Ethereum: What About Support? $3,000 Next? Watch!Ethereum grew a massive 245% from its 7-April 2025 low and market bottom. The last low pre-2025 bull market. And we are here and this chart is awesome because there is no doubt where we are in this market cycle. We know the market is experiencing growth, Ether is growing, and we know this is only the start.
After strong growth, there is always a correction.
The market tends to seek balance.
ETHUSDT growing straight up for 126 days, four months. 245% total rise.
Where are the support levels?
A strong rise within a bull market is followed by: a mild correction or a strong correction? A long-term multiple months long correction or a two weeks long correction?
Let me help you answer those questions.
Four months will never allow for a correction lasting 3-4 months. This is out of the question. Normally a correction deletes only a portion of the previous move and it tends to last a portion of the previous move.
The equivalent to 0.618 and 0.786 was already consolidated back in May and June. This means that this level does not need to be tested or if it is tested, in an extreme case, then it is likely to hold. Why? Because Ether stopped at this point for more than a month creating a baseline.
The 0.236 Fib. retracement, around $3,900, was not consolidated so this level goes bust as support, on the first try. There wasn't any action around this level on the way up, there won't be any on the way down. So we know Ether to move lower on this drop.
The next level is 0.382 Fib. and this is a strong level. Retraces and corrections within a bull market can easily end here. This is a price of $3,485. There is support around this level as it was consolidated for two weeks before the last high. This level has potential to hold because Ethereum is very strong right now and this zone is below the March, May and December 2024 peaks.
The last level is the 0.5 Fib. retracement. This is another strong support and it tends to stop corrections on its track on a strong bull market. This level can be easily tested. If it is tested, the action isn't likely to last long at these low pries. We are talking about $3,100.
Again, the range between $2,100 and $2,700 is the 0.786-0.618 Fib. retracement and this is a dream buy zone right now and very unlikely that such an opportunity will open up. If it does open, this time, will you buy? Buy when prices are low. Sell at resistance, buy at support.
Ethereum is going down. It is still too early to say how long this correction will go for. Just keep in mind that a retrace can last 1-3 weeks while a correction can last 1-3 months. Both scenarios are possible. Regardless of what the market decides, the bull market is not over, we will see additional growth.
Ethereum will continue growing to hit a new all-time high and beyond.
Namaste.
ETHUSDT.5S trade ideas
ETH short from 4300 → Targeting 4070 (Let’s see what’s next…)Shorted ETH right at 4300 – looking down to 4070.
For now, let’s ride this leg down and see what the market wants to show us next.
The upcoming news on Thursday & Friday could easily decide the next chapter of this move.
Until then, I’m staying patient, sharp, and two steps ahead – as always.
Remember: the market loves to test emotions… I just love testing the market. 😉
— Alpha Sigma Wolf
#btc #crypto #eth #bitcoin #ethereium #ethusdt #ict #trade
ETH Setup: Retest, Reload & Rally?ETH is pulling back after a strong run , but the bigger picture stays bullish. 📈
The $3,850–$4,000 zone is key — a solid structure + channel support. 🔑
If buyers step in here, we could see the next leg toward $5K and beyond. 🚀
Watching closely… time to retest, reload, and ride the rally? 👀
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
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Fractal Scenario – Market Outlook
This is a working projection, not a fixed forecast.
Market behavior evolves constantly. Based on Elliott Wave Theory, this scenario is subject to change and may invalidate our current bias at any time.
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🧠 Key Considerations:
• Always validate with your personal strategies or systems.
• Look for confluence across multiple indicators or frameworks.
• Chart analysis is in Log Scale for accuracy on macro structures.
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🚨 DISCLAIMER 🚨
This is not financial advice.
We're sharing this as part of our market study and journey—not as a signal to buy or sell. The market is volatile, and risk is always present.
You are fully responsible for your own trades.
Please DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade within your risk tolerance.
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Personal Trading Code:
NO SEQCONS = NO ENTRY
(Patience and confirmation over impulse.)
—
🌀 Our Chart, Our Insight, Our Path Forward.
We're not here to predict the future—we're here to adapt with
Ethereum Retesting Major Breakout ZoneBINANCE:ETHUSDT has completed a major breakout from a Broadening Wedge Pattern and is now retesting the wedge’s resistance line as support — a bullish continuation signal on the higher timeframe.
- Broadening Wedge Formation: ETH traded within a large broadening wedge throughout 2024 into early 2025, forming expanding highs and lows.
- Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above wedge resistance ($4,10) confirms bullish momentum and shifts market structure in favor of buyers.
-Retest in Progress: Price is currently pulling back, testing the former wedge resistance as fresh support — a textbook technical setup.
-Volume Validation: The breakout was accompanied by a surge in volume, strengthening the case for continuation.
🔷Entry Zone: $4,100 – $4,300
🔷Stop Loss: Below $3,500 to protect against a failed retest.
🔷Targets: $6,500 – $7,500
Cheers
Hexa
Ethereum Elliott Wave Analysis: The Bull Trap Before Wave C!As mentioned in my previous two analyses, Ethereum rejected the $4,740 high and dropped to the $4,050 support zone, where it bounced exactly as projected.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, ETH has already completed a 5-wave impulsive structure and is now inside a corrective ABC phase. At the moment, price action is developing within wave B. Historically, wave B has the tendency to break above the top of wave ⑤, creating a bull trap and sweeping liquidity before the real wave C sell-off begins.
📉 What does this mean for traders?
Wave C is usually sharp, aggressive, and offers great risk-to-reward opportunities on the short side. But instead of rushing into shorts, the smart play is to wait for confirmation.
🎯 Trading Strategy:
1. Allow wave B to complete – watch for a liquidity grab above the $4,840–$4,800 zone.
2. Look for a CHoCH (Change of Character) / market structure break on lower timeframes (4H / 1H) as your entry trigger.
3. Enter short after confirmation, targeting the $4,100 → $3,800 zones first, with potential extension lower depending on momentum of wave C.
4. Place invalidation above the recent swing high to keep risk controlled.
⚡ This is a high-probability short setup forming, but patience and timing are crucial — don’t get trapped in wave B’s fake breakout.
👉 Follow for updates as we track the confirmation of wave C and refine the short targets!
ETH - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis - 22.08.25Greetings ^^
We did get our rally from the support area that we had on the chart.
We assume that high of the 14th of August formed the top of the white Wave 3 and that we are currently in a correction displayed as yellow ABC which would form the white Wave 4.
The support area of this Wave 4 is between the 0.236 FIB at 4059 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 3370 USD. The Wave A is in and today's rally is the B Wave which we thermalized in yesterdays analysis and did expect it to be strong. We assume this ABC is an expanding flat which means the B Wave overshoots which it did. It touched the 1.05 FIB at 4833 USD which is a common target but it also is right below the ATH. Further targets for the B Wave would be the 1.236 FIB at 4985 USD and the 1.382 FIB at 5105 USD.
Next we would look for a Wave C to the downside.
The targets for this C Wave are the 0.618 FIB at 4375 USD the 1 to 1 FIB at 4106 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 3947 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 3853 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 3705 USD. A lot of targets, the most common is the 0.618 and the 1.618 FIB. The 1.618 FIB would also be in confluence with the 0.382 FIB of the Wave 4 support area which is the optimal target for a Wave 4.
Alternatively you can count the recent low as blue Wave 4 instead yellow A Wave and the move up today could potentially be the blue Wave 5 which would than finished white Wave 3. We do think the count mentioned above is more likely as the yellow A touched the 0.236 FIB of the white Wave 4 support area which is a common target for an A Wave and additionally the structure of today's rally look more corrective on the smaller timeframes. Overall it does not make a big difference for the moment except that in the blue Wave 5 we could go a bit higher compared to the overshooting B Wave.
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 1💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, we can see that it had a descending channel. It faked out once at the bottom of the channel and then ranged at the top of the channel. Before the Jackson Hole event, it broke out of the channel, and with the Jackson Hole event, it pumped. The price jump Ethereum experienced was remarkable. That’s why we couldn’t open a position on Ethereum .
⚙️ The key zone at 70 can be a good volatility level for long trades, and the key zone at 50 can be a volatility level for short trades .
🕯 Looking at the candle sizes, during the Jackson Hole event the green candles became bigger, and excellent volume entered Ethereum during this event .
🪙 Ethereum to Bitcoin pair , we can see that with breaking the marked zone, Ethereum compared to Bitcoin can gain more value and move upwards again .
🔔 Ethereum alarm zone for long positions is $4800. For short positions, it’s better not to set an alarm because the trend is bullish. The pair against Bitcoin is also bullish, and Tether dominance has faced a heavy rejection from its top .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Ethereum Hits a New All-Time High · $5790 Next Followed by $8513Ether is now on a path to a new all-time high and this week is hyper-bullish, as bullish as it gets.
Notice the lower wick on the current session; the week started negative and as it reaches its end, it turns positive. The action is happening at the top of the candle and this means we will see green Saturday, Sunday and for months to come.
The lack of bearish strength on the last retrace shows that sellers are simply not present.
The strong advance today and marketwide bullish action reveals a huge demand for crypto, so strong, that prices can only grow.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is now set to hit a new all-time high but that's not all. As I explained in a previous publication, the all-time high is not a major resistance level, it will break easily. This means that Ether will continue growing with the first target being $5,790 on the current move. $8,513 is also a high probability target later this year. We might go even higher.
The bullish bias is now fully confirmed. Ether is going up.
The cryptocurrency market will continue growing. The altcoins market will continue to heat up. This is only the start.
Namaste.
ETH Shatters Downtrend with Explosive Breakout | Bulls Take FulChart: ETHUSDT, 1H
Bias: Bullish
Analysis:
Hello, traders! We are witnessing a dramatic and powerful shift in the ETHUSDT market structure that warrants immediate attention.
The Previous Bearish Context:
For several days, Ethereum has been trading within a well-defined bearish channel. This downtrend was characterized by:
A clear descending trendline that has been respected with multiple touches, acting as dynamic resistance.
A series of confirmed lower lows and lower highs, with multiple breaks of structure to the downside (indicated by the "Strong" lows being broken).
Overall seller dominance, pushing the price down from the $4,788 high to a low of around $4,042.
The Bullish Takeover (The Main Event):
The narrative has completely changed in the last few hours. A massive wave of buying pressure has resulted in an explosive move to the upside. The key developments are:
Decisive Trendline Break: A very strong, high-momentum bullish candle has completely shattered the long-standing descending trendline. This is the most significant bullish signal on this chart, indicating the previous downtrend is now invalidated.
Break of Market Structure: This upward thrust has also broken through several previous resistance levels, including the swing high around $4,400. This constitutes a major Change of Character (CHoCH) and confirms a shift in control from sellers to buyers.
Potential Scenarios & Key Levels:
Bullish Continuation (Primary Scenario): With such strong momentum, the path of least resistance is now to the upside. Traders might look for long opportunities.
Potential Entry: A textbook entry would be on a successful retest of the broken trendline or the recently broken resistance level around $4,400, which should now act as support.
TP 1: The previous major high at $4,788 (the '1' on the Fibonacci scale).
TP 2: The next major area of resistance, identified by the indicator as the "Perfect Sell Zone 1", starting around $4,880.
Invalidation Scenario: While the breakout looks powerful, traders must always manage risk. The bullish thesis would be invalidated if the price were to reverse, fall back below the broken trendline, and close decisively below the $4,300 support area. This would suggest the breakout was a bull trap.
Conclusion:
The evidence on the chart is overwhelmingly bullish in the short to medium term. The break of the multi-day trendline is a significant technical event that cannot be ignored. The immediate bias has shifted firmly in favor of the bulls. The key will be to watch for a potential pullback for entry opportunities and to see how the price reacts as it approaches the next major supply zone around $4,900.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR) before entering any trade.
ETH New Analysis (4H)After the weekly trigger line was broken and a key supply was cleared, most of the major market participants have been accumulating Ethereum. Considering the momentum and power of the previous bullish trend, we expect nearby supports to hold well and a large distribution phase to form.
In this phase, in order to fill the orders of big players and create a strong bullish outlook before a major correction, the price is expected to revisit the previous bullish wave or even hunt Ethereum’s all-time high.
As long as the green zone holds, we anticipate a price pump for Ethereum in the coming days.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Check for support near 4302.41-4372.72
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest updates quickly.
Have a great day!
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
For an altcoin bull market to begin, the price must either fall below 55.01 and hold or continue its downward trend.
(USDT.D 1M chart)
I believe that USDT dominance must remain below 4.91 or continue its downward trend for the coin market to continue its upward trend.
The maximum decline in 2025 is expected to be around 2.84-3.42.
After that, the coin market is expected to enter a bear market with an upward trend.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
It touched the previous all-time high (ATH) range of 3900.73-4107.80 and is showing an upward trend above 4302.41.
Therefore, we need to check whether it can find support around 4302.41-4372.72.
To continue the step-up trend, it's expected to rise above 4749.30.
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When a new candlestick is formed, a low trend line is expected to form, consolidating the trend line as shown below.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can rise along the rising channel after the volatility period around August 28 (August 27-29).
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The 4302.41-4749.30 range represents a high-boundary zone, requiring a short and quick response when trading.
Therefore, if the price finds support near 4302.41 and rises, it would be wise to develop a trading strategy based on the assumption that the first sell-off will occur around 4749.30.
For the uptrend to continue, rising above 4749.30,
- the StochRSI indicator must remain upward with K > D,
- the OBV must rise above the High Line and remain upward,
- the TC (Trend Check) indicator must remain upward. (Preferably, it should show an upward trend above 0.)
If the above conditions are met, I believe the uptrend is likely to continue.
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If the price falls below 4302.41,
1st: 3900.73-4107.80
2nd: M-Signal on the 1W chart
We need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy in the HA-Low ~ DOM (-60) range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like upward trend, while if it falls from the HA-Low to DOM(-60) range, it is likely to exhibit a step-like downward trend.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy.
If you purchase a new position because the price appears to be supporting the HA-High to DOM(60) range, you should execute the trade quickly and with short-term responses.
Otherwise, if the price falls below the HA-High indicator, it is likely to decline until it meets the HA-Low or DOM(-60) indicator.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 2💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Ethereum chart, after last night’s rally, ETH hit a new all-time high but was rejected and is now moving downward while maintaining its uptrend.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 50 and 30. Breaking these levels with high volatility could trigger ETH’s next move in either direction.
🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the Jackson Hole event to ETH’s all-time high shows the 0.61 level as a key zone. Losing this could lead to a deeper correction. The 0 Fib level at $4,852 acts as a breakout zone for long trades.
🕯 Red candles are relatively large, but ETH’s pullback is milder than Bitcoin’s. It’s currently at a decision-making zone with a new structure forming.
🪙 ETHBTC pair shows whales are undecided after last night’s drop. The alarm zone for the ETH/BTC pair is at 0.04218; a break above could spark a new bullish leg for ETH.
🔔 ETH’s alarm zone for longs is at $4,852.52. A breakout here with increased volatility and volume could push ETH to higher highs.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Ethereum Technical OutlookEthereum Technical Outlook
Ethereum remains in a well-defined bullish trend and is currently hovering near the lower boundary of its ascending support zone.
The $4000–$4050 area also aligns with a key structural level from previous price action, increasing the probability of a renewed upward move.
However, short-term sentiment may be influenced by speculation around Powell’s remarks, either in the FOMC minutes or during tomorrow’s Jackson Hole Symposium.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
$4335
$4500
$4760
A break above these levels could confirm continuation, while any hawkish tone from the Fed may temporarily weigh on momentum.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Ethereum Analysis – August 24, 2025After the high recorded about 10 days ago, we initially expected a deeper correction.
However, price surprised the market by pushing back toward the highs yesterday and printing a new top.
⚖️ The current decision zones are very tight:
• A daily close above $5,100 would strengthen the bullish outlook and support further upside.
• A daily close below $4,000 would shift momentum in favor of sellers.
📊 For now, it’s best to stay patient and watch how Ethereum reacts over the coming week before taking new positions.
ETH/USDT: Final stages of Wave 3> Wave structure: ETH appears to be completing black wave (3), with signs pointing to an imminent wave (4) corrective move.
> RSI warning: Bearish RSI divergence suggests weakening momentum—typical before a wave (4) pullback.
> Wave (4) target zone: Correction likely into $3,800–$4,000, aligning with previous structure and acting as a potential accumulation zone.
> Strategy: Wait for a pullback into the blue zone to accumulate on weakness, aiming for a breakout toward black wave (5).
ETHUSDT - Breakout, or fakeout?Hi all!
ETHUSDT has broken structure on the 1H/4H and is consolidating above the local descending trendline. On Binance we can see a strong hidden CVD bull forming — aggressive bears have been trying to push price down, but passive buyers are holding price up.
If sellers get exhausted, we could see a rally towards new highs around 5,250. With possible rate cuts coming in September, the market might be gearing up for a fresh bull-wave up. I believe we’re setting up for that next leg higher, and the weak high from 14 Aug will eventually get swept.
For confirmation, wait for at least an hourly close above the local VAH at 4,390 if you’re looking for a long here.