Trade ideas
ETH hit new ATH what’s next? While Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has just achieved a new All-Time High (ATH), its price action is currently challenging a significant weekly resistance level. This level corresponds to the upper boundary of its established upward channel. The coming hours/days will be critical, testing the underlying momentum necessary to sustain the breakout or if a retracement is imminent.
Setup ETHETH – LONG
📍 Entry: $4,800
😫 Stop Loss: $4,700
🌟 Take Profit: $5,000–$5,050
📊 Risk Reward: 1:2 to 1:2.5
✅ Confidence Level: HIGH ✅
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Technical Confluences (3+ Confirmations)
1. Multi-Timeframe Trend Strength
4H & Daily show persistent bullish momentum, with structure pointing toward continuation toward new highs.
2. Breakout & Volume Confirmation
Price recently breached previous ATH, with institutional demand—especially from CME futures—surging; open interest in ETH futures rose to $8.3 billion, reflecting high institutional conviction.
3. Technical Indicators Alignment
Investing.com shows "Strong Buy" across multiple timeframes—15m, hourly, daily, weekly, and monthly—indicating broad upward bias.
Cointelegraph highlights stable futures premiums and supportive on-chain metrics, underpinning recovery prospects.
4. Macro Catalyst
Jackson Hole speech spurred over 14% rally in ETH and new all-time-high, backed by optimism for imminent Fed rate cuts.
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Entry Mode: Breakout (closing above key resistance/all-time high)
Zone: Premium (price beyond 50% retracement in bullish trend)
Validation: Breakout confirmed with strong volume + institutional flows
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Scenario Analysis
Scenario Outcome
If TP reached ETH extends bullish legacy, retesting $5 k and potentially exploring higher levels.
If SL triggered Minor correction likely; could stabilize mid-$4,700s before trend continuation.
⏰ Estimated Duration: 1–3 days for target zone to be approached post-breakout.
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Summary
The technical structure across timeframes, institutional inflows, breakout behavior, and macro tailwinds align powerfully to support a high-confidence long setup in Ethereum. Current momentum and on-chain support justify targeting the $5,000–$5,050 area, with a disciplined stop-loss near $4,700 to manage downside risk.
Let me know if you'd like alternate scenarios, adjustment to horizons, or suggestions for managing this trade step-by-step!
ETHUSDT - IdeaPrice consolidating within this channel since ETH made ATH, could it be possible that we see a new high next week?
The speculators would like to think we're going to 10k but realistically, what is everyone's EOY target for ETH?
Do keep in mind September has been a bad month for ETH since inception, can it be different this time around?
"ETH's price history reveals a persistent and often brutal September pattern. Since 2016, ETH gains in August are regularly wiped out in September. In 2017, ETH rallied 92% in August, then dropped -21.65% in September, after China announced a ban on ICOs."
ETH Long term outlookPotential for if ETHBTC revisits Highs 9k eth by EOY
After that the traditional adoption cycles would suggest we are in for a significant bearish period...
If adoption has become significant enough there's credence to the idea that cycle theory no longer applies to this market like it used, 'this time will be different'.
However this has been called previous cycles and we still saw major downturns, if large projects begin to implode or stable coins depeg this would be what to watch out for to trigger a significant bear market.
Given BYBIT already got hacked for like 5% of the eth supply this cycle (major downturn) im not sure what would be the next issue...
Ive outlined two general paths but truth is it could be significantly more bullish than both of these... BTMNR calling for 10-15...
idk how easy it will be at the ETHBTC resistance even with the new high liquidity buyers.
see how we go..
12345:)
Fractal Scenario – Market Outlook
This is a working projection, not a fixed forecast.
Market behavior evolves constantly. Based on Elliott Wave Theory, this scenario is subject to change and may invalidate our current bias at any time.
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🧠 Key Considerations:
• Always validate with your personal strategies or systems.
• Look for confluence across multiple indicators or frameworks.
• Chart analysis is in Log Scale for accuracy on macro structures.
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🚨 DISCLAIMER 🚨
This is not financial advice.
We're sharing this as part of our market study and journey—not as a signal to buy or sell. The market is volatile, and risk is always present.
You are fully responsible for your own trades.
Please DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade within your risk tolerance.
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Personal Trading Code:
NO SEQCONS = NO ENTRY
(Patience and confirmation over impulse.)
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🌀 Our Chart, Our Insight, Our Path Forward.
We're not here to predict the future—we're here to adapt with
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 1💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, we can see that it had a descending channel. It faked out once at the bottom of the channel and then ranged at the top of the channel. Before the Jackson Hole event, it broke out of the channel, and with the Jackson Hole event, it pumped. The price jump Ethereum experienced was remarkable. That’s why we couldn’t open a position on Ethereum .
⚙️ The key zone at 70 can be a good volatility level for long trades, and the key zone at 50 can be a volatility level for short trades .
🕯 Looking at the candle sizes, during the Jackson Hole event the green candles became bigger, and excellent volume entered Ethereum during this event .
🪙 Ethereum to Bitcoin pair , we can see that with breaking the marked zone, Ethereum compared to Bitcoin can gain more value and move upwards again .
🔔 Ethereum alarm zone for long positions is $4800. For short positions, it’s better not to set an alarm because the trend is bullish. The pair against Bitcoin is also bullish, and Tether dominance has faced a heavy rejection from its top .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETHUSDT soon will break that ATH and new one around 7K$ hitAs we can see price broke the Red trendline which was major resistance weekly and now retest is also completed and i am thinking of breakout of previous ATH ASAP and after that more pump and rise is expected to the targets like at least 5K$ and 7K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Ethereum Analysis – August 24, 2025After the high recorded about 10 days ago, we initially expected a deeper correction.
However, price surprised the market by pushing back toward the highs yesterday and printing a new top.
⚖️ The current decision zones are very tight:
• A daily close above $5,100 would strengthen the bullish outlook and support further upside.
• A daily close below $4,000 would shift momentum in favor of sellers.
📊 For now, it’s best to stay patient and watch how Ethereum reacts over the coming week before taking new positions.
Ethereum/USDT (4H) – Long Trade SetupI have taken a long position on Ethereum as the price has bounced from a strong support zone while also respecting the ascending trendline. The current market structure is forming higher-lows, indicating a potential bullish continuation.
Entry: Around $4,293
Stop Loss: $4,148 (below the previous swing low)
Target: $4,797 (major resistance zone)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3
Additionally, the RSI indicator is recovering from lower levels, showing clear signs of bullish momentum building up. If the price maintains this trajectory, there is strong upside potential.
This trade is based on trendline support, bullish structure, and RSI confirmation.
ETH what is next !This chart displays the weekly price action of Ethereum (ETH), which is currently retesting a key resistance zone around the $4,000 level. This area has acted as a major barrier since 2021, rejecting price multiple times and preventing further upside.
Now, ETH is once again approaching this critical level. If we can get a decisive breakout and a strong weekly close above $4,000, it could signal the beginning of a significant bullish move.
A confirmed breakout could open the door to a rally toward the previous all-time high near $4,860. If momentum continues, the Fibonacci extension points to a long-term target around $13,898 — the 1.618 extension level.
In summary:
👉 A breakout and close above $4,000 could mark the start of a strong bullish trend, with potential targets at $4,860 and $13,898.
Until that breakout is confirmed, though, we remain at a key resistance zone — so it's important to stay cautious.
ETHEREUM TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK.
The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions.
What is the Taylor Rule?
It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors:
The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%).
The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output.
The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating.
Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth.
Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions?
The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency.
It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth.
The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy.
During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment.
The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets.
AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF .
HUNTER WAY.
#ETHEREUM
ETHEREUM PLS ALLOW FED TO DECIDE ON THE NEW RATE ,THE PROBABILTY FOR HIKE IS IN THE picture and incoming economic report will be put into perspective.
the fed will likely apply the Taylor Rule in its monetary policy decision.
The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions.
What is the Taylor Rule?
It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors:
The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%).
The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output.
The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating.
Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth.
Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions?
The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency.
It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth.
The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy.
During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment.
The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets.
Basic Taylor Rule Formula
r=p+0.5y+0.5(p−p ∗ )+r ∗
r=nominal federal funds rate (target rate)
p=actual inflation rate
p*=target inflation rate (~2%)
y=output gap (percent difference between actual and potential GDP)
r*=equilibrium real federal funds rate (often assumed to be about 2%)
In simple terms, the Fed should raise or lower rates in response to inflation deviations and output gaps to stabilize the economy.
The Taylor Rule matters because it guides the Fed to pursue a balanced approach—tightening policy when inflation or growth is too high, and easing when the economy slows or inflation falls short—helping to achieve stable prices and sustainable growth.
The Taylor rule also points to a hike
Even when considering the prior data, the Taylor Rule also suggests that the Fed could hike the Federal Funds rate. The Taylor Rule is one of the most reliable tools that the Fed considers for monetary policy action. It's based on the neutral rate, inflation measure, and the resource gap measure.
Since these are not easily measurable variables, the Taylor Rule allows for simulations with different measures. The most common measures are summarized in three scenarios.
Currently, two scenarios put the Federal Funds rate at around 4.25%, which is the bottom range of the current level of the Federal Funds rate, and suggests no cuts or hikes are necessary.
However, Scenario 3 is putting the Federal Funds rate at 5.45%, which suggests that the Fed should hike by around 1% from the current level.
The fact is that the unemployment rate is very low at the full employment level, while inflation has been well above the 2% target for a long time now.
trading is 100% probability.
apply caution at all time
think like a hunter.
#ethereum
Ethereum Ethereum ,am waiting to sell from the top layer supply roof of the ascending trendline line only.
for now am applying my hunters mindset clear wait and see approach.
the sell reward is high on target but buy continuation is possible beyond the ascending trendline acting as dynamic supply roof .
#ethusdt
Ethereum Correction Ending? Next Bullish Wave Loading!In the previous idea , I was able to find the Ethereum price top at $4,788 . The question is, has the Ethereum correction begun, or is there still hope for the creation of a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Ethereum ( BINANCE:ETHUSDT ) is currently trading near the Support zone($4,240-$4,186) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($4,205-$4,158) , and important Support lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Ethereum has completed a corrective wave . The corrective wave has a Double Three Correction structure(WXY) . If the Resistance zone($4,410-$4,324) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($4,416-$4,375) are broken, we can confirm the end of the corrective wave .
I expect Ethereum to start rising from important support lines and rise to at least $4,373 .
Second Target: $4,484
Third Target: $4,607
Stop Loss: $4,097
Note: Today's Fed Chair Powell Speaks can create excitement in financial markets, especially crypto.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Ethereum Analyze (ETHUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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ETH/USDT: Final stages of Wave 3> Wave structure: ETH appears to be completing black wave (3), with signs pointing to an imminent wave (4) corrective move.
> RSI warning: Bearish RSI divergence suggests weakening momentum—typical before a wave (4) pullback.
> Wave (4) target zone: Correction likely into $3,800–$4,000, aligning with previous structure and acting as a potential accumulation zone.
> Strategy: Wait for a pullback into the blue zone to accumulate on weakness, aiming for a breakout toward black wave (5).