Ethereum at $4,382 – Upside or Another Retest of $4,276?My main bias remains more upside. On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum is defending $4,280 support and testing $4,380 resistance. A break and hold above $4,380 opens the path toward $4,580, $4,690, and $4,860. Failure to hold $4,280 would shift focus to $4,150 and $4,100.
Do you also want me to round the prices in the full transcript I wrote earlier, so it matches this simplified style?
ETHUST.P trade ideas
ETHERUM New Analysis | Be Careful (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Considering the lack of price penetration and the formation of higher highs at the first supply zone, Ethereum may have already started its drop without a recovery and could move from the current area toward the $3,700–$3,500 range. So stay alert and manage your risk carefully.
There is still a slight chance of a price rebound to the upside.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
From Thesis to Trades: My Short-Selling Workflow
Last week was a clean case study of a disciplined short-selling workflow — not about predicting every candle, but about structuring the process.
Aug 26 — Announced short-selling opportunities (scenario building).
Aug 28 — First short position entry (measured risk, starter size).
Aug 29 — Switched to shorting on rallies (process over bias).
Aug 31 — Scaled in with a second tranche (confirmation > impulse).
Sep 1 — Tactical pause: temporary exit & observation (protect PnL, reset).
Sep 3 — Resumed phased entries when conditions aligned.
Key idea: My framework is repeatable: Announce → Enter → Scale → Pause → Resume.
It keeps me flexible through noise while staying aligned with the primary thesis.
Disclaimer: Educational only. Not financial advice. I do not recommend or solicit specific trades.
#BTC #ETH #CryptoTrading #ShortSelling #Process #RiskManagement #ECMethodology
03-09 2025 ETHUSDTAs shown in the figure: 30M Bearish Bat
The market is not always chaotic and disorderly, and there is a precise geometric beauty hidden in price fluctuations. The harmonic form long strategy is a powerful tool for accurately identifying potential market reversal points based on the Fibonacci ratio. When the form forms perfectly at the key support level, it often indicates the depletion of bearish momentum and the initiation of bullish trends.
Ethereum deciding between 4650 or 4350After a bullish candle in previous weeks driven by U.S. interest rate news, Ethereum has since shown no upward movement. In fact, it has reversed all those gains, and now it has reached a point where it must decide whether to bounce upward or face another rejection to lower prices. Once a trigger is confirmed, positions can be taken toward the mentioned zones.
ETH/USDT - Short Position Market Context:
ETH is trading near 4,426 and is showing signs of approaching a significant supply zone on the chart. The bias is bearish after a likely liquidity sweep above previous highs, with an expectation of price reversal from the identified resistance area.
Key Levels
Entry Zone (Sell Area): Between 4,533 and 4,635 (highlighted gray supply zone).
Stop Loss: Above 4,635 (invalidate level beyond supply).
Take Profit 1: 4,060 (first demand level / support).
Final Take Profit: 3,938 – 3,937 (major demand zone below).
Trade Rationale:
Supply Zone Reaction: Expecting ETH to tap into a key resistance area where previous selling occurred.
Liquidity Grab: Potential stop-hunt above 4,500 before reversal.
Bearish Structure: Market likely to resume downward trend after a corrective move.
Risk-Reward: Approx. 3:1 or better (high probability setup).
Strategy: Supply & Demand + Liquidity Sweep + Market Structure Shift
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 11💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
🔭 On the 1-hour timeframe of Ethereum, we can see that ETH has a similar situation to yesterday. It has an important resistance at $4382, and with a breakout and confirmation above this level, Ethereum could experience a good bullish leg. Keep in mind, according to the data we posted in the channel, yesterday people in the U.S. sold their ETH and bought Bitcoin.
⛏ Two key RSI zones for Ethereum are considered: 58 and 37. Once the oscillation limit crosses these numbers, ETH can start its move.
💰 The volume and the size of green candles in Ethereum have slightly increased, and with more volume and the filling of sell orders at the $4382 resistance, Ethereum could move upward.
🪙💸 On the 1-hour timeframe of the ETHBTC trading pair, we can see that this pair had a resistance at 0.03909, which was successfully broken with higher volume. With a completed pullback and breakout above 0.03939, Ethereum could move upward. Note that this level is directly related to the maker buyers of this pair, and in this timeframe, it’s almost at its bottom.
🔔 Two alarm zones are considered for Ethereum: the $4382 level as our long trade alarm zone, where with a breakout and confirmation above it ETH could move higher; and the $4273 level as the short trade alarm zone, where a breakdown could give us a short position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH LongStructure / context
Price completed a 5-wave decline into C inside a falling wedge (support = green line).
A descending supply line (red) caps the swings; a break above it would confirm momentum shift.
Horizontal reference levels from the chart: 4413, 4491, 4668, 4953. A stretch objective sits near 5045.
Plan
Bias: Long against wedge support.
Entry: around the current base (~4290–4310 area on the chart).
(Conservative alternative: wait for a close above the red trendline.)
Invalidation / stop: below 4208 (below wedge + box low).
Targets:
TP1: 4413 (first orange line)
TP2: 4491
TP3: 4668
Stretch: 4953 → possible extension toward 5045
Management notes:
If TP1 hits, consider moving stop to breakeven and trail below higher lows or the broken red trendline.
If price closes back below wedge support or the red trendline after breakout, treat as a failed move and stand aside.
Why this setup
Completed A-B-C correction with a terminal (1)–(5) into C at wedge support.
Repeated tests of the green support + contracting swings hint at seller exhaustion.
Break of the red trendline would confirm a shift in control; targets align with prior reaction zones.
Risk & transparency
Chart is built on standard OHLC candles; no non-standard chart types required.
This is a visual trade plan, not financial advice. Past behavior ≠ future results.
Lingrid | ETHUSDT Bullish Momentum Following Trendline BreakoutBINANCE:ETHUSDT is approaching the $4,200 support zone and forming a higher low structure. The chart shows a falling wedge pattern breaking against the downward trendline, indicating potential bullish reversal. If price holds above $4,200 and confirms breakout, continuation toward $4,600 becomes likely. Momentum is supported by prior impulse legs and structural rebounds, hinting at a bullish surge.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Breakout confirmation above the downward trendline
Buy zone: 4,200 – 4,250
Target: 4,600
Invalidation: Close below 4,000
💡 Risks
Failure to sustain above the breakout trendline could trap buyers.
Upcoming macroeconomic data from the U.S. may strengthen the dollar.
Broader crypto market correction could weaken ETH momentum.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Ethereum (ETH): Still Hovering Near EMAs, Looking For BounceETH is still hovering around the 200EMA, a zone that has historically acted as a strong bounce level. If you look back, every major recovery started with similar setups, where price dipped into the EMAs and buyers stepped in with momentum.
Right now, we are waiting for that same confirmation. If buyers hold the 200EMA and push higher, we are set for a move towards $5,555, keeping the same bullish plan in play. Nothing major has changed — just patience until the bounce plays out.
Swallow Academy
This is where we heading bitch.I believe that we are heading to valhalla and this is your last chance to buy this shit. I aint gonna say this is the golden hour but time is not on our hands. Believe on ETH. ETH is going to be BTC's bitch and we are going to be happy about that! fuk yall.
PS
I will delete this idea if I am wrong so I would have 100 percent success rate going forward
ETHUSDT. Where to Go Long and Where to Take ProfitsHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
August has ended, and it’s time to look at the monthly charts. Let’s focus on Ethereum. The price is trading within the 1,700–4,868 range. The August candle touched the upper boundary of this range and we saw a pullback.
If we go back a bit to June 2022, we can see a strong seller candle that broke through the lower boundary of the range on high volume. After that came accumulation, and then the buyer absorbed the seller’s candle. That was the moment when investors could look for long entries with the goal of reaching the upper boundary of the range. The second good entry opportunity for investors came in April–May of this year, when the price retested 1,700.
So, where should we be looking for trades now? Let’s first identify where the price could go. To do this, we measure the price deviation downward from the 1,700 level and project it onto the upper boundary of the price range. I estimate the price could reach around 5,681.
Now it’s important to understand where we can find an entry. For this, let’s look at the daily chart.
On the daily timeframe, the price is also trading within the 4,060–4,956 range. There’s a strong buyer candle with high volume, but so far the buyer hasn’t been able to resume the move from it. That’s why I expect the price might dip below 4,207 and then head toward a new ATH. That’s the first scenario.
The second scenario is a dip below 4,060 into the 3,880–4,060 range, followed by a move to a new ATH. The target of about 5,700 was already defined on the monthly chart.
So, where should you enter? The entry comes after the price, in either of these scenarios, moves back above the broken level.
Wishing you profitable trades!
ETH at a Make-or-Break Level — Will $4,286 Hold or Fold?ETH Daily – Descending Triangle at Key Support
ETH is currently testing major support at $4,322, forming a bearish descending triangle. Price is compressing, and volume has decreased over the last week — typical of consolidation before a breakout.
RSI is around 50, sitting below its moving average and flattening, showing neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
MACD is below the signal line but still above zero. Histogram is red and trending lower, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Stochastic RSI is near oversold territory, which could suggest a short-term bounce — but no confirmation yet.
Volume continues to decline, suggesting a bigger move is coming.
If $4,322 breaks, next support is around $4,286, with a potential drop toward $4,065 if momentum accelerates.
If support holds, expect possible sideways action or accumulation. Watch for fake-outs — especially if price attempts to reclaim the upper triangle trendline without volume support.
Bias: Neutral to Bearish — waiting for confirmation.
ETHEREUM WILL MAKE NEW ALL TIME HIGHS AND THEN !!! DOOMSDAY !!ETH looks primed for new ATH now that late longs have been wiped off. There is considerable fear in the market but not fear enough ! ETH is about to explode with rest of the ALTS ! make you money while you can and then run for the hills my dudes. This will be epic !
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
ETH 4H Demand Zone Retest, Defend $4.2K or Break Down To $3.3K?Ethereum is sitting at the key $4.2K demand zone, where price meets the ascending support trendline and prior liquidity levels. This area will decide whether ETH continues higher or breaks lower into a broader correction.
If buyers defend $4.2K, the next upside target is $4.95K resistance, which aligns with the dotted range high. A successful retest here would confirm continuation of the broader uptrend.
On the flip side, losing $4.2K and sweeping liquidity could trigger a breakdown toward $3.37K, the next major support zone.
Indicators show a mixed picture: Stoch RSI is near oversold, suggesting a bounce could form, while the MACD Liquidity Tracker is pointing to weakening momentum.
Key levels:
– Demand Zone: $4.2K
– Resistance: $4.95K
– Support: $3.37K
ETHUSDT: 4200-4280 Reversal ZoneIdea:
Looking at the daily chart for ETHUSDT, the zone between 4280 and 4200 has repeatedly acted as strong support. This area continues to hold, showing resilience as sellers struggle to push price meaningfully lower.
If a trend reversal is in play, this is exactly where I would look to get involved on the long side.
Curve Model Explanation:
Price often follows a cycle: it moves from the top of the curve (overbought, higher risk to long) down to the bottom of the curve (oversold, lower risk to long). Currently, ETHUSDT is positioned at the bottom of this curve, making it a favorable risk area to consider a long trade.
Risk/Reward View:
Entering here means low risk to the upside, as buyers have been consistently absorbing downward moves. The reward is attractive if sellers continue to lose steam and momentum shifts upward.
Candlestick Evidence:
Recent candles show decreasing selling pressure—smaller real bodies and longer downward wicks reflect seller exhaustion and a battle to hold lower prices. While ETHUSDT is still challenging the trendline above, the push lower is weakening.
Summary:
I am watching the 4280-4200 support zone as a prime area for a potential trend reversal. It aligns with the bottom of the curve—classic low-risk, high-reward territory. The candlestick structure supports my thesis: sellers are fading, and an upside break could provide a strong opportunity for bulls.
Would love to hear your thoughts on this setup! Do you see the same reversal potential in the 4280-4200 zone? Are there other signals or confluences you’re watching here? Share your perspective and let’s discuss possible trade ideas or alternative scenarios.
Waiting for support confirmationIf Ethereum manages to give a strong confirmation of breaking the key support level it’s currently testing, it’s not unlikely that the price could drop much further. However, for a real bearish move, there are still many major supports ahead, and it would require a significant amount of selling pressure to break through them. Overall though, the bullish path seems much easier for Ethereum than a deep decline.
ETHUSDT TRADE 09.02.2025We can see a bullish wedge on 4 hour timeframe, in addition ETH price formed three low lows while RSI index is growing which a clear sign of a bullish divergence. Additionally, ETH bounced up from a strong support level EMA-200 on 4 hour timeframe, it indicates that bulls managed to defend this level. Therefore we can expect the growth on the chart. I applied Fibonacci Retracement from the highest to lowest price and key levels for take profits will be on 0,5 level of fibonacci, then 0,61, and the last one is 0,786. I will try to hold a trade till 0,61 level, but depending on trading approach you can close it earlier, at least on 0,5 level of fibonacci. Good luck with your trades, pals!