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ETH - 17/09 VS TODAY - MASTERCALL AGAIN! 🏆 #ETH - 17/09 vs Today - Update 🔄 Medium-Term Outlook: “Insane Plays Ahead!” 🔥 🎯Targets hit: $4,000–$4,050 liquidity zone ✔️ Current TA: 🔸Price rejected sharply; H4 looks bearish, RSI is highly oversold. 🔸Short-term: potential for a relief bounce! 🔸Possible scenario: Retest of the $4,300–$4,350 former support ahead? 📈 Weekly Structure 🔹Bias stays bullish long-term. 🔹BUT: Structure reminds me a lot of #BTC right before its massive run! 🔹Are we about to see an extra dip towards $3,700- $3,800 before the next moon mission? (Check chart for context!)📉💣 Short-Term Bias 🔹Price action = Neutral & tricky. 🔹Bulls want a reclaim above $3,780 to keep the upper hand. 🔹Big risk: If we break below $3,780 → likely drop to $3,300–$3,200 range!⚠️ Local Support Zones $4,070 $4,000 💡Summary Still bullish medium/long term, but a further correction is very possible before liftoff! Bulls need to hold $3,780. Below = trouble…Above = game still on for ATH attempts later. 📉
by Cryptojobs
Long trade 30min TF overview Pair: ETHUSDT Direction: Buyside trade Date/Session: Fri 19th Sept 2025, NY Session PM Timeframe: 30-Min 🔹 Trade Details Entry: 4461.47 Profit Level: 4855.75 (+8.89%) Stop Level: 4416.04 (-1.00%) Risk-Reward (RR): 8.59 🔹 Technical Structure Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Overhead FVGs at ~4655 – 4855 are acting as a potential magnet for liquidity. Liquidity Levels: Clear sweep of prior lows around 4460 (stop hunt/liquidity grab). Buyside liquidity resting above 4650–4700. Order Blocks / Demand Zones: Strong demand block at ~4450–4460 region, now acting as support. 🔹 Indicators RSI: Deeply oversold (below 30), hinting at bullish reversal probability. Volume: Large spike at lows, confirming stop run and potential smart money entry. Moving Averages: Price reclaiming short-term EMA, indicating early momentum shift. 🔹 Narrative / Trade Rationale Market engineered a stop hunt into demand at 4460 before reversing. High volume and RSI oversold strengthen the buy-side reversal case. The trade aims to capitalise on the move back into inefficiencies (FVGs) left behind by the previous sell-off.
Long
by davidjulien369
5
ETH ANALYSISETH has broken above the long-term trendline, a major structural shift on the weekly chart. From here, I think price may pull back to retest the trendline along with the bull market support band. If that retest holds and momentum stays constructive, ETH could bounce strongly and eventually push toward making a new all-time high. 🎯 Conclusion: My view is bullish in the bigger picture — I expect ETH to retest the trendline and bull market support band before attempting a major breakout to new highs.
by abo0o
Ethereum at Critical Support – What’s Next?📊 ETH/USDT – 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ Descending Channel: Ethereum is still moving inside a clear descending channel. Sellers remain in control as every rally to the channel top has been rejected. 2️⃣ Trendline Break: The short-term ascending trendline (orange) has just been broken with strong selling pressure, dragging the price into the $4,200 – $4,250 support zone. 3️⃣ Key Support Zone: The first major support lies at $4,200 – $4,250. If this level holds, ETH could see a short-term rebound toward $4,400 – $4,600. 4️⃣ Main Buy Zone: If $4,200 fails, the next strong demand zone sits at $3,950 – $4,100, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This is where stronger buying interest is expected. 5️⃣ Resistance Levels: • Near-term: $4,450 – $4,600 • Major: $4,750 – $4,800 ⚖️ Summary: • Bullish scenario: Holding $4,200 → bounce to $4,400 / $4,600. • Bearish scenario: Losing $4,200 → drop to $4,000 – $3,950 (main BUY zone). 👉 At this stage, trading in the middle of the channel is risky. Safer entries come either near $4,000 – $4,100 or after a confirmed breakout above $4,600.
Long
by CryptoPilot
1
ETH 1H Wave Check📊 Current Setup ETH’s movin’ like BTC’s lil’ bro rn — same structure on the lower TFs. Price is cruisin’ inside that 4125–4200 zone consolidation box. 🚦 Scenarios 👉 If price pops out the top of that box, first wave could send us ridin’ toward $4400 🏄💸. 👉 But without a clean breakout, it’s just sideways chop — patience is still the play. 🧭 My Take This is classic “wait for the set” surf energy 🌊. No breakout, no ride. Rules of the gang 😏. ❓ What’s Your Vibe? You think ETH’s ready to catch that next wave, or will it stall out under 4200? Drop your read below 👇
by peyfx
2
Activation trigger: 4h-close > 3977 (KC-Lower recap)Snapshot (last 4h-candle) — with the meaning of each indicator • Price: ~3910.5 — current base point. • VWAP (entire period): ~4245.2; z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.72 — price is significantly lower than "fair" (by VWAP), deviation is stronger than usual → increased probability of average return. • aVWAP (anchors): start 4245.2, 60d 4256.0, from swing low 4036.6, from swing high 4020.0 — below swing anchors ⇒ sellers are locally dominant; below global (start/60d) ⇒ the cycle is still under pressure. • Donchian 20: High 4228.8 / Mid 4025.1 / Low 3821.3 — boundaries of the local trading frame; Mid is often the target of rotation. • Donchian 55: High 4643.7 / Mid 4232.5 / Low 3821.3 — "higher" range; breaking Mid changes the balance. • Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~4490.5, VAL ~3627.2, VAH ~4778.2 — we are far below POC, inside the value-area; POC is a "magnet" for returns. • HVN (volume nodes): ~4275–4420 and 4538–4610 (stable supply/demand zones). • LVN (thin spots): ~3939, 4059–4107, 3723, 3435–3531 (slippery acceleration corridors). • RSI(14): ~16.3 — deep oversold; often anticipates a rebound (but not always immediately in a strong trend). • MFI(14): ~8.5 — oversold, taking into account volume; reinforces the thesis about a technical bounce. • CMF(20): ~−0.06 — light capital outflow; for a stable reverse, you need ≥0. • MACD(12/26/9): line −98.6 < signal −85.5, hist. −13.2 — bearish impulse is still active, the histogram is shrinking → impulse weakening. • ADX/DMI(14): ADX ~63.0; +DI ~3.4 / −DI ~42.8 — very strong downtrend (−DI ≫ +DI). • ATR(14): ~81.8$ — characteristic 4h swing; used for buffers. • Keltner: Upper 4285 / Mid 4131 / Lower 3977 — the price is below KC-Lower: statistically, this is the mean-reversion zone to Mid (if the market makes a level recap). • Bollinger(20,2): Upper 4291 / Mid 4126 / Lower 3960 — below BB-Lower; mean-reversion to 4126 is likely when the trend weakens. • BB-Squeeze: OFF — no squeeze; volatility is already open. • z(Price−VWAP) ≈ −2.72 — the "discount" to VWAP is abnormally large → extreme on the selling side. • OBV z-scores: z50 −1.98 / z100 −2.56 / z200 −2.93, OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.16 — volume background for the fall (distribution), no fresh influx of buyers is visible. • Open Interest: ~1.05M, z(168) ≈ −0.07, ROC(5/10) ≈ +0.05/+0.05 — moderate set of positions on the decline (it looks like shorts were added); this strengthens trend continuations, but also creates fuel for short-squeeze at the recap. Latest divergences (auto-detector) • RSI: bullish on Aug 18 07:00 → Aug 19 03:00, bearish on Aug 24 03:00 → Aug 24 19:00 • MACD: bullish on Sep 8 19:00 → Sep 9 15:00, bearish on Sep 15 23:00 → Sep 17 07:00 • OBV: bullish 7 Sep 19:00 → 8 Sep 07:00, bearish 15 Sep 23:00 → 17 Sep 07:00 • MFI: bullish 7 Sep 19:00 → 8 Sep 07:00, bearish 10 Sep 15:00 → 11 Sep 07:00 ⸻ What does it mean now 1. Mode: an extremely strong downward trend (ADX>60), with RSI/MFI in deep oversold, and the price below KC/BB-Lower and significantly below VWAP → a technical rotation towards the averages is statistically imminent; without confirmation, the market may still "slide along the lower edge." 2. Profile: under the upper HVN and significantly lower than POC ~4490 → KC/BB-Mid (≈4130) and Donch-20 Mid (4025) will act as a magnet on a stable recap round; above is 4232 (Donch-55 Mid). 3. Derivatives: OI slightly ↑ on red bars and OBV-z strongly neg. — downward extensions are possible, but with the first powerful recap, there is a chance for a short-squeeze. ⸻ Key levels Resistance: 3977 (KC-Lower) → 4025 (Donch-20 Mid) → 4126/4131 (BB/KC-Mid) → 4232 (Donch-55 Mid) → 4285/4291 (KC/BB-Upper) → HVN-cluster 4275–4420 → 4490 (POC). Supports: 3960 (BB-Lower) → 3939 (LVN) → 3821 (Donch-Low 20/55) → 3723 (LVN) → 3627 (VAL) → 3531/3459/3435 (LVN-pockets). ⸻ Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council) A) Basic - rotation to the middle (4025 → 4126/4131) Status: not activated yet (close < KC-Lower). • Activation trigger: 4h-close > 3977 (KC-Lower recap) and better > ~4018 (KC-Lower + 0.5×ATR, ATR≈81.8), with RSI > 25–30, MFI > 20, hist. MACD↑, CMF → 0. • Targets: 4025 → 4126/4131 → 4232 on impulse. • Invalidator: return < 3977 after recap, especially if OI ROC+ is on a red candle and OBV z50 ≤ −2.0. B) Continuation of the downward trend • Trigger: 4h-close < 3821 (Donch-Low), ADX ≥ 40, OBV z50 ≤ −2.0, OI ROC+ on the fall. • Targets: 3723 (LVN) → 3627 (VAL) → 3531/3459/3435 (LVN-pockets). • Invalidator: fast return > 3977 and hold. C) Short-squeeze (acceleration up) • Trigger: impulse break and hold > 4232 (Donch-55 Mid) or > 4285/4291 (KC/BB-Upper) when OI decreases and OBV increases. • Targets: HVN 4275–4420 → 4490 (POC) → 4643 (Donch-55 High) on development. • Invalidator: fake breakout with return < 4130. ⸻ Tactics (example of logic) • Impulse long (on the base): after closing > 4018. Partial fixation at 4025, main fixation at 4126/4131; then, trail to 4232. Stop under 3977 (or local minimum of the recap) with a buffer of 0.5×ATR (~41$). • Reversal long (conservative): from KC-Lower/BB-Lower 3977/3960 only when demand reacts (RSI/MFI up, CMF→0/+, hist. MACD is shrinking). Targets 4025 → 4130. • Contra-trend short: on rejection 4126/4131 → 4232 at RSI<50, hist. MACD↓, OI ROC+ — targets 4025 → 3977; stop — over 4235–4240. ⸻ Briefly: what to expect The basic setup is a technical rotation up (to 4025 → 4130), but it will turn on only after a recap > 3977 / better > 4018. • We will confirm the recap → a logical move to Mid-am (4126/4131), with strength to 4232. • We will break through 3821 on a growing OI/weak OBV → continuation down to 3723 → 3627 → 3530+
by AlexeyBullBear0297
$ETH Bearish Short-Term (September 25, 2025)BINANCE:ETHUSDT CRYPTOCAP:ETH Strong Bearish Pressure with Oversold RSI Signals Overall Price Trend: ETH has experienced a sharp decline from recent highs around 4,700-4,800 USDT earlier in the period, now hovering near 3,472 USDT (as labeled on the chart). The recent candlesticks show a series of strong red (bearish) bars, indicating heavy selling pressure in the last few hours. This mirrors broader market weakness, possibly correlated with BTC's drop. Ichimoku Cloud:The price is firmly below the cloud, a classic bearish setup signaling sustained downward momentum. Tenkan-sen (red line) is below Kijun-sen (blue line) in a bearish crossover, and the cloud itself is thinning but still reddish and acting as overhead resistance. The Chikou Span (lagging line) is also below price action, reinforcing the downtrend. RSI (Relative Strength Index): At the bottom panel, RSI is deeply oversold at 21.31—well below the 30 threshold. This suggests the selling has been exhaustive, potentially setting up for a short-term relief bounce. However, in a strong bearish context like this, it often just signals a pause rather than a full reversal. Volume and Momentum: High volume on the red candles points to aggressive selling, with no immediate bullish divergence. The price is testing potential support around 3,400-3,450 USDT, but the momentum lines (like the blue trendline) are sloping downward sharply. Summary: The chart remains Bearish dominantly, with the drop accelerating. The extreme oversold RSI adds a layer of caution for a possible pullback, but the Ichimoku setup keeps the bias downward. Forecast Until Tomorrow (September 26, 2025):Based on the 2H chart, the bearish trend may continue in the coming hours, but with a small chance of rebound due to the deeply oversold RSI. Here are the possible scenarios: Base Scenario (Bearish, 75% probability): Price could test lower levels around 3,300-3,400 USDT if selling persists (especially if the cloud remains resistant). This would happen without a positive Ichimoku crossover or a strong green candle, and it's likely if broader market (e.g., BTC) stays weak. Alternative Scenario (Mild Bullish, 25% probability): A short-term bounce to 3,550-3,650 USDT, if RSI climbs above 30 and price breaks the Tenkan-sen. This would be temporary, without changing the broader bearish trend. To monitor, watch key levels: Support at 3,417 (recent low), resistance at 3,584 (near-term high). If ETH breaks below 3,400, it could accelerate lower; a close above 3,500 might signal temporary relief.
Short
by AltcoinPiooners
#ETH Double Top Structure, Beware of Pullback📊#ETH Double Top Structure, Beware of Pullback📉 🧠From a structural perspective, we've formed a bearish double top structure within the red target zone, so be wary of a deeper pullback. ➡️After today's plunge, we retested the weekly neckline support. We're currently in a rebound phase and have encountered resistance at the 4H neckline. Don't chase the rally here! Strong resistance lies around 4300-4400. If price reaches this level, look for shorting opportunities. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:ETHUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
Ethereum (ETH): Back Near $4000 | Huge Shakeout Going OnETH has had a nasty fall since breaking the long trend holders' EMAs. Since then we were looking for a reclaim of EMAs but what happened was the price bottomed at $4000, which is a strong support zone! Every indicator is telling us the ETH is oversold and so we are looking for some kind of bounce to happen anytime soon, which would lead to a retest of EMAs, and then most likely back above them and movement to a new ATH! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
1
ETH Swing Long Idea - RDM is in playETH Swing Long Idea 📊 Market Sentiment FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more 0.25% cuts expected in the coming months. Additionally, institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, the weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, driving more capital into risk-on assets. 📈 Technical Analysis Price is in HTF bullish order flow, so I will only be looking for long setups. ETH made its all-time high and is currently retracing to gather more energy for higher moves. Price also ran the HTF Range Low liquidity, which contained significant liquidity — an engineered move I expect to lead the market higher. 📘 Range Deviation Model (RDM) In this model, I define the HTF Range High/Low. I wait for price to run one side of the range liquidity (either Range High or Range Low), then close back inside the range. That becomes the entry trigger, targeting internal range liquidity first. If HTF trend supports, the opposite range liquidity becomes the full target. 📌 Game Plan I will be playing the Range Deviation Model (RDM) here. Looking for a daily close above 4065$ as validation. 🎯 Setup Trigger Entry after daily close above 4065$. 📋 Trade Management Stoploss: 4000$ Targets: TP1: 4484$ TP2: 4700$ TP3: 4965$ 💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
$ETH shows bullish hidden RSI divergence.A **bullish hidden RSI divergence** is a trading signal that suggests a continuation of an upward trend, often indicating that the price will keep rising. It occurs when the price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) show a specific pattern. Here's a simple explanation of how to identify and trade it: ### Step 1: Understand the Pattern - **Price Action**: The price makes **higher lows** (each low point is higher than the previous one), indicating an uptrend. - **RSI**: The RSI makes **lower lows** (the RSI is declining while the price is not), showing a divergence from the price trend. - This mismatch suggests that the uptrend is still strong, and the dip in RSI is just a temporary slowdown in momentum, not a reversal. ### Step 2: Identify the Divergence 1. **Chart Setup**: Use a price chart (e.g., candlestick chart) with the RSI indicator (typically set to 14 periods) on a platform like TradingView . 2. **Spot Higher Lows in Price**: Look for a price chart where the recent low is higher than the previous low (e.g., $100 to $105). 3. **Check RSI for Lower Lows**: At the same time, check if the RSI is making a lower low (e.g., RSI drops from 50 to 45 while price makes a higher low). 4. **Confirm the Uptrend**: Ensure the overall trend is bullish (price is generally moving up with higher highs and higher lows). ### Step 3: Trading the Bullish Hidden RSI Divergence 1. **Entry Point**: - Enter a **buy** trade when you confirm the divergence and see the price starting to rise again after the higher low. - Look for additional confirmation, like a bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., a hammer or engulfing candle) or a break above a resistance level. 2. **Stop Loss**: - Place a stop loss below the most recent higher low to protect against a potential trend reversal. - For example, if the higher low is at $105, set the stop loss slightly below, like $103. 3. **Take Profit**: - Target a take-profit level based on previous highs, support/resistance levels, or a risk-reward ratio (e.g., 1:2, meaning you aim for twice the profit compared to your risk). - For instance, if your stop loss is $2 below entry, aim for a $4 profit target. ### Step 4: Manage the Trade - **Monitor RSI**: Ensure RSI doesn’t drop into oversold territory (below 30) or show signs of a bearish reversal. - **Adjust Stop Loss**: As the price moves up, consider trailing your stop loss to lock in profits. - **Exit Strategy**: Exit the trade if the price hits your target, or if you see signs of a trend reversal (e.g., a bearish divergence or break of key support). ### Example - **Price**: Stock XYZ makes a low at $100, then a higher low at $105. - **RSI**: RSI drops from 50 to 45 during the same period. - **Action**: You enter a buy trade at $106 after a bullish candle. Set a stop loss at $103 and aim for a take-profit at $110 (1:2 risk-reward). - **Outcome**: If the price continues its uptrend to $110, you take profit. If it drops below $103, you exit with a small loss. ### Tips - **Timeframes**: Use higher timeframes (e.g., 1-hour, 4-hour, or daily) for more reliable signals. - **Confirmation Tools**: Combine with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines for stronger signals. - **Practice**: Test this strategy on a demo account before using real money to understand how it works in different market conditions. - **Risk Management**: Never risk more than 1-2% of your trading account on a single trade. This strategy works best in trending markets, so always confirm the broader trend before trading.
Long
by Crypto-Adda_Official
#ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound 📊 #ETH Bullish Head and Shoulders, Beware of a Rebound ⚠️ 🧠From a structural perspective, we've found support at the weekly neckline support area, forming a bullish head and shoulders pattern, suggesting the possibility of a further rally. ➡️Note that we're currently near the 4-hour neckline resistance area. While further gains are possible, be wary of the risk of a pullback. Therefore, consider a small number of long trades. If a pullback occurs, buy again near the next support level of 4100. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:ETHUSDT.P
Long
by wolf_king888
ETHUSDT Daily Analysis – Key Downtrend & Swing SetupEthereum is currently in a downtrend after the sharp surge toward $5,000. This move lower was expected following the extended bullish rally. Looking ahead, I see a high probability of ETH reaching the $3,730 daily support. This level is a key swing trade setup and could serve as the foundation for the next big leg upward, potentially supporting a push toward a new all-time high in the longer term. 🔑 Technical Levels – Support & Stop Loss 📍 $3,730 | SL: $3,536 (Daily support – key swing setup) 📍 $2,680 | SL: $2,481 (Weekly support – deeper retracement zone) Bias: Bearish in the short term while ETH remains under $4,400, but turning strongly bullish long term if $3,730 holds as support. 📊 Fundamental Insight Regulatory uncertainty continues to weigh on crypto sentiment in the short term. On-chain activity shows resilience, with active addresses and DeFi usage stabilizing. Institutional demand remains present, with ETH staking and ETF developments reinforcing long-term value. Overall, ETH is consolidating after an extended run. A retest of support zones could present high-probability swing opportunities for patient traders. 👉 If you find this content helpful, don’t forget to like & follow for more daily analysis.
by husseindergham
Ethereum ETH Price Outlook — Key Levels to WatchCRYPTOCAP:ETH continues to hold strong momentum, with OKX:ETHUSDT showing solid support. A correction toward $3775–3850 would already be considered significant. A deeper pullback into the $3250–3450 zone could offer attractive long-term entries. With current conditions, further downside below this range looks less likely. 🤔 Do you expect #Ethereum to retest lower levels, or are we preparing for new highs? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud.
by P_S_trade
2
Volatility Period: Around September 18th (September 17th-19th) Hello, fellow traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D Chart) The 4403.87-4749.30 range, which is the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, represents a resistance zone. Therefore, we need to monitor the price movement after the current volatility period, around September 18 (September 17-19). To sustain the uptrend, the price must remain above the 3900.73-4107.80 range. From a medium- to long-term perspective, the 3265.0-3321.30 range is a key area. Considering the above, if it falls below 4403.87, 1st: 4107.80-4372.72 2nd: 3265.0-3321.30 Therefore, it is likely to fall to the first and second levels above. Therefore, the key question is whether it can find support near 4403.87 after this period of volatility. - When trading, it's important to understand the current price level. I believe there are several ways to determine this. My basic trading strategy is to determine when to trade. My basic trading strategy is to buy when support is found in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and rise, and to sell when it touches the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-like upward trend is likely, while if it falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-like downward trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading strategy. If you were unable to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, but the current price is within the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, you should check for support. Support is determined by checking whether support is found near the HA-Low or DOM(60) indicators. If you bought when support was found near the HA-Low indicator, the first sell position would be near the DOM(60) indicator. If you bought when support was found near the DOM(60) indicator, you should execute the trade quickly and effectively. If the price falls below the purchase price, it would be considered a buy at the high. To prevent this to some extent, we've utilized several indicators for verification. First, we utilize the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. That is, if the M-Signal indicator is passing near important support and resistance levels, the presence of support in that area is likely to play a more important role. Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near 4403.87, so we should consider the area around 4403.87 as a potential important support and resistance level. Second, we should monitor the movements of auxiliary indicators such as the TC (Trend Check) indicator, the StochRSI indicator, and the On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator. For the price to continue its upward trend in this important support area, - the StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone. - The OBV indicator should be showing an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the High Line. - The TC (Trend Check) indicator should be showing an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level. By monitoring the movements of the three indicators above, you can determine whether there is support near important support and resistance levels. However, you should not blindly trust the movements of auxiliary indicators. Even if you have identified the movements of auxiliary indicators, you should always monitor the price movement. To determine support, you should monitor the price movement for at least 1-3 days. This is especially important during periods of volatility. Volatility is a period where you cannot predict the direction of movement, so extra caution is required. Therefore, if possible, it's better to observe the situation and find a trading opportunity after the volatility period has passed rather than entering a new trade during a volatile period. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Ethereum Bounces From $4,161 Zone as Bulls Eye ReversalEthereum is holding firm at $4,161, a level reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP SR. Traders are watching for a bottoming structure to confirm a potential reversal. Ethereum’s correction has carried price into one of its most technically significant zones. The $4,161 level is not only structurally important but also aligns with multiple technical tools, including the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and VWAP SR. This confluence makes the current area a strong candidate for reversal, though confirmation of a bottoming structure is still required on the lower timeframes. Key Technical Points: - $4,161 Support Zone: Anchored by Fibonacci and VWAP SR. - Bottoming Structure Needed: Short-term reversal hinges on confirmation. - Macro Trend Intact: ETH remains within long-term bullish trajectory. Main Analysis: Ethereum’s ability to respect confluence zones has been a hallmark of its market structure in recent months. The current bounce at $4,161 is another example, aligning with both the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and the VWAP SR. These tools highlight the strength of this level, making it a technical battleground between bulls and bears. While the bounce is encouraging, traders must wait for confirmation of a bottoming structure. Without a clear reversal signal — such as a double bottom, higher low, or bullish divergence — the risk of another leg down remains. However, given Ethereum’s placement in a macro bullish uptrend, the probability of this zone holding is strong. Momentum indicators are also beginning to stabilize after recent corrective pressure. This suggests selling exhaustion, which often precedes accumulation phases before the next impulse. If bulls can sustain demand here, Ethereum could rotate back into resistance levels, continuing its larger uptrend. Market structure context further supports the bullish case. ETH has consistently established higher lows, and another hold here would reinforce that pattern. Historical reactions from confluence zones like this have led to meaningful rallies, adding conviction to the current setup. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action: Ethereum is likely to confirm a reversal if a bottoming structure forms at $4,161. A bounce from this confluence could drive price back into resistance zones, while failure would open the door for deeper testing. Overall, the macro bullish structure remains intact.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_