[SeoVereign] ETHEREUM Outlook – August 12, 2025I will present a short position perspective on Ethereum for August 12.
This idea is based on the premise that the direction is downward, derived from a strict counting of Bitcoin, and the specific entry point was set based on the Shark pattern.
Accordingly, the average take-profit target was set at around 4,126 USDT.
I plan to continue updating this idea as the movement unfolds.
Thank you.
ETHUST.P trade ideas
DeGRAM | ETHUSD retest of the support level📊 Technical Analysis
● ETH exploded out of the purple median channel, invalidating March-July lower-highs; retest of 3 210 held as a fresh higher-low, confirming trend acceleration.
● Price is now travelling the channel’s outer parallel; flag pole projected from the 2 430→3 210 thrust aligns with the 4 150-4 250 supply zone shown in pink.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CME ether futures OI hit a 14-month high on 17 Jul while exchange balances dropped to a five-year low, signalling strong institutional demand and tight float ahead of expected spot-ETF approvals.
✨ Summary
Long 3 210-3 300; hold above 3 210 targets 3 600 → 4 200. Bull view void on a 16 h close below 3 020.
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ETH - 1H Elliott Wave Analysis - 08.08.25Welcome to our Elliott Wave Analysis for Ethereum! :D
We assume that we bottomed on the 3rd of August and started an impulsive move up from there displayed as the white 5 wave move up. We assume that the white Wave 1 and 2 are finished and we are working on the 3rd Wave. We added a smaller degree count for this white Wave 3 displayed in green of which we finished Wave 1,2 and probably 3 too and could have started the green Wave 4. The support area for the green Wave 4 is between the 0.236 FIB at 3892 USD and the 0.5 FIB at 3870 USD. Technically we touched the 0.236 FIB already which means the green Wave 4 could be in.
We added the 1.382 FIB target at 4069 USD and the 1.618 FIB target at 4159 USD for the white Wave 3 where the green Wave 5 should take us to in this impulsive count.
In case we break the green Wave 4 support area and invalide the green 5 wave move up the alternative is a diagonal which means the white Wave 3 would be an ABC displayed in red instead which would allow us for a deeper retracement. For the red B Wave we added a support area between the 0.382 FIB a 3806 USD and the 0.886 FIB at 3591. There is also the white trendline which goes directly through the golden picket which could function as further support. The golden pocket is also slightly below the white Wave 1 high which could spark some buying interest if we get a deeper retracement.
We hope you enjoyed the analysis and you're now well prepared for coming price action!
Thanks for reading.
NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
ETH | NEW ATH or DUMP ?Ethereum recently peaked at $3900. And allthough this is not a new ATH (close by a few hundred dollars), it is a local high for the year.
My last update was on an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on ETH, which has since increased over 50%:
(The original idea here:)
The question now, is what's next for ETH - further increase, or are the increases over for the near term and is a correction more likely?
I'm going to say that the increases for ETH are over for now. This is because we correction is most definitely due after such a large increase in a fairly short timeframe. I'm not saying we're heading into a full out bearish cycle, but a 20-25% correction would be most normal at this point.
Additionally, XRP has also made it's peak and lost the high, now trading just under $3. This is a strong sign that the alts have likely already rallied, since XRP used to be the last to increase (if it increased at all, historically. (Thanks Jedd).
I was very lucky to call that top here:
Either way, buyers may use this correction to scoop up on smaller alts over the next few weeks. This ultimately depends on whether the market has ONE MORE pump, and if the correction will bounce back from a 20-25% pullback.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
ETHUSDT analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsETH has recently rejected from the 4,370 area, showing signs of short-term exhaustion.
On the 1H chart, a clear FVG is located around 4,100, which could act as a liquidity target if selling pressure continues.
Below that, we have a strong Bullish OB around 3,900, aligning with previous demand and potential reversal interest.
If price retraces into the FVG zone (4,100) and shows bullish reaction in lower timeframes, short-term buys could be considered targeting 4,300 – 4,370.
A deeper move into the OB at 3,900 would be a high-probability long setup for swing traders, with upside potential toward 4,500.
For now, structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term correction is possible before continuation.
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD & Crypto
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
ETHUSDT 4H Breakout: Symmetrical Triangle Targets AheadMEXC:ETHUSDT
Key Elements:
Pattern: The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern formed by two converging trendlines connecting the highs (resistance) and lows (support). The breakout appears to have occurred upward from point D, with a measured move of 1.683 times the height of the triangle (from 0.619 to 4.49).
Price Levels:
Entry/Breakout Point (D): Approximately 4.49.
Stop Loss: Set at 4,333.59, just below the upper trendline and recent high.
Targets:Target 1: 4,047.34.
Target 2: 3,963.67.
Target 3: 3,651.82.
The price range spans from around 3,250 to 4,500 USDT.
Indicators:The triangle's height (0.619) and the breakout move (4.49) suggest a calculated target projection.
Green and red candlesticks indicate bullish and bearish periods, respectively.
Analysis:The upward breakout from the triangle suggests bullish momentum, with the price potentially aiming for the listed targets.
The stop loss at 4,333.59 is strategically placed to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
The targets decrease incrementally, indicating a possible profit-taking strategy as the price progresses.
ETHUSDT - SOLANAThe digital currencies Ethereum and Solana have not grown much due to the increase in the prices of other major currencies. Since both currencies include strong networks and are considered the leading cryptocurrency, long-term price increases can be expected for these two currencies and they are considered good investment options.
Sasha Charkhchian
ETH well over extended but almost identical patternsETH well over extended but almost identical patterns before marking up hard.
question is whether the ETH narrative is strong enough to get through the profit takers..
We have a big BTC CME gap below which means we will likely get a close sometime soon back down to fill it in the NY session or soon after.
ETH | Swing Long IdeaETH | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased risk appetite across global markets are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has run the HTF liquidity level at $4100.
While the breakout above $4100 was aggressive, it appears price may require additional liquidity before pushing higher.
This idea focuses on a possible ETH retracement and continuation pattern over the coming days to weeks.
📌 Game Plan
If a deep retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 0.5 Fibonacci discount zone and the 0.75 retracement level for optimal entries.
Key focus: daily demand zone at $3750 — ideally aligned with the 0.75 retracement.
I won’t wait for an exact touch of the 0.75 level; instead, I’ll watch for strength and a clear break of structure to trigger entries.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 12H–4H break of structure shift after the daily demand zone at $3750 is hit.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 12H–4H swing low that caused the break of structure
Targets:
TP1: $4088
TP2: $4330
TP3: $5000 (possible swing point)
Will trail stops aggressively to secure profits as price moves in my favor.
💬 Like & follow if you found this breakdown helpful — more setups coming soon!
Altcoins and Altseason:How to Understand and Use Them in Trading
The cryptocurrency market has long moved beyond Bitcoin’s monopoly. Today, it consists of thousands of digital assets, each with its own technology, goals, and economic model. Among traders, two terms are frequently used — “altcoin” and “altseason,” and understanding them is essential for anyone aiming to earn consistently in crypto.
An altcoin is any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin. The first alternative coins appeared in 2011, when developers sought to improve BTC by offering faster transactions, new algorithms, or additional features. Today, some of the most well-known altcoins include:
Ethereum (ETH) — the leader in smart contracts and decentralized applications.
Ripple (XRP) — focused on fast international transfers.
Cardano (ADA) — known for its scientific approach and energy efficiency.
Solana (SOL) — prioritizes ultra-fast transaction speeds.
Polygon (MATIC) — tackles blockchain scalability issues.
Altseason refers to a period when altcoins become the main growth drivers of the market, outperforming Bitcoin in both speed and volume of price gains. During this time, investors often take profits from BTC and move capital into other projects. As Bitcoin’s dominance declines, space opens up for alternative coins to rally. In such phases, traders shift their attention to promising technologies and big news stories, with many altcoin charts showing growth that far exceeds that of Bitcoin.
For a trader, altseason is not just a flashy market phase — it’s a period of maximum opportunity. With the right analysis, it can deliver returns that are hard to achieve during normal market conditions. However, the potential for high profit also comes with high risk. The altcoin market is known for sharp volatility, and choosing the wrong asset can result in losses just as significant as potential gains.
That’s why it’s crucial not only to understand what altcoins and altseason are but also to recognize them in time. This requires a combination of fundamental and technical analysis, tracking Bitcoin dominance trends, and using reliable trading tools that can spot shifts in market cycles. With a thoughtful approach, altseason can become the window of opportunity that opens the door to new results in trading.
ETH update 9.06.2025Hello everyone, many of you asked me to publish my vision for ETH.
Here you go!
I believe that the previous impulse movement was only the first upward movement, and now we are in a sideways correction movement — call it what you will, but the fact is that the exit from this flat will be upward.
1. End of the year
2. ETH is accumulating on the Onchain
3. Liquidity overflow from BTC can be seen on the ETHBTC chart, and the overflow began at the very bottom
4. What else can large conservative players accumulate?
5. We are going after liquidity from above and should break 4100 by September
Best Regards EXCAVO
ETH/USD – Multi-Degree Terminal Advance: Daily ⑤ of CETH/USDT – Multi-Degree Terminal Advance: Daily Wave ⑤ of C Inside Weekly Wave C (Ending Diagonal)
1️⃣ Higher-Timeframe Context (Weekly)
ETH has been unfolding a large corrective A-B-C structure from the all-time high.
The current rally is Wave C of that correction.
Structural note: On the weekly, Wave 4 overlaps Wave 1 → violates standard impulse rules → the entire Wave C is taking the form of an Ending Diagonal.
Why this matters:
Ending diagonals appear in terminal positions (Wave 5 of an impulse or Wave C of a correction).
They often end with a throw-over above the upper trendline, followed by sharp and deep reversals.
2️⃣ Intermediate-Timeframe Context (Daily)
On the daily, we are in:
Wave ⑤ of daily Wave C.
That daily Wave C is also the final leg of weekly Wave C.
Implication:
Two degrees (daily & weekly) are scheduled to terminate together → high-probability major turning point.
3️⃣ Structure & Internal Wave Count
From the IV(B) low in April, ETH has advanced in five overlapping sub-waves:
Wave 1 – steady breakout leg.
Wave 2 – shallow pullback.
Wave 3 – strongest rally to date.
Wave 4 – pullback overlapping Wave 1 territory → confirms diagonal.
Wave 5 – ongoing final push into target zone.
Internals of each wave show a-b-c formations, consistent with diagonal rules.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Target Confluence
Anchor: IV(B) low → Wave 3 high → Wave 4 low
1.618 extension: $4,531 → first resistance.
2.000 extension: $5,102 → primary target.
Upper wedge projection / throw-over: $5,500–$5,650.
These levels also align with weekly fib projections for Wave C → creating a multi-timeframe resistance cluster.
5️⃣ Momentum & Divergence
MACD (Daily): Histogram making lower highs while price makes higher highs → early bearish divergence.
RSI (Daily & Weekly): Approaching overbought with flattening momentum → consistent with terminal phases.
Volume: Gradual contraction during the advance; watch for final spike on throw-over.
6️⃣ Scenarios
A) Terminal Top Scenario (Base Case)
Price completes Wave ⑤ of C inside the $4,531–$5,102 box.
Possible throw-over into $5,500–$5,650 on ETF hype.
Followed by swift rejection back inside wedge → break of Wave-4 low confirms top.
Targets after confirmation:
First: Wedge base / 0.382 retrace (~$3,800).
Next: 0.5 retrace (~$3,500).
Extended: Origin of diagonal (~$2,900).
B) ETF Extension Scenario
Price consolidates above $5,100 and pushes toward $5,500–$5,650.
Still part of Wave ⑤, just a stretched terminal before reversal.
Same confirmation rules: break of Wave-4 low validates reversal.
7️⃣ Invalidation & Risk Levels
Bearish invalidation: Break of Wave-4 low = high-probability top.
Bullish invalidation: Sustained breakout + consolidation above $5,650 would require re-evaluating the diagonal scenario.
8️⃣ Trade Plan (Non-Advice)
Aggressive fade: Short into $4,531–$5,102, add near $5,500–$5,650 if reached, stop above wedge throw-over.
Conservative: Wait for daily close back inside wedge and break of Wave-4 low, then short pullbacks.
Positioning note: Size down in diagonals — volatility spikes at turns.
9️⃣ Key Chart Annotations for Publishing
Wedge trendlines from Wave-II(B) low to Wave-IV(B) low.
Label 1–2–3–4–5 (with a-b-c internals) on daily.
Highlight $4,531, $5,102, and $5,500–$5,650 zones.
Mark Wave-4 low and wedge base with "Top Confirmed Below Here".
Add MACD/RSI divergence notes in top-right.
📌 Summary
ETH is in the final stages of a multi-degree ending diagonal:
Daily Wave ⑤ of C inside Weekly Wave C.
Both degrees likely terminate in $4,531–$5,102, with throw-over potential to $5,500–$5,650.
Once confirmed, expect a fast, deep retrace — this is a terminal pattern with macro top potential.
ETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL | 10 AUGUST 2025 ETHUSDT – TECHNICAL BUY CALL | 10 AUGUST 2025
The coin has been moving in an uptrend marked with a light blue color channel. Although it recently broke down from this channel, it has sustained itself and formed a double bottom pattern. We expect the coin to test the recent swing high and achieve multiple bullish targets before any change in trend direction.
ETH 1D Breakout Returns Price to December HighsEthereum broke a long-term downtrend in May, retested the breakout zone, and launched into a powerful rally that has now brought price back to the December 2024 high supply zone. This area is a key decision point — a clean breakout could lead to new highs, while rejection here may trigger the first real pullback since the rally began.