do so this move to the upside it will be very important to watch how price action plays with our green support trendline. Now that price is below that trendline, any retest could act as a new level of sell pressure. Right now things look good for a move back to that level, but if our triple bottom around $4,070 is closed below then a move into that macro support range will be likely.
by VIAQUANT