ETH Long term outlookPotential for if ETHBTC revisits Highs 9k eth by EOY
After that the traditional adoption cycles would suggest we are in for a significant bearish period...
If adoption has become significant enough there's credence to the idea that cycle theory no longer applies to this market like it used, 'this time will be different'.
However this has been called previous cycles and we still saw major downturns, if large projects begin to implode or stable coins depeg this would be what to watch out for to trigger a significant bear market.
Given BYBIT already got hacked for like 5% of the eth supply this cycle (major downturn) im not sure what would be the next issue...
Ive outlined two general paths but truth is it could be significantly more bullish than both of these... BTMNR calling for 10-15...
idk how easy it will be at the ETHBTC resistance even with the new high liquidity buyers.
see how we go..
ETHUSDT.5S trade ideas
ETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (1D TF) |21 AUG 2025 | 02:30 PM GMTETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL (1D TF) | 21 AUGUST 2025 | 02:30 PM GMT
The coin pair has broken out of a trading range (light blue channel) and a pink accumulation channel, embarking on a bullish trend. After marking a high of 404780, it pulled back and is now nearing the end of the pullback at the retest level of 4160.
ETHEREUM TRADERS SHOULD ALLOW FED SET RATE ,RATHER THAN SPECULATING IT.THE CHANCES THEY WILL APPLY TYLOR RULE IS ON THE DESK.
The Taylor Rule is a monetary policy guideline developed by economist John B. Taylor in 1992. It provides a formula to help central banks, like the Federal Reserve, determine the optimal short-term interest rate based on economic conditions.
What is the Taylor Rule?
It links the central bank's target interest rate (the federal funds rate in the U.S.) to two key economic factors:
The difference between actual inflation and the central bank's target inflation rate (usually around 2%).
The output gap—the difference between actual economic output (GDP) and the economy's potential output.
The rule suggests that the central bank should raise interest rates when inflation is above target or when the economy is producing above its potential, to cool down inflation and avoid overheating.
Conversely, it advises lowering interest rates when inflation is below target or the economy is underperforming, to stimulate growth.
Why Does It Matter to the Fed in Rate Decisions?
The Taylor Rule provides a systematic, rules-based framework for setting interest rates, enhancing policy predictability and transparency.
It serves as a benchmark for policymakers to assess whether current rates are appropriate, balancing inflation control and economic growth.
The Fed often considers the Taylor Rule when making decisions but does not follow it mechanically, as real-world factors like financial stability and global economic conditions also influence policy.
During periods of deviation from the rule’s recommendation, the Fed may explain why it chose a different path, reflecting discretion and judgment.
The Taylor Rule helps anchor market expectations by providing a reference point for where interest rates "should" be, reducing uncertainty in financial markets.
AM WAITING ON SELL FROM THE ROOF .
HUNTER WAY.
#ETHEREUM
ETH risky counter shortSince BINANCE:ETHUSDT has printed a new all time high at $4884 I'm doing a small 10x counter short for potential resistance reaction to that zone. if it prints higher regardless? no problem - the position is 1/3 of what my longs are. if it gets rejected, nice - I can get some money out of a small correction.
ETH-----Sell around 4290, target 4245 areaAugust 22nd ETH Contract Technical Analysis:
Today, the daily chart closed with a small negative candlestick pattern, with consecutive negative candlesticks and a single positive candlestick pattern. The price is below the moving average, and the accompanying indicator is forming a death cross. The overall downward trend is very clear. While the trend pattern is not extremely weak, each pullback is the basis for a corrective decline. This is also very clear. Therefore, in trading, we can simply sell at a high price and rely on high-level defense. On the hourly chart, the high point of yesterday's US session pullback was near 4326, which supported the price rebound. The price is currently consolidating at a low level. We will first observe the corrective trend during the day, and pay attention to the strength and breakout of the European session before making any strategic moves.
Today's ETH Short-Term Contract Trading Strategy:
Sell on pullbacks to the 4290 area, with a stop loss at 4335 and a target of 4245.
Ethereum (ETH): Moved 140% So Far | Looking For Break of ATHEthereum is in an accumulation phase, where we have had a very sharp and aggressive movement to upper zones, yet the buy-side momentum has not faded away anywhere.
So that being said, we are still looking for ATH to be reached and broken; after that, we are going to aim for new highs.
Swallow Academy
ETHUSDT analysis – 1D OB & Market Structure Scenarios/ AltseasonOn the daily chart, Ethereum is consolidating below the ATH resistance (4859) after a strong rally.
We currently have two major Daily OB demand zones:
First Daily OB around 3200–3600
Second Daily OB around 2400–2800
From here, I see three possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Continuation without deep retracement → Price holds above 4100 and breaks ATH (4859).
2️⃣ Shallow pullback → Price dips into the 3200–3600 OB, then rallies back above ATH.
3️⃣ Deep correction → Price retraces into the 2400–2800 OB before starting a new bullish leg.
⚡ Key point: If any of these three bullish scenarios play out alongside a drop in BTC dominance and a rise in ETH dominance, it could be the real start of an Altseason, with ETH leading the market and altcoins following strongly.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
ETH/USDT – Mega Breakout on Higher Timeframe!Ethereum has confirmed a massive breakout on the 2W timeframe, breaking through a multi-year cup & handle and also ascending triangle formation. This is one of the strongest bullish continuation patterns and could fuel ETH into a new long-term rally. 🚀
📊 Chart Analysis
Pattern: Cup & Handle on the 2W chart.
Breakout Zone: Around $4,000–$4,300, now acting as support.
Measured Move Target: ~$14,500 (based on cup depth).
Stop Loss Zone: ~$3,200 (below major support).
✅ Bullish Factors
Multi-Year Accumulation: ETH has spent years consolidating below $4K, and this breakout confirms strength.
High R:R Setup: Risk is limited while the potential upside is ~3x from current levels.
Market Cycle Timing: BTC dominance topping out + potential altseason rotation favors ETH’s outperformance.
Strong Structure: Break above resistance aligns with long-term moving averages flipping bullish.
⚠️ Risk Factors
Macro events (FOMC, inflation data) could cause temporary retracements.
A weekly close back below $4K would invalidate the breakout.
BTC volatility may suppress ETH in the short term before altseason kicks in.
🎯 Targets
TP1: $6,500
TP2: $9,500
TP3: $14,500 (full measured move target)
📌 Conclusion
ETH is showing one of the strongest technical breakouts in years. If $4K+ holds as support, the path to new ATHs and beyond looks wide open. This setup could define the next phase of the bull market.
Bulls are in control — it’s ETH’s time to shine. 🌟
🔔 What’s your target for ETH in this cycle? $10K or higher? Let me know in the comments
Ethereum (ETH): Buy Zone Between 100-200EMAETH still struggles inside the EMAs, where we are looking for any signs of MSB to form in this region. Currently, the 100 EMA is being retested once again, whereupon seeing a breakout and buyside dominance above it, we might be getting a good buy entry right there.
The overall plan is simple: we want to see a major bounce happen in the zones of EMAs, which would lead the price to a new ATH.
Swallow Academy
When will the #ETH correction end?📊 When will the #ETH correction end❓
🧠From a structural perspective, the bearish target hasn't been reached yet, so the risk of further decline remains. Further gains are possible only if the downtrend line is broken and the price stabilizes above the blue zone.
➡️ Short-term support could be around 3900-4100.
Let's see 👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:ETHUSDT.P
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Took Control over 100EMA | Bullish SignsETH has entered the second stage of the upcoming bullish movement that we are expecting. Just like last time when we dipped below the EMAs, the price has reclaimed that zone back and now what we are looking for is a proper BOS to form near $4,370.
If we get that BOS there, then ETH will have a good bullish movement.
Swallow Academy
ETH at $4,100 – Can Bulls Defend Key Support Before FOMC..?ETH + FOMC = Volatility Ahead ? 🔥
Ethereum at Make-or-Break Zone: $4,100 Support in Focus!
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 4H timeframe is showing a decisive battle between bulls and bears. After topping near $4,700, ETH has been in a steady downtrend, respecting the descending trendline.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
* Immediate Support: $4,100 – $4,150 (0.5 Fib retracement)
* Major Support: $3,950 – $4,000 (0.618 Fib retracement)
* Resistance Zone: $4,300 – $4,350 (descending trendline)
* Major Resistance: $4,600 – $4,700 (recent swing high)
📈 Bullish Scenario
✅ A breakout above $4,300 trendline resistance could trigger strong momentum toward $4,500 - $4,600.
✅ Holding $4,100 support will keep buyers in control.
📉 Bearish Scenario
❌ If ETH fails to hold $4,100, expect a deeper retracement toward $4,000 (0.618 Fib).
❌ A break below $3,950 may extend the fall to $3,700 – $3,600.
⚠️ Market Note
📌 Today’s FOMC meeting could heavily impact the crypto market trend.
Expect volatility as Fed commentary on interest rates may guide ETH’s next major move.
⚖️ Conclusion
ETH is at a critical support zone where the next move will define short-term direction.
* Above $4,300 → Bulls regain control.
* Below $4,100 → Bears target $4,000 and lower.
Quick Update for EthereumYesterday, Ethereum broke the local low, pierced the second support level, and reacted from the moving averages.
At the moment, we can draw a new descending local trendline — if it breaks, I expect a move up toward 4,400 .
If the second support level breaks, we could see a drop toward 3,854 .
#ETH — A Trade Executed to the EndOn July 29, the indicator on the 1H timeframe triggered a long signal for Ethereum around the $3800 level. At that moment, many traders doubted the strength of the trend as the market moved sideways. Nevertheless, the algorithm identified the optimal entry point and opened the position.
From that day forward, the indicator systematically guided the trade, adjusting support levels and highlighting partial take-profit zones. The move developed steadily, and on August 14 the position was finally closed near $4500.
The trade delivered approximately +18% profit over two weeks of holding. This result demonstrates not only the accuracy of the signal but also the algorithm’s ability to keep a position open until the trend’s potential is fully realized.
This example highlights the key advantage of the indicator: it removes emotions and allows traders to follow a structured system. In a market where uncertainty often misleads even experienced participants, a disciplined algorithmic approach makes it possible to extract maximum value from price movements.
Our analysis turned out correctThe analysis we gave about the price reaching 4000 has played out. However, in my view, a buy position hasn’t been triggered yet since the trend is still clearly bearish, and we need strong confirmations before buying. That said, there’s also a high chance the trend could reverse sharply, and we might miss the move. In that case, there are two options: either enter with lower risk or, if we miss it, avoid FOMO.