Get started

Euro / Australian Dollar

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

EUR/AUD Bears Regain Control After False BreakFriday’s bearish hammer marked the second failed attempt for EUR/AUD to break out of its 550-pip range. Momentum has since turned lower, with prices continuing to respect the weekly pivot point as resistance. Notably, the previous failed breakout also led to a move back toward the lower end of the range, suggesting a similar pattern could unfold. For now, bears may target the weekly S1 pivot near the 1.77 handle, with a break below it bringing the range lows into focus. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by City Index
1
EURAUD – Head & Shoulders at the Neckline (1H Chart)EURAUD has formed a clean Head & Shoulders pattern on the 1-hour chart and just pulled back to the neckline — setting up a possible entry. Current triggers: ✅ Structure: Clear H/S pattern with neckline retest ✅ Volume: Strong at 81 ✅ Momentum: Strong at 69 and hooking down ✅ Engulfing candle confirming the move This is a textbook setup with structure, volume, and momentum all aligned. Watching closely as the neckline holds — could be a solid reversal opportunity. ⚠️ For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. #Forex #EURAUD #HeadAndShoulders #VMSStrategy #TradingView
by darlwright
EURAUD corrective pullback supported at 1.7820The EURAUD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 1.7820 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 1.7820 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 1.8110 – initial resistance 1.8160 – psychological and structural level 1.8200 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 1.7820 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 1.7780 – minor support 1.7725 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURAUD holds above 1.7820. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
EURAUD to find buyers near market price?EURAUD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 1.7900 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 1.8025. We look to Buy at 1.7850 (stop at 1.7775) Our profit targets will be 1.8000 and 1.8025 Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7950 / 1.8000 Support: 1.7850 / 1.7800 / 1.7775 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
EUR-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell! Hello,Traders! EURAUD After breaking below the horizontal supply area, price confirmed bearish intent with a strong displacement candle. The market is now likely to revisit the imbalance zone below, targeting the 1.7840 region.Time Frame 5H. Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
EUR/AUD Technical Analysis The chart shows a clear Head and Shoulders pattern, which is a bearish reversal formation indicating a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend. The neckline has been broken around 1.7886, confirming the bearish signal and opening the way for a possible decline toward the target level at 1.7650. As long as the price remains below 1.7950, the bearish outlook stays valid. 📊 Fundamental Analysis: The Euro is under pressure due to weak economic data from the Eurozone and rising expectations that the ECB will maintain tight monetary policy for an extended period. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar is supported by stable commodity prices and improved global risk sentiment, which may strengthen the AUD against the Euro in the near term. 📅 Short-term Outlook: Bearish 🎯 Target: 1.7650 ⛔ Invalidation Level: 1.7950 #EURAUD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #EmaraCapital #Rami_Hajj_Bakour #Trading #Markets
Short
by ramibakour8
EUR AUD - H1EUR AUD has been in a Bullish trend making Higher Highs & Higher Lows. Price is currently pulling back down to the Fib golden zone of 0.5-0.618 levels. Price has also formed a hidden divergence potentially signalling an upward movement from here. Confluences for the trade: - Higher Highs & Higher Lows being formed, signalling an uptrend. - Price Pulling back to the 0.5-0.618 Fib Levels. - Hidden divergence being formed indicating an upward movement. - Price Above 200 EMA
Long
by TrendsDontBend
1
EURAUDthe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has maintained its official cash rate at 3.60% following the meeting on September 30, 2025. This is the third consecutive pause after a series of rate cuts earlier in the year, aimed at balancing inflation control and economic growth support. Head of the RBA The current Governor of the RBA is Michele Bullock, who took office on September 18, 2023. She is the first woman to serve as Governor of the RBA and has extensive experience within the bank, having held senior management roles and previously served as Deputy Governor. Michele Bullock has emphasized a cautious approach to monetary policy, navigating inflation that remains slightly above the target range, a resilient labor market, and ongoing global uncertainties. Economic Context Inflation in Australia remains around 3%, slightly above the RBA’s 2–3% target range. Unemployment is steady near 4%, and business investment is slowing in key sectors like construction and agriculture. the European Central Bank (ECB) key interest rates are as follows: Main Refinancing Operations (MRO) Rate: 2.15% Deposit Facility Rate: 2.00% Marginal Lending Facility Rate: 2.40% ECB President Christine Lagarde Since Nov 2019 The ECB’s monetary policy currently aims to maintain inflation close to its 2% medium-term target while balancing economic growth concerns amid geopolitical risks. ECB Meeting and Rate Decision The next ECB monetary policy meeting and interest rate decision is scheduled for October 30, 2025, with rates expected to remain unchanged based on recent guidance. TECHNICAL TRADING STRATEGY. AU10Y=4.158% RBA RATE =3.60% ECB RATE=2.0% EU10Y=2.584% INTEREST RATE DIFFERENTIAL =(ECB-RBA) (2.0-3.6%)=-1.6% FAVOR RBA BOND YIELD DIFFERENTIAL=2,584-4.158=1.574% FAVOR RBA . THE TECHNICAL NOW HINGES ON ECONOMIC OUT LOOK. Reasons Why EUR Is Still Being Bought Despite Lower ECB Rates Economic Size and Stability: The Eurozone is one of the largest economic blocs globally, with a diversified economy across multiple advanced countries. This gives the euro strong liquidity and reserve currency status, making it attractive for international investors and central banks despite the slightly lower interest rates. Inflation and Rate Outlook: ECB rates have been stable since mid-2025 after a series of cuts, but underlying inflation remains around target (~2%), suggesting a more balanced policy outlook. The market perceives the ECB as more cautious but stable, while the RBA’s higher rate partly reflects catch-up from earlier inflation spikes. Monetary Policy Signals: The ECB has signaled a likely end to its easing cycle with possible tightening in late 2026, providing a potential for future rate hikes that supports the euro. Meanwhile, markets expect the RBA will hold rates steady and potentially ease starting 2026, reducing the yield advantage eventually. Risk Sentiment and Safe-Haven Status: The euro often acts as a relative safe-haven currency amid global uncertainties, geopolitical tensions, and financial market volatility. Australia, being a commodity-driven economy, is more exposed to commodity price swings and risk sentiment, affecting AUD demand. Capital Flows and Trade Balances: Eurozone’s trade and capital inflows remain robust due to its integrated markets and fiscal stimulus. This supports EUR demand. Australia’s smaller economy and commodity reliance create more volatile capital flows. Bond Yield Dynamics: While RBA cash rates are higher, actual Australian government bond yields may not be vastly superior or consistent compared to Eurozone sovereign bonds, especially factoring in credit quality, duration, and currency risk premiums. German 10-year bund yields stand near 3.8%, attractive to yield-focused investors. NOTE ..EURAUD CAN MOVE BOTH WAYS ... CAUTION IS KEY. GOODLUCK AS YOU START THE WEEK. #EURAUD #EU10Y #AU10Y
by Shavyfxhub
Spotting a Potential Bullish Countertrend Opportunity on EURAUDIn this analysis, we’re looking at a potential bullish countertrend trading opportunity on the EURAUD. Recently, price action rallied into a previous area of structure resistance, stalled, and then reversed sharply — selling off more than 200 pips in a relatively short period. Moves like this can certainly be intimidating. A strong selloff often sparks fear in traders, leading many to believe that the market will continue collapsing indefinitely. But as we know, no move lasts forever. Markets move in waves — and even within a dominant trend, countertrend opportunities can offer great short-term trading setups. Understanding Where the Move May Run Out of Steam The first step is identifying where this bearish momentum may begin to slow down. By analyzing key structure levels, we can pinpoint potential areas of support where buyers may start stepping back in. These zones often align with previous turning points on the chart — places where price historically reacted with strength. Once we’ve identified that potential “floor,” we can look for a technical confirmation pattern such as a double bottom. This classic reversal formation gives us both visual and structural evidence that the market may be preparing to shift direction. Combining Technicals with Trader Psychology From a psychological standpoint, this setup also makes sense. After a large bearish move, many traders panic or chase the momentum lower — often right into an area where professional traders are looking to buy. Recognizing this shift in sentiment and waiting for a clear pattern allows you to position yourself smartly, with reduced risk and a more logical trade plan. The Takeaway The key here is not to fear strong directional moves, but to understand them. Every impulse eventually meets exhaustion, and by combining market structure, pattern recognition, and patience, you can spot high-probability opportunities that others miss. The EURAUD setup we’re watching now may be one of those cases — a potential double bottom forming at a key support zone, signaling that the bears are losing steam and that a bullish countertrend rally could be near. Hope you enjoyed the video, if you have any questions or comments, please leave them below. Akil
Long
by Akil_Stokes
EURAUD 4H – Long ideaPrice is bouncing from the lower rail of the 4H ascending channel that aligns with the weekly trendline. After a short liquidity sweep, the structure flipped bullish, and an H4 fair-value gap sits at 1.77–1.78 . Plan: buy the pullback into the FVG ~1.774 (E: 1.77415). SL: 1.7363 —below the channel base and last swing low. TP: 1.8889 , targeting the channel top/previous supply and full FVG fill. Partial profits can be taken on the way at ~1.825/1.845 . Bias is invalidated on a daily close below 1.74 .
Long
by AmirZary
EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.794 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR/AUD Bulls Fighting Back — Retail 76% Short!🔹 COT (Commitment of Traders) Euro (EUR): Non-commercial longs: 252,472 (−789) Non-commercial shorts: 138,127 (+2,625) → Institutional traders have trimmed long positions and increased shorts, signaling a softening bullish bias on the euro. Australian Dollar (AUD): Non-commercial longs: 41,994 (+1,718) Non-commercial shorts: 101,584 (+10,148) → Sharp increase in short exposure versus longs, reflecting renewed bearish pressure on AUD. 📊 Combined Interpretation: While the euro shows mild weakness, the Australian dollar remains under stronger institutional selling pressure. The result is a net bullish bias on EUR/AUD, though upside momentum may moderate as euro positioning cools. 🔹 FX Sentiment (Retail Positioning) 76% short / 24% long 📌 Retail traders are heavily short, providing a contrarian bullish signal for EUR/AUD. This skew supports the institutional view, hinting that short covering could drive the next bullish leg. 🔹 Seasonality EUR: October tends to be mildly negative on a 10–20 year horizon (−0.20% to −0.60%), but neutralizing into November. AUD: October is historically flat to slightly positive, though broader Q4 data favors euro recovery over commodity currencies. 📌 Seasonal Bias: Neutral-to-bullish EUR/AUD outlook — seasonality doesn’t contradict the structural bullish setup but suggests limited upside speed. 🔹 Price Action EUR/AUD remains within a broad consolidation range, oscillating between 1.7650–1.7950. The pair has recently bounced strongly from the 1.7600–1.7650 demand zone, aligning with a clean RSI rebound from oversold conditions. Currently trading near 1.7900, approaching the supply area 1.7950–1.8000, which may act as short-term resistance before any continuation move. 🎯 Scenario 1 (Preferred): Continuation higher toward 1.8000, followed by a correction back toward 1.7700 before resuming the broader bullish trend. ❌ Invalidation: Daily close below 1.7650 would invalidate the bullish bias and re-open 1.7500.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
7
EUR/AUD 4H chartMarket Structure Context Price impulsively rallied into a clear 4H supply zone that aligns perfectly with the previous swing high, the origin of the last major Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. That prior displacement left unmitigated orders, suggesting institutions might still have sell-side liquidity resting there. The current push into that region represents a liquidity grab above equal highs before likely distribution. Key Confluences BOS Confirmation: The earlier bearish BOS validates your bias , higher timeframe structure remains bearish even with this internal retracement. Premium Pricing: shorts are entered in the premium zone of the overall bearish range, an ideal area for distribution. Supply Reaction: Price wicked deep into the supply but couldn’t sustain momentum, forming a short-term rejection candle signalling absorption. Imbalance Below: There’s an obvious inefficiency between 1.7950–1.7800, which could be your first take-profit zone if price seeks to rebalance that leg. Risk Management Perspective Stop-loss above 1.8180–1.8200 (above supply extreme) keeps you protected from deeper manipulations. Partial profits around 1.7900 look logical. If price continues, the full target around 1.7550–1.7460 aligns with the prior 4H demand zone marked on the chart. A natural follow-up here: monitor the H1 for a confirmation entry pattern (lower-high formation or BOS) to potentially pyramid or re-enter if the trade aligns with intraday momentum shifts.
Short
by Jabu_Souls07